BJ Penn Vs Nick Diaz - UFC 137

[SPX]

I agree that Siver will probably be the dog.

Siver is hard to take down and I don't think Cerrone will have a very easy time getting him down or keeping him there. Even when taken down in most of his fights Siver is able to get back up fairly quickly.

On the feet, who knows. Cerrone is so weird when it comes to his striking. He seems to have good days and bad days. In the first Varner fight he was clearly outstruck and in his recently fight against Paul Kelly he was also getting beat up, much to my surprise. But then he looked like a beast in the second Varner fight and in the Oliveira fight.

I'll probably either stay away from this one entirely or make a small dog play.

[edman5555]

Well I think Oliveiras striking was somewhat overrated due to his go for broke style and his opponents lack of striking ability. No doubt that Cerrone looked above average in that fight though.

[Ludo]

this is tough because I usually bet Siver and Cerrone regularly. In this one though I have to take Cerrone just because he has the better chin, a ton more reach, and just as much power as Siver does. Don't read too much into Cerrone having less KO wins in MMA, he had followed a few guys to the ground who were hurt, and also faced some good grapplers who got caught unawares.

[mike]

Cerrone has longer reach. that means Silver has to close the gap to land. That's when Cerrone lands his TDs. Most of Cerrone's td are well-timed, catching guys coming in. If Silver is gonna win, he's gonna have to keep it on the feet and outstrike Cerrone for 3 rounds. I think Cerrone can more than hang with SIlver on the feet and time one of his tds to steal rounds.

[Thewisemann]

I favor Cerrone, but I also think he will be favored. So most likely the play would be Siver or nothing

[Luke]

I favor Cerrone, but I also think he will be favored. So most likely the play would be Siver or nothing

Cerrone will have to be favored after his destruction of Oliveria . Won't be surprised if he's a decent sized favorite either

[edman5555]

Siver never gets any respect. It is definetly a winnable fight for him.

[Luke]

Siver will be close to 6 inches shorter and at a disadvantage in reach, really don't see how he wins.

[edman5555]

Yeah that is a good point. He will really have to be leaping in and out to land on Cerrone.

[Luke]

Line guesses?

[edman5555]

no idea

[poopoo333]

Cerrone -170 opener

[Luke]

Cerrone -170 opener

That will work cause I was going to say I'd bet Cerrone up to -200


InB4.anyone.asks.if.I'd.bet -201

[poopoo333]

I will be on Cerrone too. If I end up changing my mind I will hedge with Siver by decision

[edman5555]

Risky bet to take at -200 IMO.