UFC on Versus 4

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  • Svino
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2010
    • 3873

    #211
    I like Story and Kongo.

    I see a lot of people here are really sure about Mitrione. I'm a little surprised that the odds are as steep as -260, honestly. Not that I'm all that high on Morecraft, but if Mitrione can get ragdolled by Kimbo, Morecraft's gotta have a shot.

    Comment

    • SPX
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2009
      • 23875

      #212
      Originally posted by sbjj
      I'll ride with ya on all but Siver.
      Yeah, I think Siver is definitely the wild card in that group, but at -130 I think he's worth a play. He should have more actual skill than Wiman and he's also strong as an ox and should be able to neutralize Wiman's strength in a way that Cole Miller just wasn't able to do.


      I won't be surprised if Wiman wins, but at an almost even line I gotta go with the fighter who continues to surprise and impress me.
      I heart cock

      Comment

      • SPX
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2009
        • 23875

        #213
        Originally posted by Svino
        I like Story and Kongo.

        I see a lot of people here are really sure about Mitrione. I'm a little surprised that the odds are as steep as -260, honestly. Not that I'm all that high on Morecraft, but if Mitrione can get ragdolled by Kimbo, Morecraft's gotta have a shot.
        Yeah, I think -260 sucks.

        He opened high and then dropped to -190, which I thought was playable. I'll just stay away now unless something happens with the line.
        I heart cock

        Comment

        • MMA_scientist
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2009
          • 9857

          #214
          Morecraft may be able to take him down, but Mitrione has decent JJ. He is one of the rare big men that can lock up triangles on other big men. If you remember when Kimbo slammed him, Mitrione almost locked up a triangle mid flight. Also, he slammed him off a caught kick. He is from Indy, his main gym was Marcello Monteiro JJ before he went to Roufus. He may not be able to win off his back, but I think he will be able to survive until Morecraft gasses out. But really, Morecraft is not going to be able to take him down. Mitrione is just too athletic and big.
          Last edited by MMA_scientist; 06-22-2011, 04:43 PM.
          2012: +19.33
          2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

          Comment

          • Thewisemann
            Senior Member
            • Feb 2010
            • 1989

            #215
            All in on Morecraft

            Comment

            • sbjj
              Senior Member
              • May 2010
              • 1418

              #216
              Originally posted by MMA_scientist
              Morecraft may be able to take him down, but Mitrione has decent JJ. He is one of the rare big men that can lock up triangles on other big men. If you remember when Kimbo slammed him, Mitrione almost locked up a triangle mid flight. Also, he slammed him off a caught kick. He is from Indy, his main gym is Marcello Monteiro JJ. He may not be able to win off his back, but I think he will be able to survive until Morecraft gasses out. But really, Morecraft is not going to be able to take him down. Mitrione is just too athletic and big.
              The way I see it. But the price sucks. I will just lump Mitrione in a Kongo parlay.

              Comment

              • poopoo333
                MMA *********
                • Jan 2010
                • 18302

                #217
                Originally posted by sbjj
                LOL. Brenn.-Grant is off.
                Lmao wow. God damnit

                Comment

                • MMA_scientist
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2009
                  • 9857

                  #218
                  ^^ yeah, I doubt I am going to pay that price
                  2012: +19.33
                  2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                  Comment

                  • Svino
                    Senior Member
                    • Mar 2010
                    • 3873

                    #219
                    Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                    He may not be able to win off his back, but I think he will be able to survive until Morecraft gasses out.
                    Yeah, he's got a pretty good gas tank for a guy his size, and that may be really important here. I think he lost the 1st rounds to all of Kimbo, Beltran, and Big Baby but then came out really strong in the 2nd.

                    Comment

                    • sbjj
                      Senior Member
                      • May 2010
                      • 1418

                      #220
                      Little help. Last few events I have been doing something that has been working quite well. I split my bets in half, and parlay a fighter with one half of the bets. It really does not matter the line. I used Barnett last event. Wiedman the event before, and Duran the event before that.

                      Question is...who is that fighter for this event?

                      Comment

                      • sbjj
                        Senior Member
                        • May 2010
                        • 1418

                        #221
                        Mitrione also seems to be improving at a very rapid clip.

                        Comment

                        • flyinggogoplata
                          Banned
                          • Jun 2011
                          • 1048

                          #222
                          Can meathead eat a punch?

                          Comment

                          • Svino
                            Senior Member
                            • Mar 2010
                            • 3873

                            #223
                            Originally posted by sbjj
                            Little help. Last few events I have been doing something that has been working quite well. I split my bets in half, and parlay a fighter with one half of the bets. It really does not matter the line. I used Barnett last event. Wiedman the event before, and Duran the event before that.

                            Question is...who is that fighter for this event?
                            I think it's pretty risky to "force it" with that kind of strategy. I mean, if you find a fighter who is both a solid favorite and offered at a good line, it could be a reasonable way to add value to bets. I'm not sure I see anyone like that on this card though.

                            Comment

                            • MMA_scientist
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2009
                              • 9857

                              #224
                              Originally posted by sbjj
                              Little help. Last few events I have been doing something that has been working quite well. I split my bets in half, and parlay a fighter with one half of the bets. It really does not matter the line. I used Barnett last event. Wiedman the event before, and Duran the event before that.

                              Question is...who is that fighter for this event?
                              Interesting approach, I think Edman does something similar...

                              Anyway, I don't have an answer. I like Mitrione and I also like Lauzon. I may not bet at all on this card though.
                              2012: +19.33
                              2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                              Comment

                              • flyinggogoplata
                                Banned
                                • Jun 2011
                                • 1048

                                #225
                                Rick Story will be 187-190 lbs night of fight

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