1-14-12

[Mr. IWS]

Best weekend wagers with the Weekend Warrior January 14, 2012 6:45 AM by GT Staff

Pro Football Divisional Playoffs

New England -13½

San Francisco 49ers +3½

NBA Basketball

Dallas Mavericks -9½

Los Angeles Clippers -2½

[Mr. IWS]

Patron

100k is on the Saints -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Christ’s breakdown of Pro Football Playoffs January 13, 2012 11:16 AM by Bob Christ
Last Week 1-3)


PRO FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS

SATURDAY, Jan. 14

Denver (9-8) at New England (13-3)

Time: 1:30 p.m. PT

Line: Patriots by 13½ (50)

Weather: Low-20s, clear

Facts: New England was 1-2 vs. playoff teams in 2011, winning 41-23 at Denver in Week 15. The Broncos were outscored by 81 points this season, second worst margin ever for a playoff team. Denver had 252 yards rushing vs. the Patriots and still blown out. Patriots TEs Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski teamed for 13 catches and 179 yards vs. Denver. Tim Tebow averaged an NFL season-high 15 yards a drop-back last week vs. Pittsburgh. A week earlier his norm was 2.1 vs. KC, second worst.

Analysis: The Broncos, off a 29-23 win vs. Pittsburgh , have had three losses that exceeded 25 points this season -- three more than the other Final 8 squads combined. And, Denver is on short rest vs. a bye team led by QB Tom Brady, which was 2-1 as a double-digit choice this season. In league postseason history, teams in this spot have gone 1-4 (SU & ATS) and have been outscored 169-62. It won’t help that Broncos defensive boss Dennis Allen picked this week to flirt with St. Louis about its head coach opening.

Forecast: Patriots 40, Broncos 14

New Orleans (14-3) at San Francisco (13-3)

Time: 5 p.m. PT

Line: Saints by 3½ (47)

Weather: High 50s, clear

Facts: The 49ers, 7-0-1 ATS at home, have a turnover edge of +28, second best in NFL history. New Orleans , behind QB Drew Brees and the most productive offense in NFL annals, has scored at least 42 points in its past four games, all indoors. By contrast, SF has scored that much just once in the past eight seasons. 49ers QB Alex Smith was sacked a league-high 44 times in the regular season. The Saints, though, have had only two sacks their past three games covering 131 drop-backs.

Analysis: Things have turned somewhat sour for SF since its 9-1 start. For instance, the Niners gave up nine sacks to Baltimore on Thanksgiving. And what’s with RB Frank Gore? His production has dropped from 4.9 yards a carry and five 100-yard rushing games in the first half of the season to a norm of 53.6 a game and 3.5 a carry the final eight games. Defensively, through 14 games, only one team eclipsed 100 rushing yards. In the final two immensely important games, bottomfeeders Seattle and St. Louis both surpassed 100.

Forecast: Saints 38, 49ers 19

[Mr. IWS]

SB Professor Early NCAAB Picks 1/14


As always, picks are against the pointspread and not just to win outright. Saturday's NCAAB Picks:

2 PM EST
578. Florida St. +7* (mostly +6.5's but system says buy up to +7)

Rest of Games:
545. Villanova +8.5
547. St. Bonaventure +8.5
597. Oregon +8.5
574. Rhode Island +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Freddy Wills

Oklahoma State 14 3.3

Tulsa ML 2

Iowa 3.5 3.3

[Mr. IWS]

tom stryker 5 playoff goy balt ravens

[Mr. IWS]

lateactionline.com

NFL - Saints money line -180. (40-26 in NFL) hasnt lost game playing money line all year (5-0)

[Mr. IWS]

kelso 25 n.e. 25 no. foots 50 n. tex 25 wisc-gb hoops

[Mr. IWS]

Rich sports goy...sanfran + 3.5

[Mr. IWS]

RAS total:
564 under

[Mr. IWS]

spartan | CBB Sides

dime bet 562 Iowa 3.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 561 Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

OHIO SBP

CBB ..

Florida State +6

We Found It With This One... Tough Place To Play.. And Books Should Be Getting Alot Of Parlays With UNC And The NFL.. Books Are Going To Need Florida State.. And So Are We.. GL FRIENDS..

[Mr. IWS]

JACK HOWARD


Denver +13.5 Over New England 25 Dimes
Once again, I'll be shocked if Tebow can lead his team to victory, but I think they can keep it close. When these two teams met in December, New England's 41-23 victory was somewhat misleading. The Patriots surrended over 400 yards of offense in that outing, and 252 came from the ground game. New England also converted all three Denver fumbles into scores. If the Broncos can play mistake free football and get some pressure on Brady, I think they have a chance.
Prediction: 31-24 New England

Additional Selections:
New Orleans -3.5 Over San Francisco 20 Dimes
NYG +8.5 Over Green Bay 20 Dimes

College Basketball:
Connecticut -1.5 Over Notre Dame 15 Dimes
Marquette -10 Over Pitt 20 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Black Widow

15 UNITS DENVER/NEW ENGLAND OVER 50

15 UNITS NBA CHICAGO BULLS -13

[Mr. IWS]

Premium Wagers

Saints / 49ers Under




CBB
Kramer (lost 6 of last 7 CBB, +8 for the season) -
UMass PK
Gonzaga OVER 141.5
Michigan -2.5

Sherman (5 in a row CBB, 7 of last 8, great NFL season too) -
Temple -1
Middle Tennessee -3

Landers (ludicrous in NFL) -
FSU +7
SDSU +2.5

Patroits -13.5