UFC 134 Rio de Janeiro Aug 27th

[sbjj]

SBJJ...are you going Figueora like on Schaub?

It will be a big bet, just not sure how big. Probably a large single bet. And then parlay him with Thiago and Alcantara individually. Maybe add Vitali to the parlays to get close to even money.

Will probably be something like 15 to 20 units straight. And 4 to 6 units per parlay. Looking to win around 16 units.

[poopoo333]

SBJJ...are you going Figueora like on Schaub?

[MMA_scientist]

Replace Tavares with E. Silva. Or just take him out completely.

I am betting Schaub straight. And will bet Forrest also(not to the same degree).

And Thiago, Alcantara, and Schaub will all be parlayed in some form. may add Vitali to a few also since I already have a dozen parlays with him being the last leg.

By the time it is all said and done, i could end up having a whole lot of cash riding on Vitali. May have to hedge that bet out at the end by some degree.

What is Erick Silva about? I haven't looked at that one.

[MMA_scientist]

The more I think about it, the more I think Anderson is going to humiliate Okami (I hope he does so we can see Sonnen in the cage after, Tito/Shamrock style). But I still would not bet him at the current line, I probably would not go over -250 for that personally.

Alcantara is the fighter I have been looking at today... he is a beast and could be a threat in that weight class.

[sbjj]

Leaving for Vegas in about 15 minutes.

[sbjj]

Replace Tavares with E. Silva. Or just take him out completely.

I am betting Schaub straight. And will bet Forrest also(not to the same degree).

And Thiago, Alcantara, and Schaub will all be parlayed in some form. may add Vitali to a few also since I already have a dozen parlays with him being the last leg.

By the time it is all said and done, i could end up having a whole lot of cash riding on Vitali. May have to hedge that bet out at the end by some degree.

[MMA_scientist]

I am already on Schaub and Forrest.

Also for parlays I like Alcantara, Schaub, Tavares, Thiago, and I am coming around on Palhares. He is not all leg locks, he has solid top control and striking too.

all 5 of those guys in a parlay is +314. I might just do that.

[poopoo333]

I don't know shit about the Alcantara fight, but he must be heavily favored for a reason. I think Assuncao might lose too.

[poopoo333]

Silva/Schaub is -147 on 5 dimes. I am thinking about that one.

[edman5555]

I think Paulo wins it but I don't know much about Mitchell. I know the judges gave waldburger 3 rounds against him but you never know what could happen. Yuri is on my bet list. His line turned to shit though, or course. I made a post a while ago but basically I think his opponent is kinda inexperienced and is a replacement for a replacement. I think Tavares wins it but Spencer is no pushover. I will probably end up making similar parlays though. I also will be betting Andy Silva and probably Forrest.

[MMA_scientist]

Thinking about a parlay.

Rank these in terms of most certain to win:

Paulo Thiago, Alcantara, Tavares


I am thinking about Thiago/Tavares or Thiago/Alcantara. Maybe all 3... I don't know. Thoughts?

[poopoo333]

I think Shogun just has conditioning issues in general. He has gassed in every UFC fight that he had to grapple in at all. He went 5 rounds with Machida, but there was nary a clinch to be found. He gassed very quickly grappling with Forrest, Jones, and Coleman. Forrest can push the pace on him if he doesn't get knocked out.

Yep. That is why I am pretty confident in Forrest. I am basically betting against Shogun getting an early KO.

inb4"YOUGUYSAREFUCKINGSTUPIDHEHADKNEESURGERY!!!111 !!11!!"

[MMA_scientist]

I think Shogun just has conditioning issues in general. He has gassed in every UFC fight that he had to grapple in at all. He went 5 rounds with Machida, but there was nary a clinch to be found. He gassed very quickly grappling with Forrest, Jones, and Coleman. Forrest can push the pace on him if he doesn't get knocked out.

[poopoo333]

Yes but by the same token Shogun is potentially worse off than last time if his knee isn't healed fully. The thing with knee surgeries is the more you have the weaker the knee actually becomes.

I watched Jones/Shogun last night, and after one takedown and being controlled for a little bit he was gassed as hell and his striking was SO slow. He's been training in America and has some new S&C coach for this fight, but I don't think one camp will fix those cardio issues. I think Shogun is either going to KO Forrest early, or Forrest is gonna grind Shogun out.

I just watched the press conference....Silva looked bigger than Okami. Nog looks 50. Forrest looks way bigger than Shogun.

[Ludo]

I think Forrest's standup defense is too solid to get picked apart by Shogun. Getting picked apart by Silva: yes, but by Shogun? Nah. IMO this fight is going to be based on conditioning and stand up, which IMO Griffin will have the advantage in. Shogun is not the same Shogun who popped in for his debut wrestling with Forrest. IMO this will be a striking match mixed with quick trips and takedowns from both. Forrest UD hopefully.

Yes but by the same token Shogun is potentially worse off than last time if his knee isn't healed fully. The thing with knee surgeries is the more you have the weaker the knee actually becomes.