11-3-13

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CHAD MATTHEWS
2-Unit play. #409 Kansas City Chiefs -3 over the Buffalo Bills (Nov 3 @ 1pm ET)
The Chiefs head to Buffalo in what could pose as a big challenge for the Chiefs. The Bills have
always played the Chiefs tough in recent matchups the Chiefs are an awful 0-6 against the
spread the last six times these two teams met! Now we have to consider the facts and that is
this is an entirely different Kansas City Chiefs team than we have seen in many years. With
quarterback Alex Smith under center, a good ground game and that thick defensive line the Chiefs
are complete on both sides of the ball this season and there is a reason they are 8-0. We still
cannot go against the facts that the Chiefs are 0-6 against the Bills their past six games but I
believe this is a stacked Chiefs team. Lets lay a small two unit play here at the -3

4-Unit play. #403 Minnesota Vikings VS Dallas Cowboys - OVER 47.5 points (Nov 3 @ 1pm ET)
The Minnesota Vikings are averaging 23.2 points per game, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 28.9
points per game, its common sense here that both of these teams on any given Sunday can easily
combine for over 47.5 points. The Cowboys defense is a mess currently ranked 32nd in passing
yards giving up an average of 315 yards per game. The Vikings are currently ranked 29th in
passing yards against giving up 288 yards per game by air and 21st in rushing defense giving up
an average of 114 yards per game. This should allow the Cowboys to move the ball at will
especially coming off a heart breaking loss last week in the final seconds of the game against the
Lions when they had it outright won. The offense of the Cowboys will be ready to roll this
weekend in front of the home crowd and the Vikings will add to that point total as well. Take the
over 47.5 points here and let the points stack up.

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS
3-Unit Play. Take #402 Carolina (-7.5) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
I know that this is a Divisional rivalry game, but Atlanta just isn't that good. Carolina is rolling and
they will continue to do so on Sunday. Many people will look too far into this game as they feel
that Carolina has beaten up on bad teams, but I ask, "What is Atlanta?" The Falcons are one of
those bad teams and the Panthers win this game by double-figures. Similar to the Falcons/Cards
game last weekend. Carolina's offense has been much more potent as they have opened it up a
bit and given Cam Newton the opportunity to run a bit more with called QB draws. Look for
Carolina to continue this as the Falcons have gotten destroyed by the run the last four or five
weekends giving up over 100 yards each contest. The Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games
overall while the Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The favorite and the home
team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

3-Unit Play. Take #407 Tennessee (-3) over St. Louis (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
This Rams team is a bit overvalued coming off their performance on Monday night. Don't be fooled
by this Rams team, just because they kept it close with Seattle. Tennessee has lost three games
in a row, but that was against Kansas City, Seattle, and San Francisco. Now they are matched up
with a St. Louis team that is going to come crashing down to earth after their Monday Night
Football game. The Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS
in their last six games on turf. The Rams meanwhile are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games
versus a team with a losing road record. The Rams were extremely effective running the football
versus Seattle but still couldn't muster double-digit points. This game could be eerily similar to last
weekends St. Louis game as it will be a "rough and tumble" contest with low scoring. Tennessee
will do enough to make plays in the redzone and win this game by a touchdown. The fact that the
Rams just cannot score the football on the ground is a huge issue and Tennessee will tee off
when the Rams get close as they know they get one-dimensional when they are in the trenches
in front of the endzone. St. Louis just hasn't proven that they can get the job done where the money is made, the redzone.

3-Unit Play. Take #413 Philadelphia (+2.5) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
When this game first came out I was leaning toward Oakland as I felt that there was no way
Philadelphia should be favored on the road and Vegas got it wrong. Know it has swung five points
in the favor of the Raiders and I love the Eagles. No way should this line have moved as much as
it did as neither team has a player on their roster that is worth this much of a line swing. For this
reason I am backing the Eagles in this contest. Oakland is coming off a big home win versus the
Steelers and I see them faltering a bit in this one. The Eagles are trotting out Nick Foles in this
one and he had a solid practice this week leading up to this game. I will take the points here as
that is where the value lies. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and the
Raiders are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games follwing an ATS win.

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Dave Essler

3* Bills

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Goodfella

3* Bills
3* Raiders ML

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Stephen Nover

409 KAN double-dime bet

417 BAL triple-dime bet

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ALLEN EASTMAN

6-Unit Play. Take #409 Kansas City (-3) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
This is my NFL Game of the Week.
This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Chiefs are undefeated and are one of the best teams in football. The market has caught up with them and they haven't covered the spread in their last two games. But there is a lot of value with this team on the road. Their style will play well on the road. The Chiefs rely on defense and running the ball and not turning it over. Andy Reid was always strong in the road favorite role in Philadelphia and I think that will continue with his new team. The Bills have been a good team for bettors this year. But they were blown out last week in New Orleans and now they may have to go with Jeff Tuel at quarterback because of injuries. He will not play well against this great Kansas City defense. The Chiefs have revenge for back-to-back blowout losses the last two years to the Bills. I think that Kansas City takes care of business and continues their unbeaten run.

4-Unit Play. Take #411 San Diego (Pk) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
I am going with the Chargers here.
This team has had two weeks to prepare. They have also shown that they are not bothered by traveling east to play these early games. That can be a problem for a lot of West Coast teams. The Chargers won at Philadelphia and at Jacksonville and are 2-0-1 ATS this year in the east. There are a lot of problems with this Redskins team this year. They may have to make a quarterback change and there are just too many distractions. This Chargers team has outgained four straight opponents. Philip Rivers is having a good year and I think he will win the quarterback matchup. Take the road team here.

4-Unit Play. Take #414 Oakland (-2.5) over Philadelphia (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
This spread opened with the Eagles as a road favorite!
It has made a five-point swing because all of the sharp money is coming in on the Raiders early. Oakland beat the Steelers last week and I think that they will get the Keystone State sweep! The Raiders are actually 3-1 in their home games this year and they have a Top 10 defense. This Eagles team is banged up. Nick Foles is coming back from a concussion to start but I don't think he will be 100 percent. And against that defense he will struggle. The Egales are just 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games and they are 7-18-1 ATS the week after a loss. The Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS and are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

3-Unit Play. Take #402 Carolina (-7.5) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
I like the home team here.
This is the first time that the Panthers have been favored in this series since 2007! They have a lot of revenge to take on the Falcons now that Atlanta is the team dealing with injuries. The Falcons lost a lot worse than the 27-13 score last week showed in Arizona. Now they have to travel and play on grass again for a second straight week. That is tough for a team like Atlanta that is so good at home and so good on turf. The Falcons have lost all three road games this year and are 0-3 ATS in those games. Going back to the preseason the Falcons are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Carolina has won and covered three straight games by an average of 19 points per game. I think they will get another blowout at the expense of their division rival.

3-Unit Play. Take #405 New Orleans (-5.5) over N.Y. Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 3)
I am going with the Saints in this game.
The Jets were blown out by 40 points last week. I think that has shaken their confidence. This game is the battle of the Ryan Brothers. Rex is the coach of the Jets and Rob is the defensive coordinator for the Saints. I will give the edge to Rob because he has a better quarterback. Both teams and both brothers know what the other wants to do. But New Orleans also has Sean Payton and one of the best offenses in the NFL. The Saints have been on a mission this year to make up for last year's lost season. The Saints are outdoors but they are still on turf. New Orleans is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games on turf and they are 8-2 ATS after winning a game by more than two touchdowns. The Jets are going to struggle again this week and I can see them getting blown out again this week. Lay the points.

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NFLBettingPicks / Kevin

2 UNIT = Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys - OVER 47 POINTS (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.83 units)

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Cappers Access

Rams +3
Browns +2
Texans +2

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Atrain Sports

Top Plays - Falcons, Saints, Chargers
Med Plays - Raiders
Small Play - Browns

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Intpicks

3* Ravens
2* Over Cowboys, Titans, Seahawks
1* Falcons, Chargers, Texans, NBA Magic
Freeplay - Raiders

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Maddux Sports

NBA Timberwolves

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NHL

-- Dallas Stars lost seven of their last ten games. Ottawa lost its last four, allowing 18 goals.
-- Six of last eight Ottawa games went over the total.

-- Dallas Stars won their last four games with Ottawa.

-- Chicago won its last three games, scoring 16 goals.
-- Flames lost six of their last eight games.
-- Last five Calgary games went over the total.
-- Blackhawks won last three games with Calgary: 3-2/2-0/3-1.

-- Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- Devils lost seven of their eight road games.
-- Last three Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Devils lost 2-1/4-2 in their last two games with Minnesota

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MTI's Two Team 6 Point Teaser
MTi's 2-team, 6-point teasers
4-Star Houston +9, New England -1

MTI's Three Team 10 Point Teaser
MTi's 3-team, 10-point teaser
5-Star Seattle -6, Baltimore +7.5, Green Bay -1

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Irish Mike Moran

SEA -16 X1
TEN -3 X2
ATL U44
BAL U41 X2
OAK O45 X2
NOR -6 X3
PIT +7 X2

SEA+CAR+NOR+GB 6PT TEASER X2

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From This Week's NFL PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

INDIANAPOLIS (421) AT HOUSTON (422)
Latest Line: HOUSTON +2.0; Total: 43.5

The Texans look to end their five-game losing skid when they host the surging Colts Sunday night. Before last week's bye for both AFC South foes, Indy won four of its past five games, tallying 34.3 PPG in the four victories, but lost top WR Reggie Wayne (torn ACL). Houston will stick with QB Case Keenum as its starter, after he led the team to its first ATS win two weeks ago in a 17-16 loss at Kansas City. These clubs have split the past six meetings 3-3 (SU and ATS) with the home team taking all six contests. Texans RB Arian Foster has averaged 173 total YPG with 6 TD in that stretch, but is questionable to play (hamstring).
FORECASTER: Indianapolis 23, Houston 22