Can somebody find me Cub Swanson vs Mackens Semerzier please?!?
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I had 2u on Ben Henderson and probably parlay Porier and Pierce for 1u. temping to put a small bet on Bruce Leeroy at that odds. I think he can edge Escovedo standing and maybe avoid the takedown. Escovedo's td isnt that good.Comment
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pp, did u see lamas' fight with Bart palazuskieeksjfoawiejf ? how did he look in that fight in the grapping ?Comment
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I need to get back to actually looking at cards. I have been in a tailspin.
I like Cain here, but I am nervous about the layoff and his line has gotten shitty.
I like Bendo, but at the current line, it is Guida or nothing. I may actually take Guida for a small play.
Poirier should win with his pace and wrestling, but I think Garza is being overlooked here. He is super tall for the weight and his striking is not that bad. I think he has a shot, not enough to bet him, but enough to keep me off Porier at those odds.
Pierce has already beaten Bradley once. Pierce has gotten better and has been facing better comp. He is going to win IMO. -350 though... what is up with these lines. Pierce was in the fight the whole time against future-champ, so I think he will beat Bradley bell to bell... maybe in a parlay.
I think Mackens has more ways to win. Peralta had a good showing against Takaya and he could win for sure... but I will take the wrestler here.
I think DeMarquez is better than Clay in almost every way. But Clay is tough and pushes the pace... no way I would bet DeMarques @ -280 over anyone ever.
I am not sure why Uynemoyama is in the UFC. Don't know much about him, other than he has never beaten a good opponent. Kid should win.
I like Lamas to beat Swanson. He has the wrestling path if he wants it... by all accounts he is an excellent grappler as well. Swanson is game and has only lost to the very best guys (except Pulver), but he had a split decision with Mackens in his last fight, who I think is basically a lesser version of Lamas. Going to take Lamas here if the line holds when it opens on 5D.
I think Cole will beat Caceres because Caceres is a can and does not belong in the UFC. It is a somewhat favorable style matchup for Caceres though, as Cole probably can't/won't take him down, which is where Cole usually wins and where Caceres loses every time (all 4 losses by submission). The striking could be close and honestly Bruce Leroy probably has value @ +230. If there was submission prop, I would take Cole via submission.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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I am going to bet Lamas, I am just not sure for how much.
I might just parlay DeMarques and Bendo, i dunno
I think the Poirer line is too high, but it's hard to gauge where Garza really is. His last two wins were pretty early, IIRC he was getting lit up by an aggressive Jabouin before the flying triangle..and Poirer is just as aggressive and won't stop coming forward imo.
Cain is going to beat JDS.Comment
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I want to parlay someone with Pierce. That is the only fight I feel very confident about.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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I am just waiting for pierce to be available on 5DComment
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I don't bet Schlemenko as a matter of principle. I don't know much about Popo, but Evans is not horrible, he has a very good bjj game. Maybe just bet it straight or with Weidman or someone else from next week.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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