UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

[edman5555]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Yeah I would think so too.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Poopoo click that link, you are using your mom's computer so it won't hurt you directly. Now I want to know what it is.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Poopoo click that link, you are using your mom's computer so it won't hurt you directly. Now I want to know what it is.

It is the Shogun/Wandy eye contact one

[edman5555]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

What do you think I am going to try to give you a virus?

[edman5555]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Nope, it's just a Shogun/Wandy Luvbug,

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Ah, I think I have seen every variant of the shogun/wandy eye contact thing...

Edman, I was afraid you were going rickroll me or put me in some harmless never ending series of inescapale popups of grotesquely muscular "women" or something.

[edman5555]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Nah, I did that to the last guy.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

magic parlay, 4u to win 3.2u:

11/20/2010 11:59 PM Props Fighting 1108 Not Jackson by 3 round decision* -825 vs Jackson wins by 3 round decision
11/20/2010 11:30 PM Props Fighting 1210 Not Hughes inside distance* -670 vs Hughes wins inside distance
11/20/2010 11:00 PM Props Fighting 1308 Not Falcao by 3 round decision* -1157 vs Falcao wins by 3 round decision
11/20/2010 10:30 PM Props Fighting 1408 Not Boetsch by 3 round decision* -1007 vs Boetsch wins by 3 round decision
11/20/2010 10:00 PM Props Fighting 1508 Not Lauzon by 3 round decision* -517 vs Lauzon wins by 3 round decision

Lauzon is the only one that I am remotely concerned about. I should probably take that out and find another one. I did not realize they didn't offer submission props for all the main card fights. Will they add them later? I was banking on those submission props for my magic parlay

fyi, I am not a psycho. I have been testing the magic parlays for a while at micro stakes just to see how they play out.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

^^they add sub/(T)KO props closer to fight time

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Damn. I should have waited. I am going to have to do another one now. There are some sub tko props I think are locks.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Is Phil Davis a lock?

[Svino]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

Is Phil Davis a lock?

I don't know about "Lock" but I still think he has some value at -580.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

I do see a path to victory for Boetch... but Davis is going to beat him convincingly IMO. Boetch does his hard and will be the best wrestler to face Davis yet... so it is at least possible that Boetch will stuff his takedowns in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. I don't think so though. I have Davis in two parlays Davos/Faber and Davis/Maia.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

NM, I found them.

3u on Sot/Lau decision @ -180

regret. Lauzon has only been to a decision once, win or lose. This detail somehow escaped me before I placed the bet.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

I am doubting every bet I make on this card. I am now thinking I am going to hang on to my Machida bet and drop my Lau/Sot decision bet. Lauzon just goes out and blows his wad early in pretty much every fight. His only decision ever was that Stout decision. When K-Flo mounted him, he couldn't get out. I now think Sot will stop him. I added a smaller magic parlay.

So I am looking at:

Machida for 2.3u to win 1u
magic parlay #1 3u to win 3u
magic parlay #2 3u to win 1u

thinking of biting the bullet and hedging my sot/lau bet out for a .3u loss just to get out of the bet. I hate my own face. If I win all bets, which I will, I will still clear 4.7u. I feel like if I let the sot bet ride, it is a straight up gamble now. Why did I think that was a safe play yesterday? I am so alone.