1-14-12

[Mr. IWS]

Sweet Charleen
3-1 last week Sides
3-1 last week Totals
6-2 over all

Saints
Broncos
Texans
Giants

Over Saints
Over Broncos
Over Texans
Under Giants

[Mr. IWS]

David Malinsky
PICK: NO/SF under 47.5

REASON FOR PICK: 4* #109 NEW ORLEANS Under

New Orleans may have just had the best home season in professional sports history. The Saints not only went 9-0 SU and ATS, but they absolutely shattered the pointspread, by 132.5 points, in the process. That is a full 14.7 ppg that the oddsmakers undersold them. An extreme like that is obviously going to carry a lot of weight in the marketplace, not only in terms of Sides, but also Totals. And it is the Total where we see the biggest mistake having been made this week.

Drew Brees had a 122.4 passer rating at home, compared to 100.7 on the road. The Saints averaged 5.8 yards per rush at home, compared to 3.9 on the road. And it is not as though those road games were against tough competitions, with only two of those eight games coming against teams that made the playoffs. This was an offense that could be brilliant playing on a fast surface at home, where they could dictate play and set their preferred tempo. But now they are playing outdoors for only the second time in three full months, the other being a sluggish 22-17 win at Tennessee, and against a defense that has been among the NFL’s best, they get neither the pace nor offensive efficiency level that this Total is projecting. And while the weather forecast for Saturday calls for a pleasant day by the Bay, Candlestick Park still brings one of the slowest playing surfaces in the NFL, at 13 feet above sea level that can make it a bit soggy even on a good day.

There is no secret as to how Jim Harbaugh will want to play this one. It will healthy doses of Frank Gore and Kendall Hunter overland (a combined 1,684 yards and 10 TD’s), and safe play action passes from Alex Smith to keep the lock and first down chains moving. Harbaugh and his staff did an excellent job of designing an offense within Smith’s abilities, and while that 7.1 yards per pass is unexceptional, 17 TD passes vs. only five INT’s is outstanding. Meanwhile the defense both throttled opposing ground games (#1 against the run), and also had more INT’s (23) than TD passes allowed (20).

The highest lined Total for a 49er home games this season was 42.5. The Side and Total projection is a New Orleans win in the range of 25.5-22. No team reached that plateau in regulation vs. the San Francisco defense on this field, and the only TD this defense has allowed over the L3 home games came when leading Arizona 23-0 midway through the 4th quarter. The markets are being overly influenced by those explosive New Orleans home game, and this will look like an almost different sport by comparison.

[Mr. IWS]

Turner System 1/14 (40-35 53.3%)

NBA: New York @ Oklahoma City -- Under 193.5

NBA: Minnesota @ Atlanta -- Under 189

NHL: Dallas -- -1.5

NHL: NY Islanders -- -1.5

NFL: Denver @ New England -- Over 50

[Mr. IWS]

CAPPERS ACCESS

49er's
Patriots
Notre Dame
Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Cal Riverside +7 over Cal Poly.

[Mr. IWS]

coach ron meyer
4* saints-4
4* patriots-13.5

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

1500* NFL Over 50 Patroits/Broncos

100* NFL Saints -4

50* CBB Over 142 North Carolina/Florida St

500* winner yesterday

Since 1/1/12 on 500* or above he is 12-1

[Mr. IWS]

6th Sense
3% san francisco +3.5
3% baltimore -7.5
3% ny giants/green bay over 53

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports
Game: New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers - Saturday January 14, 2012 4:30 pm
Detail: Playoff GOY Saints at the 49ers
Pick: 5 units (Game of the Year) ATS: San Francisco 49ers +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

C jordan 600d

cinn bearcats

[Mr. IWS]

Stu Feiner

San Fran and under

Denver and under.

Green Bay and Baltimore.

[Mr. IWS]

Demarco - NO buy half
Redd - SF and Denver
Valentino - West Vir
Obrien - tease no and under Denver
Davis - NO buy half and k st
Mancini- SF buy half
Chambers - SF and under denver
Budin - NE
Rivers and Adams and Benton - NO

[Mr. IWS]

Arlon Hoops

William & Mary
Rutgers
Iowa State

[Mr. IWS]

Falcon Sports

CBB
Umass Pick 2 units

NBA
Indiana -3 (-20) 2 units

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 1/14

nfl

110 49ers +4 @ 4:30p
112 Patriots -14 @ 8p

cbb

541 UConn -2 @ 11a