6-12-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer VIP Picks

BATE - Soligorsk
Tip: BATE -0.5, 1
Odds: 1,91

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes

GROUP G:

(Odds to win the group via @Pinnaclesports)

Germany -150 | 1.67
Portugal +245 | 3.45
Ghana +970 | 10.70
USA +1350 | 14.5


This is considered to be one of the “groups of death” of the tournament alongside with Groups B & D.

Germany is the clear favorite and one of the best teams in the tournament. It would be a major surprise for me if they failed not only to advance to the next round, but also to make a serious challenge to the title.

They have a stable structure under NT’s coach Joachim Loew and their amazing depth is probably their biggest strength. We are dealing with one of the most fun teams to watch in the world that plays with a tremendous pace and verticality in a completely offensive minded system.

This team is loaded with several Bayern Munchen players who are coming from a dominating domestic season, but crashed out of Champions League play in a dismal semifinal performance against Real Madrid. While that loss was a major disappointment for them as after all, they were the clear favorites to win (repeat) the Champions League in this season, note that we are dealing with relatively “fresh” & rested players and ultimately, this could be a major factor for the tournament! For example, while both Cristiano Ronaldo & Lionel Messi logged more than 2500 minutes in the Spanish domestic league in this season, Gotze, Schweinsteiger, Kroos and/or Muller didn’t even reach the 2200-minutes mark in the Bundesliga.

Still there are some potential problems for them: Sami Khedira is a key player on their midfield and despite being fit, he was sidelined five-months with a knee injury. His performance @ final of Champions League didn’t impress me at all!; Despite all their superior depth, especially with offensive minded midfielders, this team doesn’t have the proper depth @ striker position! Most likely, Germany will start with Miroslav Klose on the front, who will turn 36-years old next week – not a good sign for them!

My home country Portugal is dealing with the potential terrible news that Cristiano Ronaldo could be severely banged up. There is a lot of counter information regarding this health, so we should proceed with caution. Nevertheless, his last games for Real Madrid were painful to watch because CR7 was far from being 100% fit.

Portugal doesn’t have much depth on the roster. Actually, this is a team with “only” 5 world class players and a bunch of “decent” players (CR7, Pepe, Coentrao, Moutinho and Nani), so they need badly those 5 players to step up big time, and this could be a problem: CR7 is banged up; Pepe missed the CL’s final due to an injury, Moutinho disappointed @ Monaco in his first season and Nani wasn’t an option in his club (Man Utd).

The good news is that Portugal is one of the better organized and tactically sounded teams in the world. They know exactly what to do on the field, and their work-rate is pretty impressive for a European team. Basically, they put 10 hard workers players + CR7 on the field, and they are deadly in the counter attack! Just have a look of Portugal’ goals against Sweden in the playoffs to have an idea (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ot7YbwrV4ww).

This ability of Portugal to produce goals in quick transition moves could be lethal against USA and Ghana, because these two teams’ loves to play wide open and will be exposed in the back.

USA has shown some major defensive problems that could be dramatic at this level. The overall inexperience of their defensive back line has been quite evident in these latest friendly games against “better teams”. Bradley and Jones are a decent duo on the midfield but don’t have the proper creativity to make the difference; Altidore works hard and his off the movements are pretty sharp but his lack of scoring ability is just too damaging!

Ghana is way more dangerous in my opinion than USA. They are a relatively young team but with some vastly experience at his major level. Note that the majority of these players have won the U20 World Cup in 2009 in Egypt.

They have a (natural) physical advantage over their opponents that could be important and they play in a high tempo. Their midfield unit is pretty impressive with Sulley Muntari,Kwadwo Asamoah, Kevin-Prince Boateng and Michael Essien, so they will create plenty of chances to score.

The biggest problem for them in on the defensive side… their Goalkeeper is inexperienced at this level and the positioning of their defensive back unit isn’t consistent. Unlike Portugal for example, this team has some problems to be in-game consistent and is prone to commit individual errors.

With a healthy Cristiano Ronaldo, both Germany and Portugal would be “locks” to advance to the next round… Ghana is the clear outsider of this group while USA looks to me as the worst team of the group by some margin. To make any kind of future play without knowing the "real" status of Cristiano Ronaldo is worthless in my opinion.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Simon is 4-1, 3.52 in his last five starts.
-- Santana is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
-- Volquez is 2-1, 3.68 in his last four starts.
-- Niese is 0-0, 2.61 in his last three starts. Brewers are 9-3 in last 12 games started by Lohse.

-- Buehrle is 3-1, 2.20 in his last four starts.
-- Sale is 2-0, 2.16 in his last four starts.
-- Elias is 2-0, 2.16 in his last couple starts. Whitley is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two.

Cold pitchers
-- Greinke is 1-1, 4.91 in his last four starts.
-- Stults is 0-4, 7.30 in his last five starts. Kendrick is 0-1, 5.44 in his last two.
-- Chacin is 0-4, 5.35 in seven starts this season.
-- Washington is 0-3 when Treinen starts (0-2, 3.78).
-- Samardzija has a 7.41 RA in his last three starts.

-- Gausman is 1-1, 4.91 in his two starts this year.
-- Lester is 1-3, 5.02 in his last five starts. Tomlin is 1-2, 5.11 in his last four.
-- Scherzer is 0-2, 6.84 in his last four starts.

-- Feldman is 1-3, 11.65 in his last four starts. Miley is 0-3, 4.41 in his last five.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Greinke 2-13; Simon 4-12
-- Stults 4-13; Kendrick 7-12 (6 of last 7)
-- Santana 3-11; Chacin 3-7
-- Treinen 0-3; Hudson 0-12
-- Samardzija 6-13 (5 of last 8); Volquez 5-12
-- Lohse 6-13; Niese 4-12

-- Buehrle 2-13; Gausman 0-2
-- Tomlin 1-6; Lester 5-12 (4 of last 5)
-- Scherzer 4-13; Sale 0-8
-- Whitley 1-5; Elias 3-13


-- Miley 2-14; Feldman 2-10

Totals
-- Seven of Cubs' last ten road games went over.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Dodger road games.
-- Over is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Brewer games.
-- Nine of last eleven San Diego games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Washington road games.

-- Over is 8-5 in last thirteen Baltimore home games.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Boston games.
-- Ten of last fourteen White Sox home games stayed under; over is 6-0-1 in last seven Detroit games.
-- Under is 11-5 in last sixteen Bronx road games.

-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under.


Hot teams
-- Cubs won six of their last nine games.
-- Brewers won three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers won eight of their last twelve road games.
-- Washington won ten of its last twelve games.

-- Baltimore is 7-4 in its last eleven games.
-- Indians won nine of their last twelve games.
-- White Sox won six of their last eight home games.
-- Bronx won seven of its last ten road games.

-- Astros won five of last seven games. Arizona won six of its last nine.


Cold teams
-- Pirates lost three of their last five games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Cincinnati is 3-8 in its last eleven home games.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last eleven games, but won last two. San Diego lost seven of last nine.
-- Colorado lost 11 of its last 12 games. Braves lost four of their last seven.
-- San Francisco lost its last three games.

-- Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- Boston lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Detroit lost nine of its last twelve road games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last six home games.

Umpires
-- Chi-Pitt-- Favorites won eight of ten Kellogg games.
-- SD-Phil-- Seven of last ten Tichenor games went over.
-- Mil-NY-- Last four Hernandez games went over total.
-- LA-Cin-- Seven of last ten Gonzalez games went over.
-- Atl-Col-- Favorites won last seven Baker games.
-- Wsh-SF-- Five of last seven Davis games stayed under.

-- Det-Chi-- Six of last eight Carlson games went over total.
-- NY-Sea-- Underdogs won six of last seven Wegner games.

-- Hst-Az-- Over is 8-2-1 in West games this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

NBA - Miami Heat -5
WNBA - Connecticut +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo World Cup Soccer 2014

Brazil win cup [+310]
Brazil reach final [+160]

Argentina win cup [+440]
Argentina reach final [+220]
Argentina reach semi-final [-110]

Germany win cup [+680]
Germany reach final [+300]
Germany reach semi-final [+115]

Spain reach quarter-final [-155]

Italy reach quarter-final [+125]
Italy reach semi-final [+450]

France reach quarter-final [+105]
France reach semi-final [+430]

Belguim eliminate in quarter-finals [+310]

Group A forecast: Brazil & Croatia [+135]
Group A forecast: Brazil & Mexico [+180]

Spain win Group B [-150]
Chile qualify Group B [-110]

Ivory Coast win Group C [+350]
Japan win Group C [+425]
Greece win Group C [+740]

Italy qualify Group D [-240]
England qualify Group D [-160]

France win Group E [-125]
Switzerland win Group E [+280]

Germany win Group G [-150]

Algeria qualify Group H [+460]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

Interesting match up here tonight at PNC Park as the Pirates are going to send Edinson Volquez (3-5, 4.27) to the mound to face the Cubs and their ace, Jeff Samardzija (2-5, 2.54) The Cubs are looking for the split tonight of this four-game series and hope they can give their best pitcher a little more support. Samardzija is 4-3 with a 1.90 ERA against the Pirates over his career, which includes a 1-0 Opening Day defeat this season. The Cubs offense has been completely anemic in his starts against Pittsburgh, but we think tonight might be the time to change all of that. While Volquez has pitched better of late for the Bucs, he is definitely a "play against" for these Sharps and we think this might be a good spot for the Cubs to get their ace some serious run support. We are backing the road dog in this spot. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - CHICAGO CUBS (+105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

500* Dodgers -135
100* Blue Jays -120
50* Yankees even

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANTHONY MICHAEL

Game 4 of the NBA Finals going on Thursday night!!!

#708 Miami Heat -5.5 (9:05 edt)
You know how good the Heat have been when playing after a loss and they will be extra good since that loss was a complete drubbing on their home court. There is no way the Spurs can shoot like they did in the first half last game so look for a very motivated Heat team to get this win and cover here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEVE’S GOLF PICKS

U.S. Open Golf Championship

1* Adam Scott
1* Webb Simpson
1* Bill Haas
1* Jordan Spieth
1* Dustin Johnson
1* Jimmy Walker

Head to Head
2* Spieth -105 over Kuchar
2* Dustin Johnson +100 over Kuchar

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LCM Sports. Heat ML. Phoenix ML WNBA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. ED MEYER TRIPLE DIME BET

MIAMI UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Triple

Miami -5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

*MLB Total of the Week*

Arizona vs Houston – OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" won on Wednesday in MLB in Interleague play with the Astros -$120/Diamondbacks.

For Thursday in THE NBA Finals E&B like the Heat -3/Spurs 1st Half.

For the world Cup E&B like Argentina to win the FIFA trophy.

E&B have a few golf wagers each for $10.


(1) Phil Rory

(2) Lee Westwood

(3) Keegan Bradley

(4) Jordan Speith

(5) Jason Daily

(6) Ricky Fowler

(7) Jimmy Walker

"Mr Chalk" has Np in MLB

Ben lee is 2-3 -$79 for week thirty three 144-166-5 -$2883 through

"Mr Chalk" is 30-28 -$610 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[golden contender]

GC: MLB Play

Thursday we have a Triple Perfect 6* NBA Game 4 Finals system winner and the American League Game of the Month from a 100% Blowout system. MLB Top plays sweep on Wednesday and NBA on a 6-1 run. Free MLB Play below.




On Thursday the Free MLB Road warrior system play is on the Toronto Bluejays. Game 963 at 7:05 eastern. We are playing on road favorites off a home favored loss by 2 or more runs if they scored 4 or less runs on 10 or more hits. These teams are winning by 4 runs per game, 7-3 on average. The Jays are 1-3 vs winning teams and average 5 runs per game in division play. The Orioles are 1-5 at home vs leftys and 3-8 as a home dog from +100 to +125. They have Gausman and his 4.91 era taking on Lefty Buehrle for the Jays who has already gone 7 strong here allowing just 1 run vs the Orioles. He is also 6-0 on the road with a stellar 1.46 road era. going 42 innings allowing just 7 earned runs. For the reasons above we are Taking Toronto. We have a Huge Thursday ahead with a Triple Perfect system NBA 6* In Game 4 of the NBA Finals. NBA now on a 6-1 run and 3-0 in this series. MLB Top plays sweep on Wednesday. Tonight its the American League Game of the Month from a Rare Blowout system that's winning by Nearly 7 runs per game. Message to Jump on now and roll your book like wholesale carpet with the Finest data in the industry. For the free MLB Play take. Toronto. GC