10-6-13

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From This Week's NFL PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

HOUSTON (435) AT SAN FRANCISCO (436)
Latest Line: San Francisco -5.5; Total: 41.0

Two clubs with lofty aspirations this year look to avoid falling under .500 when the 49ers host the Texans Sunday night. Houston QB Matt Schaub has thrown pick-sixes in three straight games, which has led to a two-game SU losing skid and an 0-4 ATS mark this year. San Francisco QB Colin Kaepernick has also been mistake-prone with eight turnovers (5 INT, 3 fumbles). The Niners were pummeled in Week 2 and 3, losing by a combined 56-10 score, but responded with a 35-11 thrashing of the Rams. These squads have met twice since the Texans joined the NFL, with the home team winning both games by three points.
FORECASTER: San Francisco 30, Houston 23

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Sixth Sense

Green Bay -6.5
Dertroit v GB Over 52.5
Chicago -0.5
Oakland+4.5
Indy+3 (-120)

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL / MLB

9-UNIT "MEGA-HYDRA"
RAIDERS +4.5 vs chargers (8:30pm)

*All Lines from 5dimes.eu 10/5/13 11:44pm
**All times Pacific


+ BONUS!!!


9-UNIT "MEGA-HYDRA"
PIRATES (-155) over cardinals
*Liriano & Kelley Listed Pitchers

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB ST LOUIS at PITTSBURGH
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (PITTSBURGH) with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (NL), in October games
27-14 since 1997. ( 65.9% 22.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB ST LOUIS at PITTSBURGH
ST LOUIS is 46-20 (+21.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.5)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA ATLANTA at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, playing with 3 or more days rest
49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% 27.0 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% 2.8 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at MINNESOTA
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
104-25 since 1997. ( 80.6% 0.0 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% 0.0 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

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PAUL LEINER

100* Colts +3
50* Cardinals +2.5

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Bankroll Sports

2* St. Louis Rams -11

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Betting As A Business

Today's Picks: NFL
Chicago pk / New Orleans 1:00 ET 1.00 Unit
(Play ON Chicago)

Under 46 - New England / Cincinnati 1:00 ET 1.50 Units
The Patriots are slowly becoming a different team. Although they have one of the best QB's the game has ever seen, without receivers Tom Brady's main skill set is reduced to mediocrity. But don't count out New England, they are 4-0 aren't they? Only problem is a couple of those wins were very close. A 2 point win over the Bills on a last second FG to open the season and the next week a 3 point win over the rival Jets. But the Brady - Belichick combo is about as solid a coach - QB relationship can be. What's happening here is the ground level of a new way for the Pats to play the game... the way the game was meant to be played. A slow, grind it out style with much attention to field position. The public is still sold on Tom Brady the passing guru, but meanwhile 3 of their first 4 games have gone Under the total by an average of 13 ppg. Until last week in Atlanta (30-23 Final... barely over 49). The value lies in situations like these. Catching a team in transition before the line maker adjusts. We know we're getting the best of it in this line as 46 is a hefty number.

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Pointspreadpros

NFL
Houston +7
Detroit +7
New Orleans pick

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Tony Bruno

NFL
GB
Seattle
Cincy

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Inside Sports Report

4* Over the total - Car/Arz
3* NE
3* StL

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PREDICTION MACHINE

NFL SIDES

421 1:00 PM SEA @ IND ♦ -2.5 - 59.6%

435 8:30 PM HOU @ SF ♦ +7 - 59.6%

432 11:35 PM @OAK SD ♦ +5 - 57.7%

423 1:00 PM DET @ GB ♦ +7 - 57.6%

414 1:00 PM @TEN KC ♦ +3 - 57.6%

NFL TOTALS

Raiders - OVER 44.5 (59.1%)

Packers - OVER 53 (58.1%)

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Norm Hitzges Picks of the Pole

NFL
DOUBLE PLAYS:
Carolina -2 Arizona
Atlanta -10 NY Jets

SINGLE PLAYS
New Orleans PICK Chicago
Dallas--Denver - OVER 56 1/2
Green Bay -7 vs Detroit

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WNBA Finals Preview: Atlanta vs. Minnesota
by Steve Bennett

2011 WNBA Finals Preview

ATLANTA DREAM (24-15)

vs. MINNESOTA LYNX (31-8)

Series Schedule (Best of 5):
Game 1 at MIN: Sunday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Game 2 at MIN: Wednesday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Game 3 at ATL: Friday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Game 4 at ATL: Sunday, Oct. 9, 4:00 p.m. EDT (if necessary)
Game 5 at MIN: Wednesday, Oct. 12, 8:00 p.m. EDT (if necessary)

The WNBA Finals tip-off Sunday night, with the Atlanta Dream back as the underdog, this time against the Minnesota Lynx.

The Lynx swept the regular season series from Atlanta, winning handily both times. While those meetings were back in June, Minnesota still clearly has the edge. This is the first trip to the Finals for the Lynx. They have the best record in the WNBA, the right mix of young talent (Seimone Augustus, Maya Moore) and veteran experience (Taj McWilliams-Franklin), not to mention home-court advantage, where the Lynx are 17-3 SU at home this year. Minnesota has won 13 of its past 15 games, and easily disposed of Phoenix in the Western Conference finals. None of their past three games were closer than 17 points. Plus, the Western Conference has won 11 of 14 WNBA titles, and among Eastern Conference teams, only Detroit has won it all.

The pick here is MINNESOTA to win the series.

The Dream were swept in the Finals by Seattle a year ago. This year’s team is playing some hard-nosed defense in the postseason, holding opponents to 39% shooting, and the strong play of Angel McCoughtry (18.4 PPG in the playoffs) has led a balanced offensive attack. But the emergence of Izi Castro Marques is what pushed them back into the finals. After coming off the bench in their first three playoff games, the Brazilian swingman moved into the starting lineup after a Game 1 loss to Indiana and went for 30 in Game 2 and 23 in Game 3, shooting 54% from the field and 7-for-12 from three in those games. It was a stunning turnaround, and considering Castro Marques’ regular-season numbers (7.6 PPG, 36% FG, 21% 3-pt FG), it also may have been a fluke.

The teams played a home-and-home on June 17 and 19, with the Lynx winning easily both times, 96-85 at home, then 77-64 in Atlanta. They shot just 6-for-25 from three in those two games, but Augustus was nearly unstoppable in the paint. She averaged 22.0 PPG while shooting 59% from the field and 11-for-12 from the line in the two games. She’s averaging 20.4 PPG on 49% shooting from the field and 14-of-15 from the line through five postseason games. And Moore, who won two national titles at the University of Connecticut, hasn’t shrunk in her first WNBA postseason, averaging 15.2 PPG and shooting 46% from three.

A big part of the reason Minnesota won those two games easily in June was the defensive job point guard Lindsay Whalen did on Lindsey Harding, the Atlanta point guard. Harding, who averaged 10.5 PPG on 46% shooting and 4.8 APG during the regular season, shot 5-for-21 and handed out a total of four assists in those losses. McCoughtry scored 27 in the teams’ first meeting, but was held to 10 in the second, and her 2-for-13 shooting was a big contributor to Atlanta’s 30% shooting from the field.

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The Gold Medal Club NFL Selections 06/10/2013
#420 Cincinnati +1
#422 Indianapolis +2.5
#429 Carolina -1.5
25* # 434 Dallas +7.5