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Christian Alexander
Southern Miss
Southern Miss
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OC Dooley
49ers / Seahawks Over 37.5
San Francisco is coming off yet another defensive gem Monday Night shutting down visiting Pittsburgh by a 20-3 count. With the entire country getting to see the 49ers play below the posted total for the seventh time in the past nine games, this particular late afternoon has been kept in check. But a long streak of defensive prosperity that has seen San Francisco hold opposing running backs below 100 yards on the ground 13 times, could be put in serious jeopardy up against a suddenly red-hot Seattle offense which in the past three weeks alone has put at least 30 points on the scoreboard in each contest. During that three-game winning streak veteran Marshawn Lynch has tallied five touchdowns and he officially has become the first Seattle running back to get over the 1,000-yard plateau since way back in 2005 when Shaun Alexander pulled off the trick. With Lynch becoming such as dangerous option out of the backfield, there has been less pressure put on the shoulders of quarterback Tarvaris Jackson who during the winning streak has thrown NO interceptions. Since there is a strong possibility that they will have to face the high-octane attacks of either Green Bay or New Orleans in the upcoming playoffs, the normally conservative San Francisco offense has attempted to crank up the PASSING attack against in the past few “divisional” games, since they have already wrapped up the NFC West title. Two weeks ago the 49ers uncharacteristically threw 42 different times, as opposed to just 21 rushes. Three weeks ago San Francisco threw deep four times and connected once on a 56-YARD touchdown pass to Michael Crabtree, which was the team’s longest completion of the season. Turning to the database in the past two years Seattle has gone amazing 12-1 OVER the total when facing an opponent with a winning record. But the big news is a whopping “24-4” SYSTEM (86% the past five years) which takes teams like Seattle who have covered the spread four times in a six-game span OVER the total, against an opponent who has cashed winning betting tickets six times in an eight-game spanComment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Nevada +9½ over Southern Miss
Forget all the stats and matchups that usually go along with handicapping a football game. The Hawaii Bowl is unlike any other Bowl because it’s played on the beautiful island of Hawaii and it’s not like going to Ford Field in Detroit for instance. Nevada falls into a couple of good bowl situations with the first one being that they’ve made this trip twice before with the latest being just two seasons ago. That’s a nice edge over a Southern Miss team that has never been here. Larry Fedora will be coaching his final game with Southern Miss after recently accepting the same position at North Carolina. His troops will want to send him off with a victory but the coach has nothing to lose and he’ll likely tell his team to have fun, as this is a once in a lifetime trip. Furthermore, the Golden Eagles feel slighted stuck playing in this game instead of a better bowl game after knocking off Houston as a 13½-point pooch. To recap, that’s three strikes against a big favorite (first time in Hawaii, coach leaving, feeling snubbed). Southern Miss is a solid team but Nevada's pistol offense is really tough to defend if you have never seen it and that’s precisely the situation here. Nevada is in a better situation and we expect the Wolf Pack to be able to score plenty to stay well within this range and perhaps pull off the upset. Play: Nevada +9½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).Comment
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