2-3-13

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 09:53 AM

Harry Bondi

3* Baltimore

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:04 AM

tom freese nba heat

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:07 AM

Football Crusher
SF 49ers -175 over Baltimore Ravens
(System Record: 48-6, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 48-59-4

Hockey Crusher
Buffalo Sabres -155 over Florida Panthers
(System Record: 9-0, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 9-3

Basketball Crusher
Toronto Raptors +4 over Miami Heat
(System Record: 56-3, won last 6 games)
Overall Record: 56-34-1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:10 AM

Kelso

300 Units

Ravens (+4) over 49ers

6:30 PM -- Super Bowl XLVII - Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New O

Super Bowl XLVII
Baltimore Ravens (13-6) +4 over San Francisco 49ers (13-4-1)
Prediction: Ravens by 6-7
Played at Superdome, New Orleans
Starting Time: 6:30
TV: CBS
Comments: I handicapped this game 35 times, five times a day, for seven days and two days ago confirmed my earlier decision to release this game as a 300-unit play. Based on the statistical data alone I could make a case for both teams winning and both teams covering the number. But, as in all NFL games, studying and evaluating the stats is just part of the handicapping equation—the beginning, if you will. After digging deeply into each team’s performance profile—something that includes the factors that cannot be quantified—the Ravens emerged as the straight up winner. In the end the one single factor that puts Baltimore into the winner’s circle is quarterback Joe Flacco who is more experienced and much better than advertised, especially since with the arrival of his new offense coordinator five games ago he has been given more flexibility to do what he wants—such has running the no-huddle offense if he so pleases. This is something Flacco has begged to do for the past two seasons but was ignored and forced to run things strictly by-the-book. This vote of confidence in his judgment has put him over the top. When former Indianapolis head coach Jim Caldwell was put in charge of the offense, Flacco, always under-rated, has been playing with new-found confidence as he proved in rescuing the Ravens in a stunning come-from-behind 38-35 playoff win at Denver and in his true-grit performance in the AFC championship game win at New England, 28-13. Flacco is at his deadly best right now, has won a record six NFL playoff road games, and should lead his team to victory today. As good as much-heralded San Francisco quarterback Colin Kaepernick is, he lacks experience and will be facing a defense that will shut off his running lanes. Forced to win with the pass, my figures say he can’t do it. As for the defenses, they are dead even. The little things win this one for Baltimore.

Proposition Bets
Will Ravens Win By 4-6 Points?
Yes At 7-1 Odds

Will San Francisco Quarterback Colin Kaepernick Score A Rushing Touchdown?
Yes +155

Will Baltimore Quarterback Joe Flacco Throw A 4th Quarter Touchdown Pass?
Yes +125

Total Rushing Yards For Baltimore’s Ray Rice
Over 67½ +125

Total Number Of Players To Have Passing Attempt
Over 2½ +280

Game is being played inside a dome. (Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, LA)

Super Bowl Total

50 Units

Ravens/49ers OVER 48 Points

6:30 PM -- Super Bowl XLVII - Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New O

Baltimore Ravens-San Francisco Over 48 Points
Prediction: 51 or more points will be scored
Comments: Unlike many teams that like to feel one another out before getting into high gear offensively both Baltimore and San Francisco are well-coached and have the confidence to come out firing from the get-go. With both teams in on a seek-and-destroy mission from the opening kickoff the over is the obvious play. For the record, San Francisco has gone over the total in six straight games and in nine of its last 10. The Ravens have gone “under” in four of their last five games but have seen four of their last 10 go over.

Game is being played inside a dome. (Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, LA)

50 Units

Super Bowl Parlay

Side/Total Parlay

Ravens (+4) over 49ers

Ravens/49ers OVER 48 Points

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:11 AM

Paul Leiner:
2000* NFL Ravens +4
500* CBB Virginia -2
100* CBB Rider -3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:14 AM

Dwayne Bryant
2* Louisville, Heat

Superbowl - 7 pt teaser Ravens/Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:49 AM

Frank Patron

30,000 Unit Super Bowl Move

SF 49ers -4 over Baltimore

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:50 AM

gil alexander

2* balt

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:51 AM

Stephen Nover | NFL Total - Sunday, Feb 3 2013 6:30PM
101 BAL / 102 SFX OVER 47.0 Bookmaker.com triple-dime bet

Analysis:
This isn't like the old days with totals. A 47 isn't that high of a total anymore becau Æse of the many rule changes implemented during the past few years favoring offense. The rules have gone too far giving offenses far more advantages than defenses.

The Ravens' defense is sprinkled with big name players. But nearly all of these defensive players are either past their prime, or not at 100 percent. Baltimore also is minus their top cornerback, Lardarius Webb.

Baltimore's defense stepped up big time on the road against the Patriots, but the Ravens also were very familiar with New England. They don't know the 49ers' offense, no opponent really does because San Francisco's attack is cutting edge thanks to multi-talented Colin Kaepernick.

The 49ers are combining old fashion power football with various college elements, including the pistol and option elements, in taking full advantage of Kaepernick's running and passing skills. This is truly unique. Kaepernick's passer rating during his nine starts would have placed him fifth if it included the entire regular season instead of the final seven games plus two playoff matchups.

San Francisco has the superior defense. But the 49ers' defense, while good, has been far from dominant during the last quarter of the season. If you discount the 49ers' game against the punchless Cardinals, who were starting fourth-string quarterback Brian Hoyer, San Francisco has allowed an average of 32.7 points during its last four games.

San Francisco has gone over the total in its last six games. The Ravens have gone over in six of their nine matchups against playoff teams with one of the unders occurring during a meaningless Week 17 game against the Bengals when their offensive starters hardly played.

Joe Flacco is riding his best hot streak ever when factoring in road contests outdueling Peyton Manning and Tom Brady in consecutive weeks. Flacco has eight touchdown passes during Baltimore's three postseason victories.

Both Flacco and Kaepernick are going to be aided playing on carpet inside the Superdome.

Top Playoff Prop: Anquan Boldin over 5 Receptions and Over 68 Receiving Yards:

Anquan Boldin came up big for Arizona when the Cardinals nearly upset the Steelers in the 2008 Super Bowl. Boldin had eight receptions for 84 yards.

I see Boldin having another strong performance in this year's Super Bowl for Baltimore going Over five receptions and Over 68 1/2 receiving yards.

Torrey Smith is faster and much more of a deep threat, but Boldin is a reliable, veteran who always has been a solid possession receiver. The conservative 49ers aren't going to let Joe Flacco and Smith beat them deep so Boldin is going to have plenty of room to operate underneath.

That's fine with Boldin, who never has been afraid to work the middle of the field. Boldin is playing his best ball of the season, too, leading the Ravens in targets and receptions during their three playoff games with 16 catches for 276 yards and three touchdowns. Boldin has exceeded 68 receiving yards in five of the last six games he's played.

Pick Made: Jan 31 2013 5:29AM PST

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:55 AM

Sports Cash System

Here is our free extra picks for today:

Baltimore +3.5 over the San Francisco 49ers (NFL Football) (Buy half pt to +4 for Baltimore if possible)

Iowa +10 over Minnesota (NCAA College Basketball)

Marquette +10.5 over Louisville (NCAA College Basketball)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 10:55 AM

4-STAR Los Angeles over DETROIT - Detroit is a team which lacks talent. They have done a nice job recently beating other bottom ring teams in the league at least but that's not what LA really is. Look for a focused Lakers squad to take another positive step tonight.
Detroit is coming off a big win over rival Cleveland Friday night, 117-99. The Pistons are 0-11 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since February 06, 2000 at home after playing at home against the Cavaliers.
Detroit shot 54.2% from the field in the win. The Pistons are 0-11 ATS (-11.0 ppg) since April 11, 2011 after a double digit win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.
That's actually better than they went from the foul line, shooting a brutal 23-of-43 at the charity stripe. The Pistons are 0-7 ATS (-12.0 ppg) since April 17, 1998 at home after a home win in which they shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.
Cleveland meanwhile shot just 39.8% from the field. The Pistons are 0-8 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since March 07, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a double digit win in which they allowed less than 40% from the field and shot at least 47%.
LA won on Friday night as well, 111-100 in Minnesota. Pau Gasol led the Lakers with 22 points. The Lakers are 5-0 ATS (13.3 ppg) since May 17, 2010 with at least a day of rest after a win on the road in which Pau Gasol was the Lakers' high scorer. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Los Angeles 108, DETROIT 97

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 11:19 AM

R.a.w. Football - super bowl

3* = baltimore ravens

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 11:20 AM

Northcoast Double Play on No Score in First 6.5 Minutes of game

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 11:23 AM

JOHN RYAN :

30* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers as they take on the Baltimore Ravens in Super Bowl XLVII set to start at 6:30 PM ET, Sunday, February 3, 2012 The simulator shows a high probability that the 49ers will win this game by six or more points and I am confident in stating that if the projections from the sim become reality on the field, then the 49ers will win comfortably by double digits. The biggest advantages for the 49ers are the running game and the run defense, both of which are superior on both sides of the ball to the Ravens editions. 49ers defense has allowed more than 100 yards in just two of the last nine games. They did allow 176 rushing yards to the Seattle Seahawks in their worst played game of the year December 23, 2012. Against GB they allowed 104 rushing yards on 16 carries, but there were two large runs contributing that total when the game was already decided. Baltimore defense has allowed more than 100 rushing yards in five of their last seven games. The Baltimore offense runs the ball 44% of all plays called this season, rank 12th in the NFL averaging 4.3 rushing yards per attempt, 10th averaging 123.5 rushing yards per game. The 49ers run the ball 51.5% of all plays called and rank second averaging 5.3 RYPC, and third averaging 164.6 RYPG. I just do not see the Ravens being able to contain the power running game generated by the read/option with Gore’s smashing style of running. I do see the 49ers defense minimizing the Ravens ground attack and forcing Flacco to look for the long vertical routes to move the chains and score points. When the 49ers can use play action, it really puts any defensive secondary in big trouble having to matchup against all of the weapons. The 49ers rank best in the NFL averaging 7.7 passing yards per attempt. Ravens defense ranks 21st allowing an average of 361 yards per game. SF is a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when facing defensive units allowing >=350 yards per game over the last 3 seasons. Ravens rank 11th in the NFl averaging 364 yards per game. However, that good news is completely offset by the fact that SF is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when facing good offensive teams averaging >=350 yards per game over the last 2 seasons. Moreover, the 49ers are 23-0 SU the last 20 games where they score 20 or more points. The sim shows a high probability that the 49ers will gain more than 125 rushing yards and will gain between 350 and 400 offensive yards. In past games, they are 6-2 ATS this season, 13-4 ATS the past three seasons when they have gained 125 or rushing yards. In past games where they have gained between 350 and 400 offensive yards, the 49ers are 6-0 ATS this season and 9-1 ATS the past three seasons. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS for 80% winners since 1983. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off 2 consecutive road wins and with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This system has not lost in the past three seasons going a perfect 7-0 ATS. Take the 49ers.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-03-2013, 11:24 AM

John Ryan

25* graded play taking the UNDER in Super Bowl 47 set to start at 6:30 PM ET, Sunday, February 3, 2012. The simulator shows a high probability that 47 or fewer points will be scored. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-8 mark for 79% winners since 2002. Play UNDER with any team against the total that is a solid offensive team averaging between 335 to 370 YPG and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing 295 to 335 YPG and after allowing 400 or more total yards per game in their last 3 games. 18 of the 30 winning plays based on the criteria of this system has covered the total by seven or more points. Baltimore is a perfect 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons; 23-9 UNDER (+13.1 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. I will now get the prop bets for this game and I would not recommend wagering more than a3* amount on any of these. They are hard to hit. Yes, I have had great success with them, but never can you simply extrapolate past results into future results. First, everyone is betting that a QB will win the Super Bowl. Many of of you, already know, I love going against the public and although many QBs have won previous SB MVP awards, I think this one just might be different. I am going to go with three players. Ed Reed at 35/1, Vernon Davis at 9/1 and Frank Gore at 13/2. No QB in playoff history has played all four games and not thrown an interception. Flacco would be the first to do so. I am not rooting against him, but odds favor he will, especially when playing against a stout 49er defense. Tip passes can end up being interceptions and not an indictment of a poor decision. I like Pierce having more than 7 rushing attempts and that one of those rushes will be over 9 1/.2 yards laying -110. Vernon Davis longest reception over 20 ½ yards laying -110. Pierce scores a TD getting +500. Kaepernick rushing attempts over 6 ½ attempts laying -110. Reed over 4 ½ tackles + assists laying -110. There you have it. Thanks again, for another successful NFL and CFB campaign in 2012-13.