10-13-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

4-10 last week

Pitt
kc
philly
Packers
det
Panthers best bet 2-3
Houston
Cinny
seattle
Denver
49ers
no

wash

sd

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL


9-UNIT "MEGA-HYDRA"
PACKERS / RAVENS OVER 47 (-138) (10am)

*All Lines from 5dimes.eu 10/13/13 6:05am
**All times Pacific

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Sixth Sense

Raiders +8.5
Panthers +2
Texans -7 -120
Jets -2.5
Bills +6
Colts/Chargers over 49

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Wolkosky Milan

Wolkosky's worst NFL start ever


NFL: 14-23 (-170 Units)


30* SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -10
30* CARDINALS / 49ERS UNDER 40½
20* TENNESSEE TITANS +12
20* JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +27½
20* WASHINGTON REDSKINS +5½
20* RAIDERS / CHIEFS UNDER 41
20* TITANS / SEAHAWKS OVER 41

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King Creole

Kc/oak under
Sea/ten under
Sf/ari under
wash/dal over

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Gold Medal Club NFL Selections 13/10/2013
#214 Houston -7.5
#218 Buffalo +6
#211 Carolina +2.5
#226 New England -1

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DOC'S SPORTS

-= TOP PLAY =-
MLB Oct 13 '13
8:05p DET GM2 vs BOS GM2
Take: BOS GM2 -110
10-unit Play Take #908 Boston Red Sox over Detroit Tigers (8:05pm EST)
Game 2 of the ALCS gets underway this evening in Boston as the Red Sox look to even the score after last night's 1-0 loss. Pitchers dominated the hitters in Game One and today we'll see two more great pitchers on the mound. Max Scherzer goes for the Tigers and he's had a masterful season. He finished the regular season 21-3 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.97 WHIP and will likely be bringing home a Cy Young award when it's announced. Clay Buchholz very well could have been in the Cy Young race had he not gotten injured and missed several months. He finished the season 12-1 with a 1.74 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in roughly half of a season. Needless to say, these pitchers have been dominant and there's no big edge either way there. However, if you break down the rest of these teams, Boston has the edge in every other major category. At the plate, the Red Sox were the best team in baseball - scoring 57 more runs than the Tigers in the regular season. Defensively Boston has an edge as well and once the game gets into the bullpen they have a better 8th inning guy and a better closer than the Tigers do. This game is also in Boston, where the Red Sox went 53-28 this season. That was the best mark in the AL and Detroit was barely over .500 on the road this season. Adding it all up, it appears that this line is a bit short. We'll take Boston here to even up the series.

NHL Oct 13 '13
3:05p Los Angeles Kings vs FLORIDA
Take: Los Angeles Kings -136
2-unit Play Take #3 Los Angeles Kings over Florida Panthers (3:05pm EST)
The Los Angeles Kings are a great puck possession team and they generally dominate teams that play sloppy hockey. That's bad news for the Florida Panthers, who aren't the smoothest customers on the ice as a team. The Kings also catch the Panthers at a good time. Florida is coming off of an emotional 6-3 win against the Penguins on Friday, so there's a chance of a letdown here as it's difficult to get up for a big opponent two games in a row. Starting goalie Tim Thomas is also a bit banged up with a lower body injury and may not even play in this game. Either way, he's not going to be 100% and that gives Los Angeles an extra advantage that they probably didn't need in the first place. The Panthers might be the worst team in hockey the Kings are definitely in the top five in the NHL. The line on this contest feels about 15-20 cents short, so we'll take LA here.

NHL Oct 13 '13
8:05p Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Mighty Ducks
Take: Anaheim Mighty Ducks -147
4-unit Play Take #8 Anaheim Ducks over Ottawa Senators (8:05pm EST)
The Anaheim Ducks are off to fast start for the second consecutive season. They've won three of their first four contests, with their only loss to the undefeated Avalanche. Today they are in an excellent situational spot versus the Ottawa Senators. The Sens are playing the second leg of a back-to-back tonight (lost to Sharks 3-2 last night), and this is their fifth straight road game to open the season. Travelling can take its toll, especially early on in the season and as the players get into full game shape. The Sens also have played into overtime in two of their last three games, so they've spent lots of extra time on the ice. Anaheim has been sitting at home waiting for this game and has had two full days of rest. Ottawa is probably the better team between these two, but the Ducks are the right play for tonight.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JIMMY BOYD

MLB Oct 13 '13
8:05p DET GM2 vs BOS GM2
Take: BOS GM2 -108

3* Main Event on Boston Red Sox -108
The Red Sox offense should prove to be too much for Max Scherzer and the Detroit Tigers today. Throughout his career Scherzer has not had much success against Boston, posting a 2-4 record with a 7.02 ERA. Don't expect Scherzer to get a lot of run support from his Tigers teammates. In the playoffs, Detroit has a .235 batting average and they have scored a mere 3.4 runs per game.

The Red Sox offense has been on fire all season. They have averaged 7 runs per game throughout their past seven games with a .321 batting average and a .391 on base percentage. The Tigers offense is struggling, and it won't get any easier against Clay Buchholz. Buchholz has a 1.99 ERA at home this season and the Red Sox are 7-2 in those nine starts.

The Red Sox are 7-1 in Buchholz's last eight starts when pitching with five days of rest. They are also 21-5 in his last 26 starts against AL Central opponents. Buchholz has a 2-1 record against Detroit with a 3.76 career ERA and he should give his team enough of an advantage to pick up a win today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NHL LOS ANGELES at FLORIDA
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (LOS ANGELES) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game
33-15 since 1997. ( 68.8% 28.6 units )

NHL OTTAWA at ANAHEIM
Play On - Any team against the money line (ANAHEIM) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
76-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.4% 40.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

NHL OTTAWA at ANAHEIM
Play On - Any team against the money line (ANAHEIM) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the first half of the season
39-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 83.0% 26.8 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROOT

add

CAROLINA

PITTSBURGH

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

NFL Football Premium Picks

NFL | Oct 13 '13 (1:00p) Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings	Carolina Panthers +1+113 at 5dimes
15* NFL Sunday Upset Special on Carolina Panthers +1 Carolina has held a halftime lead in each of its first four games of the season. It has blown three of those leads in the second half, and it’s clear to me that this team is much better than its 1-3 record would indicate. The Panthers are outgaining opponents by 25.0 yards per game on the season, which would be the sign of a 3-1 team rather than one that is 1-3. I love what I’ve seen for Carolina’s defense, which is giving up just 14.5 points and 301.5 total yards per game to rank 3rd in the NFL in total defense. Minnesota is 1-3 and is getting outgained by 80.2 total yards per game, which shows that the Vikings are every bit as bad as their record would indicate. A big reason for that has been a defense that is giving up 30.7 points and 430.7 total yards per game to rank 29th in the NFL in total defense. The key to stopping the Vikings is stopping Adrian Peterson, and the Panthers have the perfect antidote. They rank 7th in the league against the run, yielding just 92.2 rushing yards per game and 3.6 per carry. They added two defensive tackles in the first two rounds of the NFL draft, and both Kawaan Short and Star Lotulelei have made huge impacts already along the defensive line. These two will plug holes, while Luke Kuechly and company fill the open lanes and make tackles on Peterson. All Kuechly did last season was lead the league in tackles, and he’s well on his way to doing so again in 2013. Admittedly, Cam Newton has not been all that sharp in the early going. He had his two worst games against two very good defenses in Seattle and Arizona. However, he has been much sharper in games against the Bills and Giants, who don't have the best of defenses. This Vikings' stop unit is absolutely atrocious, and I look for Newton to go off against it Sunday on a fast turf inside the Metrodome. Steve Smith has caught 37 passes for 625 yards and four touchdowns in six career games against Minnesota. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA) – off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 36-13 (73.5%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Carolina is 9-1 against the spread in its last 10 road games against teams that force 2.75 or more turnovers per game. The Panthers are 8-1 against the spread off a road loss over the last three seasons, bouncing back to win 27.3 to 19.4 in this spot. The Vikings are 7-15 against the number in their last 22 games following a S.U. win. Take the Panthers Sunday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

NFL | Oct 13 '13 (1:00p) Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills	Buffalo Bills +7-110 at bodog
20* AFC GAME OF THE WEEK on Buffalo Bills +7 Oddsmakers have certainly over-adjusted for Thaddeus Lewis being named the starting quarterback this week. The Bills were going to be somewhere around a 3.5-point underdog if E.J. Manuel was the starting quarterback this week, and I do not believe he's worth anywhere close to 3.5 points, which is the difference in the line adjustment. There is a ton of value here in backing the Bills as a touchdown home underdog Sunday due to the quarterback situation. After all, Buffalo doesn’t ask its quarterbacks to do too much. That’s because the Bills have the luxury of one of the best rushing attacks in the league. They are averaging 152.6 rushing yards per game to rank 3rd in the NFL in rushing offense. Lewis will be better off than he’s getting credit for because he doesn’t have to drop back and pass it 40 times for this offense to be successful. Plus, he’s a better runner than Manuel and can make plays with his feet if need be. Having last played Cleveland on Thursday, October 3, the Bills have had three extra days to get Lewis ready, which is huge. That extra time and preparation will pay off for Lewis, who went 22 of 32 for 204 yards with a touchdown and an interception in his lone career start. That start came in December of 2012 in a 24-10 loss to Pittsburgh. I'd say that all in all, that was a pretty solid performance against a great defense. Teams coming of a Thursday game the previous week have gone 7-1 against the spread in 2013. That extra time off is really paying dividends for these teams. Buffalo has played its best football at home this year, posting a 2-1 record with wins over Carolina and Baltimore. Its lone home loss came on a last-second field goal to New England by a final of 21-23 as a 10-point underdog. Cincinnati is 0-2 on the road this season, losing at Chicago and Cleveland. It has clearly played its worst football of the season away from home. You certainly have to question the fact that the Bengals are favored by a touchdown here when they haven’t proven they can play well on the road yet. The Bills are 9-1 straight up and 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 meetings with the Bengals. Plays against favorites (CINCINNATI) – off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season are 71-33 (68.3%) ATS since 1983. Buffalo is a perfect 7-0 against the spread off a road loss over the last two seasons. The Bills are 6-0 against the number in their last six home games after one or more consecutive losses. Buffalo is 4-0 against the spread in its last four home games. These three trends combine for a 17-0 system backing the home team in this one. Take the Bills Sunday.

NFL | Oct 13 '13 (1:00p) Pittsburgh Steelers vs NY Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers +1+105 at BetOnline
15* NFL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Pittsburgh Steelers +1 The Pittsburgh Steelers are desperate for a win to turn their season around. They realize there is still a lot of football left to be played with three-fourths of their season remaining. Their bye week came at a perfect time, which will allow them to regroup after an 0-4 start. Meanwhile, the Jets are coming off a big win at Atlanta on Monday Night Football, which puts them on a short week and in a letdown spot here. The edge in rest and preparation clearly favors Pittsburgh. When you look at the numbers, it’s easy to see that the Steelers have been a much better team than their record would indicate. They are actually outgaining opponents by roughly 20 yards per game, which would be the sign of a winning team rather than one that is 0-4 at this point in the season. They rank 18th in the league in total offense at 341.5 yards per game, and 10th in total defense at 321.7 yards per game. Their problem has been turnovers as they are -11 in turnover differential. They have yet to force a single turnover defensively, which is unheard of and will even out over time. Pittsburgh has gotten a nice boost offensively in recent weeks with the return of tight end Heath Miller and first-round running back Le’Veon Bell. All Bell did was rush for 57 yards and two touchdowns, while also catching four balls for 27 yards in the loss to Minnesota in London. He gives the Steelers a real threat in the running game that they haven’t had for a long time. Miller already has nine catches for 105 yards in just two games, and he’s a huge part of this offense. Big Ben loves to find him when he’s in trouble, and he simply opens up the field for everyone else. Look for this Pittsburgh offense to thrive going forward. Geno Smith had a great performance Monday Night, and he has been hearing about it through the media all week long. He completed 16 of 20 passes for 199 yards with three touchdowns. It was a good performance, but you have to remember that Atlanta has one of the worst defenses in the league. I believe Smith will let that performance go to his head, and now he'll up against a much tougher Pittsburgh defense this week that will get after him. Smith has still turned the ball over 11 times this season, including eight interceptions. I'm not going to let one solid game take away from the fact that this is still a rookie with a ton of growing to do. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PITTSBURGH) – after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers are 26-8 (76.5%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. New York is 1-8 against the spread after going over the total in one or more consecutive games over the last two seasons. The Steelers are 9-3 against the number in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jets are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Steelers Sunday.

NFL | Oct 13 '13 (4:05p) Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars +27½-110 at sia
15* Jaguars/Broncos AFC Sunday No-Brainer on Jacksonville +27.5 Even with how bad Jacksonville has been, any time the books are going to give me nearly four touchdowns in an NFL game, I'm going to look to take it. There’s no question that Denver is the more talented team by far, but asking it to win by four touchdowns to beat you is asking too much. After all, there have only been six previous favorites of 20 or more points in the NFL dating back to 1980. Those six favorites have gone 0-6 against the spread. With the parity in the NFL, it’s too tough to ask a team to lay more than 20 points, let alone 27.5. The Broncos are in a huge letdown spot here. They are coming off a wild 51-48 win at Dallas last week, which clearly took a lot of energy and effort. Now, they play the Indianapolis Colts next week, and there’s no question that if Peyton Manning was ever going to look ahead to a game, it would be this one. He desperately wants revenge against his former team for trading him away. The Broncos probably feel like they just have to show up to win Sunday, which is a dangerous mentality. Denver has been atrocious defensively this year, giving up 27.8 points and 416.6 total yards per game to rank 28th in the league in total defense. Jacksonville is coming off its best offensive output of the season in a 20-34 loss at St. Louis last week, which was much closer than the final score would indicate. The Jaguars outgained the Rams 363-351, but lost due to finishing -3 in turnover differential. Two of those turnovers were charged to Blaine Gabbert, who was knocked out of the game with an injury. Chad Henne replaced him and played well, completing 7 of 13 passes for 89 yards and a touchdown. I have much more confidence in the Jaguars with Henne under center rather than Gabbert, who has thrown one touchdown against seven interceptions this season. Henne is completing 55.8 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and two interceptions this year. Justin Blackmon made his return to the lineup last week from a four-game suspension and made an immediate impact. He caught five balls for 136 yards and a score. Blackmon and Cecil Shorts form one of the most underrated receiving duos in the league, and when they’re on the field at the same time, this is a much more potent offense. Shorts has 31 receptions for 411 yards and a touchdown on the season, and he's glad to have Blackmon back to take some attention away from him. The great thing about catching nearly four touchdowns is the fact that the favorite will let off the gas after a certainly point. If Denver is up three or four touchdowns in the third quarter, there's no need to play Peyton Manning the rest of the way. That's where the Jaguars would have an excellent chance to win the second half and cover the spread with ease, even if it were to take a back door cover. Only once this season has Denver won a game by more than 22 points. It has taken Peyton Manning out in the second half of a couple blowout victories as well. Plays on road teams (JACKSONVILLE) – after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 31-8 (79.5%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Denver is 1-9 against the spread in its last 10 games after scoring 25 points or more in five straight games. The Jaguars are 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jaguars have won five of their last six meetings with the Broncos. The underdog is 5-1 against the number in the last six meetings. Roll with the Jaguars Sunday.

-= TOP PLAY =-

NFL | Oct 13 '13 (8:30p) Washington Redskins vs Dallas Cowboys

Washington Redskins +6-110 at bodog

25* Redskins/Cowboys NBC Sunday Night GAME OF THE YEAR on Washington +6 The Washington Redskins have given the Dallas Cowboys all they have wanted and more over the last several years. They won both meetings last year, winning 38-31 in Dallas and 28-18 at home with the NFC East title on the line. In fact, only once in the last 13 meetings has Washington lost to Dallas by more than 5 points. That’s a 12-1 system backing the Redskins when you factor in the 6-point spread. Plus, Washington is 13-3 against the spread in its last 16 meetings with the Cowboys, including 6-0 in its last six meetings in Dallas. Also, the underdog is 23-7 against the number in the last 30 meetings. There’s no question that the Redskins have struggled in the early going. But you have to remember that this team went 3-6 through its first nine games last year, only to reel off seven straight victories to close out the season to win the NFC East with a 10-6 record. The Redskins aren’t about to pack it in at this point after what happened last year. There’s still a lot to like about this team now that they are back on track after a 24-14 victory over Oakland last time out. Now, Washington has had two full weeks to prepare for Dallas as it will be coming off its bye. The offense has still been dynamic, averaging 390.7 total yards per game to rank 7th in the NFL in total offense. Robert Griffin III and company should have their way with a Dallas defense that ranks 27th in the league in total defense at 409.2 yards per game, including 28th against the pass at 326.4 yards per game. Alfred Morris is good to go following the bye week after suffering a rib injury in the Week 4 win over Oakland. Morris rushed for 313 yards and four touchdowns in two meetings with Dallas last year. Griffin III threw for 304 yards and four touchdowns in the 38-31 win in Dallas last season. I look for the Cowboys to suffer a hangover from their 48-51 loss to the Denver Broncos last week. They came so close to winning that game, and it's going to be tough to regroup in time to face a Washington that is fresh and ready to go following the bye. Dallas cornerback Brandon Carr has made the foolish mistake of giving Robert Griffin III added motivation heading into this one. "He doesn't look the same," Carr said Thursday on the NFL Network. "That's not saying we're going to fall asleep on him. He still has the same arm strength. He still has same type of elusive ability once he gets outside the pocket. ... But we know he's not the same." The last thing you want to do is add fuel to the fire against a division rival, and you can bet that Griffin III has heard the comments and will be more determined than ever to prove his doubters wrong Sunday night. Washington is 7-0 against the spread vs. poor pass defenses that allow 235 or more passing yards per game over the last two seasons. The Redskins are 6-1 against the number in their last seven vs. NFC East opponents. The Cowboys are 5-16 against the spread in their last 21 vs. a team with a losing record. Dallas is 3-10 against the number in its last 13 vs. NFC East opponents. Bet the Redskins Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner:

2000* NFL Over 42 Rams/Texans
100* NFL Bengals -4
50* NFL Eagles -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS consultants football lock club

8* Over Cowboys
7* Under 49ers
6* Jets, Seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Weekend Wagers with Weekend Warrior October 13, 2013 6:17 AM by Mark Mayer

NFL Football

215 Pittsburgh Steelers EVEN: Public heavily backing Steelers, knocking line down from Jets -2½.

218 Buffalo Bills +6: Bills simply play better at home and worth taking the points.

220 Seattle Seahawks -13: Robert Wilson gets the Seattle offense back in gear.

222 Denver Broncos +20 (first half bet vs. Jax): This way no worries about back door cover or Peyton leaving early.

227 Washington Redskins +5½: Always wise to take this many points in an NFC East game.

NHL Hockey

6 Winnipeg Jets -145: More of a wager against New Jersey.

Baseball American League Championship

907 Detroit Tigers / 908 Boston Red Sox UNDER 7½: Scherzer vs. Buchholz should be a pitcher’s duel.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Football Play of the Day October 13, 2013 6:23 AM by GT Staff

Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings -2

As insensitive as the sports betting business can be at times, there’s no getting around that the senseless death of Adrian Peterson’s young son weighs heavily in this selection. AP says he’s a go and the Vikings will play like a team possessed in rallying behind him.

212 Minnesota Vikings -2