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12-6 (66%) last 5 Days in All Sports! (NBA, MLB, CBB and NHL!)
4-Unit Play. #525. Take Santa Clara +2 over George Mason (Friday @ 7pm est).
This is the rubber match of the best of three games. Santa Clara won game one in this series by 8 points and covered and in game two with a solid home crowd behind them George Mason won and now the rubber match goes down between these two squads. Santa Clara lost by 7 points in the elimination game for George Mason in game two and I suspect their effort will only get better today. This is a team that went on the road to beat Purdue by 3 points and beat Wright State by 11 points on the road when they had to in single elimination games in this tournament. If this team can do that against better teams than George Mason on the road in this tournament alone, then I suspect they will have the motivation to bounce-back here in the rubber match and win this contest. This is a team that will likely make the necessary adjustments as Kerry Keating's team is top 90 when it comes to turnover margin and George Mason is top 200 as it relates to their turnover margin which will likely be the difference as well. I like the Underdog here getting points, the better team, the team that has the better turnover margin and the team that is coming off a loss who is looking to bounce-back who has beaten better teams already in this tournament to advance. I like Santa Clara to do well tonight and likely pick up the straight up win and cover.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball
NBA: 5-0 THIS WEEK (+$2300)! 5-0 THIS MONTH! 5 Straight Winners! We look to keep it rolling with another winner on the docket today.
4-Unit Play. #514. Take Under 191 Oklahoma City vs. Indiana Pacers (Friday @ 8pm est).
This is a good opportunity for us to take an Under here on what will be a highly anticipated game between these two teams. Indiana remembers going to OKC earlier this year and losing 104-93 as OKC actually covered the 10 point spread in this contest. Now with the public favoring OKC, it is Indiana that is favored at home. But, rather than going against OKC here as I do lean on Indiana, let's take the Under. The last 6 of 7 contests for OKC has gone under and with Indiana having revenge here, don't be surprised to see this inter-conference game go under as this will have a playoff atmosphere type of contest. This is the same Indiana team that held that went 4-0 on their west coast road trip beating the Clippers, Phoenix, Dallas and Houston. This team has been sound at home defensively holding Milwaukee and Orlando to 78 and 73 points. Plus, when you see the total come out, you will notice that it is relatively low at 192 and with Indiana's revenge, with OKC playing the day before, with the playoff atmosphere that this will present, look for thigh game to be highly physical and this contest to likely go under. The Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 contests when they face a team with a winning percentage of greater than 60%, the Under is 4-1-1 in the Thunder's last 6 road games as well and the Under is 5-1 for the Pacers in their last 6 games when they come off 3 days rest as well.
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey
4-Unit Play. #4. Take Pittsburgh -135 over NY Rangers (Friday @ 7:05pm est).
Regardless of the sport, home and homes are a good opportunity to take the team who comes off that loss. Such is the case as the Penguins who came off their first loss in quite some time losing to Buffalo 1-4 at home as a -265 favorite and then they went on the road to get trucked by the Rangers 1-6. This is likely going to have a lot of motivation for a team looking to bounce-back at home as this is a team that during their hot run had given up 5 goals in their last 8 games in its entirety and they gave up 6 goals on the road to New York in a debacle. Injuries or not, I like this team to come together at least for one game at home on Friday Night with their crowd behind them and show some pride here as they likely pick up the win. The Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games when they face teams with a home winning percentage of greater than 60% and the Penguins are 5-0 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game (which is uncharacteristic of their style and typically means they come off a loss).
Indian Cowboy's Picks For Major League Baseball
BASEBALL: 5* GOTW Winner on Baltimore! (6-3) Yesterday. Back to Back Winners with Braves over Phillies 9-2 in game before. 3-2 (60%) this year thus far!
3-Unit Play. #902. Take Colorado Rockies -153 over San Diego (Friday @ 4:10pm est). The Rockies started the season on the highway and are currently 2-1 coming into this afternoon game. They face a San Diego team at home today and note that teams that start on the road and than make their home debut normally typically play well in their opening game at home. Jeff Francis takes the bump for the Rockies with a lot of confidence after his tremendous March. Jason Marquis is 18-26 with a 5.15 ERA over the last three years. Teams are hitting .296 against him. He also has a 6.15 ERA in April over the last three seasons. Although Marquis has some new pitches to his arsenal, one bad pitch can cost you at Coors and with Francis having experience in Coors, I'll give him the edge here especially as he is coming off a strong March. The Rockies are 6-0 at home when they face a team with a road losing record less than 40% (which the Padres are now and will be when they close the year likely), the Rockies are 5-1 when Francis starts with a total of 11 or higher and the Padres are 2-7 as a road underdog of +110 to +150 as well.
Game: Orlando at Chicago (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Orlando +8.5 (-110)
The Chicago Bulls fell behind early last night in Brooklyn, but slowly chipped away and came away with a 2-point win. They spent a lot of energy in that game, and now have to travel home on no rest vs. an Orlando team that isn't going to garner their full attention. While the win column has not been a busy place for the Magic, they are taking advantage of a couple of things. Their opponents aren't putting forth a full effort, and they have not packed it in by still playing hard. They own a winning ATS record over their last 16, and have taken three of their last four. The Magic are a surprising 49-23-2 ATS in their last 74 when following a 10+ point loss, while the Bulls home woes continue where they are 12-25 ATS in their last 37. Play on Orlando.
523 MEM 2.5 (-110) Hilton vs 524 LALAnalysis: Most of the attention surrounding this matchup concerns the Lakers' need to win in their chase to make the Playoffs. The Lakers start the night a half game ahead of Utah for the eighth and final Western Playoff spot but Utah does hold the tie breaker edge if the teams end up with identical records. At 39-36 the Lakers remain just an average team, at best. But what's not receiving attention is the improtance of this game to Memphis. The Grizzlies are in a tight battle with Denver for the # 3 seed in the West. With the Clippers slotted fourth the loser of the Memphis/Denver battle will be seeded fifth. The third seed has home court advantage in the first round of the Playoffs. The fifth seed does not. Having played, and won, one more game, Denver has a half game lead over Memphis with both teams tied with 24 losses. The Lakers have struggled against Class A teams all season, going 2-15 SU and 4-13 ATS vs teams winning at least 65 percent of its games. At the same time, against Class B teams, such as the Lakers, Memphis is a solid 16-7 SU and 15-8 ATS. Were this game not of importance to Memphis perhaps a case could be made for the Lakers, although it would be a stretch. But with much at stake for the Grizzlies, given the above stats its very attractive to take the points in a game where the Lakers being favored does make sense because of the high visibility and popularty of the Lakers. In truth, Memphis should be from a 2 to 4 point favorite.
Dr. Ed Meyer | NBA Total
double-dime bet520 SAC / 519 DAL OVER 214.5 BetOnline
Analysis:The Mavs are 3-0 against the Kings this season, scoring 119, 117 and 123 points. Sacramento will look at this game as an opportunity to pad their offensive stats rather than a chance to avoid a season sweep.
Dallas is playing the second of back-to-back road games, after losing by a point in Denver last night. Dirk was held to 13 points and did not record an assist. Sacramento's offense should take full advantage of a tired Mavs team, forcing Dallas to try to outscore them.
The Mavericks are 7-0 OU (+12.0 ppg) on the road after a loss on the road in which Dirk Nowitzki had more turnovers than assists, 6-0 OU (+9.7 ppg) on the road with no rest after a loss in which Dirk Nowitzki was NOT the Mavericks' high scorer and 6-0 OU (+11.4 ppg) after two losses in which Shawn Marion played fewer than 30 minutes in each.
Sacramento is 8-0 OU (9.2 ppg) at home with at least one day of rest after a game in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line and 6-0 OU after a loss at home in which John Salmons had more rebounds than points, flying over by an average of 16.8 ppg.
Why would the Kings try to play a half-court game when they get a Mavs' team that is off a CLOSE game in the rarefied air of Denver the previous night?? The Mavs have dominated them recently and they should play with a nothing-to-lose attitude. Take the OVER.
MTi's FORECAST: Dallas 116 SACRAMENTO 112
906 NYM / 905 Mia OVER 7.5 5dimesAnalysis: This is a strong OVER Park and this is a Strong Total for playing OVER here. Especially with these pitchers who are down on the rotation scale. The Mets got stymied yesterday but have come out with their hitting shoes on scoring 20 times overall in 3 games. The Marlins faced strong pitching at Washington and could not do much. That is part of the reason why this number is so low and it continues to drop actually. I have 8.6 here and good for 1%..
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