BJ Penn Vs Nick Diaz - UFC 137

[poopoo333]

[Luke]

We are lazy...........

[AC88]

Anytime Condit is close to EV or is underdog I will bet him. He has been an underdog in the last 3 fights and he hasn't lost a single one. I don't care if it's BJ. Condit is getting my bet.

[poopoo333]

Where do you guys seeing the Penn line going? I want to get him @ + odds but I am scared money will come in on him. I wish I lived in the UK and was able to use Pinnacle

[flyinggogoplata]

whats with all the love for pinnacle. They have the sharpest lines. That means they're the hardest to beat.

[poopoo333]

I don't even know what that means. But it seems like the lines are better over there.

[flyinggogoplata]

They have the best lines because they have the lowest juice. The only reason they stay in business offering low juice and high limits is because they profile sharp bettors making the line the closest to fair value. Which makes beating them very hard.

[flyinggogoplata]

pinnacle is less of a booking operation and more of a gambling syndicate. They often take huge leans on sides that all the sharps are on. They rarely are even trying to get 50/50 on both sides.

[poopoo333]

BJ just trollin

[poopoo333]

Sam Stout withdraws from UFC 137

I am guessing Edson Barboza or Donald Cerrone will replace him if they don't end up fighting each other.

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

Donald Cerrone replaces Sam Stout

http://espn.go.com/mma/story/_/id/6907493/lightweight-donald-cerrone-replaces-sam-stout-ufc-137

[edman5555]

Wow. Siver vs Cerrone? I think I'll take Siver to be honest. Cerrone could take it but Siver will probably be the dog as usual.

[SPX]

I have to say I think Cerrone wins that one, but I know as soon as I bet on him I'll lose. I'm not sure that I've ever won money betting on a Cerrone fight, regardless of if I bet on him or against him.

I bet on Varner to beat him in their second fight.
I bet on him to beat Bendo in their second fight.
I bet on Oliveira to beat him.

Next time I might just bet both sides to guarantee a win.

[edman5555]

I hear you on Verrone. I thought Varner would win. MMA betting can be a mindfuck. It is hard.

Siver-Cerrone. I think Siver might be the better striker. He has to have the better power, he has so many more knockouts. Cerrone might have a reach advantage though. A lot of his standup seems to rely and revolve around leg kicks though. I don't know how effective that will be against Siver, he is a kickboxing champ. Siver is really hard to takedown. However once Wiman got him down he held him down pretty easily, remember the second round? He beat the hell out of him. Wiman is a good wrestler though, and very strong. If cerrone does get him down and into his guard he might be able to sub him. He probably has a good shot from there. Sivers ground game is a question mark, he has subbed people before but we don't know how well rounded he is on the ground. Also, Cerrone is pretty good at landing takedowns. He took down Varner multiple times and I **think*** he took down Bendo as well(though obv bendo got him down and beat him). This fight is a tough call. I bet Siver will be the dog though, if not at open then at some point. I will probably bet him.