4-8-13

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA

Play Against - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (ARIZONA) with a team batting average of .285 or better on the season (NL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing
97-67 since 1997. ( 59.1% 45.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB BALTIMORE at BOSTON

BALTIMORE is 67-44 (+32.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.1)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB MICHIGAN at LOUISVILLE

Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
65-31 since 1997. ( 67.7% 30.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

CBB MICHIGAN at LOUISVILLE

Play Against - Any team (LOUISVILLE) after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
157-163 since 1997. ( 49.1% 45.4 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% -3.3 units )

CBB MICHIGAN at LOUISVILLE

Play Against - Any team (LOUISVILLE) after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season
96-50 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.8% 41.0 units )
36-28 this year. ( 56.3% 5.2 units )

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 8 - Reds/Cardinals

50* Phillies -115

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Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Cleveland

The Yankees look to build on their 11-0 record in Hiroki Kuroda's last 11 starts with 4 days rest. New York is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 8 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 13.285; Cubs (Jackson) 14.273 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Total Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at St. Louis (4:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 15.728; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.350 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Over

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 15.268; Philadelphia (Halladay) 14.578 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Over

Game 957-958: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 15.369; Miami (Slowey) 15.854 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 8 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+145); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 15.576; Arizona (Cahill) 14.970 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 9 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Over

Game 961-962: Colorado at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.634; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 18.470 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-170); Under

Game 963-964: Baltimore at Boston (2:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 16.182; Boston (Buchholz) 15.592 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+115); Under

Game 965-966: NY Yankees at Cleveland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.809; Cleveland (Jimenez) 14.443 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); Over

Game 967-968: Minnesota at Kansas City (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 15.987; Kansas City (Santana) 15.363 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.309; Texas (Ogando) 15.788 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas (-165); 9 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-165); Under

Game 971-972: Houston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Humber) 13.230; Seattle (Saunders) 15.639 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Seattle (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-165); Under

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5Lines Total Line for 04/08/2013

(Lost last game) Today's Winning Team is: MLB - New York Mets : o7.5 Cost: -115

Run Line for 04/08/2013

(Lost last 2 games) Today's Winning Team is: MLB - Atlanta Braves : -1.5 Cost: -105

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Hondo -

Bad day in the box. First Matt and the Giants were caned by the Cards yesterday, then the Angels had a devil of a time last night in Texas, so Hondo took the plunge into red ink with 25 sanfords owed to creditors.


Tonight, Mr. Aitch will give Harvey another opportunity to earn a permanent stall in the stable — 10 units on the Metamucils. Also, he will take a shot with that Bumgarner — 10 units on SF. And, finally, heeding the advice of no less an authority than Howie “Howie Hoops” Kussoy, he will back Michigan in the Final Two.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Monday, Apr 8 2013 4:15PM
ML 954 STL (-110) BetOnline vs 953 CIN double-dime bet


Monday Free Play - Astros plus $1.60 at Mariners

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The Philly Godfather
Michigan 500 +170 ML

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Marc Lawrence

Louisville

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Sports Pickin

NHL

Phoenix / Vancouver Under 5 Goals

MLB

Atlanta -1.5

NCAA Basketball

Michigan +4
Michigan / Louisville Under 139 Points

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Broad Street Cappers--Title Game

Michigan +4

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Tampa Bay at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Texas -155 (moneyline)

It is no secret that the Tampa Bay Rays are going to have issues scoring runs on a consistent basis. They have other issues now too, as the pitching staff and bullpen have allowed six runs or more in four of their six games. The Rangers bats are getting it done and have to be feeling good after pounding Angels ace Jered Weaver last night. The Rangers have allowed three runs or less in four of six, including a pair of shutouts. Aleki Ogando struck out ten, allowed no runs in 6.1 innings in his first start and should certainly limit the Rays pedestrian attack here at home. The Rangers have also produced a 62-29 mark in their last 91 at home vs. a righthander. The Rays, however, have dropped four straight behind Hellickson on the road. Play on Texas.

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NCAAB

Monday, April 8

Betting breakdown for NCAA championship game refs

The officials for tonight's NCAA championship game have been announced and they are John Cahill of Albany, N.Y. (referee), Tony Greene from Atlanta (umpire) and John Higgins from Omaha (umpire). They are working their 11th, seventh and fourth Final Fours, respectively.

Cahill officiated seven games this season featuring at least one of the championship teams. Louisville went 4-1 ATS (against the spread) and Michigan went 2-0 ATS. The O/U (over/under) was 4-3.

Favorites went 1-2 ATS in the three games Cahill worked in the NCAA tournament (New Mexico State vs. Saint Louis, Oregon vs. Saint Louis, Michigan vs. Florida) and the over was 2-1. In the 78 games Cahill has officiated this season, his crews averaged 32.8 fouls per game and gave out 17 technicals fouls, according to Statsheet.com.

Greene officiated four Louisville games this season and the Cardinals went 3-1 ATS. The over was 3-0. He has not called a Michigan game this year.

Greene worked three tournament games and the favorite went 2-1 ATS and the total was 1-2 (Iowa State vs. Notre Dame, Temple vs. Indiana, Duke vs. Louisville). In the 72 games Greene has worked this season, his crews averaged 35.2 fouls a game and gave 15 technicals this season, according to Statsheet.com

Higgins officiated seven games featuring the final two teams. Louisville went 1-2 ATS and Michigan went 3-1 ATS. The over went 4-3.

The favorites in the three NCAA tournament games Higgins worked went 2-1 ATS and the over was 2-1 (Belmont vs. Arizona, Wichita State vs. Gonzaga, Syracuse vs. Marquette). In the 92 games Higgins has officiated this season, his crews averaged 33.9 fouls a game and handed out a hefty 35 technicals in 2012-13, according to Statsheet.com.

Greene and Higgins worked together when Louisville lost to Villanova 73-64 on Jan. 22.

Cahill and Higgins worked the Marquette-Louisville game together when the Cardinals won 70-51.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Monday, April 8

National champ trends: No. 1 seeds have big ATS edge

A look at some key trends for tonight's NCAA championship game where Louisville is a fave of four points over Michigan and the total is at 138.5 as of Monday morning.

All trends and notes below are ATS (against the spread) and most recent since 1991 unless otherwise stated.

NATIONAL TITLE GAME NOTES

• No. 1 Seed favorites are 7-2 ATS

• No. 4 Seeds are 2-0 ATS

• Favorites of 5 < pts are 11-1 ATS

• Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final Four are 5-1 ATS

• Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 1-5 ATS

• Dogs > 2 pts who allowed 60 > pts in the Final Four are 0-5 ATS

• Dogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 0-4 ATS

• Big East teams are 4-0 ATS

• Big Ten teams are 0-4 ATS

COACH ME UP

Louisville’s Rick Pitino is:

47-13 SU and 36-22-3 ATS in NCAA tournament
119-52 SU and 100-66-5 ATS vs. Big East
16-11 SU and 11-16 ATS vs. Big Ten
4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. MVC
8-8 SU and 4-12 ATS vs. Beilein
12-5 SU and 10-6-1 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall

Michigan’s John Beilein is:

12-6 SU and 14-3-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
47-53 SU and 50-48-2 ATS vs. Big East
6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS vs. MVC
0-9 SU and 3-6 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall
2-2 SU AND 1-2-1 ATS vs. Pitino

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Hoopsgooroo

[963] Baltimore Orioles +132 vs Boston Red Sox
[952] Chicago Cubs -117 vs Milwaukee Brewers
[965] New York Yankees +106 vs Cleveland Indians
[968] Kansas City Royals -140 vs Minnesota Twins
[953] Cincinnati Reds +101 vs St. Louis Cardinals
[955] New York Mets +110 vs Philadelphia Phillies
[957] Atlanta Braves -159 vs Miami Marlins
[969] Tampa Bay Rays +143 vs Texas Rangers
[602] Louisville -4 -102 vs Michigan
[959] Pittsburgh Pirates +133 vs Arizona Diamondbacks