UFC on Versus 6

[MMA_scientist]

Dominick Cruz (No. 1 BW, No. 9 PFP) vs. Demetrious Johnson (No. 6 BW)

Charlie Brenneman vs. Anthony Johnson
Stefan Struve vs. Pat Barry
Yves Edwards vs. Rafaello Oliveira
Shane Roller vs. T.J. Grant
Matt Wiman vs. Mac Danzig
Paul Sass vs. Michael Johnson
Jeff Hougland vs. Mike Easton
Aaron Rosa vs. TBA
Josh Neer vs. Keith Wisniewski
Walel Watson vs. Joseph Sandoval


Anything stand out? I like Wiman at close to even odds. I would bet Brenneman at even or +. Johnson should be able to beat Sassangle by forcing a fight on the feet and staying out of his guard. Basically these are all close fights IMO. Barry/Struve is the only one that seems obvious to me (is that still on? seems like i recall an injury or something). I am going to put something on MM, just because of the line being so stupid.

[poopoo333]

I kinda like TBA over Aaron Rosa.

Also liking Brenneman, Roller, and Michael Johnson.

Maybe Wiman, Edwards (can he force a stand up fight like Winner did?), and Hougland.

[SPX]

I am going to put something on MM, just because of the line being so stupid.

I'm not so sure it is stupid.

Don't you think Cruz beats him at least 8 out of 10 times?

I imagine he beats him 10 out of 10 times. Just seems like MM is one step behind in every area. Maybe MM wins 1 in 15 or 20 by catching a sub or landing a punch, but that's it.

[sbjj]

I'm not so sure it is stupid.

Don't you think Cruz beats him at least 8 out of 10 times?

I imagine he beats him 10 out of 10 times. Just seems like MM is one step behind in every area. Maybe MM wins 1 in 15 or 20 by catching a sub or landing a punch, but that's it.

I actually agree here. To me, it is like the Rampage-Jones and KOS-Hughes lines. People thought those lines were stupid. But i kept saying to myself, out of 10 fights, does Page beat Jones 2 or 3 times. No, the number I came up with was 0.

i think Cruz is just that much better than DJ.

[sbjj]

I think Yves could easily lose.

[Thewisemann]

I would bet Cruz at the current line. I'm waiting to see the Dec or -3.5 odds before I pull the trigger.

[Luke]

I kinda like TBA over Aaron Rosa.

.

I'm with poopoo

[MMA_scientist]

I just don't see Cruz as that dominant. He lost 1 or 2 rounds to Faber. He got a split decision over Benevidez in the 2nd fight. He did dominate Jorgenson and Bowles...

Maybe I am not giving him enough credit, but I think he wins his rounds by volume and 1 event in that round can change the outcome (a good takedown or solid punch). I think he will get figured out soon, maybe not by Johnson though. I mean, I favor Cruz obviously, but I think MM can hang close enough with him to make it competitive. But yeah, he is not really as good as Cruz in any area ecxept maybe on the mat grappling (which we are pretty unlikely to see).

[Luke]

STEFAN STRUVE+135
PAT BARRY-165


CHARLIE BRENNEMAN+165
ANTHONY JOHNSON-205


MAC DANZIG +135
MATT WIMAN -165



edit up now

[poopoo333]

Took Brenneman at +175...will add more if he gets +200

[SPX]

5u on Cruz
.5u on Brenneman

Barry's and Wiman's lines are both a little high for me.

[poopoo333]

I don't get the Wiman line. It was pretty much a pick 'em for UFC 115. Wiman got taken down pretty quickly in that fight, locked up a guillotine and got into a decent position but the choke wasn't even in. Danzig was fine. Then Danzig KTFOs Joe Stevenson while Wiman goes 1-1 in that time frame. I am basically saying neither of their games have seemed to change at all and am not sure why the line isn't close to even again.

[Vandelay]

My line guess wasnt to bad huh?

[SPX]

I don't get the Wiman line. It was pretty much a pick 'em for UFC 115. Wiman got taken down pretty quickly in that fight, locked up a guillotine and got into a decent position but the choke wasn't even in. Danzig was fine. Then Danzig KTFOs Joe Stevenson while Wiman goes 1-1 in that time frame. I am basically saying neither of their games have seemed to change at all and am not sure why the line isn't close to even again.

I agree. He'll probably win but I don't like the line. The highest I'd probably take him is -130.

[poopoo333]

My line guess wasnt to bad huh?

Naw. I honestly planned to bet Brenneman up to -170...that is why I am thinking about putting a decent sized bet on him. But the size difference is making me puss out