1-19.14

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Best Weekend Wagers with Weekend Warrior January 19, 2014 7:06 AM by Mark Mayer

NFL Football Conference Playoffs

303 San Francisco 49ers / Seattle Seahawks UNDER 40: Both teams are grinders that like to use the clock. With Gore and Lynch expect a battle won in the trenches with limited long plays. Plus both defenses are strong.

NBA Basketball

805 Milwaukee Bucks / San Antonio Spurs OVER 198: San Antonio is 8-1-1 to the OVER in last 10 matchups against Eastern Conference teams.

807 Sacramento Kings / Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 210½: Sacramento is 7-1 to the OVER in its last eight road games.

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NHL Hockey Play of the Day January 19, 2014 7:03 AM by GT Staff

Washington Capitals at New York Rangers (Total 5½) at 4:35 p.m. PST

King Henrik is playing lights out in goal for the Rangers. Even with the threat of Ovechkin the amped up MSG crowd should see a defensive battle.

55 Washington Capitals / 56 New York Rangers UNDER 5½

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Members Area
PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit New England +6 (WISEGUY)
5 unit Seattle -3 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-10)

5 unit New England +5.5

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

1 unit Ioa -9

Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)

69% Den/NE under 67.5

Iceman
(1-3)

1 unit Carolina -115

Genius
(1-10)

6 unit Rutgers +4.5

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-5)

3 unit New England +5.5

3 unit New England over

The Sports Report
(1-10)

5 unit Seattle -3

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Town Sports
2* Minnesota, Coll of Charleston,

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GamingToday's Consensus Picks January 19, 2014 6:56 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football Conference Playoffs

302 Denver Broncos -5: The Patriots need to run the ball in order to have a shot at beating Denver and that won’t happen against this defense as it's ranked 5th in rush defense allowing just under 100 yards per game and that won’t get the job done today. The Pats are 3-12 SU and 4-11 ATS at Mile High.

303 San Francisco 49ers +3½: The Niner’s have something to prove after beating the Seahawks by just 2 points in San Fran but getting blown out in Seattle in their first meeting. The Seattle QB Wilson has gone down hill in his last five games not being able to pass for 200 yards in none of them, look for a battle royal with one of these teams winning by a late field goal.

NBA Basketball

802 Toronto Raptors -8: It’s Sunday, well Lakes have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four Sunday games and the Raptors have gone 4-0 ATS vs. the Lakers in their last four meetings.

NCAA Basketball

814 Cleveland State -5½: Parry’s NCAA Basketball Power Guide has Cleveland 12 points better in this spot.

826 Notre Dame -10: The Power Guide has the Irish winning by 19 points.

NHL Hockey

53 Tampa Bay Lightning / 54 Carolina Hurricanes UNDER 5½ Goals: Last five meetings have all been under 5½ goals.

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Rainman

5 - Seattle
1 - New England
1 -Over New England/Denver

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Scott Spreitzer CBB Rivalry Wipeout

Oregon

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Spreitzer Championship Smackdown 3 Seattle

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TMC Sports Advisors

Patriotas +5.5

Patriots/Broncos Under 57

Seattle -3.5

San Francisco/Seattle Over 40

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FRANK SANTILLI
LATE INFO VIP PLAYS
NFL Seattle -3½
NFL New England +5

200* NFL New England UNDER 57
200* NFL Seattle UNDER 40½
200* NBA Boston OVER 195
100* CBB Rutgers OVER 143
100* CBB Oregon St +2½
75* CBB Rutgers +4½

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MTI Sports

4.5* New England at Denver OVER 56.5 - When referring to this game, Broncos executive vice president of football operations John Elway said "It's going to a barnburner." We agree.
There are many interesting stats from last week's game that indicate a breakout game from the Broncos here. Demaryius Thomas caught eight passes but NONE were for ten-plus yards. Is this a ploy to get the Patriots' DB to play closer to the line of scrimmiage? Well. In franchise history, the Broncos are a perfect 9-0 OU at home after a game in which Demaryius Thomas caught at least one pass, but had none that were 20-plus yards. The SDQL text is:

H and Broncosemaryius Thomas:longest reception<20 and Broncosemaryius Thomas:receptions>0

The Broncos have gone over the total by an average of 13.8 ppg in this spot

Also, The Broncos are 17-0 OU since late in Moreno's first season in the league with more than three days rest when they are off a game in which he had at least 15 yards rushing and less than 25 receiving yards. The SDQL text is:

Broncos:Knowshon Moreno:rushing yards>15 and Broncos:Knowshon Moreno:receiving yards<25 and rest>3 and date>=20091220

Note that each of their last seven in this spot have gone over by more than a TD and the Broncos have gone over by an average of 17.0 ppg over the 17 games. Wow.

Last week the Broncos rushed the ball 34 times and averaged 3.9yards per carry. Since Manning joined the Broncos in 2012, they are 8-0 OU after any game in which they rushed the ball more than 32 times and averaged better than 3.5 yards per attempt. With the Broncos, their rushing attack is a decoy for their passing game.

The Patriots scored 43 points last week and Tom Brady had NO touchdowns. Neither Ridley or Blount caught a pass out of the backfield. New England is The Patriots are 8-0 OU (+13.25 ppg) after a game in which Stevan Ridley had fewer than 1 receptions and 6-0 OU (+9.42 ppg) after a game in which LeGarrette Blount had fewer than 10 receiving yards.

Finally we have the classic duel between Manning and Brady. These two have faced each other 14 times in their careers. When Brady was the dog, they are a perfect 7-0, eclipsing the total by an average of 16.7 ppg. The average final score has been Brady 34.7, Manning 29.7 with the average OU line at 47.7.

We can't imagine these two great quarterbacks spending the afternoon handing the ball off. Take the OVER.

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MTI Sports

4.5* San Francisco +3.5 over SEATTLE - The Seahawks allowed 409 yards of offense and 25 first downs last week against the Saints and these are both season-highs for a regulation game. Playoff teams that just allowed a lot of yardage at home have not been a good investment. In the playoffs, not including the Super Bowl, teams that are off a game in which they allowed at least 100 more yards than their season-to-date average are 0-11 ATS losing every game straight up. The SDQL text is:
playoffs=1 and week<22 and p:H and po:TY-tA(po:TY) >=100 and date>=20030112

Note that six of the eleven were favorites.

In addition, since the start of the 2005 season, a home favorite in the playoffs that allowed 300-plus passing yards and forced fewer than five punts in their last game is 0-7 ATS, falling short of the linesmakers' expectations by an average of 16.1 ppg. More importantly, they lost EVERY game straight up. The SDQL text is:

playoffs=1 and HF and po:PY>=300 and p:W and season>=2005 and pounts<5

The player-based trends reveal that the 49ers are 6-0 ATS on the road after a game in which Gore had 50-plus yards rushing and fewer than two receptions, as evidenced by this SDQL text:

A and Fortyniners:Frank Gore:receptions<2 and Fortyniners:Frank Gore:RY>=50 and season>=2012

Note that they won every game straight up, bettering the line by an average of 13 points. The only game they did not win by double-digits was one in which they were the underdog. Also, the Niners are 6-0 ATS after a win in which Vernon Davis had fewer than three receptions, covering by an average of 11.1 ppg. Check it out with this SDQL text:

Fortyniners:Vernon Davis:receptions<3 and p:W and date>=20130101

Finally, it is worth mentioning that playoff teams that have been winning on the road have been very tough recently. In the playoff, road teams are 6-0-1 ATS when they won their last two road games.

In last week's game, the Saints missed a field goal and fumbled deep in their own territory in the first quarter and fell behind 13-0. At that point, they were mentally beaten and the Seahawks simply featured Marshawn Lynch the rest of the way. The Niners have played regularly in Seattle and they are more mentally tough than the Saints. Seattle will have a hard time coming from behind against the Niners. The Seahawks' offense is not good enough to be laying 3.5 to the San Francisco. Grab the points.

MTi's FORECAST: San Francisco 24 SEATTLE 17

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STEVE CORSI
50* NFL Seattle/49ers UNDER 40½
50* NFL New England/Denver UNDER 57
40* NBA OKC UNDER 212
40* NBA Orlando +2½
40* CBB Rutgers OVER 143

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Boxer Championship Sunday Playoffs (11-3-1)

49ers @ Seahawks UNDER 39.5 ( 4*)

Seahawks -3.5 ( 3* ) added

Cant see more then 30 in this game. Seattle D will shut down 49ers and the way Seattle has been playing O 49ers will shut down them as well. Special teams will win this game.

final: seahawks - 22 49ers - 13

Broncos pending @ -3.5 under ( 5* ) @ -5.5 to -4 ( 4* ) @ -6 ( 3* )

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NSA
20* NFL New England +5
20* NFL Seattle -3½
20* NFL New England UNDER 57
10* NFL Seattle UNDER 40½
10* CBB Iowa OVER 148½
10* NBA Lakers UNDER 204