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ASA's Pick Pack
NFL Sunday Picks
Premium Plays
Matchup: New England at Denver
Time: 3:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Denver (-4.5 -110)
Line Source: Cantor
Posted on: January 15, 2014 @ 6:19:48 PM EST
Denver (-5.5) over New England - 2:00 PM CST
This is the second meeting of the year for the Broncos and Patriots after they met in New England on November 24th. The Broncos took early control of the game and had a 24-0 halftime lead. Denver turned the ball over four times in the 2nd half and overtime that allowed New England to steal the three point victory at home. Denver basically handed them the game as New England's last five scoring drives traveled distances of 32 yards, 65 yards, 30 yards, 34 yards, and 0 yards. Peyton Manning completed just 52.8% of his passes that day for 150 yards (both season lows) with 2 TD and 1 INT. Since that loss, Manning has 21 TD & just 4 INT over a six game span where Denver is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS. New England's defense hasn't been great this season. It ranks 26th in total defense, 18th against the pass, and 30th against the run. They had an extremely favorable matchup against the Colts last week, making them look a lot better than they actually are. They caught Indy off of that huge 28-point comeback in the Wild Card round over KC and were able to take advantage of a mistake-prone Andrew Luck and a porous defense. The Pats rushed for 234 yards and six touchdowns while finishing +4 in turnover ratio. The Broncos absolutely have better skill position players on offense and the more explosive potential. They also have the definite advantage of playing at home here. They are 8-1 and have a positive scoring differential of +15.9 PPG at home this season. All indications point to a big win for Denver here. Take the Broncos minus the points at home.
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: San Francisco at Seattle
Time: 6:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Seattle (-3 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: January 15, 2014 @ 6:02:19 PM EST
We are playing on Seattle at home minus the points over San Francisco. This is a really, really bad scheduling situation for the Niners as they are playing their 4th straight road game and their 5th roadie in 6 weeks. Meanwhile the Seahawks are home again where they have won 16 of their last 17 games and have an 8-2 lifetime SU record in the Playoffs. Seattle is also playing just their 4th game in a 5 week span all of which have been at home. Everyone knows about Seattle's home field advantage and what the "12th Man" can do to opposing teams including the 49ers. San Francisco has lost their last two visits here by a combined score of 71-16. In the first meeting of the season between these two teams here the Seahawks defense held the Niners to just 207 total yards of offense and 3 points. In this season's rematch in San Francisco the 49ers needed a field goal with .26 seconds left in the game to win by 2-points. Both teams have outstanding defenses, great running games and backs (Lynch and Gore) and young dynamic QB's in Kaepernick and Wilson but Seattle's rested and at home. In the games the Seahawks have won at home this season they've done it by an average of 17PPG. Don't be fooled by San Francisco's two playoff wins as they came against an average Packer team with a bad defense and an over-rated Caroline team with a bad offense. Easy call for us here with Seattle!
NFL Sunday Picks
Premium Plays
Matchup: New England at Denver
Time: 3:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Denver (-4.5 -110)
Line Source: Cantor
Posted on: January 15, 2014 @ 6:19:48 PM EST
Denver (-5.5) over New England - 2:00 PM CST
This is the second meeting of the year for the Broncos and Patriots after they met in New England on November 24th. The Broncos took early control of the game and had a 24-0 halftime lead. Denver turned the ball over four times in the 2nd half and overtime that allowed New England to steal the three point victory at home. Denver basically handed them the game as New England's last five scoring drives traveled distances of 32 yards, 65 yards, 30 yards, 34 yards, and 0 yards. Peyton Manning completed just 52.8% of his passes that day for 150 yards (both season lows) with 2 TD and 1 INT. Since that loss, Manning has 21 TD & just 4 INT over a six game span where Denver is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS. New England's defense hasn't been great this season. It ranks 26th in total defense, 18th against the pass, and 30th against the run. They had an extremely favorable matchup against the Colts last week, making them look a lot better than they actually are. They caught Indy off of that huge 28-point comeback in the Wild Card round over KC and were able to take advantage of a mistake-prone Andrew Luck and a porous defense. The Pats rushed for 234 yards and six touchdowns while finishing +4 in turnover ratio. The Broncos absolutely have better skill position players on offense and the more explosive potential. They also have the definite advantage of playing at home here. They are 8-1 and have a positive scoring differential of +15.9 PPG at home this season. All indications point to a big win for Denver here. Take the Broncos minus the points at home.
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: San Francisco at Seattle
Time: 6:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Seattle (-3 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: January 15, 2014 @ 6:02:19 PM EST
We are playing on Seattle at home minus the points over San Francisco. This is a really, really bad scheduling situation for the Niners as they are playing their 4th straight road game and their 5th roadie in 6 weeks. Meanwhile the Seahawks are home again where they have won 16 of their last 17 games and have an 8-2 lifetime SU record in the Playoffs. Seattle is also playing just their 4th game in a 5 week span all of which have been at home. Everyone knows about Seattle's home field advantage and what the "12th Man" can do to opposing teams including the 49ers. San Francisco has lost their last two visits here by a combined score of 71-16. In the first meeting of the season between these two teams here the Seahawks defense held the Niners to just 207 total yards of offense and 3 points. In this season's rematch in San Francisco the 49ers needed a field goal with .26 seconds left in the game to win by 2-points. Both teams have outstanding defenses, great running games and backs (Lynch and Gore) and young dynamic QB's in Kaepernick and Wilson but Seattle's rested and at home. In the games the Seahawks have won at home this season they've done it by an average of 17PPG. Don't be fooled by San Francisco's two playoff wins as they came against an average Packer team with a bad defense and an over-rated Caroline team with a bad offense. Easy call for us here with Seattle!
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