Brett Atkins
40 Dime MLB
Winner #3 in a Row
Brewers +120
40 Dime MLB
Winner #3 in a Row
Brewers +120
| MLB | Apr 08 '13 (4:10p) Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals |
Minnesota Twins +132 at BetOnline |
| 15* AL Central PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins +132 The Minnesota Twins are one of the most underrated teams in the league heading into the 2013 season. That has proven to be the case in the early going as they are off to a solid 4-2 start despite being an underdog in every game they have played in. What's most impressive about that 4-2 start is the fact that it has come against two AL playoff teams from last year in Detroit and Baltimore. That includes a 3-2 victory over Detroit on April 3rd in Kevin Correia's lone start of the year. Correia pitched seven innings while allowing just eight base runners and two earns runs to help lead Minnesota to victory. Ervin Santana struggled in his first start, giving up four earned runs over six innings in a 2-5 loss to the Chicago White Sox on April 3rd, also giving up three homers in the loss. Minnesota is 8-1 against the money line vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Kansas City is 4-16 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. The Royals are 0-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons. Correia is a very profitable 23-19 (+12.0 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Roll with the Twins Monday. |
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| MLB | Apr 08 '13 (7:05p) New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies |
Philadelphia Phillies -115 at BMaker |
| 15* NL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -115 You may never get another opportunity to back Roy Halladay at this kind of price the rest of the season. I'm going to take advantage and back the Phillies, who will be hungry following a 2-4 start to the season. Philadelphia has lost Game 1 in each of its first two series this season, and it realizes that grabbing a Game 1 victory tonight will be essential to go on and win its first series of the year. I like its chances against the lowly New York Mets. The Mets are way overvalued right now due to their 4-2 start. Well, that 4-2 start has come against arguably the two worst teams in baseball in the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins. While Halladay only last 3.1 innings in his first start this year, he did strike out 9 batters, which was an MLB record. That shows he's still got it. Plus, the former Cy Young winner is 9-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Mets. Halladay is 25-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. His teams are winning 6.1 to 3.8 on average in this spot. Take the Phillies Monday. |
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| MLB | Apr 08 '13 (8:05p) Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers |
Tampa Bay Rays +145 at SIA |
| 15* AL Non-Divisional ANNIHILATOR on Tampa Bay Rays +145 The Tampa Bay Rays are showing excellent value as a big road underdog to the Texas Rangers tonight. Texas is in a big letdown spot here after coming off a 2-1 series win over division rival Los Angeles. That's especially the case after a victory in Game 3 on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball. I believe this line has been inflated just because of how the two starting pitchers faired in their first outings. Jeremy Hellickson isn't getting the respect he deserves after allowing five runs over 6 1/3 innings to Baltimore on April 3rd. At the same time, Alexi Ogando is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers due to blanking the Houston Astros over 6 1/3 innings of a 4-0 win on April 3rd. The Astros are arguably the worst team in the league, so that outing was far from impressive. Hellickson has pitched well in three career starts against Texas, posting a 3.38 ERA and 1.250 WHIP. Ogando sports a 10.11 ERA and 2.622 WHIP following his lone career start against Tampa Bay. The Rays are a ridiculous 12-2 (+14.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Better yet, Tampa Bay is 15-4 (+17.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Rays Monday. |
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| MLB | Apr 08 '13 (9:40p) Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks |
Pittsburgh Pirates +140 at SIA |
| 15* NL Non-Divisional KNOCKOUT on Pittsburgh Pirates +140 The Pittsburgh Pirates get the nod as a nice-sized road underdog to the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight. I look for the Pirates to come in the more motivated team and wanting this one more due to their 1-5 start, while the Diamondbacks are 5-1 to start the year. I like Pittsburgh's chances of picking up its second win of the season with underrated left-hander Wandy Rodriquez getting the ball. He went 6 2/3 shutout innings of a 3-0 victory over the Chicago Cubs on April 3rd to give the Pirates their lone win of the year. This play falls into a system that is 42-17 (71.2%) over the last 5 seasons while profiting $1,000/game bettors $40,900. It tells us to bet against home teams (ARIZONA) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 8 runs or more. Take the Pirates Monday. |
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| NCAA-B | Apr 08 '13 (9:20p) Michigan vs Louisville |
Louisville -3½-110 at BMaker |
| 20* Michigan/Louisville NCAA Championship No-Brainer on Louisville -3.5 The Louisville Cardinals will prove that they are the best team in college basketball and deserved of the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament tonight. I look for them to win and cover against overmatched Michigan in this one. The Cardinals just have something special going because of the injury to teammate Kevin Ware. They have really pulled closer together as a team, which helped them overcome a hard-fought game against Wichita State in the Final Four. They simply appear to be a team of destiny at this point. I believe that only having one day to prepare for their opponent will benefit Louisville more than Michigan in this one. That's because the Cardinals are a tougher team to prepare for as they are the best pressing team in the country. They are forcing an average of 18 turnovers/game this season. Louisville is 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons. Louisville is 7-0 ATS in road games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. These three trends combine for a 20-0 system backing the Cardinals. Bet Louisville Monday. |
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