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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359662

    11-3-13

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359662

    #2
    Sunday's NFL Week 9 betting cheat sheet: Early action

    Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-9.5, 45)

    The Carolina Panthers have surged above .500 for the first time since 2008 and aim for their fourth straight victory when they host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. The Panthers have won three straight by an average of 19.3 points to pull within two games of NFC South leader New Orleans. The defending champion Falcons have struggled to their worst start since 2007.

    Carolina's offense has sprung to life the past three weeks, topping 30 points in each game while Cam Newton has posted a league-best 130.3 passer rating over that span. And there's more good news: it appears running back Jonathan Stewart will make his season debut. He practiced in full pads Wednesday for the first time in nearly a year and drew rave reviews from coaches and teammates.

    LINE: Carolina opened as a 7.5-point favorite, but the line has jumped to 9.5. The total has risen from 43 to 45.
    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing diagonally out of the N at 7 mph.
    COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Falcons (+3.0) + Panthers (-1.0) + home field (-3.0) = Carolina -7
    TRENDS:

    * Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
    * Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with losing records.
    * Over is 12-2-2 in Carolina's last 16 games vs. the NFC South.

    Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (-10, 48)

    Minnesota has struggled on defense for most of the season - but the majority of the attention is being placed on the quarterback position, where Josh Freeman and Christian Ponder seem to be in a weekly competition for the starting job. Neither passer managed to take advantage of an opportunity to start, and Matt Cassel is the only quarterback on the roster with a win under his belt this season.

    New Cowboys defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin has his unit last in the NFL while surrendering an average of 422.5 yards. Dallas already allowed four different quarterbacks to pass for over 400 yards and was burned for the second-highest receiving total in NFL history when Calvin Johnson piled up 329 yards last week. The Cowboys surrendered 623 total yards at Detroit last week, with the last 80 coming in the final 50 seconds.

    LINE: Dallas is installed as a 10-point favorite after opening at -10.5. The total has risen from 47 to 48.
    WEATHER: N/A
    COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Vikings (+7.5) + Cowboys (-3.5) + home field (-3.0) = Dallas -15
    TRENDS:

    * Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the NFC.
    * Cowboys are 5-0 in their last five games on Fieldturf.
    * The favorite is 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings.

    New Orleans Saints at New York Jets (+6.5, 45.5)

    Drew Brees is having another stellar season as he leads the NFC with 19 touchdown tosses and a 109.2 passer rating while ranking second with 2,290 yards passing. The former Super Bowl MVP is coming off a victory over Buffalo in which he threw for 332 yards and five scores, marking the NFL-record eighth time he's had five touchdowns passes.

    Jets rookie Geno Smith has shown signs of being a solid NFL quarterback, he'll need to cut down on mistakes if he hopes to earn that distinction. Smith has thrown 13 interceptions, the third-highest total in the league, and been sacked 28 times - second to Miami's Ryan Tannehill (32). Smith has thrown seven touchdown passes and four interceptions in the team's victories compared to one TD and nine picks in the losses.

    LINE: The Jets opened the week as a 4.5-point dog, but the line has since jumped to 6.5. The total is 45.5..
    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with wind blowing diagonally out of the NW at 12 mph.
    COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Saints (-6.0) + Jets (+3.5) - home field (-3.0) = Jets +6.5
    TRENDS:

    * Saints are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 November games.
    * Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous encounter.
    * Over is 5-1 in New York's last six games.

    Tennessee Titans at St. Louis Rams (+1, 39.5)

    Quarterback Jake Locker (hip, knee) got some well-needed rest with Tennessee on a bye last weekend and has a solid 8-to-1 touchdowns-to-interceptions rate. Locker missed two games before passing for 326 yards and two scores in a loss to San Francisco on Oct. 20 prior to the break. Running back Chris Johnson is struggling mightily with just 110 yards on 46 carries over the past four games.

    Defensive end Robert Quinn is having a dominating campaign and ranks fourth in the NFL with 10 sacks. Quinn had three of the team’s seven sacks in the 14-9 loss to the Seahawks, a contest in which St. Louis allowed just 135 yards. Quarterback Kellen Clemens again starts for injured Sam Bradford after going 15-of-31 for 158 yards and two interceptions against Seattle in his 13th career start.

    LINE: The Rams opened +3 and are now +1, with the total holding at 39.5.
    WEATHER: N/A
    COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Titans (+1.0) - Rams (+6.5) - home field (-3.0) = Rams +2.5
    TRENDS:

    * Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with losing records.
    * Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an SU loss.
    * Over is 5-0 in St. Louis' last five home games against teams with losing road records.

    Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (+3.5, 39.5)

    A tenacious defense and efficient offense have the Kansas City Chiefs off to their best start in 10 seasons. The Chiefs look to keep both in gear on Sunday and win their ninth straight contest to begin a campaign for the first time since 2003 when they visit the Buffalo Bills. The aggressive defense boasts an NFL-best 36 sacks while holding opposing offenses to a league-low 12.3 points per game.

    With running back C.J. Spiller's availability in limbo, veteran Fred Jackson will need to overcome the pains of a sprained MCL in an effort to keep Kansas City's pass rush at bay. Stevie Johnson has been nursing a hip flexor, but did his best to put it in his rear-view mirror following a seven-reception, 72-yard effort with a touchdown in Sunday's 35-17 setback to New Orleans.

    LINE: The Bills opened +3 and are now +3.5. The total opened 41.5 and is down to 39.5.
    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-30s with a 32 percent chance of snow.
    COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chiefs (-4.5) + Bills (+4.5) - home field (-3.0) = Buffalo +6
    TRENDS:

    * Chiefs are 4-11 ATS against teams with losing records.
    * Bills are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss.
    * Under is 7-1 in Kansas City's last eight November games.

    San Diego Chargers at Washington Redskins (-1, 51)

    Philip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers have to be salivating at the prospect of facing the Washington Redskins' defense this weekend. The Chargers travel across the country looking for their first three-game winning streak since 2011 when the teams match up on Sunday. The Redskins, meanwhile, are allowing 32.7 points per game - second-worst in the NFL - and have yielded 39 points per game over their last three contests.

    Rivers' 15 touchdown passes have gone to six different receivers, with Eddie Royal leading the way with six scores and tight end Antonio Gates (497 yards, two TDs) on pace to lead the team in receiving yards for the first time since 2010. Even running back Ryan Mathews, once considered a first-round bust, is starting to become a force, having rushed for more than 100 yards in back-to-back games.

    LINE: This opened as a Pick and is now Skins -1. The total has held firm at 51.
    WEATHER: Skies will be clear with temperatures in the low-50s and wind blowing across the field at 13 mph.
    COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chargers (-1.5) + Washington (+3.0) - home field (-3.0) = Washington +1.5
    TRENDS:

    * Chargers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
    * Redskins are 6-2 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
    * Over is 18-7-1 in San Diego's last 26 road games vs. teams with losing home records.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359662

      #3
      Sunday's NFL Week 9 betting cheat sheet: Late action

      Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders (-1, 45)

      Philadelphia doesn't know what it will get from Sunday starting quarterback Nick Foles - the NFC Offensive Player of the Week from Week 6 or the guy who was 11-of-29 for 80 yards before leaving with a concussion a week later against Dallas. Regardless of the quarterback situation, the Eagles can lean on the NFL's leading rusher in LeSean McCoy (733 yards).

      Oakland still has plenty of work to do to get back in the playoff picture, but the offense is starting to take shape thanks to dynamic dual-threat quarterback Terrelle Pryor. Pryor leads the team - and all NFL quarterbacks - with 391 rushing yards and set a franchise record with a 93-yard touchdown run in last week's 21-18 win over Pittsburgh.

      LINE: Oakland has held steady as a one-point favorite. The total is set at 45.5.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 12 mph.
      COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Eagles (+3.0) - Raiders (+5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Oakland -1
      TRENDS:

      * Eagles are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games.
      * Raiders are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win.
      * Under is 8-0 in Oakland's last eight home games.

      Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks (-14.5, 40)

      Seattle struggled badly on offense in a 14-9 win over the St. Louis Rams on Monday night, totaling just 135 yards – 80 on one scoring play from Wilson to Golden Tate – and needing a game-ending goal-line stand to seal the victory. The Seahawks will be without receiver Sidney Rice, who suffered a season-ending knee injury in the contest.

      Tampa Bay has been asking rookie quarterback Mike Glennon to throw a lot of passes with star running back Doug Martin (shoulder) sidelined and Schiano said the attack will become more balanced. Glennon has averaged 45.3 pass attempts in his first four starts while throwing for 997 yards and six touchdowns against just three interceptions.

      LINE: The Seahawks opeend -17 but are now -14.5. The total is currently 40..
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with a 43 percent chance of rain.
      COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Buccaneers (+7.0) + Seahawks (-6.5) + home field (-3.0) = Seattle -16.5
      TRENDS:

      * Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. the NFC.
      * Seahawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games on Fieldturf.
      * Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.

      Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (+1, 41)

      The Ravens put up 16.5 in their last two losses and are feeling the pressure to turn the season around. The lone bright spot for the Baltimore offense over the two games before the bye came from quarterback Joe Flacco, who passed for 557 yards and three touchdowns without an interception in the contests. Flacco is 11-0 against the Browns in his career with 13 touchdowns and five interceptions.

      Cleveland will go with its sixth different quarterback in the 12 career games against Flacco, with Jason Campbell getting his first start in the series. Campbell posted solid numbers in his first start for the Browns last week, completing 22-of-36 passes for 293 yards and a pair of touchdowns in a 23-17 loss to the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs.

      LINE: Cleveland has held steady as a one-point underdog. The total is 41, down from an open of 40.5.
      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-40s with cloudy skies.
      COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Ravens (+1.0) - Browns (+4.0) + home field (-3.0) = even
      TRENDS:

      * Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
      * Browns are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. the AFC North.
      * Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings.

      Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (-7, 44)

      Pittsburgh has failed to reach 20 points in five of its seven games and is tied for 27th in scoring with an average of 17.9 points a game. A patchwork offensive line that lost three more players to injury last week has hindered rookie Le'Veon Bell and the running game while Roethlisberger was sacked five times to boost his season total to 26.

      Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is completing 55.7 percent of his passes and has a QB rating of 74.9 - both career lows - while tossing two TD passes and four interceptions in the past four games. Tight end Rob Gronkowski (hamstring) was limited in practice Wednesday, so the Patriots could lean on a running game that produced 152 yards last week.

      LINE: The Patriots opened at -7. The total has held steady at 44.
      WEATHER: Wind will blow diagonally out of the northwest at 12 mph with temperatures in the mid-30s.
      COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Steelers (+3.5) + Patriots (-5.0) + home field (-3.0) = New England -11.5
      TRENDS:

      * Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
      * Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. the AFC.
      * Over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359662

        #4
        NFL betting weather report: Sunday's forecasts

        Find out how weather will impact your NFL bets for Sunday's matchups:

        Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-9.5, 45)

        Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.

        New Orleans Saints at New York Jets (+6.5, 45.5)

        Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 13 mph. Temperatures will be in the mid-40s.

        Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (+3.5, 39.5)

        Forecasts are calling for a 26 percent chance of rain. Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with wind blowing across the field at 7 mph.

        San Diego Chargers at Washington Redskins (-1, 51)

        Temperatures will be in the low-50s with wind blowing toward the SE endzone at 12 mph.

        Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders (-1, 44.5)

        Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.

        Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks (-14.5, 41)

        There is a 38 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Wind will blow across the field at 3 mph.

        Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (+1, 41)

        There is a 23 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Wind will blow toward the SW endzone at 6 mph.

        Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (-6, 44)

        There is a 21 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 7 mph.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359662

          #5
          Saints at Jets: What bettors need to know

          New Orleans Saints at New York Jets (+6.5, 45.5)

          The Ryan twins continue their sibling rivalry Sunday when Rob and the New Orleans Saints visit Rex and the New York Jets. Rob Ryan, the Saints' defensive coordinator, has lost all of the previous four matchups in which the brothers were either coordinators or head coaches. He has a strong chance to notch his first victory as New Orleans' defense leads the NFC with 3.4 sacks per game and ranks fourth in the NFL in turnover differential with a plus-8 mark.

          The Saints seek their second straight victory following a three-point loss at New England in Week 6. Rex Ryan's Jets have alternated wins and losses since the beginning of the season, scoring 27 or more points in three of their four triumphs while allowing at least 38 points in half of their four defeats. If the pattern continues, New York is ripe for a win after an embarrassing 49-9 setback at Cincinnati last week.

          TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

          LINE: The Jets opened +4 and are now +6.5. The total opened 45.5.

          ABOUT THE SAINTS (6-1): Drew Brees is having another stellar season as he leads the NFC with 19 touchdown tosses and a 109.2 passer rating while ranking second with 2,290 yards passing. The former Super Bowl MVP is coming off a victory over Buffalo in which he threw for 332 yards and five scores, marking the NFL-record eighth time he's had five TD passes. Brees' career numbers against the Jets are mediocre at best, however, as he is 2-2 with three touchdowns and five interceptions in four starts.

          ABOUT THE JETS (4-4): While Geno Smith has shown signs of being a solid NFL quarterback, he'll need to cut down on mistakes if he hopes to earn that distinction. Smith has thrown 13 interceptions, the third-highest total in the league, and been sacked 28 times - second to Miami's Ryan Tannehill (32). Smith has thrown seven touchdown passes and four interceptions in the team's victories compared to one TD and nine picks in the losses.

          TRENDS:

          * Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
          * Under is 4-0 in Saints last four games in Week 9.
          * Over is 5-1 in Jets last six games overall.
          * Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games in November.

          EXTRA POINTS:

          1. The Saints have won five of the last six meetings to improve t0 6-5 in the all-time series.

          2. The clubs last met on Oct. 4, 2009, and haven't squared off in New York since Nov. 27, 2005.

          3. New Orleans WR Marques Colston needs 119 yards to overtake Eric Martin (7,854) for first place on the franchise list.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359662

            #6
            Vikings at Cowboys: What bettors need to know

            Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (-10, 48)

            The Dallas Cowboys learned last week that the prevent defense is anything but a certainty. The Cowboys will look to bounce back from a crushing loss and hang onto their lead in the NFC East when they host the struggling Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. The Vikings don’t have the type of explosive passing game that has doomed the Dallas defense and Adrian Peterson is averaging only 50 rushing yards in the last three games.

            The Cowboys surrendered 623 total yards at Detroit last week, with the last 80 coming in the final 50 seconds to give the Lions an improbable 31-30 victory. Dallas wide receiver Dez Bryant got into a pair of shouting matches with teammates and coaches on the sidelines during that game but the team insists there are no hard feelings. “There’s not a guy that you love playing more with on Sundays than Dez Bryant,” Cowboys tight end Jason Witten told ESPN Dallas. “I feel like I have a lot of passion and I think he matches that passion.”

            TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

            LINE: The Cowboys opened as 10.5-point faves and are now -10. The total opened 47 and is up to 48.

            ABOUT THE VIKINGS (1-6): Minnesota’s defense is nearly as poor as the Cowboys but the majority of the attention is being placed on the quarterback position, where Josh Freeman and Christian Ponder seem to be in a weekly competition for the starting job. Neither passer managed to take advantage of an opportunity to start, but Ponder will be under center for the second straight week. The unsettled situation at quarterback and a nagging hamstring injury are keeping Peterson from replicating his historic 2012 campaign, when he amassed 2,097 yards on the ground.

            ABOUT THE COWBOYS (4-4): Dallas could use some of Bryant’s "passion" on the defensive side of the ball, where new defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin has his unit last in the NFL while surrendering an average of 422.5 yards. The Cowboys have already allowed four different quarterbacks to pass for over 400 yards and were burned for the second-highest receiving total in NFL history when Calvin Johnson piled up 329 yards last week. Tony Romo is enjoying a solid season at quarterback but is not getting much help from the running game with DeMarco Murray (knee) sitting out the past two games after being limited to 14 carries or less in the previous three.

            TRENDS:

            * Favorite is 9-0 ATS in their last nine meetings.
            * Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
            * Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
            * Over is 10-1 in Vikings last 11 games in Week 9.

            EXTRA POINTS:

            1. Cowboys CB Morris Claiborne (hamstring) is not expected to play and S Barry Church (hamstring) is questionable.

            2. Minnesota WR Greg Jennings (knee) sat out practice on Wednesday and is questionable.

            3. Dallas is 11-0 when Murray gets 18 or more carries.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359662

              #7
              Kansas City Chiefs try to end ATS slump versus AFC East

              The Kansas City Chiefs might have a perfect start to the 2013 season, but they aren't so perfect against the AFC East.

              The Chiefs (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) face the Buffalo Bills Sunday but have gone 0-9 ATS against AFC East opponents, including a SU and ATS loss at Buffalo in Week 2 as 3-point road dogs last season.

              It was Week 8 of the 2008 season when the Chiefs last covered against an AFC East foe. They coverd as 14-point dogs against the New York Jets, but lost straight up 28-24.

              KC will try to snap its ATS funk against the Bills Sunday. The Chiefs are 3.5-point road faves at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359662

                #8
                NFL Prop Shop: Week 9's best player prop bets
                By SEAN MURPHY

                Don’t limit your NFL bets to just sides and totals each Sunday. Covers Expert Sean Murphy opens the doors to the Prop Shop, giving you his favorite player prop picks for Week 9.

                Most passing yards

                Alex Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Thaddeus Lewis (Buffalo Bills)

                Alex Smith is coming off a pretty solid performance against a sneaky-good Browns defense last week, throwing for 225 yards and two scores while posting a 102.2 QB rating. I'm confident we'll see him build on that performance against a struggling Bills secondary that gives up just under seven yards per pass play here in Orchard Park.

                Bills QB Thaddeus Lewis has thrown for over 200 yards in each of his first three games since taking over for an injured E.J. Manuel, but he'll face arguably his toughest defensive test to date on Sunday. The Chiefs have held the opposition to just 5.8 yards per pass attempt this season, but should be in a foul mood after allowing Browns journeyman QB Jason Campbell to throw for just shy of 300 yards last week.

                Take: Smith

                Jake Locker (Tennessee Titans) vs. Kellen Clemens (St. Louis Rams)

                Jake Locker struggled two weeks ago against San Francisco - his first game back after missing a pair of contests due to an injured hip. The combination of rust and facing a fierce 49ers defensive front proved too much for the third-year NFL quarterback.

                He should bounce back this week, as the Titans come off of their bye, and go up against a Rams squad that could still be feeling the effects from Monday's slugfest against the division rival Seahawks.

                Kellen Clemens is the man in charge of the Rams offense now that Sam Bradford is sidelined for the season. He turned in a gutsy effort against the Seahawks, but it was ultimately a fruitless one, as he completed only 15-of-31 passes for 158 yards, no touchdowns, and two interceptions. Things won't get much easier against one of the most physical defenses in the league on Sunday afternoon. Expect the Rams offense to remain conservative in this matchup.

                Take: Locker

                Most rushing yards

                LeSean McCoy (Philadelphia Eagles) vs. Darren McFadden (Oakland Raiders)

                Shady McCoy just hasn't looked like himself lately, running for just 103 yards combined over the last two weeks, with his longest run over that stretch going for just 10 yards. He continues to battle through an ankle injury - perhaps that's part of the reason he's lacked explosiveness. Note that McCoy has rushed for more than 73 yards in only three of eight games this season.

                Raiders RB Darren McFadden has been an even bigger disappointment. Since gaining 129 yards on the ground back in Week 2, McFadden has topped 52 rushing yards only once in four games. That came last week, however, as McFadden picked up 73 yards, and more importantly, two touchdowns against the Steelers. That's something he can build on this week, and he faces a favorable matchup against an Eagles defense that hasn't seen many teams choose to run on them this season.

                Take: McFadden

                Most pass receptions

                Tony Gonzalez (Atlanta Falcons) vs. Steve Smith (Carolina Panthers)

                Tony Gonzalez was obviously a big part of the Falcons plans this season after they talked him out of retirement in the offseason. He, along with the rest of the team, has been a major disappointment.

                Gonzalez enters this game having hauled in just five catches in the last two games. He's topped out at four receptions in five of seven contests so far this season. I don't expect him to find much open field against an underrated Panthers defense this week.

                Steve Smith isn't enjoying a banner year by any means, but he has been fairly consistent, catching at least five passes in four of seven games to date. He had 10 catches in two games against the Falcons last season, leading the team with 18 pass targets. I'll back Smith in this matchup between two savvy veterans on Sunday.

                Take: Smith
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359662

                  #9
                  NFL betting: Rex Ryan 4-0 SU against brother Rob

                  Sunday's meeting between the New Orleans Saints and New York Jets is much more than a game. It's a battle between the brothers Ryan!

                  Since the two became NFL coaches, Rex (Jets head coach) and Rob Ryan (Saints defensive coordinator) have stood on opposing sidelines on four occasions. Rex leads the all-time count with a perfect 4-0 SU record and an almost-perfect 3-1 ATS mark in those four meetings. The Over/Under count is 3-0-1.

                  Here is a look at the four meetings:

                  In the first two meetings, Rex was defensive coordinator of the Baltimore Ravens and Rob was defensive coordinator of the Oakland Raiders.

                  2006: Ravens 28, Raiders 6 (Ravens -12.5)
                  2008: Ravens 29, Raiders 10 (Ravens -9)

                  The third meeting saw Rex as head coach of the Jets and Rob was defensive coordinator of the Cleveland Browns.

                  2010: Jets 26, Browns 20 (Jets -3.5)

                  The fourth matchup had Rob as the defensive coordinator of the Dallas Cowboys.

                  2011: Jets 27, Cowboys 24 (Jets -6.5)

                  Sunday's meeting has the Saints as 6.5-point road faves at the Jets and the total is currently 45.5.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359662

                    #10
                    English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

                    Just a pair of games on the board Sunday to wrap up this weekend's fixtures in the English Premier League. With Chelsea's loss at Newcastle, Tottenham has an opportunity to leapfrog its London rival. It won't be easy for Spurs, however, who have the unenvious task of winning at Everton.

                    We talk to Aron Black of Bet365 about the action coming in for Sunday.

                    Everton v Tottenham (+145, +240, +210)

                    Why bet Everton: Life post-Moyes has been good in the blue half of Liverpool. The Toffees have played excellent football under Roberto Martinez and have just one loss on the season (at Man City). They are tough to crack at home and have 10 points from a possible 12 at Goodison Park.

                    Key players out/doubtful: Darron Gibson, Antolin Alcaraz, Arouna Koné

                    Why bet Tottenham: Spurs are one of the best away teams in the Premier League with nine points in four matches. The side is still anemic offensively, however, with just nine goals in nine matches. It feels like just a matter of time before Spurs explode offensively and with a chance to climb the table, what better time than now?

                    Key players out/doubtful: Nacer Chadli, Emmanuel Adebayor, Danny Rose, Younes Kaboul

                    2012-13 fixture result: Everton 2, Tottenham 1

                    Key betting note: Spurs are winless in their last six matches at Goodison with three draws and three losses.

                    Where the action is: "Action so far on the FT result is pretty split – but is also a match that sees the most action on a draw, as many predict a tight affair that will see both sides playing much more cautious, and a draw would not be a bad result for either side. The under 2.5 is favored at -125, which is giving some tasty prices on players To Score Anytime. Everton's leading goalscorer Romelu Lukaku is available at +200, and is being backed as the man to get on the scoresheet anytime as well as First Goalscorer at +600."

                    Cardiff v Swansea (+240, +240, +130)

                    Why bet Cardiff: After back-to-back losses, Cardiff finally got a positive result with a 0-0 draw at Norwich. It had been a rough stretch for the Welsh club, but the point was big. They'll be up for this one as it is the first Welsh derby in the history of the Premier League.

                    Key players out/doubtful: Andreas Cornelius

                    Why bet Swansea: Swansea has also turned its fortunes around. The Swans throttled Sunderland 4-0 and are coming off a 0-0 draw with West Ham. They are also a decent outfit away from home with six points in four matches. They'll have traveling support in Cardiff for this one as Welsh bragging rights are on the line.

                    Key players out/doubtful: Ben Davies

                    2012-13 fixture result: N/A

                    Key betting note: Swansea have played under the 2.5 goal total in their last four away matches in the league.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359662

                      #11
                      SPORTS WAGERS

                      Pittsburgh +6½ over NEW ENGLAND

                      Just when you thought Pittsburgh had changed its ways, they drop a loose deuce in, of all places, Oakland. That’s where good teams go to pad their record but the Steelers self-destructed again with Big Ben throwing up passes ala Brett Favre. The Steelers don’t have a lot of appeal right now (when you score less than 20 in five games, including both of your wins, it doesn’t leave much margin for error) but this isn’t about backing the Steelers as much as it is about fading the Patriots in a bad spot.

                      New England was fortunate that the Dolphins decided to sit on their halftime lead last week instead of going for the throat. Tommy Boy of Boston continues to insist there’s no problem with his throwing hand but over the last four games he has two touchdowns and passer ratings of 52.2, 74.7, 53.5 and 69.5. Those are Mark Sanchez numbers, not the Master of the Sweater Vest. If something isn’t wrong, you could fool us. His Week 10 bye can’t come soon enough and the same can be said for the entire roster. The Patriots are cruising with a 6-2 record. They know it and we know it that none of the other teams in the AFC East are good enough to catch them. Patriots are 4-0 at home but bear almost no resemblance to the Patriots of the last five or even 10 years. No team has been looking forward to the bye more than the Patriots and a little complacency figures to set in before said bye. Now Brady with his sore hand will face the league’s best pass defense, statistically. We may not even need the points here because this is precisely the type of game the Steelers can win outright.


                      Philadelphia +118 over OAKLAND

                      The Raiders are pure garbage but because of a couple of recent wins over San Diego at 3:30 in the morning and more recently Pittsburgh, they are now favored over the reeling Eagles. Not for a second are we biting on this favorite. Terrelle Pryor showed how to beat the Steelers passing defense - just don't pass. Pryor only threw for 88 yards but ran in an NFL record 93-yard touchdown to open the Steelers game. Pryor is still well below average and hasn't thrown for more than 225 yards more than once. The Raiders did not score in the second half last week and they were outgained in the air 241 to 82. There’s an old saying we subscribe that applies here; don’t lay juice ort points with bad football teams.

                      The Eagles stock has hit rock bottom after another horrible display last week against the lifeless Giants. Can the Eagles really be this bad? With Michael Vick playing, yes they can but Philly Chip has named Nick Foles as his starter this week and Foles is dangerous with all those weapons he has at his disposal. The NFC is so bad that the Eagles actually have a chance to win the division with their 3-5 record and it has to begin here. Philly is actually more comfortable on the road, as all three of their wins this season have been away from home and this one is just as winnable as those others. We’re buying low.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359662

                        #12
                        Rest of Robert Ferringo
                        2 Unit Carolina -7.5
                        2 Unit Seattle -16

                        1-Unit Play. Take #405 New Orleans (-6) over N.Y. Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
                        1-Unit Play. Take #422 Houston (+2.5) over Indianapolis (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
                        I ALSO LIKE A 1-UNIT PLAY ON BUFFALO AT +3 OR BETTER.
                        This Week's Totals
                        4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 47.0 - Minnesota at Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
                        3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 43.0 - Pittsburgh at New England (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
                        1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 41.5 - Baltimore at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
                        1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take 'Over' 40.0 - Minnesota at Dallas (1 p.m.) AND Take 'Over' 36.0
                        Pittsburgh at New England (4 p.m.)
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359662

                          #13
                          VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
                          NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
                          2 Unit Play. #403 Take Over 47 - Minnesota at Dallas (1:00p.m., Sunday, Nov 3)
                          So Green Bay scored 44 points against the Vikings defense last week and now the Cowboys get a
                          shot against this horrible defense. The Cowboys will be looking to punish anybody this week for
                          what happen last week in Detroit. I see Tony Romo having a big game and the Boys offense will
                          easy score points are only worry is the Viking offense. Minnesota is 6-1 O/U in their last 7 games
                          and the Dallas Cowboys are 6-2 O/U in their last 8 home games.

                          3 Unit Play. #410 Take Buffalo +3 over Kansas City (1:00p.m., Sunday, Nov 3)
                          I still can't believe this Kansas City team is unbeaten! The Chiefs are averaging 22.5ppg in their
                          last 4 wins and their offense is pretty much uneventful. Kansas City is also hitting the road in
                          almost a month and this game could be the game they get their first 'L'. Yes I know Buffalo is
                          coming into this home game lost 3 out of 4 games but 3 of those games were on the road and
                          their win was that road game against Miami. Bills defense will be up for this game and since the
                          Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles is not 100% we are taking the home underdog in this game. Buffalo is 6-
                          0 ATS following a SU loss and the Bills are 5-2 ATS against AFC opponents.

                          5 Unit Play. #417 Take Under 41 ½ - Baltimore at Cleveland (4:25p.m., Sunday, Nov 3)
                          (Total Game of the Week)
                          So if you like offense you might want to tune in to another Sunday NFL game. NFL Week #2 these
                          two teams did battle and that game ended 14-6 and the public bet that game over. I'm shocked
                          this game didn't post at total of 39 because when the Ravens have the ball they are working with
                          the number 28 overall offense and when the Browns have the ball they are working with the 24
                          overall offense. What does that spell? Another very low scoring matchup and I will be shocked to
                          see one of these teams hit the 20 mark. Baltimore has also allowed just 16.5 ppg and 6-
                          touchdowns in 6-games since getting blown out and up in Denver Week 1. The last 7 games the
                          Ravens have played 5 of them have gone under the total and if Baltimore can't rush the ball this
                          game stays under again. Cleveland is 5-12 O/U in their last 17 home games and the Browns are 1-
                          4 O/U in their last 5 games against division opponents. Last 6 meetings between these two teams
                          all 6 of them have gone under the total.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359662

                            #14
                            DOC SPORTS
                            3 Unit Play. #110/#412 Take Washington Redskins +1 over San Diego Chargers (Sunday 1 pm
                            CBS) The Redskins have not been able to get back on track, and much of that is due to the fact
                            that Robert Griffin has not been accurate from the pocket on very many occasions. The Chargers
                            have played better this season, especially at the quarterback position, but I am still not a big
                            believer in Phillip Rivers. This is a long cross-country flight for the Bolts, and expect jet lag to set
                            it. San Diego is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of November. Washington is
                            6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Washington wins this game in
                            ugly fashion, but it is a victory nonetheless.

                            4 Unit Play. #112/#414 Take Oakland Raiders -2.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (Saturday 4 pm
                            FOX)
                            Top NFL Play of the Weekend.
                            The Raiders are coming off a victory over another Pennsylvania team last Sunday, and we fully
                            expect them to complete this exacta on Sunday. Philadelphia is just a mess on offense at the moment with injuries to their quarterback and a complete lack of production of late. This is taking
                            its toll on their defense as they are on the field a ton. This game features a Rose Bowl rematch
                            between Terrelle Pryor going up against former Oregon coach Chip Kelly. Pryor won that matchup,
                            and expect a similar result in this game as well. Philadelphia is 6-17 ATS (1 push) in their last 24
                            games overall. Oakland has covered 4 of their last 5 home games. A win by the Raiders gets them
                            to the .500 mark, and we fully expect that to occur.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359662

                              #15
                              Jason Sharpe
                              5 Unit Play Take #422 Houston +2.5 over Indianapolis (8:30pm est):
                              3 Unit Play Take #406 New York Jets +6 over New Orleans (1:00pm est):
                              3 Unit Play Take #403 Minnesota +10 over Dallas (1:00pm est):
                              3 Unit Play Take #419 Pittsburgh +6.5 over New England (4:25pm est):
                              3 Unit Play Take #412 Washington +1 over San Diego (1:00pm est):
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