3-9-13

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Razor Sharp Sports Late Phone Service: Georgetown & West Virginia
Mike Wynn Late Phone Service: Miami Fl

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Bob Balfe

Kentucky +6.5

Iowa State -3.5

Notre Dame +12

Oklahoma -13

UC Irvine +1

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Washington won five of its last six games.
-- Bruins won seven of their last nine games.
-- Red Wings won five of their last seven games. Columbus won its last three games, all in OT/SO.
-- Carolina won four of its last five games.
-- Pittsburgh won its last three games, scoring 16 goals. Toronto won three of last four.
-- Canadiens won three of their last four road games.
-- Dallas Stars won three of their last four games.
-- Kings won seven of their last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Islanders lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Flyers lost last two games, allowing nine goals.
-- Blues lost three of their last four road games. Sharks lost 11 of last 15 overall.
-- Devils lost six of their last seven games.
-- Lightning lost six of their last seven games.
-- Phoenix lost its last two games, scoring three goals.
-- Predators lost five of their last seven games. Minnesota lost three of last four on road.
-- Calgary lost last four road games, outscored 15-4.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Islander-Washington games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Philly games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit-Columbus games went over total.
-- Last four San Jose-St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six New Jersey games.
-- 12 of last 16 Pittsburgh-Toronto games went over the total.
-- Last five Montreal games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Dallas games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota-Nashville games stayed under total.
-- 11 of last 12 Calgary-LA games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Islanders lost eight of last ten games with Washington.
-- Flyers lost nine of last games against Boston.
-- Red Wings lost three of last four games with Columbus.
-- Blues won four of last five games against San Jose.
-- Devils won six of last eight games with Carolina.
-- Penguins lost last three visits to Toronto.
-- Lightning lost five of last seven games with Montreal.
-- Dallas Stars won three of last four games with Phoenix.
-- Minnesota lost seven of last nine games with Nashville.
-- Flames lost six of last eight games with Los Angeles.

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Ben Burns GOY

UNLV

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CBB

-- Georgetown (+7.5) won 57-46 at Syracuse Feb 23; Porter scored 33 for Hoyas, who had 11-game win streak snapped during week- they've won last seven home games, are 5-2 as home favorites. Road team won four of last five series games; Orange won last two visits here, by 4-7 points. Big East home teams are 18-26 when spread is 5 or less points. Syracuse had lost three in row before thashing DePaul in last game.
-- Kentucky is bubble team, going 3-4 in last seven games since Noel got hurt at Florida, where UK (+10.5) lost 69-52 Feb 12, ending 5-game skid in series for Gators, who are 5-3 as SEC road favorite, but lost last two on SEC road, at Mizzou/Tennessee. SEC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 15-9 vs spread. Kentucky won last seven home games since losing home opener to A&M; they're 2-4 as an underdog this season.
-- Saint Louis had 11-game win streak snapped last game at Xavier; last home game for Billiken squad that won/covered its last five home games, and has been thru a lot, including its coach dying. A-16 home favorites of more than 5 points are 25-21 vs spread. LaSalle won seven of last eight games; they're 11-4 in A-16, with losses by 9 or less points. Saint Louis won four of last five series games, winning by 2-3-8-7 points.
-- Kansas State won six in row, 10 of last 11 games; they're 2-2 as road dogs, losing away games by 6-21 points (6-2 SU). Home side won seven of last eight KSU-OSU games, as Wildcats (-3.5) beat OSU 73-67 in Big X opener Jan 5, holding OSU kids other than Smart to 13-38 (34.2%) from floor. Cowboys won 10 of last 12 games, are 3-5 as home favorites. Big X home favorites of 7 or less points are 12-11 vs spread.

-- San Diego State (-9.5) beat Boise State 63-62 Feb 6, after being down 3 with 0:18 left; Aztecs are 4-0 vs Boise in MWC play, winning three games by 3 or less points. Broncos won/covered last five at home, with wins over UNLV/Colorado State. Aztecs lost last four road games, by 3-6-2-10 points. Boise covered seven of its last nine games overall. MWC home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-5 against the spread.
-- First SEC meeting for Mizzou-Tennessee; Tigers are 2-6 on SEC road, winning at Miss State/SCarolina. Vols won seven of eight games since a bad home loss to Georgia, they're 6-2 at home in SEC, winning last three here, by 30-10-6 points (beat Florida). SEC home teams are 15-8 when spread is less than 3 points. Top four SEC teams get double-bye in next week's SEC tourney, so this is big game for both sides regarding that.
-- New Mexico (-11.5) beat Air Force 81-58 Feb 6 (led by 6 with 10:00 left), its 13th straight series win; Lobos won last five visits here, by 17-10-23-14-39 points, but Falcons are 6-1 SU at home in MWC, losing to Colorado State by 3- they're 4-0 as home dogs. MWC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 14-9 vs spread. Lobos won six games (4-1 against spread in last five); they're 2-1 as a Mountain West road favorite.
-- Fading Baylor lost five of last six games; not even sure if this win can get them into NCAAs. Bears lost last two home tilts. Kansas (-10) held Baylor to 23% from floor, waxed the Bears 61-44 Jan 14, its 11th win in last 13 series games; Jayhawks won last five trips here, by 20-26-10-20-14 points. Baylor is Big X home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-7 vs spread. Kansas won/covered its last seven games (5 of 7 at home).
-- Louisiana Tech had 18-game win streak snapped at New Mexico State Thursday; Tech (-4) beat Denver 68-60 in WAC opener Dec 29, despite Pioneers shooting 63% inside arc. Denver won its last nine games (8-1 vs spread). Tech is dog for first time since 71-59 loss at Texas A&M Nov 9 (+8). Major snow in Denver area could keep crowd down. WAC home favorites of 9 or less points are 10-22 against the spread.

-- Last home game for Coach Thomason after 25 years at Pacific; he was also a player for Tigers, who are 5-3 as home favorites (8-0 SU at home in Big West). Pacific led by 11 early at Long Beach Dec 29, lost 67-64 (+4.5); 49ers shot 58% inside arc. Beach won six of last seven road tilts, are 2-3 as road dog, losing away games by 6-21-3 points. Big West home favorites of 6 or less points are 17-23 against the spread.
-- North Carolina won its last six games, all by 9+ points; they lost first meeting 73-68 (+11) at Duke Feb 11, but haven't lost since, winning last seven home games. ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-12 vs spread. Duke lost two of last three on road, but that was before Kelly came back from foot injury. Blue Devils won six of last eight series tilts, winning two of last three visits here (visitor 6-5 SU in series).
-- Road team won both Drexel-George Mason games this year. Dragons (+5) rallied from down 20 to win 58-54; Mason (+3) won rematch 68-62 after being down 8 in second half. Patriots are 10-5 in this event last six years; they've won first tourney game six of last seven years- they lost last two games, allowing 85-82 points. Drexel is 3-2 last two years, after being 1-6 previous six years- they're 5-6 last 11 games (won last two). .
-- Over last 7+ years, Belmont is 17-2 in conference tourneys; Atlantic Sun is better league than OVC, but Bruins (-4) lost 79-74 in only game with Murray State this year. Racers outscored Belmont 21-9 from foul line, had 13 offensive boards. Murray won this tourney two of last three and four of last nine years; they lost four of last five games, but turned it on vs EKU last night. Belmont allowed 79-80 points in two OVC losses.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

PPOD

NCAAB: Iowa State -4

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Scott Spreitzer | CBBSides - Saturday, Mar 9 2013 2:20PM
558 Iowa -13.0 vs 557 Nebraska double-dime bet

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Tony George | CBB Sides - Saturday, Mar 9 2013 2:30PM
563 Oregon -4.0 vs 564 Utah single-dime bet

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ATS LOCK CLUB (PARLAY OF THE MONTH)
8*Kentucky
8*Iowa st.

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Ken Thomson | CBBSides - Saturday, Mar 9 2013 3:30PM
568 Boise St. -2.0 vs 567 San Diego St. double-dime bet

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Norm Hitzges (Norm's Clubhouse)

NBA Denver

NCAA Syracuse
LaSalle
UNLV
Richmond
North Carolina

He's about .500 on the year, but his NBA trends slightly better.

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JACK JONES in case anyone wanted the write ups
College Basketball Premium Picks

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (1:45p) IOWA STATE vs WEST VIRGINIA	IOWA STATE -3½-110 at BetOnline
15* Big 12 GAME OF THE DAY on Iowa State -3.5 The Iowa State Cyclones are squarely on the bubble and need this win to get into the NCAA Tournament. A win and they're almost certainly in, while a loss would leave a lot of work to do in the Big 12 Tournament. This is one of the most underrated teams in the country. Iowa State (20-10) is the definition of a team that is much better than its record would indicate. It has several close, heartbreaking losses this season, including a pair of overtime losses to Kansas in which the Jayhawks banked in a 3-pointer at the end of regulation, and the refs blew foul calls down the stretch of the other defeat. West Virginia is simply one of the worst teams in the Big 12 at 13-17 on the season. It has given up on its season for a while now, losers of five straight coming into this one. Four of those five losses came by double-digits, including a 57-73 home loss to Oklahoma State, and a 65-91 setback at Kansas. The Mountaineers are 1-9 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts this season. Iowa State is 9-1 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. West Virginia is 0-6 ATS after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse over the last 3 seasons. The Mountaineers are 0-7 ATS in home games after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games since 1997. These four trends combine for a 31-2 system backing the Cyclones. Roll with Iowa State Saturday.

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (1:45p) KANSAS STATE vs OKLAHOMA STATE	KANSAS STATE +5½-106 at 5dimes
15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas State +5.5 The Kansas State Wildcats are deadlocked in a tie with rival Kansas for the best record in the Big 12. Both teams are 14-3, and the Wildcats would love nothing more than to clinch at least a share of the conference title. They would win it outright with a win and a Jayhawk loss at Baylor later in the day. While Kansas State certainly won't be lacking any motivation today, you have to question Oklahoma State's mental state of mind coming in. The Cowboys lost 76-87 at Iowa State on Wednesday to drop to 12-5 in the Big 12, a full two games back of both Kansas and Kansas State. I look for them to suffer a hangover from that defeat knowing that they cannot win at least a share of the Big 12 title now. Oklahoma State is 2-8 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. The Wildcats are 7-2 SU in true road games this season. The Cowboys are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Oklahoma State is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games. Bet Kansas State Saturday.

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (2:00p) TEXAS A&M vs Arkansas	Arkansas -8-106 at 5dimes
15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Arkansas -8 The Arkansas Razorbacks are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament. They know they cannot afford to lose this game against Texas A&M Saturday if they want any chance of getting in. That's why I look for the Crimson Tide to put forth an inspired effort as they continue their dominance at home this season. Arkansas is a sensational 17-1 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by a whopping 16.6 points/game. Its home wins include Kentucky (73-60), Missouri (73-71), Florida (80-69) and Tennessee (73-60), so it has beaten four of the top teams in the conference, including three by double-digits. Texas A&M has watched its NCAA Tournament hopes slip away by losing three of their last four games overall, including an ugly 57-68 home loss to LSU on Wednesday. That defeat showed that the Aggies had packed it in, and I fully expect them to lay down for the Razorbacks in what will be one of the biggest blowouts on the board Saturday. Arkansas is 8-1 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. It is coming back to win by 10.9 points/game in this spot. The Razorbacks are 8-1 ATS in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. It is winning by 14.6 points/game in this spot. The Razorbacks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Roll with Arkansas Saturday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (2:30p) CLEMSON vs MIAMI FLORIDA	MIAMI FLORIDA -12½-106 at 5dimes
20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami -12.5 The Miami Hurricanes are undervalued Saturday as only a 12.5-point favorite over the lowly Clemson Tigers. That's because they are coming off an ugly last-second home loss to Georgia Tech by a final of 69-71 on Wednesday as a 13-point favorite. A closer look shows why they lost that game. Miami was coming off a heartbreaking 76-79 loss at Duke, so it was in a hangover situation. Also, the Hurricanes knew in the back of their minds that they could afford to lose that game to the Yellow Jackets with this contest against Clemson looming. They are still one game ahead of Duke in the ACC title race, so a win today will mean they'll be crowned conference champs. The Hurricanes certainly won't be lacking any motivation with the ACC title on the line. They'll also be hungry to send their seniors out with one final home victory on Senior Day. This is a senior-led team as Kenny Kadji (13.3 PPG), Durand Scott (13.2), Trey McKinney Jones (9.1), Reggie Johnson (8.0) and Julian Gamble (6.6) will all be playing their final home game Saturday. These are five of Miami's top six scorers! Losers of five straight and eight of their last nine overall, the Clemson Tigers have clearly given up on their season. That includes ugly losses in their last two games with a 61-69 setback at Virginia Tech, and a 61-68 home loss to Boston College. This team simply does not want to be playing in this game today. Miami is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. It is coming back to win by an average of 14.2 points/game in this spot. The Hurricanes are 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Miami is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 Saturday games. Clemson is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 Saturday game. Take Miami Saturday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (4:00p) Missouri vs TENNESSEE	TENNESSEE +1-110 at BMaker
25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Tennessee +1 The Tennessee Volunteers represent my strongest college basketball release for the entire 2012-13 season Saturday when they host the Missouri Tigers. This is a must-win game for Tennessee as it is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament. It won't be lacking any motivation today because of it. Tennessee has played its best basketball of the season over the past month just to put itself in this position, and I look for it to continue today. The Vols have won seven of their last eight to get to 18-11 on the season. That includes four road wins and three impressive home victories over Kentucky (88-58), LSU (82-72) and Florida (64-58). The Vols are now 12-3 at home this season. A big reason I'm backing them is the fact that Missouri is a terrible road team. The Tigers are just 2-7 in true road games this season with their only wins coming against SEC bottom feeders Mississippi State and South Carolina, who are a combined 7-27 in conference play this season. Tennessee is 23-5 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. The Vols are 10-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee is 6-0 ATS off a road win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Vols are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. These last four trends combine for a 27-1 system backing the Vols. Bet Tennessee Saturday.

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (4:30p) OREGON STATE vs Colorado	Colorado -8-106 at 5dimes
15* Pac-12 GAME OF THE DAY on Colorado -8 While the Colorado Buffaloes (20-9) are coming off a big 76-52 home victory over the Oregon Ducks on Thursday night, they are still squarely on the bubble in terms of the NCAA Tournament. There's no question they realize this, and as a result they won't allow themselves to overlook lowly Oregon State Saturday. Colorado is playing its best basketball of the season over the past couple months. It has won nine of its last 12 games overall with two of its three losses coming by a combined four points. The Buffaloes are 12-2 at home this season where they are outscoring their opponents by 14.2 points/game. Oregon State (13-17) has clearly packed it in. It has lost five straight games, including a 61-72 loss at lowly Utah on Thursday to really prove that it doesn't want to be playing right now. Four of its five losses during this skid have come by double-digits, so the Beavers haven't even been competitive. Don't expect them to start Saturday. Colorado is 6-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less this season. It is winning in this spot by 14.7 points/game. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Colorado has won its last three home meetings with Oregon State by 22, 26 and 15 points. Bet Colorado Saturday.

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (6:00p) Kansas vs BAYLOR

Kansas -3-106 at 5dimes

15* Kansas/Baylor ESPN Saturday No-Brainer on Kansas -3 At 14-3 in the Big 12 this season, the Kansas Jayhawks are tied with the Kansas State Wildcats atop the conference standings. They can clinch at least a share of their 9th straight Big 12 title with a win over the Baylor Bears Saturday. These Jayhawk players DO NOT want to break tradition, so they'll be laying it all on the line not only for themselves, but every former Jayhawk that helped keep this streak going. Kansas has won seven straight while going 7-0 ATS in the process to put itself in this position. While the Jayhawks have been rolling and come in with a ton of confidence, the Bears have lost five of their last six with their only victory coming 65-62 over lowly West Virginia. This poor run to close out the season has put Baylor on the outside looking in in terms of the NCAA Tournament, and not even a win over Kansas would put it on the right side of the bubble. As a result, I look for the Bears to come out flat today and for the more hungry Jayhawks to run away with this one. Baylor is 1-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. The Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Kansas is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 meetings in Baylor winning by 14, 20, 10, 26, 20 and 21 points. These four trends combine for a 26-1 system backing the Jayhawks. Take Kansas Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES
College Basketball Premium Picks

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (2:20p) NEBRASKA vs Iowa	Iowa -12½-110 at SIA
15* Big Ten GAME OF THE DAY on Iowa -12.5 The Iowa Hawkeyes are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament. They are certainly one of the last few teams out if the season were to end today, so they need this win over Nebraska, and maybe a win in the Big Ten Tournament to get in. I look for them to take care of step No. 1 in blowout fashion today. Iowa is one of the most underrated teams in the country at 19-11 because it has so many close losses this season. That includes a 60-64 loss at Nebraska on February 23rd in their first meeting of the season in which the Hawkeyes blew a 41-25 halftime lead. That also puts Iowa in revenge mode today. Iowa is 15-2 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 16.3 points/game. Its only home losses came to Indian and Michigan State by a combined 7 points! This team quietly has one of the best home-court advantages in the league, which makes them continuously undervalued at home. Nebraska is coming off a big 53-51 home victory over Minnesota as an 8-point underdog. That win really made their season, and now they are in a huge letdown spot here. That's especially the case considering they've already beaten Iowa this season, so they won't be interested at all in this game. In fact, Nebraska is 0-6 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, losing in this spot by 22.0 points/game. The Huskers are 0-6 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons, losing in this spot by 18.5 points/game. Iowa is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season, winning by 15.0 points/game in this situation. These three trends combine for a perfect 19-0 system backing the Hawkeyes. Take Iowa Saturday.

NCAA-B | Mar 09 '13 (9:00p) DUKE vs NORTH CAROLINA

NORTH CAROLINA -1½-106 at 5dimes

15* Duke/UNC ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on North Carolina -1.5 The North Carolina Tar Heels want revenge from a 68-73 loss at Duke as a 10.5-point underdog in their first meeting of the season on February 9th. I look for them to have their payback at home this time around as these Tobacco Road rivals square off Saturday night on ESPN at 9:00 EST. North Carolina has been playing its best basketball of the season since that loss to Duke. It has gone a perfect 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in six games since with all six victories coming by 9 points or more. The Tar Heels won road games at Georgia Tech (70-58), Clemson (68-59), and Maryland (79-68), while also beating Virginia (93-81), NC State (76-65) and Florida State (77-58) at home during this stretch. The Tar Heels are a sensational 14-1 SU & 10-3 ATS at home this season. They are outscoring opponents by a whopping 15.0 points/game at home this year. Their only home loss came to current ACC leader Miami, which obviously looking back really isn't that bad of a defeat. Duke is only 4-4 on the road this season. It has road losses to NC State (76-84), Miami (63-90), Maryland (81-83) and Virginia (68-73). This is only a mediocre Blue Devils team when they get away from Cameron Indoor. Duke is 0-6 ATS in road games off a home win against a conference rival this season. UNC is 8-0 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Tar Heels are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. UNC is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games. These four trends combine for a perfect 25-0 system backing the Tar Heels. Roll with North Carolina Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KB Hoops

10 units Missouri Tigers PK

10 units Georgetown -1

9 units Duke +1

7 units LSU -2

6 units Florida -5

5 units Kansas -3.5

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CHRIS JORDAN 600*

Boise St -2