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Free Play Thursday
Minnesota Wild -130
Free Play Thursday
Minnesota Wild -130
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DCI NBA
Season
Straight Up: 18-12 (.600)
ATS: 13-19 (.406)
ATS Vary Units: 55-63 (.466)
Over/Under: 12-19 (.387)
Over/Under Vary Units: 34-55 (.382)
ORLANDO 102, New Jersey 86
OKLAHOMA CITY 102, Dallas 99
HOUSTON 105, San Antonio 104
PORTLAND 100, Denver 99
Chicago 99, SACRAMENTO 95
L.A. LAKERS 106, New York 96Comment
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DCI NHL
Season: 169-126 (.573)
Calgary vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Philadelphia vs. PITTSBURGH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Toronto vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TAMPA BAY 3, Montreal 2
MINNESOTA 3, Edmonton 2
WINNIPEG 3, Los Angeles 2
DALLAS 4, Columbus 2
Phoenix vs. COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vancouver vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALLComment
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DCI CBB
Season
Straight Up: 1468-418 (.778)
ATS: 522-591 (.469)
ATS Vary Units: 1860-2320 (.445)
Over/Under: 550-552 (.499)
Over/Under Vary Units: 745-713 (.511)
Bank of the West Don Haskins Sun Bowl Invitational
at El Paso, TX
UTEP 74, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 49
Championship
Colorado State 74, Jacksonville State 57
Cable Car Classic
1st Round at Santa Clara, CA
SANTA CLARA 72, Eastern Michigan 57
Wagner 64, Air Force 63
Dr. Pepper Classic
1st Round at Chattanooga, TN
CHATTANOOGA 85, Longwood 78
Hampton 65, Utah Valley 64
Elgin Baylor Classic
Opening Round at Seattle, WA
San Jose State 73, Coppin State 71
UCF Holiday Classic
1st Round at Orlando, FL
James Madison 75, Rhode Island 66
UCF 75, Stetson 57
Big Sky Conference
NORTHERN ARIZONA 69, Sacramento State 57
WEBER STATE 81, Idaho State 63
Big Ten Conference
MICHIGAN 68, Penn State 54
Big West Conference
CAL STATE FULLERTON 87, UC Davis 68
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE 76, UC Irvine 71
Horizon League
BUTLER 68, Green Bay 54
Detroit 73, UIC 68
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 70, VALPARAISO 69
Wright State vs. LOYOLA (CHICAGO): TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Missouri Valley Conference
EVANSVILLE 70, Southern Illinois 61
Northern Iowa 60, ILLINOIS STATE 57
Ohio Valley Conference
EASTERN KENTUCKY 68, Austin Peay 65
TENNESSEE STATE 74, Tennessee-Martin 64
Tennessee Tech 82, SIU EDWARDSVILLE 62
Pacific-10 Conference
CALIFORNIA 66, Usc 53
STANFORD 67, Ucla 63
WASHINGTON 84, Oregon State 77
Washington State 70, Oregon 63
Sun Belt Conference
DENVER 75, Troy 60
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 75, Fairleigh Dickinson 55
NORTH TEXAS 70, Ualr 62
Western Kentucky 65, ULM 61
West Coast Conference
Byu 74, SAINT MARY'S 72
PEPPERDINE 68, San Francisco 67
Non-Conference
ALABAMA 74, Jacksonville 50
American 63, MOUNT ST. MARY'S 58
BELMONT 77, Marshall 72
Cincinnati 70, Oklahoma 65
DAVIDSON 78, Penn 68
EAST CAROLINA 73, North Carolina Central 60
Florida 78, RUTGERS 62
FLORIDA GULF COAST 70, Maine 68
Fresno State vs. PACIFIC: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Georgia Tech 66, FORDHAM 59
Harvard 67, BOSTON COLLEGE 59
HAWAI'I 81, South Carolina State 61
Iona 82, HOFSTRA 72
KANSAS 89, Howard 50
Kent State 67, ARKANSAS STATE 62
LA SALLE 75, Boston U. 63
LSU 75, Grambling State 44
MARQUETTE 80, Vanderbilt 69
MEMPHIS 75, Robert Morris 64
MIAMI (OHIO) 71, William & Mary 56
NC STATE 84, Campbell 66
NEW HAMPSHIRE 66, Sacred Heart 64
NORTH CAROLINA 92, Elon 64
SOUTHERN MISS 86, Alcorn State 54
ST. FRANCIS (N.Y.) 73, Brown 65
TENNESSEE 83, The Citadel 61
UT Arlington 77, TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN 64
Vcu 70, AKRON 65
WAKE FOREST 73, Yale 69Comment
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NHL
Hot teams
-- Flames won their last four games, allowing five goals.
-- Penguins won their last four games, scoring 19 goals.
-- Carolina won three of its last four home games.
-- Winnipeg won seven of its last ten home games. Kings won four of their last five games overall.
-- Dallas Stars are 5-3 in their last eight home games.
-- Avalanche won five of their last six games.
-- Vancouver won five of its last six games.
Cold teams
-- Islanders lost last three games, scoring five goals.
-- Flyers lost four of their last five games.
-- Maple Leafs lost eight of their lat twelve games.
-- Canadiens lost five of their last six games. Tampa Bay lost nine of 13.
-- Minnesota lost its last seven games, scoring nine goals. Edmonton lost its last four road games, outscored 20-9.
-- Columbus lost its last six games, allowing 23 goals.
-- Phoenix lost its last three games, all by one goal.
-- Ducks lost eight of their last ten games.
Totals
-- Five of last six Calgary games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Philly road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Toronto road games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Montreal's last seven games.
-- Five of last seven Edmonton road games went over the total.
-- Six of Kings' last seven road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Columbus games stayed under total.
-- Colorado's last five home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Vancouver road games stayed under total.
Series records
-- Islanders won four of last five games against Calgary.
-- Flyers won four of last five games against Pittsburgh.
-- Maple Leafs won three of last four games against Carolina.
-- Canadiens are 7-5 in last dozen visits to Tampa Bay.
-- Oilers lost nine of last 11 games against Minnesota.
-- Jets lost 3-1 at Staples Center in LY's meeting.
-- Dallas Stars won four of last five games against Columbus.
-- Coyotes won six of last seven games against Colorado.
-- van-ana
Back-to-Back
-- Minnesota is 2-2 if it played the night before.
-- Los Angeles is 1-4 on road if it played the night before.
-- Phoenix won four of five it if played the night before.
-- Vancouver is 1-4 if it played the night before.Comment
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Freddy Wills
1-7 last 8 football -23 units and 0-1 nba last night -4.4 units
The Bottom Line:
Notre dame +4 5.5 POD
ND +155 3*
Under 47 3.3*
I’m taking Notre Dame and the Under here today.Â* I’ll make two general statements before I get into my full in depth analysis.Â* Notre Dame has had a stronger strength of schedule with better defenses, and 12 division 1 teams while Florida State has had the weaker schedule along with 1 FCS opponent.Â* Both teams can throw the ball and both teams can play defense.Â*
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This should be the best game of the young bowl season in my opinion and I think what many are not concentrating on is the Notre Dames under rated defense.Â* But before we go there Notre Dame could be the most balanced team Florida State has faced all year.Â* Their only glaring weakness is the turnovers, but they have cleaned those up since starting the season with 15 in their first 4 games.Â* Florida State gets turnovers by getting pressure, but Notre Dame has allowed just 13 sacks all year behind an experienced line that has faced 5 of the top 20 sack % teams including #1.Â* I think that experience should go a long way in this game in which they’ll be rotating in two QB’s to keep FSU on their heels.
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Â* Florida State has played two balanced offenses this year Oklahoma and Clemson and in both they failed giving up 23 and 35 points.Â* Statistically speaking Notre Dame has better defenses than both of those teams too.Â* On the flip side has Notre Dame played a team with a defense this good?Â* The answer absolutely as this team has faced 7 top 50 defenses this year and two in the top 10 in scoring defense in which they put 31 points up on both Michigan and Michigan State.Â* Speaking of balance Florida State does not have it on offense and I really think they struggle to move the ball because of Notre Dame’s experience and under rated defense.
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Florida State is in real trouble mainly because their offensive line is the reason they can’t run and the reason they haven’t been more explosive down the stretch.Â* They could start as many as 4 true freshmen on the line and 17 year old Bobby Hart will start.Â* It’s the reason this team gave up 35 sacks this year one of the worst in the nation.Â* Florida State’s rushing offense ranked 99th overall and averaged just 3.47 yards per carry goes up against Notre Dame which is 47th allowing 3.9 ypc and they allowed 3.67 on the road this year.Â* Florida State could not run on 4 teams Oklahoma, Clemson, Miami or Florida who were all ranked similarly to Notre Dame 42nd, 68th, 53rd, and 13th in ypc run defense.Â* Now lets get to EJ Manuel he’s been fantastic and the game goes into his hands without a doubt as he goes up against a secondary led by 4 seniors.Â* That’s the problem here Manuel faced on average a 65th ranked pass defense in terms of QB rating + an FCS foe.Â* His losses came against 28, 46, 52, 40th ranked pass defenses and Notre Dame’s 51st, but what’s hidden here is Notre Dames ability to force teams to dink and dunk down the field and they’re excellent at making tackles.Â* They’re ranked 23rd with 6.4 yards per attempts.Â* The only team better was Florida ranked 11th and we saw how Manuel was exposed in that game.Â* The next best was Oklahoma 42nd, Wake 46th, and Virginia 56th from Florida State’s schedule and you guessed it FSU lost all of those.Â* The reason I bring it up is because that’s the only advantage statistically that Manuel has over Tommy Rees he’s getting his play makers to make plays he’s got +1.2 yards per attempt, but in this game that should be even and FSU does not have a consistent passing game or a go to WR like Rees has in the All American Michael Floyd.
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Notre Dame’s offense has been inconsistent at times, and they’ll have to go to the air in this one to score points against Florida State’s 2nd ranked run defense but it’s not like they haven’t been in this spot before.Â* Notre Dame is ranked 20th averaging 5.0 yds per carry that will be the best opponent that Florida State has faced all year as on average they face teams that can not run ranked 73rd on average.Â* That doesn’t mean they can’t stop it all I’m saying is Notre Dame is big and experienced up front and they’ll have more balance than Florida State on offense.Â* Tommy Rees has been prone to throw a pick or fumble the ball that’s got to be the key here because I’m confident he’ll have a better game than EJ Manuel.Â* These two teams have3 common opponents Maryland, BC, and Wake Forest who Florida State lost to 30-35 while Notre Dame beat 24-17 both at Wake.Â* Rees was 68-101 67%, 718 yds 4TD 3 interceptions in those 3 games while Emanuel was 55-88 62.5% 759 yards 4 TD and 5 interceptions.Â* Rees will have balance and a better offensive line and he also has Michael Floyd and his TE to make quick throws to.
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Special Teams and other intangibles.Â* Special teams edge clearly goes to Florida State their punter is the best in America and they have speed in the return game but don’t sleep on Notre Dame’s George Atkinson who is a legitimate threat with 2 TD’s on returns. I think this all gets washed out with Florida State being the worst in the country committing penalties with 8.17 per game.Â* That should stall any kind of drives they have going in this one and I like that as a factor to lean towards the under in this one.Â* Also not really an intangible, but Notre Dame’s offense is more efficient and consistent especially on 3rd down where they have converted 46.54% for the season 47% on the road and 46.7% over their last 4 games , Florida State is at 40%, 33% on the road and 26% in their last 4 games.Â* That’s what you get when you don’t have balance.Â* Defensively FSU is slightly better 33.88% to 35.09%. Same goes for the red zone.Â* Notre Dame is 69% overall while FSU is 58% and defensively they’re just about even 56.25% to 58.97%.Â* Notre Dame has more ability to get into the end zone and they have just as much if not more ability to keep FSU out because FSU can’t run the ball.Â* Also note the strength of schedule that comes into play here we mentioned a few times and again the same is true. Notre Dame’s schedule stacked with red zone defenses.Â* At the end of the day this is a game where Notre Dame plays with the lead for most of the game in what will be a low scoring game.Â* The under is 11-3 in Notre Dame’s last 14 vs. the ACC and 18-7-1 in their last 26 on grass while FSU is under the total in 16 of their last 21 games as a favorite.Comment
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