7-21-14

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BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play San Francisco +140 over Philadelphia (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Francisco is 43-29 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
San Francisco is 26-18 in road games this season
San Francisco is 31-14 when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games


10* Play Cincinnati +120 over Milwaukee (MLB TOP PLAY)

Cincinnati is 50-35 after having lost four or five of the last six games
Cincinnati is 41-27 when playing in the month of July
Cincinnati is 44-34 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs

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5* Play Arizona +125 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Minnesota +115 over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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IveyWalters

Double Dime

2% Washington Nationals -145

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Jack Jones

MLB

20* Washington Nationals

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The Wager Wire / Wage Discipline & Joey Buckets

Double Play

Washington Nationals Series -150 2 Units

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THE PROP MACHINE

MLB

Going back to Monday, June 7, The Prop Machine’s free pick that night was a 4-unit play on the “over 6” on Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels total strikeouts against Milwaukee, and he came through with 7 Ks in the win.
This raises The Prop Machine’s record to 10-3 in its last 13 free selections, which equates to a return of $2,680 for any $100 bettor that has taken full advantage of these picks by using the recommended play on Doc’s Unit Betting System.

This Monday night, The Prop Machine has come up with another 4-unit play by going with the “over 5” (-140) on Roenis Elias’s strikeouts in Seattle’s game against the Mets

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CORY KLUGE / Inside Vegas

MLB Sharp Plays

Milwaukee -140 ML

Colorado +135 ML

Texas +165 ML

Pittsburgh -105 ML

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Dr. Ed Meyer

MLB Money Line

dime - BAL (+132) vs 920 ANA

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JEFF CLEMENT

Underdog POD

Cincinnati Reds +112

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SpOrTs-JuNkiE

MLB

Reds vs Brewers (8:10pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Reds/Brewers – OVER 8 -105

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ANDRE GOMES

MLB – 909 Washington Nationals @ 910 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: D. Fister vs. F. Morales)

In this contest, I’m focused to discuss a Team Total play w/ OVER WAS…

COL’s starting pitcher Franklin Morales’ numbers are just terrible. Not only his 5.47 ERA number for the season is atrocious, but also his advanced numbers aren’t pretty at all: 4.63 SIERA, 5.61 FIP & 4.53 xFIP! He also combines a poor K/BB ratio of 1.70 & 17.1% HR/FB rate = FADE MATERIAL!
However, he is coming from b2b decent starts in which he allowed just 1 ER’s in each game vs. LAD & SD. Still, his P/IP’s numbers in those 2 starts were high (17.3 & 17.8) and prevented him to reach the 6th IP in both games. I just can’t ignore the fact that he has faced two subpar offensive teams in #28 ranked LAD & dead last #30 SD offenses vs. LHP’s (OPS ranks).
The Nationals are way better as they are ranked #8 vs. LHP in the season. They are confident w/ 4-1 SU record in L5 games and they have hit + .300 BA in their L4 games. I expect them to do some serious damage vs. Morales tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over TT Washington 5.5 Runs (w/ D. Fister) @ -130

MLB – 913 Boston Red Sox @ 914 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: J. Lackey vs. D. Hutchison)

These two teams have been “UNDER” teams so far in the season but I think we have a good opportunity to cash w/ the OVER in here.
I expect TOR offense to do some damage vs. Lackey tonight. They are ranked #2 vs. RHP’s this season, and they are coming from nice b2b offensive games vs. TEX in which they had .395 & .343 BA’s.
John Lackey is in a slump lately… he escaped in his last start @HOU w/ just 2ER’s allowed, but his 3/5 K/BB numbers & 19.5 P/IP said it all about his problems in that game. Actually, in his L4 starts, he had 19.5, 22.5, 19.2 & 20.2 P/IP numbers and obviously, he didn’t go deep in those games.

On the other end, Hutchison is also struggling lately w/ 4, 4, 1, 3 & 6 ER’s allowed in his L5 starts. His numbers vs. LH batters this season have been really problematic for him: 337 wOBA + 4.44 FIP & 4.51 xFIP!
BOS will put 5 LH batters in the lineup for tonight:

1. Brock Holt (L) 3B
2. Dustin Pedroia (R) 2B
3. David Ortiz (L) DH
4. Mike Napoli (R) 1B
5. Daniel Nava (S) LF
6. Stephen Drew (L) SS
7. Xander Bogaerts (R) 3B
8. Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) CF
9. Christian Vazquez (R) C

I expect both offenses to generate some runs with this contest flying OVER the total posted.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 8.5 (w/ J. Lackey vs. D. Hutchison) @ +100

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GOODFELLA

Monday MLB Team Total

ARIZONA D-BACKS – OVER 4 RUNS -120

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HOT CHICKS PICKS / Briney DeLuca

Take PHILADELPHIA -125 to make the big men feel small!

Take TEXAS +160 to bomb the bronx kids!

Take BALTIMORE +120 to fly high above L.A.!

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Betting 1st Look/Marco D’Angelo

Baltimore Orioles ML

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Jeff Clement

Toronto Blue Jays -105

Chicago White Sox -170

Detroit Tigers -132

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R & R Totals

Under 7.5 Cincinnati Reds/Milwaukee Brewers