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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369677

    #76
    Teddy Covers | MLB Money Line

    dime bet – 965 SEA (+120) vs 966 DET
    Analysis: 1* Take Seattle (#965).
    We’re not going to find James Paxton at an underdog price for much longer; let’s take advantage while we can. Paxton ranks among the most promising pitching prospects in baseball, only in his second start back off a three month stint on the DL with a ‘lat strain’. He was dominant in his first start back, needing only 77 pitches to get into the seventh inning while allowing just a single run. That’s picking up right where he left off before his injury; now 5-0 with a 1.93 ERA in eight starts over the last two seasons. Seattle manager Lloyd McClendon: “I’m so excited about Paxton. I think he’s going to be special for us down the stretch.”

    The Tigers have lost six of their last nine to fall out of first place in the AL Central. One of those losses came with Rick Porcello in an ultra-rare relief appearance when he was forced into action in the Tigers 19 inning marathon against the Blue Jays last Sunday, a game where he took the loss. That takes Porcello completely out of his normal rhythm between starts. His quote: “I’ve come out of the bullpen before, (but) not really on a day where I’m sitting there watching the game not prepared to pitch at all.”

    And, of course, there’s no comparison between these bullpens if this game is tight late. The Mariners bullpen ranks #1 in the AL in ERA, a dominant unit all year. The Tigers bullpen has been a consistent problem area, ranked #13 in the AL in ERA; a unit that just lost their trade deadline upgrade when Joakim Soria went on the DL.

    Very quietly, the Mariners have been inching up in the standings, now just a half game behind Detroit and the LA Angels in the Wild Card race. They’ve won four straight and eight of their last nine; an emerging, surging team here in August. They’re worthy of support at this attractive underdog price. Take the Mariners
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369677

      #77
      Primetime Sports

      5 unit Wood -120 Atlanta
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369677

        #78
        STATFOX DAVE'S BEST BET

        SAN DIEGO (409) AT SEATTLE (410)
        Latest Line: SEAHAWKS -6; Total: 38.5

        Gonna get back on that SEATTLE Preseason trend and expect them to bounce back tonight at home following last week's end-of-game loss. Also helps that SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Seattle Hammertime!
        PLAY ON: SEAHAWKS -6
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369677

          #79
          Insider Sports Report

          4* Reds

          3* TB

          3* Det/Oak OVER 39
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369677

            #80
            GAMBLING GOD

            League: MLB
            Team A: Mets
            Team B: Cubs
            Pick: Cubs moneyline
            Risk:$100 to win $130
            Time: 4:00 PM PT
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369677

              #81
              IVEY WALTERS

              2% Kansas City Royals -145
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369677

                #82
                RIVER CITY SHARPS

                Wish I could tell you some fancy story on why this one has popped up on our radar, but to be honest…this is a complete value play. We get one of the hottest teams in baseball in the Orioles travelling to Cleveland to take on Corey Kluber and the Indians. While we will acknowledge that Kluber has been tremendous, this price is way too high for us and when you consider that the Orioles are giving the ball to W.Y. Chen tonight, it makes the road puppy all that much more appealing. Chen has been really solid for the O’s, other than his last start, and have won five of his last six outings. We fully know that Kluber can be dominant, but a little “regression to the mean” is in order and we think the hot bats from Baltimore may be able to get to the Cleveland ace. The Orioles are an impressive 10-1 in the last 11 game one of a series and 39-19 in their last 58 games following an off day. The Tribe hasn’t been a real profitable home favorite as of late, dropping five of their last six games in that spot. We are recommending the value play here tonight with the Orioles. The Sharps say…

                3 UNITS – BALTIMORE ORIOLES (+135)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369677

                  #83
                  Ben Burns

                  10* MLB Blue Chip Super Total
                  METS Under 7.5

                  MLB Run-line Personal Favorite
                  Philly +1.5 -175

                  *major Blowout* MLB Blue Marlin *special
                  Cleveland -160 ML
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369677

                    #84
                    Indian Cowboy
                    English Premier League
                    6* Play. Take Queens Park Rangers Pk over Hull City
                    3* Play. Take Everton Pk over Leicester
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369677

                      #85
                      Maddux

                      10* Twins +131
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369677

                        #86
                        Indian Cowboy
                        3* Braves/A's UNDER 7
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369677

                          #87
                          Trev Rogers

                          Lions/Raiders OVER 39.5 (-110)
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369677

                            #88
                            Doc's Sports 2014-08-16 (1 days)
                            WNBA Premium Picks

                            WNBA Aug 15 ,2014 7:05p [601] Washington Mystics
                            [602] Connecticut Sun
                            Total 145½ un-105
                            at 5dimes
                            4-Unit Play. #601. Take Under 146 Washington vs. Connecticut (Friday @ 7:05pm est) These two teams make for a likely under because the last time they met the game went into overtime and Connecticut was the tough luck loser to Washington. That's going to change here probably as Connecticut plays to their strong defense at home especially with revenge here and we like them to step up here as what they do is they play better defense when they face tougher opponents who they have revenge against at home. The Under is a solid 5-0 for the Mystics off a straight up loss and the Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams as they are highly familiar with each other.
                            MLB Premium Picks

                            MLB Aug 15 ,2014 7:05p [967] Baltimore Orioles
                            [968] Cleveland Indians
                            Total 7 un-115
                            at bovada
                            3-unit Play Take Baltimore Orioles/Cleveland Indians UNDER (7:05pm EST) Two stud pitchers go at it today in Cleveland as the Indians host the Orioles. Wei-Yin Chen is throwing the ball really well right now and has his ERA below 4.00 despite pitching in the AL East. Chen's stuff can't be categorized as dominant but he's a master of mixing up his pitches and keeping hitters off balance. The Indians struggle with left-handers, so they will have their work cut out for themselves. This is his third season in the majors and the opposition still hasn't been able to figure out a good way to attack Chen. But as good as Chen has been this season, Indians starter has been light years better. Kluber is pitching better than just about anyone in baseball at the moment. He's 13-6 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 25 starts and just keeps getting better in each start. Over his las t four outings, Kluber is 3-0 with a 0.29 ERA and 0.57 WHIP. That's not a misprint. Kluber is off the charts and who knows what else he is capable of. The Orioles have a nice lineup, but I don't see anyone getting to Kluber at the moment. This one has all the makings of a pitcher's duel. Take the Under.
                            Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
                            MLB Aug 15 ,2014 7:05p [965] Seattle Mariners
                            [966] Detroit Tigers
                            Seattle Mariners +121
                            at 5dimes
                            5-unit Play Take #965 Seattle Mariners over Detroit Tigers (7:05pm EST) Not many would have predicted that the Detroit Tigers would be sitting in second place in the AL Central in mid-August, but that's exactly where they find themselves at the moment. Poor defense, a fragile bullpen and injuries have been the main culprits thus far. Detroit is just 12-16 since the All-Star break and their schedule hasn't been all that tough during that stretch. For a lot of clubs I would just chalk it about to bad variance or a series of unfortunate events, but I think it's deeper than that with the Tigers. The team chemistry isn't quite right and I think they are fully aware of their weaknesses and let it get into their own heads at times. Manager Brad Ausmus feels lost at times with this team and it will be interesting to see if he can right the ship down the stretch. Today they get a tough matchup against left-hander James Paxton of the Mariners. Paxton has been sensational since being called up from the minors a few weeks ago. In four starts he has a tidy 2.38 ERA and 0.93 WHIP to go along with an impressive 22-5 K/BB ratio. He has also faced some tough lineups in those starts going up against the White Sox, Orioles and Angels twice. Paxton was a highly-touted pitching prospect in the Seattle organization for the last couple of years, so his performance isn't a complete shocker. As a result, I think he can continue his dominance in Detroit against a struggling Tigers team. Rick Porcello will be pitching on short rest after a two-inning relief appearance in the marathon game in Toronto earlier this week. That could be enough to throw off his routine and give the M's a few better looks at the right-hander. This is a big series for both teams and I like the road team to get the job done today. Take Seattle behind Paxton.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369677

                              #89
                              Alright we're back with a system play in Week 2 of the preseason. Our final play of last week was a winner, as the Giants covered the spread against the Steelers. One play tonight, and probably a few coming tomorrow for the weekend.
                              IMPORTANT - Please note that I don't bet much at all on my preseason picks. There are too many "unknowns" in the preseason, so I keep my bets small. I also don't keep my preseason record towards my yearly record, as I bet a fraction of the amount on these preseason picks.
                              San Diego Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks - SEAHAWKS -6 (-109)
                              Cheers,
                              Kevin
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369677

                                #90
                                Kevin's Pick(s):
                                A profitable day yesterday with the Tigers winning and covering the run line. Two more system picks today ...
                                2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Atlanta Braves - ATHLETICS TO WIN (+105)
                                Listed Pitchers: Hammel vs Wood
                                (Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.10 units)
                                2 UNIT = Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies - REDS TO WIN (-165)
                                Listed Pitchers: Cueto vs Morales
                                (Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.21 units)


                                Kyle's Pick(s)

                                5 UNIT = L.A. Angels @ Texas Rangers - ANGELS -1.5 (-115)
                                Listed Pitchers: Richards vs. Martinez
                                (Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 4.35 units)
                                I was feeling confident, but a big inning by the Royals put my wager in the garbage. I haven't had a 5 unit play in awhile, but that changes tonight as I look to take advantage of another abysmal pitcher in the Rangers' rotation.
                                Not only do the Rangers have some gas cans in their rotation, but it doesn't help either playing in this ballpark. It typically yields plenty of runs and their starting pitching has been doing that on a consistent basis. There are injuries galore for the Rangers, which has also been a problem for their offense. To demonstrate how difficult it can be sometimes to pitch in Texas, take for instance Nicholas Martinez. Martinez has a shoddy ERA of 5.22 overall, but I think a pitching machine may pose more of a challenge at home than Martinez does. He is averaging more than 2 runners on base per inning, as his 2.09 WHIP indicates. Also, his OBP is sky high with a .426. This all adds up to one poor ERA of 7.86 at home. It goes without saying that Martinez hasn't won a game at home, where he is 0-4. On occasion you' see numbers from a guy like this that has only pitched a few innings, but that isn't the case here, Martinez has 26.1 under his belt in Texas. Conversely, Garrett Richards is a polar opposite on the road of what Martinez is at home. Richards boasts an ERA of 1.91 on the road to go along with a 0.91 WHIP and .243 OBP. He`s been hot recently as well, entering with a 2.01 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and .207 OBP his last three outings. In his last two he`s only given up a run and 8 hits. The Angels at 70-49 are looking at making some noise in October, meanwhile the 47-74 Rangers are booking vacations. Expect an easy Angels win here, so I`ll be on the -1.5 for 5 units Friday night.
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