I like Grant in this one. I love him at LW. His TDD and being held down problem seemed to have disappeared since he dropped a weight class. But then again, Wiman is relentless with his pace/takedown attempts so he might be able to get an ugly decision. The line is well set imo. I also like Cerrone to beat Pettis, but it'll be close.
UFC on FOX 6 January 26th
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I like cerrone to beat pettis but im not sure i want to bet it. Bader vs matyushenko is on this card. Im sure baderd line will be insane but hes worth a bet. This is a tough card to bet. Anyone have an opinion of hioki guida? I wonder if hioki can sub him. I would think he is better on the ground. Im thinking about betting bader and glover, maybe cerrone.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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I like cerrone to beat pettis but im not sure i want to bet it. Bader vs matyushenko is on this card. Im sure baderd line will be insane but hes worth a bet. This is a tough card to bet. Anyone have an opinion of hioki guida? I wonder if hioki can sub him. I would think he is better on the ground. Im thinking about betting bader and glover, maybe cerrone.
I doubt Hioki subs Guida. He hasn't been able to sub anyone yet in the UFC and he's been on top in almost all the ground exchanges. I don't necessarily think he'll be on top alot of the time against a bigger guy who has proven to be an effective wrestler at a more talented weight class all this time in Guida. More likely Guida does his weird movement thing and catches some takedowns near the end of rounds to steal the fight.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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Demetrious Johnson vs John Dodson - 5 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions Sat 1/26 1003 Johnson/Dodson goes 5 round distance -260 11:00PM 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance +180 Sat 1/26 1005 Johnson wins inside distance +465 11:00PM 1006 Not Johnson inside distance -795 Sat 1/26 1007 Johnson wins by 5 round decision -132 11:00PM 1008 Not Johnson by 5 round decision -108 Sat 1/26 1009 Dodson wins inside distance +375 11:00PM 1010 Not Dodson inside distance -565 Sat 1/26 1011 Dodson wins by 5 round decision +435 11:00PM 1012 Not Dodson by 5 round decision -705 Sat 1/26 1013 Johnson/Dodson draw +6500 11:00PM 1014 Fight not a draw -16500 Matt Wiman vs T.J. Grant - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions Sat 1/26 1103 Wiman/Grant goes 3 round distance -230 10:30PM 1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance +170 Sat 1/26 1105 Wiman wins inside distance +405 10:30PM 1106 Not Wiman inside distance -615 Sat 1/26 1107 Wiman wins by 3 round decision +177 10:30PM 1108 Not Wiman by 3 round decision -250 Sat 1/26 1109 Grant wins inside distance +390 10:30PM 1110 Not Grant inside distance -590 Sat 1/26 1111 Grant wins by 3 round decision +168 10:30PM 1112 Not Grant by 3 round decision -225 Sat 1/26 1113 Wiman/Grant draw +6000 10:30PM 1114 Fight not a draw -15000 Donald Cerrone vs Anthony Pettis - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions Sat 1/26 1203 Pettis/Cerrone goes 3 round distance -190 10:00PM 1204 Fight won't go 3 round distance +150 Sat 1/26 1205 Pettis wins inside distance +376 10:00PM 1206 Not Pettis inside distance -566 Sat 1/26 1207 Pettis wins by 3 round decision +184 10:00PM 1208 Not Pettis by 3 round decision -264 Sat 1/26 1209 Cerrone wins inside distance +331 10:00PM 1210 Not Cerrone inside distance -492 Sat 1/26 1211 Cerrone wins by 3 round decision +180 10:00PM 1212 Not Cerrone by 3 round decision -260 Sat 1/26 1213 Pettis/Cerrone draw +6500 10:00PM 1214 Fight not a draw -16500 Quinton Jackson vs Glover Teixeira - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions Sat 1/26 1303 Jackson/Teixeira goes 3 round distance +115 9:30PM 1304 Fight won't go 3 round distance -155 Sat 1/26 1305 Jackson wins inside distance +340 9:30PM 1306 Not Jackson inside distance -510 Sat 1/26 1307 Jackson wins by 3 round decision +685 9:30PM 1308 Not Jackson by 3 round decision -1455 Sat 1/26 1309 Teixeira wins inside distance +140 9:30PM 1310 Not Teixeira inside distance -180 Sat 1/26 1311 Teixeira wins by 3 round decision +170 9:30PM 1312 Not Teixeira by 3 round decision -230 Sat 1/26 1313 Jackson/Teixeira draw +8500 9:30PM 1314 Fight not a draw -23000 Erik Koch vs Ricardo Lamas - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions Sat 1/26 1403 Koch/Lamas goes 3 round distance +105 9:00PM 1404 Fight won't go 3 round distance -145 Sat 1/26 1405 Koch wins inside distance +335 9:00PM 1406 Not Koch inside distance -505 Sat 1/26 1407 Koch wins by 3 round decision +275 9:00PM 1408 Not Koch by 3 round decision -395 Sat 1/26 1409 Lamas wins inside distance +155 9:00PM 1410 Not Lamas inside distance -195 Sat 1/26 1411 Lamas wins by 3 round decision +316 9:00PM 1412 Not Lamas by 3 round decision -447 Sat 1/26 1413 Koch/Lamas draw +7500 9:00PM 1414 Fight not a draw -20000 Comment
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Yeah I hate to underestimate Rampage but he sounds like he has lost interest. Still, its hard to bet Tex at such big odds. So far he's beaten Kyle Kingsbury and Fabio Maldanado. They don't suck but I'm not sure I'd pick them over Rampage. Kingsbu definelty not. Maldanado maybe, just because he is a boxer and that is rampages game these days. Still, Rampage is hard to take down and packs a hefty punch.
I'm looking at Rampages record and maybe I'm overrating his knockout ability. He couldn't touch Bader and he is somewhat slow, couldn't knock out Hamil, I don't even think he hit MAchida, He did rock Rashad in their fight. If you keep going its JArdina, Wandy, Forrest, Hendo(doesnt count nobody can knock him out), Liddell and MArvin Eastman. In his past 10 fights he's has only knocked out Chuck Liddell and Wanderlei Silva. Two guys with fading jaws. Chuck more so than Wandy. I think Wandy's chin has probably faded but I think it is exagerrated. He is actually doing ok. A lot of Wandys losses come from fighting out of his weight class IMO.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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Rampage is the one who broke Liddell for good. After the second fight with Rampage is where Chuck started to decline overall. He got beat by Jardine, had a lackluster war with Wanderlei, and then got knocked out 3 straight times.Yeah I hate to underestimate Rampage but he sounds like he has lost interest. Still, its hard to bet Tex at such big odds. So far he's beaten Kyle Kingsbury and Fabio Maldanado. They don't suck but I'm not sure I'd pick them over Rampage. Kingsbu definelty not. Maldanado maybe, just because he is a boxer and that is rampages game these days. Still, Rampage is hard to take down and packs a hefty punch.
I'm looking at Rampages record and maybe I'm overrating his knockout ability. He couldn't touch Bader and he is somewhat slow, couldn't knock out Hamil, I don't even think he hit MAchida, He did rock Rashad in their fight. If you keep going its JArdina, Wandy, Forrest, Hendo(doesnt count nobody can knock him out), Liddell and MArvin Eastman. In his past 10 fights he's has only knocked out Chuck Liddell and Wanderlei Silva. Two guys with fading jaws. Chuck more so than Wandy. I think Wandy's chin has probably faded but I think it is exagerrated. He is actually doing ok. A lot of Wandys losses come from fighting out of his weight class IMO.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
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2012: +20.311uComment
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Chuck's chin may or may not have been the issue in a way. He dominated for years because he was fighting mostly grapplers. As soon as he started fighting heavy handed guys with some striking skill he started going out. Don't forget he used to run forward with his chin exposed. He was also pretty old.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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Anyone think MAtyushenko has a shot at beating Bader? I was just reading his Wiki page and his wrestling credentials are huge. According to Dave Schultz(olympic gold medalist) Vlad beat Kevin jackson in a wrestling match. KJ is an olympic gold medalist. He also states Vlad beat members of the american olympic team. He is also a soviet wrestling champion. I know he is older now but he might have the skills to nullify Baders wrestling. Vlad also has a bit of power in his hands. Im not saying I think he wins but I do think this one is more competitive than it appears. Could be at least.1 unit = 300 $Comment

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