UFC 134 Rio de Janeiro Aug 27th
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Yeah, the difficult part is that the guy that beat the market yesterday may not do it again tomorrow. Also, most of these guys don't just tell you what they are going to buy before they buy it (they tell you after, and the price changed when they buy). So you have to create your own screens (or use someone else's) based on quantative information to try to mimic thier criteria.Leave a comment:
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Yeah, as long as you can accurately identify gurus who can beat the market consistently, that pretty much has to work.
I very rarely do what I did with my E. Silva bet, that is: make a fairly ignorant bet on a big favorite. I'm much more likely to make such a bet on an underdog that a lot of people think will win.Leave a comment:
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This is so much better without Rogan. They need to hire Kenny full time.Leave a comment:
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It is interesting you mention that. I like to do my own breakdowns for the most part, but I have started looking a little more at analyst opinions. I started thinking about it when we were talking stocks a few weeks ago. A very viable stock strategy is to just look at the gurus and find stocks that are being picked by multiple gurus based on various criteria. I still like to look at the fundamentals of the comany myself too, but I rely a lot on stock analysts. So I decided to do that a little more here too. It is actually the main reason I went with Alcantara. Literally no one gave him a chance... I looked at both guys and decided that it was warranted. There has to be at least something to collective wisdom.Leave a comment:
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i also bet silva, only saw one fight from ramos and he seemed like a abv average striker. woulda been interesting to see him fight swickLeave a comment:
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Damn. I should have tailed on E. Silva. Sbjj had some secret inside info about that one or something.Leave a comment:
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I thought he would be more dominant. Fuckin brazilians and their gas crappy cardio.Leave a comment:
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That is loudest I have heard a crowd for a prelim. They don't even show up for the prelims in Vegas.Leave a comment:
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True. But if Okami is standing around waiting, he's not going to win, regardless.One of my theories about Silva / Okami is that the pressure on Silva to put on a good show for the home crowd might force him to be less timid, which is probably a bad thing for him. Silva is at his most effective (in terms of win probability) against grapplers when he feels free to use distance and withdrawing to enhance his takedown defense.Leave a comment:

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