1-14-12

[Mr. IWS]

Michael David 1/14/12

Home teams ran the board last weekend and we were on the wrong side of only one of those games with Atlanta. Coming off a 2-1 weekend and a very easy win on Alabama Monday night we like to keep momentum going into Saturday with the red hot Saints traveling across the states to visit San Fran. This number has been a steady 3.5 just about everywhere and you have to ask yourself how do you go against these Saints with their impressive 13-4 ATS mark? If we look a little deeper we will see that all 4 of those ATS losses came on the road this year and their only 3 losses SU were on the road. Include the fact that they are 2-3 ATS when they have to leave a dome and play outside. Match that up with a perfect ATS team at home and only one straight up loss at home this year while they outscored their opponents by 13 points and their counterpart averaged only 1.4 points better per game. All these factors come into play here along with the league’s best take away defense and an extra week of rest we will take the points at home today with the 49ers.

[Mr. IWS]

Apple Handicappers
Eddie Rambo
3* NewOrlean Saints-3.5
3* Charlotte Bobcats+135

[Mr. IWS]

Master Release Confidential
T
Plays for Saturday, January 14
CLASSIC
CBB
Notre Dame +2
Wyoming +4
Richmond +1

NFL
New Orleans -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday Playoffs

4* Best Bet = NEW ENGLAND
3* = SAN FRANCISCO
3* = "OVER" on PATRIOTS/BRONCOS

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast - Saturday comp line
Line 9 > two comp plays

comp #1 Marquee single - under 53 New York Giants/Green Bay Packers (NFL)

comp #2 (Billy Coleman) 3* Xavier -9 [#548] over St. Bonaventure (college hoops)

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach

10* 49ers
10* Patriots Under

10* Kansas St (CBB)
10* Carolina Over (NHL)
10* Bulls Over (NBA)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NHL

NASHVILLE +104 over Philadelphia Pinnacle
These two teams rarely play one another, having met just 14 times lifetime. Philly has been here twice since '05 and the Predators have won both games. That's not surprising because one figures the Preds to be more amped up to play a high-profile team like the Flyers at home in front of what figures to be a sold out house. Nashville is 4-1-1 at home vs. Eastern Conference teams and they've won six of their past seven games overall. The Flyers conclude a four-game trip here after winning their last two, discounting any sense of urgency. The two wins on this trip came against the ‘Canes and Islanders (big deal) and prior to that, Philadelphia had dropped four of seven. The Flyers are really not in the best form right now and that should work well for a warm and jacked up host Play: Nashville +104 (Risking 2 units).
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Ottawa -102 over MONTREAL Pinnacle
To quote a line from the classic movie, Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid, “Who are these guys”?With the hated Canadiens on deck, all the Senators did was skate into Madison Square Garden on Thursday and hand the league-leading Rangers just their fourth loss at home this season. Since the end of the second period last Sunday, the Sens have outscored their opponents 12-1. Only five teams in the NHL have more points than Ottawa. They've won seven of eight and they've scored 14 times over their past three games. In its last four games against Philly twice, Pittsburgh and the Rangers, Ottawa has picked up seven of a possible eight points. The Sens are not a fluke, they've been doing this all year and they have payback on their minds here. The Montreal Canadiens are a team in complete chaos. Their talent deficit has been daunting for a long time and thus, years of overacheiving has finally caught up to them. Only the outstanding goaltending of Carey Price and Jaroslav Halak (previously) has kept them respectable. Carey Price is to Montreal what Peyton Manning is to the Indianapolis Colts. The best news is that the last time these two met on Dec 27, Montreal beat up the Senators 6-2. In a complete mismatch both in mind and talent, we'll gladly lay the small price. Play: Ottawa -102 (Risking 2.04 uniots to win 2).
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Los Angeles -105 over CALGARY Pinnacle
At the time of this writing, there was no line posted but figure this game to be a pick ‘em or thereabouts. We will update this line as soon as it comes out. The Flames have won three in a row since that 9-0 thumping they took in Boston nine days ago but we're not buying it for a minute. They beat a reeling Minnesota club that is currently on a 2-12 run and they followed that up with a misleading 6-3 win over New Jersey. In that win over the Devils, Calgary scored six times on 14 shots on net with pretty much the entire game being played in Calgary's end. Finally, the Flames beat the Ducks 1-0 in OT on Thursday. The only deserving win was over Minnesota. Prior to that, the Flames had dropped nine of 13 games. The luck will run out as they can't keep winning games when they are outplayed constantly. The Kings play hard every game and appear ready to be climbing the standings. Quietly, the Kings have picked up points in 11 of their past 12 games and haven't lost two in a row in over a month. Play: Los Angeles -105 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).


CBB
Xavier -8½ over St. Bonaventure Pinnacle
12:00 PM EST. Give us the straight up winner in games like this and we'll usually see the point-spread winner too. The Xavier Musketeers just handed Duquesne a thorough 78-50 beating to extend their Atlantic-10 home-court winning streak to 41. The Bonnies pose little risk in ending it. The reason for this beatable number is that the Bonnies have won four of five and they're coming off a nice 8-point win over the 12-5 Dayton Flyers. Don’t put much stock into that one. Dayton is weak and so are a lot of the other teams St. Bonaventure has defeated. They lost their last road game in Duquesne by 14 points. They also lost at Virginia Tech by nine. The Bonnies are not in the same class as this A-10 power. Xavier went through a recent stretch in which they lost five of six games. That's a good reminder that you can never take anything for granted. This is a strong Musketeer team that plays relentless defense and that continually wins by double-digits at home against inferior competition. The Bonnies fit that bill. Play:#548 Xavier (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
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We're also playing the following games:

LSU +4½ over ARKANSAS (9:00 PM EST) Pinnacle
Play: #679 LSU +4½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
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NORTHWESTERN +5 over Michigan State (3:00 PM EST) Pinnacle
Play: #596 Nothwestern +5 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).
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FLORIDA ATLANTIC +144 over Mid Tennessee State (7:00 PM EST) Pinnacle
Play:#652 Florida Atlantic +144 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

4* GOM Northwestern

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard

GOY - 49ers

Conference GOM - Air Force

Kansas St

[Mr. IWS]

Fargo Early Dominator

CBB mizz

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Houston Rockets +1½

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

Saturday Hockey Plays

Play Boston -210 over Carolina TOP PLAY
Play San Jose -200 over Columbus

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast - Saturday "community line" comp
Line 4 > (Hot Shot Sports) 4* Michigan State -4.5 [#595] over Northwestern (college hoops)

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

Early Dominator Missouri

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

5* Unlv
4*Cal poly over
3*Xavier
3*Oregon
3*G.Mason

3* 49ers

3* Mavs Over