UFC 125

[MMA_scientist]

1.05u on Roberts to win 1

[MMA_scientist]

arbed out 3u on Mckee for a small profit (.15u).

2u on Mckee to win 1.02

[YoungTRK484]

Just watched the countdown show on Versus. Starting to get into this card now. Love the football by day, fights by night Saturday 1/1 lineup looking at me. Going to bet the Diaz/Dong fight, Frankie/Gray and probably throw something on Leben too. Might throw a lil something extra in there, depending how I do on the Rose Bowl, but going to try and throw a total of 2 units on the fights.

[poopoo333]

arbed out 3u on Mckee for a small profit (.15u).

2u on Mckee to win 1.02

Are you done with the magic prop parlays? I wanted to try one at this event, but there is nothing that sticks out to me at all on this card to make one of them have value.

[MMA_scientist]

^^ no I am not done with it. I was waiting for the rest of the props to come out. I am not going to do it every time... I think I might add 1 or 2 on to my bets as "boosters". Instead of just Mckee @ -195 for 2u, I might do something like 2u on Mckee/Not Kim by submission just to add a few bucks to each play. I wa

But if I do a parlay this time, these are the plays that stick out:

Not Maynard by sub/not Kim by sub/not silva by submission/overeem -- that would get your Overeem bet from -490 all the way down to -255 with not much risk... but then again you would be pissed if Overeem wins and Silva submits Vera. Edgar is not going to submit Maynard either, and the odds are better there (but Edgar has been working hard on his jj so I don't know).

I might even do that... but I am a little worried about Overeem getting clipped tbh.

[Thewisemann]

Overeem is gonna get clipped. He is not worth the odds IMO. He is the superior striker, but he has been KO'd too many times to bet him with these odds vs a powerful, athletic guy like Duffee.

[MMA_scientist]

My concern is that reem is used to having a massive physical advantage. Even though he has beaten powerful strikers in MMA recently (Hunt, CC, Rogers)... he is sort able to bully those guys around. Even in K! he was getting hit a lot, but he was just so much bigger and more powerful that it didn't matter. I am afraid Duffee is going to out-heart him.

That said, as much as Overeem has been KO'd... he never got KO'd by a wrestler with tits and love handles.

[zY|]

Overeem will probably hurt Duffee bad, but I can't see how it's worth the -500 or whatever. When Overeem gets hurt he gets finished.

[MMA_scientist]

poopoo... also "not Gomi in rd 3"

not gomi in rd 3/not kim by sub/not edgar my sub/not silva by sub

That's probably what I will do

[edman5555]

I think you give Duffee way too much credit. He is a big jacked dude that works at dairy queen. Overeem won the K1 WORLD GRAND PRIX.

[MMA_scientist]

Overeem will probably hurt Duffee bad, but I can't see how it's worth the -500 or whatever. When Overeem gets hurt he gets finished.

agreed Overeem will win and probably easily. But with the KO chance (and it is extrapolated here because Duffee has a lot of KOs and Overeem has been KOd a lot) it just isn't worth it for me. If I am going to pay -500, the other guy has to have virtually no chance. I mean, Toney was only -600 to Couture.

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

poopoo... also "not Gomi in rd 3"

not gomi in rd 3/not kim by sub/not edgar my sub/not silva by sub

That's probably what I will do

I was literally just looking at the props on 5dimes and thought "not Gomi in round 3" would be a great prop for one of those parlays. Weird.

[MMA_scientist]

I think you give Duffee way too much credit. He is a big jacked dude that works at dairy queen. Overeem won the K1 WORLD GRAND PRIX.

True, but in MMA, Overeem has been KOd 6 times. And Dufee hits hard enough. Overeem is going to be more skilled, and he will win... but heavyweights swinging makes me nervous.

I liked it in the -300s but not @ -500

[SPX]

True, but in MMA, Overeem has been KOd 6 times.

That's true, but he hasn't been KOd in MMA since 2007.