Tweet
Seabass Afternoon Baseball:
50 OVER Red Sox
50 Yankees
50 OVER Red Sox
50 Yankees
-
The Duke's Sports
3.5 Units Michigan +4Comment
-
Comment
-
Comment
-
Scott Spreitzer | CBB Sidesdouble-dime bet 602 Louisville -4.0 (-110) 5dimes vs 601 MichiganAnalysis: I'm laying the points with Louisville on Monday night. Before the Final-4, one major book in Las Vegas made Louisville a 5-point favorite if they were to meet Michigan in tonight's championship tilt. I saw nothing that made the books drop the line to 3 1/2, which is where it opened after both teams won on Saturday. Michigan beat Syracuse by five points thanks to a 24-9 advantage from beyond the arc. Mitch McGary was the big difference pulling down 12 rebounds against the Orange, including 5 of his team's 13 offensive rebounds, and the UM big-man dished out 6 assists. I expect the going to be much tougher for McGary in this one, and really, his presence has been the main reason for Michigan's run late in the season and in the Big Dance. McGary will face Louisville's Gorgui Dieng which means less rebounds for the Wolverines and more denial when the Big-10 entry attempts to take the ball inside. Overall, the Wolverines will be facing the nation's top-ranked team in adjusted defensive efficiency, while Michigan is outside the top-30. Offensively, Louisville guard Russ Smith was M.I.A. for the first 15 minutes of their game against Wichita State and it set a negative tone for the Cardinals. Smith never found his shot from the FT line, making just 5-of-12 chances and we're talking about a guy who made over 80% of his FTA on the season. If Smith makes a "normal for him" 10-of-12, Louisville would have been just a bucket away from covering the 10 point spread. Smith was nervous on Saturday, no doubt about it. Yet the Cardinals came back from a double-digit deficit. With a game on the big stage under his belt, I expect Smith to return to form tonight. The Cards are on a 9-2 ATS run against teams with a winning record. They're 14-3 ATS when playing with no more than one day off between games and Louisville is on a 6-0 ATS run as a neutral court favorite of 3 1/2 to 6 points. I'm laying the points with Louisville on Monday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Apr 8 2013 4:57AM PSTComment
-
Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Money Linedime bet 961 COL (+155) bodog vs 962 SFGAnalysis: Jorge De La Rosa does not have good numbers recently. However, the Giants have averaged only 2.5 runs per game this season. De La Rosa has been at his best in a series opener, as the Rockies are 13-4 when he kicks off a series, with the four losses by scores of: 4-2, 3-1, 4-3 and 2-1, the last of which was in Philadelphia vs Cole Hamels. So, even in the losses he has been solid.
The Giants are off a bad loss last night to the Cardinals, but this is no reason to play on them here. San Francisco is 9-14 as a favorite in a home series opener when they are off a loss. The last five times they were a 150-plus favorite in this spot, they are 1-4 with the only win by a 2-1 margin.
The Rockies have won five straight and have averaged 6.5 runs per game this season. Their only loss came on the road vs Gallardo and that was by a single run, so they are actually 6-0 on the run line.
The Rockies have the line value here.
MTi's FORECAST: Colorado 6 SAN FRANCISCO 5Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 04-08-2013, 01:14 PM.Comment
-
Chip Chirimbes
Michigan +4Comment
-
BVB-MLB Inc.
Miami +150
Pitt +135
Colorado +155
Bal +135
Tampa Bay +140
Min +130
Hou + 155
Season Total 20-25 +$182 ($100 wager per game)Comment
-
"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season
For Monday "Mr Chalk" likes the Giants -$165/Rockies.Comment
-
Jt - bpo
Over 138 Mich.-Lou.Comment
-
kelso
20* louisville
20* louisville under
10* parlay the 2Comment
-
Five Star Sports
4* Louisville
4* Louisville OverComment
-
GoodFella
3* Mets
1* red soxComment
-
the Delawarian:
st. louis/cinncy under 7.5 2 unitsComment
-
DAVID BANKS
Michigan Wolverines vs. Louisville Cardinals
The NCAA Championship Game is set and the depth and versatility of the
Louisville Cardinals (34-5, 23-16 ATS) could make the difference vs. the
Michigan Wolverines (31-7, 19-16-1 ATS) at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, GA Monday
night at 9:23 ET on CBS. Louisville showed its versatility by winning what
was primarily a half-court game over a game Wichita State team 72-68 Saturday
as the Shockers did a great job of not turning the ball over, thus not
allowing the Cardinals to get their transition game going. Michigan advanced to
this point by beating another Big East team in Syracuse 61-56 in the second
semifinal.
Louisville has now won 15 straight games overall, but probably none were as
tough as Saturday's victory as besides Wichita State protecting the ball
well vs. the Cardinals' pressure defense and also being without Kevin Ware
after his horrific broken leg suffered in the Elite Eight, Louisville also had
several key players in foul trouble. The fact that the Cardinals were still
able to erase a 12-point second half deficit points to both their
versatility and depth, as backup Luke Hancock poured in 20 points while thriving in
the half-court game. That game may have served as a great prep for the
Championship Game as Michigan is another team that does not turn the ball over, so
the fact that Louisville was able to win a game where it did not have as
many fast-break points off of turnovers as it usually does has to give the
Cardinals confidence. You see, Louisville leads the country in defensive
efficiency and ranks second in defensive turnover percentage, and that is a key
reason why the offense ranks fifth in efficiency as it the defense creates many
easy shots in transition.
Michigan should be able to follow Wichita State's blueprint of not turning
the ball over as the Wolverines lead the country in offensive efficiency and
offensive turnover percentage. The difference between these teams though is
that Michigan does not have Louisville's balance on both sides of the ball
as while the Wolverines rank a good enough 32nd in defensive efficiency,
they are only 140th in effective field goal percentage allowed and 239th in
defensive turnover percentage! Thus, unlike the Louisville vs. Wichita State
game where both defenses pressured the ball, Louisville will be the only team
doing that this game Granted, the Michigan offense is equipped to handle the
Louisville pressure, but by the same token, the Wolverines did shoot only
41.8 percent vs. the stiff Syracuse zone on Saturday and won because the
Orange are simply not a good offensive team and shot just 39.6 percent.
Louisville shoots he ball a bit better than the Orange and the Cardinals should have
an easier time getting into the lane here than they did vs. a staunch
Wichita State defense.
Louisville is 36-15 ATS in its last 51 games following a straight up win
and 19-7 ATS in its last 26 neutral site games.
PICK: OVER 138Comment
Comment