UFC 146

[poopoo333]

No explanation as to why?

Injured. He said on twitter it was his pcl

[trotterz]

Cain's chin concerns me.

Actually, if you take a look at the jds fight, not one single punch touched cain's chin. He got knocked down and out with punches on the side of the head. He got knocked down a couple times by kongo by punches on the chin thought. So imo, cain just doesn't react well to beeing tagged

[SPX]

The more I look at this card, the more I think it kind of sucks for betting.

JDS, Barboza and Cain should all win, but they're lines are completely shitty. I could see Mir pulling something out of his ass like he occasionally finds a way to do and who knows what kind of Cain is going to show up.

I kind of like Roy at ~-240, but even that isn't a great line.

And none of the other fights really jump out at me as being particularly good bets unless the lines end up being something other than what I expect.

[poopoo333]

The more I look at this card, the more I think it kind of sucks for betting.

JDS, Barboza and Cain should all win, but they're lines are completely shitty. I could see Mir pulling something out of his ass like he occasionally finds a way to do and who knows what kind of Cain is going to show up.

I kind of like Roy at ~-240, but even that isn't a great line.

And none of the other fights really jump out at me as being particularly good bets unless the lines end up being something other than what I expect.

Ha, I think the exact opposite. I love it for betting. I got Barboza -310 so I didn't get the super shitty line. Love a Cain/JDS parlay as well...going large on that if Cormier pulls through this weekend. Thinking maybe 10u. I like Roy as well, he is going to win. I have him in a parlay right now.

Also, I have this to close up:

7.5u to win 7.03u on:

Pending	5/5/12 10:00pm Boxing Fighting 501 Saul Alvarez -900* vs Shane Mosley
				Pending	5/4/12 9:30pm Bellator Fighting 1002 Michael Chandler -900* vs Akihiro Gono
				Pending	5/5/12 11:00pm Props Fighting 157 Mayweather wins by KO or unanimous dec. -337* vs Any other result
				Pending	5/26/12 11:00pm Props Fighting 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -475* vs Mir/Dos Santos goes 5 round distance

[poopoo333]

I am also interested in the Thee Bee Dollaway/Mayhem line. Thee Bee is a good bet if he is the dog imo.

Also, the Texieira/Kingsbury line is going to be interesting as well.

[SPX]

Ha, I think the exact opposite. I love it for betting.

When everyone who SHOULD win is -500 then I just can't call it a good card for betting.

[poopoo333]

When everyone who SHOULD win is -500 then I just can't call it a good card for betting.

err, I see what you mean.

[SPX]

I mean, unless I want to throw everyone into a parlay, I'm going to have to drop like half my bankroll to win any money.

[poopoo333]

I mean, unless I want to throw everyone into a parlay, I'm going to have to drop like half my bankroll to win any money.

Yeah, I am doing parlays this event except for my straight bet on Barboza.

[mike]

i hink i will bet on Roy nelson and that is it for me. maybe parlay jds and cain

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

Love a Cain/JDS parlay as well...going large on that if Cormier pulls through this weekend. Thinking maybe 10u.

Done.

[poopoo333]

Frank Mir vs Junior Dos Santos - 5 rounds - UFC 146 propositions
Sat 5/26		1003 Mir/Dos Santos goes 5 round distance		+500
11:00PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-900
Sat 5/26		1005 Mir wins inside distance		+463
11:00PM		1006 Not Mir inside distance		-787
Sat 5/26		1007 Mir wins by 5 round decision		+1550
11:00PM		1008 Not Mir by 5 round decision		-4650
Sat 5/26		1009 Dos Santos wins inside distance		-320
11:00PM		1010 Not Dos Santos inside distance		+240
Sat 5/26		1011 Dos Santos wins by 5 round decision		+672
11:00PM		1012 Not Dos Santos by 5 round decision		-1415
Sat 5/26		1013 Mir/Dos Santos draw		+8500
11:00PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-23000
Sat 5/26		1015 Mir wins in round 1		+1100
11:00PM		1016 Any other result		-2300
Sat 5/26		1017 Mir wins in round 2		+1300
11:00PM		1018 Any other result		-3000
Sat 5/26		1019 Mir wins in round 3		+2500
11:00PM		1020 Any other result		-7500
Sat 5/26		1021 Mir wins in round 4		+3800
11:00PM		1022 Any other result		-14600
Sat 5/26		1023 Mir wins in round 5		+5500
11:00PM		1024 Any other result		-21500
Sat 5/26		1025 Dos Santos wins in round 1		+160
11:00PM		1026 Any other result		-210
Sat 5/26		1027 Dos Santos wins in round 2		+220
11:00PM		1028 Any other result		-300
Sat 5/26		1029 Dos Santos wins in round 3		+800
11:00PM		1030 Any other result		-1700
Sat 5/26		1031 Dos Santos wins in round 4		+1400
11:00PM		1032 Any other result		-3600
Sat 5/26		1033 Dos Santos wins in round 5		+2000
11:00PM		1034 Any other result		-6000
Sat 5/26		1035 Mir wins by submission		+625
11:00PM		1036 Any other result		-1275
Sat 5/26		1037 Mir wins by TKO/KO		+1245
11:00PM		1038 Any other result		-2735
Sat 5/26		1039 Dos Santos wins by submission		+1870
11:00PM		1040 Any other result		-5600
Sat 5/26		1041 Dos Santos wins by TKO/KO		-280
11:00PM		1042 Any other result		+200
Sat 5/26		1043 Mir wins by 5 rnd unanimous dec.		+1950
11:00PM		1044 Any other result		-5850
Sat 5/26		1045 Mir wins by 5 rnd split/majority dec.		+6350
11:00PM		1046 Any other result		-25450
Sat 5/26		1047 Dos Santos wins by 5 rnd unanimous dec.		+800
11:00PM		1048 Any other result		-1700
Sat 5/26		1049 Dos Santos wins by 5 rnd split/maj dec.		+3200
11:00PM		1050 Any other result		-11600
Sat 5/26		1051 Mir/ Dos Santos starts round 5		+423
11:00PM		1052 Fight won't start round 5		-665
Sat 5/26		1053 Mir/Dos Santos starts round 4		+319
11:00PM		1054 Fight won't start round 4		-455
Sat 5/26		1055 Mir/Dos Santos starts round 3		+195
11:00PM		1056 Fight won't start round 3		-275
Sat 5/26		1057 Mir/Dos Santos starts round 2		-160
11:00PM		1058 Fight won't start round 2		+120
Antonio Silva vs Cain Velasquez - 3 rounds - UFC 146 propositions
Sat 5/26		1103 Silva/Velasquez goes 3 round distance		+220
10:30PM		1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-300
Sat 5/26		1105 Silva wins inside distance		+450
10:30PM		1106 Not Silva inside distance		-750
Sat 5/26		1107 Silva wins by 3 round decision		+750
10:30PM		1108 Not Silva by 3 round decision		-1580
Sat 5/26		1109 Velasquez wins inside distance		-158
10:30PM		1110 Not Velasquez inside distance		+118
Sat 5/26		1111 Velasquez wins by 3 round decision		+335
10:30PM		1112 Not Velasquez by 3 round decision		-505
Sat 5/26		1113 Silva/Velasquez draw		+8500
10:30PM		1114 Fight not a draw		-23000
Sat 5/26		1115 Silva wins in round 1		+900
10:30PM		1116 Any other result		-1850
Sat 5/26		1117 Silva wins in round 2		+1150
10:30PM		1118 Any other result		-2450
Sat 5/26		1119 Silva wins in round 3		+2100
10:30PM		1120 Any other result		-6300
Sat 5/26		1121 Velasquez wins in round 1		+200
10:30PM		1122 Any other result		-280
Sat 5/26		1123 Velasquez wins in round 2		+300
10:30PM		1124 Any other result		-420
Sat 5/26		1125 Velasquez wins in round 3		+900
10:30PM		1126 Any other result		-1850
Sat 5/26		1127 Silva wins by submission		+935
10:30PM		1128 Any other result		-1905
Sat 5/26		1129 Silva wins by TKO/KO		+770
10:30PM		1130 Any other result		-1620
Sat 5/26		1131 Velasquez wins by submission		+1525
10:30PM		1132 Any other result		-4575
Sat 5/26		1133 Velasquez wins by TKO/KO		-141
10:30PM		1134 Any other result		+101
Sat 5/26		1135 Silva/Velasquez starts round 3		+150
10:30PM		1136 Fight won't start round 3		-190
Sat 5/26		1137 Silva/Velasquez starts round 2		-195
10:30PM		1138 Fight won't start round 2		+155

[Luke]

Done.

Talking to self again poopoo.

[ctm0808]

I'm going with combinations of JDS/Cain/Barboza parlays, also throwing something on struve. Really want to see the line for Hardy/Ludwig..