UFC 146

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    Miller might be undervalued due to his embarassing showing against Bisping. You don't think Miller could submit CB?
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

    Comment

    • poopoo333
      MMA *********
      • Jan 2010
      • 18302

      Originally posted by MMA_scientist
      Miller might be undervalued due to his embarassing showing against Bisping. You don't think Miller could submit CB?
      Yeah, I guess he could. But if his cardio is like it was against Bisping, he is gonna need to get the sub in the 1st.

      Comment

      • poopoo333
        MMA *********
        • Jan 2010
        • 18302

        MAIN CARD (pay-per-view)
        • Champ Junior Dos Santos vs. Frank Mir (for heavyweight title)
        • Antonio Silva vs. Cain Velasquez
        • Dave Herman vs. Roy Nelson
        • Shane Del Rosario vs. Stipe Miocic
        • Mark Hunt vs. Stefan Struve

        PRELIMINARY CARD
        • Diego Brandao vs. Darren Elkins
        • Edson Barboza vs. Jamie Varner
        • C.B. Dollaway vs. Jason "Mayhem" Miller
        • Paul Sass vs. Jacob Volkmann
        • Dan Hardy vs. Duane "Bang" Ludwig
        • Kyle Kingsbury vs. Glover Teixeira
        • Mike Brown vs. Daniel Pineda

        Comment

        • MMA_scientist
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2009
          • 9857

          Miller has always had good cardio in the past. He was able to nearly submit Shields and he was able to fend off Jacare grappling, though he did get schooled. I don't know, maybe his fame and money has changed him. I think he could beat CB though, assuming he comes committed to the takedown. He got Bisping down, I think he can get CB down.
          2012: +19.33
          2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

          Comment

          • MMA_scientist
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2009
            • 9857

            Curious to see what Volkmann does with Sassangle. Also want to see what Texiera can do with Kingsbury.
            2012: +19.33
            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

            Comment

            • poopoo333
              MMA *********
              • Jan 2010
              • 18302

              JDS by murder.
              Cain by murder.

              I think Nelson will get a win here, he might get beat up a little in round 1, but then Pee Wee will gas and get taken down and pounded out/subbed/laid on for a decision.

              Stipe/SDR is a mystery but I favor Stipe. SDR's lay off, injuries, and questionable cardio might not hold up to Stipe's aggressive striking and superior wrestling. Wouldn't go big on this though..

              I've been fading Hunt since the McCorkle fight and it only worked out in the McCorkle fight. I originally liked Struve, but can he get Hunt down? Looking for opinions on this one.

              Brandao/Elkins...I like Elkins if he is a big dog, dat dere wrestler value.

              Barboza is gonna make Varner look silly, then Varner can lisp another retirement speech.

              I think Dollaway will probably beat Miller by a top control decision

              Volkmann should beat Sass if he can avoid the sub. Volkmann likes to be on top and Sass seems to be able to pull off subs from the bottom with his aggressive style.

              Hardy/Ludwig...no idea. Would think Ludwig is technically better, but he fades in fights. Maybe Hardy comes as NCAA hardy? Who knows..not sure who to pick in this one.

              Never seen Teixeira fight, but isn't he some kind of striker? Will Kingsbury be able to use his TRT body and grind out a decision?

              Brown/Pineda..IDK LOL

              Comment

              • MMA_scientist
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2009
                • 9857

                Originally posted by poopoo333
                I've been fading Hunt since the McCorkle fight and it only worked out in the McCorkle fight. I originally liked Struve, but can he get Hunt down? Looking for opinions on this one.

                Brandao/Elkins...I like Elkins if he is a big dog, dat dere wrestler value.


                Never seen Teixeira fight, but isn't he some kind of striker? Will Kingsbury be able to use his TRT body and grind out a decision?
                I like HUnt to keep the dream alive. Don't think Struve can get him down, Struve is chinny, Hunt hits like a truck.

                I don't think Elkins is a good enough wrestler to make that work against Brandao, unless he can survive until round 3 and wear him out.

                Texiera is a BJJ grappler, top oriented. He bangs too, but he will be looking for a TD to win.
                2012: +19.33
                2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                Comment

                • poopoo333
                  MMA *********
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 18302

                  Frank Mir vs Junior Dos Santos - 5 rounds - UFC 146 propositions
                  Sat 5/26 1003 Mir/Dos Santos goes 5 round distance +450
                  11:00PM 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -750
                  Sat 5/26 1005 Mir wins inside distance +511
                  11:00PM 1006 Not Mir inside distance -932
                  Sat 5/26 1007 Mir wins by 5 round decision +1150
                  11:00PM 1008 Not Mir by 5 round decision -2450
                  Sat 5/26 1009 Dos Santos wins inside distance -318
                  11:00PM 1010 Not Dos Santos inside distance +238
                  Sat 5/26 1011 Dos Santos wins by 5 round decision +696
                  11:00PM 1012 Not Dos Santos by 5 round decision -1487
                  Sat 5/26 1013 Mir/Dos Santos draw +8500
                  11:00PM 1014 Fight not a draw -23000
                  Antonio Silva vs Cain Velasquez - 3 rounds - UFC 146 propositions
                  Sat 5/26 1103 Silva/Velasquez goes 3 round distance +350
                  11:00PM 1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance -530
                  Stipe Miocic vs Shane del Rosario - 3 rounds - UFC 146 propositions
                  Sat 5/26 1303 Miocic/Del Rosario goes 3 round distance +160
                  10:00PM 1304 Fight won't go 3 round distance -210
                  Mark Hunt vs Stefan Struve - 3 rounds - UFC 146 propositions
                  Sat 5/26 1403 Hunt/Struve goes 3 round distance +350
                  10:00PM 1404 Fight won't go 3 round distance -530
                  Sat 5/26 1405 Hunt wins inside distance +102
                  10:00PM 1406 Not Hunt inside distance -142
                  Sat 5/26 1407 Hunt wins by 3 round decision +1075
                  10:00PM 1408 Not Hunt by 3 round decision -2225
                  Sat 5/26 1409 Struve wins inside distance +155
                  10:00PM 1410 Not Struve inside distance -195
                  Sat 5/26 1411 Struve wins by 3 round decision +516
                  10:00PM 1412 Not Struve by 3 round decision -947
                  Sat 5/26 1413 Hunt/Struve draw +7000
                  10:00PM 1414 Fight not a draw -18500

                  Comment

                  • poopoo333
                    MMA *********
                    • Jan 2010
                    • 18302

                    Originally posted by MMA_scientist

                    Texiera is a BJJ grappler, top oriented. He bangs too, but he will be looking for a TD to win.
                    How much better than Bonnar is he at what Bonnar did to Kingsbury?

                    Comment

                    • edman5555
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2010
                      • 6628

                      I think Hunt/Struve is a tossup. Hunt is much stronger standing and STruve is much stronger on the ground.
                      1 unit = 300 $

                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        Originally posted by poopoo333
                        How much better than Bonnar is he at what Bonnar did to Kingsbury?
                        I would say he is significantly better than Bonnar on the ground. He beat Dean Lister in ADCC 2009. But, he may not be as big and strong, which probably helped Bonnar against Kingsbury.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

                        • poopoo333
                          MMA *********
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 18302

                          Barboza opened @-298.

                          Got him -310 to win 1u

                          Comment

                          • poopoo333
                            MMA *********
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 18302

                            Seriously don't understand Barboza opens at what he did with Dunham against Varner..

                            Comment

                            • poopoo333
                              MMA *********
                              • Jan 2010
                              • 18302

                              And Roy Nelson opened -160..missed it. damnit

                              Comment

                              • mike
                                Senior Member
                                • Mar 2010
                                • 541

                                Originally posted by poopoo333
                                And Roy Nelson opened -160..missed it. damnit
                                damn i would be all over that one. it's -270 now, yikes.

                                Comment

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