UFC 148 Sonnen vs Silva II

[poopoo333]

I'm not saying they are locks, but out of the bold picks those are the ones I am pretty confident in. I have a 5 unit bet on Sonnen @+215 right now, I regret making it because it will probably get up to +250 by fight time.

I bet Ortiz by decision @+652 based on them both being on the verge of retirement, fighting to two close decisions before, etc. However, I fully expect Griffin to take the decision...just think his -300 line is ridiculous.

Maia looked good against Munoz and arguably won the fight. Neither Maia or Kim has great cardio and Maia will probably want to get the fight to the ground, but K1 Maia shows up a lot and he may wanna strike with Kim where I think he will be at only a slight disadvantage. I'm not too sure on Kim's top game to be able to stifle Maia on the ground, so I am really thinking this will be a K1 Kim vs K1 Maia match. Very curious to see Maia at the weigh ins.

How much better is Bocek than Roller with takedowns/top game?

[poopoo333]

Anderson Silva just went off on Chael

http://www.fightcove.com/ufc-148-silva-vs-sonnen-ii-media-call-highlights/

If you watch the video/audio...skip to 5 minutes.

[MMA_scientist]

Chael is in his head.

Not sure that is a good thing for Chael.

[edman5555]

I think Anderson was legitimately injured in their first fight. He dropped Chael in that fight as well. He also won it....

[MMA_scientist]

I would not be surprised to see a completely one sided humiliation beat down, Maia or Okami style.

[poopoo333]

I would.

[Mr. IWS]

I would not be surprised to see a completely one sided humiliation beat down, Maia or Okami style.

Im betting on it.

[poopoo333]

Sat 7/7		1003 Sonnen/Silva goes 5 round distance		+200
11:30PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-280
Sat 7/7		1005 Sonnen wins inside distance		+669
11:30PM		1006 Not Sonnen inside distance		-1405
Sat 7/7		1007 Sonnen wins by 5 round decision		+325
11:30PM		1008 Not Sonnen by 5 round decision		-475
Sat 7/7		1009 Silva wins inside distance		-182
11:30PM		1010 Not Silva inside distance		+142
Sat 7/7		1011 Silva wins by 5 round decision		+673
11:30PM		1012 Not Silva by 5 round decision		-1417
Sat 7/7		1013 Sonnen/Silva draw		+8000
11:30PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-21500

If I were backing Silva I would just take Silva ITD...no way he wins a decision imo

[BIGDAY]

I've bet this four times, all to win 1u:

Ortiz/Griffin goes 3 round distance



-135, -135, -140, -110


Based on the first two fights, why the hell is this line not -250+? Neither of them were close to being stopped. Is it because Tito got stopped in his last two? Against uber-Rashad? Against Lil Nog? Both whom fucked Tito's solarplex/body in the ass with their fists/knees? Is Forrest Griffin gonna do that? Naw nigga Naw. Tito dropped Bader...that's it..."fluke". I'd bet Bader @-500 again in a heart beat in a rematch FWIW.


I just think this line is crazy and I will probably keep betting it

Completely agree. Line should be -200 to -250. Wanted to take Forrest by dec, but if Tito finds a way to get takedowns it could get interesting.

[BIGDAY]

Hope more lines drop for other fights this week!

[poopoo333]

Hope more lines drop for other fights this week!

The preliminary lines probably won't come out until the Tuesday before the fight...but the Cote/Le, Mendes/McKenzie, and Easton/Menjivar lines might come out here and there this week...probably 5 dimes or sportsbook. If 5 dimes, expect Mendes to be only like -325..they release some good lines.

[BIGDAY]

I hear ya. Liking this card a lot for profit and entertainment

[poopoo333]

Chael Sonnen vs Anderson Silva - 5 rounds - UFC 148 propositions
Sat 7/7		1003 Sonnen/Silva goes 5 round distance		+190
11:59PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-250
Sat 7/7		1005 Sonnen wins inside distance		+615
11:59PM		1006 Not Sonnen inside distance		-1085
Sat 7/7		1007 Sonnen wins by 5 round decision		+365
11:59PM		1008 Not Sonnen by 5 round decision		-505
Sat 7/7		1009 Silva wins inside distance		-154
11:59PM		1010 Not Silva inside distance		+124
Sat 7/7		1011 Silva wins by 5 round decision		+553
11:59PM		1012 Not Silva by 5 round decision		-930
Sat 7/7		1013 Sonnen/Silva draw		+8000
11:59PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-21500
Sat 7/7		1015 Sonnen wins in round 1		+1425
11:59PM		1016 Any other result		-3825
Sat 7/7		1017 Sonnen wins in round 2		+1725
11:59PM		1018 Any other result		-5175
Sat 7/7		1019 Sonnen wins in round 3		+2400
11:59PM		1020 Any other result		-7200
Sat 7/7		1021 Sonnen wins in round 4		+3450
11:59PM		1022 Any other result		-13150
Sat 7/7		1023 Sonnen wins in round 5		+5000
11:59PM		1024 Any other result		-20000
Sat 7/7		1025 Silva wins in round 1		+325
11:59PM		1026 Any other result		-475
Sat 7/7		1027 Silva wins in round 2		+425
11:59PM		1028 Any other result		-675
Sat 7/7		1029 Silva wins in round 3		+550
11:59PM		1030 Any other result		-1050
Sat 7/7		1031 Silva wins in round 4		+850
11:59PM		1032 Any other result		-1750
Sat 7/7		1033 Silva wins in round 5		+1250
11:59PM		1034 Any other result		-2750
Sat 7/7		1035 Sonnen wins by submission		+1820
11:59PM		1036 Any other result		-5450
Sat 7/7		1037 Sonnen wins by TKO/KO		+755
11:59PM		1038 Any other result		-1595
Sat 7/7		1039 Silva wins by submission		+402
11:59PM		1040 Any other result		-605
Sat 7/7		1041 Silva wins by TKO/KO		+120
11:59PM		1042 Any other result		-160
Sat 7/7		1043 Sonnen wins by 5 rnd unanimous dec.		+437
11:59PM		1044 Any other result		-710
Sat 7/7		1045 Sonnen wins by 5 rnd split/majority dec.		+1400
11:59PM		1046 Any other result		-3600
Sat 7/7		1047 Silva wins by 5 rnd unanimous dec.		+610
11:59PM		1048 Any other result		-1230
Sat 7/7		1049 Silva wins by 5 rnd split/majority dec.		+2350
11:59PM		1050 Any other result		-7050
Sat 7/7		1051 Sonnen/ Silva starts round 5		+155
11:59PM		1052 Fight won't start round 5		-195
Sat 7/7		1053 Sonnen/Silva starts round 4		+100
11:59PM		1054 Fight won't start round 4		-140
Sat 7/7		1055 Sonnen/Silva starts round 3		-160
11:59PM		1056 Fight won't start round 3		+120
Sat 7/7		1057 Sonnen/Silva starts round 2		-380
11:59PM		1058 Fight won't start round 2		+260
any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter, see sportsbook rules for grading details
Sat 7/7		1059 Sonnen points handicap	+3½ +175
11:59PM		1060 Silva points handicap	-3½ -225
any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter, see sportsbook rules for grading details
Sat 7/7		1061 Sonnen points handicap	+9½ +155
11:59PM		1062 Silva points handicap	-9½ -185

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

Silva ITD -154 is a good price imo if you are going to bet Silva.