Weidman could win, but no goddamned way is he the favorite.
UFC 162
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^^ lol at Rampage. I don't believe that he doesn't know who Weidman is for 1 second.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Rampage Jackson: "I don't even know Chris Weidman. I don't watch MMA that much, so I'm sorry. I don't even know who he is."
Fuckin jackass.
And pp, Weidman struggles with takedowns against the fence whereas Silva excels at stuffing along the cage. When he is taken down it is generally in the open mat/space.Comment
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At first I was thinking Weidman's takedowns weren't as good as Chael's, but having gone back and watched more footage, I no longer think that's the case. He might even be better in that department. I'm not sure he has the ability and the staying power to keep top-control on Silva for five rounds, though. Of course, Weidman is probably more likely to get a stoppage, so maybe the Sonnen comparison just isn't that useful.
Throwing out what I just said above, even if we look at Silva's seven rounds with Sonnen and conclude that for any given round he is 6/7th's likely to spend it on his back and 1/7th likely to get a KO (and ignore his submission), he still ends up being about 54% likely (-120 or so) to win a 5-round fight under those conditions.Comment
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I feel like I should hit Siver. I took him by Decision for half a unit but I am still a little bit worried. Watching what Cub did to Ross Pearson makes me nervous. Though Pearson did come out and say he was weakened by the weight cut and couldn't fight as well. Tough call.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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