UFC on FOX 6 January 26th

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  • poopoo333
    MMA *********
    • Jan 2010
    • 18302

    #31
    I like Grant in this one. I love him at LW. His TDD and being held down problem seemed to have disappeared since he dropped a weight class. But then again, Wiman is relentless with his pace/takedown attempts so he might be able to get an ugly decision. The line is well set imo. I also like Cerrone to beat Pettis, but it'll be close.

    Comment

    • mike
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2010
      • 541

      #32
      in what way do you see cerrone beating pettis? ragarding grant, i think he's a top LW, just havent got the chance to fight a top guy. But Wiman is very active, like u said. I only put enough to win 2u on grant for that reason.

      Comment

      • edman5555
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2010
        • 6628

        #33
        I like cerrone to beat pettis but im not sure i want to bet it. Bader vs matyushenko is on this card. Im sure baderd line will be insane but hes worth a bet. This is a tough card to bet. Anyone have an opinion of hioki guida? I wonder if hioki can sub him. I would think he is better on the ground. Im thinking about betting bader and glover, maybe cerrone.
        1 unit = 300 $

        Comment

        • Ludo
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2010
          • 4931

          #34
          Originally posted by edman5555
          I like cerrone to beat pettis but im not sure i want to bet it. Bader vs matyushenko is on this card. Im sure baderd line will be insane but hes worth a bet. This is a tough card to bet. Anyone have an opinion of hioki guida? I wonder if hioki can sub him. I would think he is better on the ground. Im thinking about betting bader and glover, maybe cerrone.

          I doubt Hioki subs Guida. He hasn't been able to sub anyone yet in the UFC and he's been on top in almost all the ground exchanges. I don't necessarily think he'll be on top alot of the time against a bigger guy who has proven to be an effective wrestler at a more talented weight class all this time in Guida. More likely Guida does his weird movement thing and catches some takedowns near the end of rounds to steal the fight.
          2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
          Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
          Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
          Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

          2012: +20.311u

          Comment

          • edman5555
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2010
            • 6628

            #35
            Guida via bobble head technique. Good call.
            1 unit = 300 $

            Comment

            • poopoo333
              MMA *********
              • Jan 2010
              • 18302

              #36
              Demetrious Johnson vs John Dodson - 5 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions
              Sat 1/26 1003 Johnson/Dodson goes 5 round distance -260
              11:00PM 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance +180
              Sat 1/26 1005 Johnson wins inside distance +465
              11:00PM 1006 Not Johnson inside distance -795
              Sat 1/26 1007 Johnson wins by 5 round decision -132
              11:00PM 1008 Not Johnson by 5 round decision -108
              Sat 1/26 1009 Dodson wins inside distance +375
              11:00PM 1010 Not Dodson inside distance -565
              Sat 1/26 1011 Dodson wins by 5 round decision +435
              11:00PM 1012 Not Dodson by 5 round decision -705
              Sat 1/26 1013 Johnson/Dodson draw +6500
              11:00PM 1014 Fight not a draw -16500
              Matt Wiman vs T.J. Grant - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions
              Sat 1/26 1103 Wiman/Grant goes 3 round distance -230
              10:30PM 1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance +170
              Sat 1/26 1105 Wiman wins inside distance +405
              10:30PM 1106 Not Wiman inside distance -615
              Sat 1/26 1107 Wiman wins by 3 round decision +177
              10:30PM 1108 Not Wiman by 3 round decision -250
              Sat 1/26 1109 Grant wins inside distance +390
              10:30PM 1110 Not Grant inside distance -590
              Sat 1/26 1111 Grant wins by 3 round decision +168
              10:30PM 1112 Not Grant by 3 round decision -225
              Sat 1/26 1113 Wiman/Grant draw +6000
              10:30PM 1114 Fight not a draw -15000
              Donald Cerrone vs Anthony Pettis - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions
              Sat 1/26 1203 Pettis/Cerrone goes 3 round distance -190
              10:00PM 1204 Fight won't go 3 round distance +150
              Sat 1/26 1205 Pettis wins inside distance +376
              10:00PM 1206 Not Pettis inside distance -566
              Sat 1/26 1207 Pettis wins by 3 round decision +184
              10:00PM 1208 Not Pettis by 3 round decision -264
              Sat 1/26 1209 Cerrone wins inside distance +331
              10:00PM 1210 Not Cerrone inside distance -492
              Sat 1/26 1211 Cerrone wins by 3 round decision +180
              10:00PM 1212 Not Cerrone by 3 round decision -260
              Sat 1/26 1213 Pettis/Cerrone draw +6500
              10:00PM 1214 Fight not a draw -16500
              Quinton Jackson vs Glover Teixeira - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions
              Sat 1/26 1303 Jackson/Teixeira goes 3 round distance +115
              9:30PM 1304 Fight won't go 3 round distance -155
              Sat 1/26 1305 Jackson wins inside distance +340
              9:30PM 1306 Not Jackson inside distance -510
              Sat 1/26 1307 Jackson wins by 3 round decision +685
              9:30PM 1308 Not Jackson by 3 round decision -1455
              Sat 1/26 1309 Teixeira wins inside distance +140
              9:30PM 1310 Not Teixeira inside distance -180
              Sat 1/26 1311 Teixeira wins by 3 round decision +170
              9:30PM 1312 Not Teixeira by 3 round decision -230
              Sat 1/26 1313 Jackson/Teixeira draw +8500
              9:30PM 1314 Fight not a draw -23000
              Erik Koch vs Ricardo Lamas - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 6 propositions
              Sat 1/26 1403 Koch/Lamas goes 3 round distance +105
              9:00PM 1404 Fight won't go 3 round distance -145
              Sat 1/26 1405 Koch wins inside distance +335
              9:00PM 1406 Not Koch inside distance -505
              Sat 1/26 1407 Koch wins by 3 round decision +275
              9:00PM 1408 Not Koch by 3 round decision -395
              Sat 1/26 1409 Lamas wins inside distance +155
              9:00PM 1410 Not Lamas inside distance -195
              Sat 1/26 1411 Lamas wins by 3 round decision +316
              9:00PM 1412 Not Lamas by 3 round decision -447
              Sat 1/26 1413 Koch/Lamas draw +7500
              9:00PM 1414 Fight not a draw -20000

              Comment

              • edman5555
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2010
                • 6628

                #37
                I could see Teixera winning by 3 round D or submission.
                1 unit = 300 $

                Comment

                • poopoo333
                  MMA *********
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 18302

                  #38
                  I think Tex wins a decision if he wins.

                  Comment

                  • edman5555
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 6628

                    #39
                    Originally posted by poopoo333
                    I think Tex wins a decision if he wins.
                    Yeah I hate to underestimate Rampage but he sounds like he has lost interest. Still, its hard to bet Tex at such big odds. So far he's beaten Kyle Kingsbury and Fabio Maldanado. They don't suck but I'm not sure I'd pick them over Rampage. Kingsbu definelty not. Maldanado maybe, just because he is a boxer and that is rampages game these days. Still, Rampage is hard to take down and packs a hefty punch.

                    I'm looking at Rampages record and maybe I'm overrating his knockout ability. He couldn't touch Bader and he is somewhat slow, couldn't knock out Hamil, I don't even think he hit MAchida, He did rock Rashad in their fight. If you keep going its JArdina, Wandy, Forrest, Hendo(doesnt count nobody can knock him out), Liddell and MArvin Eastman. In his past 10 fights he's has only knocked out Chuck Liddell and Wanderlei Silva. Two guys with fading jaws. Chuck more so than Wandy. I think Wandy's chin has probably faded but I think it is exagerrated. He is actually doing ok. A lot of Wandys losses come from fighting out of his weight class IMO.
                    1 unit = 300 $

                    Comment

                    • Ludo
                      Senior Member
                      • Jan 2010
                      • 4931

                      #40
                      Originally posted by edman5555
                      Yeah I hate to underestimate Rampage but he sounds like he has lost interest. Still, its hard to bet Tex at such big odds. So far he's beaten Kyle Kingsbury and Fabio Maldanado. They don't suck but I'm not sure I'd pick them over Rampage. Kingsbu definelty not. Maldanado maybe, just because he is a boxer and that is rampages game these days. Still, Rampage is hard to take down and packs a hefty punch.

                      I'm looking at Rampages record and maybe I'm overrating his knockout ability. He couldn't touch Bader and he is somewhat slow, couldn't knock out Hamil, I don't even think he hit MAchida, He did rock Rashad in their fight. If you keep going its JArdina, Wandy, Forrest, Hendo(doesnt count nobody can knock him out), Liddell and MArvin Eastman. In his past 10 fights he's has only knocked out Chuck Liddell and Wanderlei Silva. Two guys with fading jaws. Chuck more so than Wandy. I think Wandy's chin has probably faded but I think it is exagerrated. He is actually doing ok. A lot of Wandys losses come from fighting out of his weight class IMO.
                      Rampage is the one who broke Liddell for good. After the second fight with Rampage is where Chuck started to decline overall. He got beat by Jardine, had a lackluster war with Wanderlei, and then got knocked out 3 straight times.
                      2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                      Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                      Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                      Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                      2012: +20.311u

                      Comment

                      • edman5555
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2010
                        • 6628

                        #41
                        Originally posted by Ludo
                        Rampage is the one who broke Liddell for good. After the second fight with Rampage is where Chuck started to decline overall. He got beat by Jardine, had a lackluster war with Wanderlei, and then got knocked out 3 straight times.
                        Chuck's chin may or may not have been the issue in a way. He dominated for years because he was fighting mostly grapplers. As soon as he started fighting heavy handed guys with some striking skill he started going out. Don't forget he used to run forward with his chin exposed. He was also pretty old.
                        1 unit = 300 $

                        Comment

                        • poopoo333
                          MMA *********
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 18302

                          #42
                          Just bet Glover by decision at +170

                          Comment

                          • poopoo333
                            MMA *********
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 18302

                            #43
                            Originally posted by poopoo333
                            Just bet Glover by decision at +170
                            and +140

                            Comment

                            • edman5555
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 6628

                              #44
                              Probably a good bet.
                              1 unit = 300 $

                              Comment

                              • edman5555
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2010
                                • 6628

                                #45
                                Anyone think MAtyushenko has a shot at beating Bader? I was just reading his Wiki page and his wrestling credentials are huge. According to Dave Schultz(olympic gold medalist) Vlad beat Kevin jackson in a wrestling match. KJ is an olympic gold medalist. He also states Vlad beat members of the american olympic team. He is also a soviet wrestling champion. I know he is older now but he might have the skills to nullify Baders wrestling. Vlad also has a bit of power in his hands. Im not saying I think he wins but I do think this one is more competitive than it appears. Could be at least.
                                1 unit = 300 $

                                Comment

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