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| Jimmy Boyd | 2014-08-16 (1 days) |
Top Pick
| MLB | Aug 15 ,2014 | 8:10p | [975] Kansas City Royals [976] Minnesota Twins |
Minnesota Twins +128 at bovada |
| 5* AL Central Game of the Month on Twins + It's easy to assume that the Royals will just come into Minnesota and make easy work of the last place Twins, but I think this is a difficult spot for Kansas City coming off that huge homestand against the A's. It can be difficult to maintain your edge against a bad team after going up against the best, while Minnesota on the other hand is going to come into this series motivated against the division leaders. Keep in mind that the Twins have taken 4 of 6 at home against the Royals this season and the overall series is split at 6-6. You also might not think the Twins have any chance given today's pitching matchup. Minnesota's Ricky Nolasco is 5-7 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.621 WHIP over 18 starts, while Kansas City's Danny Duffy is 7-10 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.089 WHIP. However, Nolasco just recently held the Royals to 1 run over 6 innings at home back on July 1. It's also worth noting that Duffy comes in having received a win in each of his last two starts. Duffy has never won 3 straight decisions in his career. There's a solid system backing the Twins in this one based off what appears to be a lopsided pitching matchup. Home teams with a money line of +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.600 to 1.700 on the season-AL that has walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings are 38-17 since 1997. That's a 69% system in favor of the Twins. Take Minnesota! |
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| MLB | Aug 15 ,2014 | 10:15p | [963] Philadelphia Phillies [964] San Francisco Giants |
San Francisco Giants -139 at Pinnacle |
| 3* MLB Late Night Bailout on Giants - The Giants were able to put an end to their 5-game losing streak with a 7-1 win over the White Sox on Wednesday and I look for them to keep the momentum going off a much-needed day of rest. It also helps that they are taking on the slumping Phillies, who have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Both teams will send out quality starters, as the Giants give the ball to Madison Bumgarner and the Phillies go with Cole Hamels. While Hamels has been lights out of late, Bumgarner allowed just 5 hits over 8 shutout innings in his only start against Philadelphia this season. As good as Hamels has been, he finds himself in a spot where he's struggled in the past. Hamels last pitched on Aug. 9, which means he's had a full 5 days of rest instead of the regular 4. That's important to note, because he's just 5-15 in his last 20 starts working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Adding to this is the fact that San Francisco is 19-9 in their last 28 against the NL East and 28-11 in Bumgarner's last 39 starts after walking 1 or less batters in each of his last 2 starts. These 3 trends combine to form a 71% (62-25) system in favor of the Giants. Take San Francisco! |
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