11-14-14

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 370851

    #16
    Game of the Day: Tulsa at UCF

    Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Central Florida Knights (-20.5, 55)

    UCF has had plenty of time to digest its first conference loss and recharge for a run at another possible league crown. That push begins again at home Friday when the Golden Knights renew acquaintances with former Conference USA rival Tulsa, which snapped a seven-game losing streak last weekend. UCF, which went 8-0 to win the American Athletic title last year, had won five straight overall and its first three AAC games before a 37-29 loss at Connecticut on Nov. 1.

    UCF, the AAC leader in total defense, allowed 179 yards on the ground and 20 consecutive points in the second half against a Huskies team that had yet to defeat an FBS opponent this season. The Golden Hurricane took advantage of a matchup with winless SMU at home Saturday, riding Dane Evans' career-high five touchdown passes to a 38-28 triumph. Tulsa has won four straight meetings, including the most recent encounter in the 2012 Conference USA title game.

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

    LINE HISTORY: UCF opened as big 18-point home favorites and bettors didn't think that was enough as the line has risen to UCF -20.5. The total has held steady at 55.

    INJURY REPORT: Tulsa - G Billy Lafortune (questionable Friday, undisclosed). UCF - OL Chavis Dickey (questionable Friday, ankle), OL Joey Grant (questionable Friday, shoulder), WR Rannell Hall (questionable Friday, hamstring).

    WEATHER REPORT: It will be a clear night at Bright House Networks Stadium with temperatures in the low 60's at gametime. There will be a nine mile per hour wind gusting towards the south end zone.

    WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Tulsa has been terrible on the road this season. The Golden Hurricane are winless at 0-4 SU (2-2 ATS) with those four losses coming by 29, 25, 11, and 20 point margins. Tulsa’s defense has been non-existent on the road as they are giving up 41.7 points per game on a whopping 7.6 yards per play. Central Florida is a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home this season with their four wins coming by 34, 7, 7, and 20 points. The Knights’ defense has been outstanding on their home field, allowing an average of just 14.5 points per game on 3.5 yards per play." - Steve Merril

    ABOUT TULSA (2-7, 3-6 ATS, 8-1 O/U): The Golden Hurricane will not appear in a bowl game for the second straight season after earning a berth in seven of the previous eight years, but they have seen Evans lay the foundation for a turnaround. Evans struggled after seizing the starting role as a freshman last year and then threw nine interceptions while posting a 54.6 percent completion rate through his first five games in 2014. He has tossed 10 TDs with zero picks since and has bumped his completion percentage to 56.4 while averaging 302.3 passing yards.

    ABOUT UCF (5-3, 4-4 ATS, 4-4 O/U): Several trends are in the favor of the Golden Knights, who have won 12 straight games played on a weekday - including five in a row on Fridays - and 23 consecutive contests that begin at 3 p.m. local time or later. That might not matter a bit if they cannot do a better job of holding on to the football - UCF has turned the ball over 14 times in the past four games, including three contests with four giveaways. Quarterback Justin Holman was the primary culprit against Connecticut, throwing four interceptions.

    TRENDS:

    * Tulsa is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
    * Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
    * Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
    * Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.

    CONSENSUS: 51 percent of wagers backing UCF as 20.5-point favorite.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 370851

      #17
      Arthur Ralph Sports

      Free play Utah Jazz + 3 1/2
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 370851

        #18
        Mighty Quinn

        Mighty missed with UT-San Antonio (-7 1/2) on Thursday and likes the Nuggets on Friday.

        The deficit is 948 sirignanos.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 370851

          #19
          Today's NBA Picks

          Miami at Atlanta

          The Hawks host a Miami team that is coming off an 81-75 loss to Indiana on Wednesday and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on 1 days rest. Atlanta is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.
          FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14
          Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
          Game 701-702: Milwaukee at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.415; Orlando 115.473
          Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 199
          Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 3; 194 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3); Over
          Game 703-704: Denver at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Denver 112.574; Indiana 121.029
          Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 204
          Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 196 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3); Over
          Game 705-706: Miami at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Miami 119.215; Atlanta 123.828
          Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 188
          Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 194
          Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2); Under
          Game 707-708: Utah at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Utah 114.584; New York 115.329
          Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 190
          Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 193
          Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3 1/2); Under
          Game 709-710: Cleveland at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.877; Boston 117.415
          Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 218
          Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 213 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2); Over
          Game 711-712: Minnesota at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.629; New Orleans 124.262
          Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 198
          Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 7; 205 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-7); Under
          Game 713-714: Philadelphia at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 111.2943; Houston 125.868
          Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 14 1/2; 198
          Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 17; 204 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+17); Under
          Game 715-716: Detroit at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.659; Oklahoma City 122.938
          Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 177
          Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 190
          Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3 1/2); Under
          Game 717-718: Charlotte at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 120.795; Phoenix 124.293
          Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 211
          Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 202 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5 1/2); Over
          Game 719-720: San Antonio at LA Lakers (10:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.887; LA Lakers 119.250
          Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 214
          Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 207 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Over
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 370851

            #20
            NCAA Football Game Picks

            Tulsa at Central Florida

            The Golden Hurricanes (2-7 SU) head to Central Florida tonight to face a Knights team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a losing SU record. Tulsa is the pick (+20) according to Dunkel, which has Central Florida favored by only 15. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+20). Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.
            FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14
            Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (11/12)
            Game 317-318: Tulsa at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 71.212; Central Florida 86.347
            Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 15; 63
            Vegas Line: Central Florida by 20; 55
            Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+20); Over
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 370851

              #21
              Paul Leiner

              100* Tulsa / C Florida Over 55.5
              100* South Carolina -11.5
              50* Kansas -15
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 370851

                #22
                BILL O’BRIEN

                TODAYS NBA PREMIUM PLAYS

                Minnesota/New Orleans – UNDER the TOTAL
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 370851

                  #23
                  DETROIT GODFATHER

                  3 units
                  (International Friendlies)
                  Colombia /USA over 2.5 goals (-105)

                  2 units
                  (NCAAF) Central Florida -21 (-110)
                  (NBA) Boston +5.5 (-110)
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 370851

                    #24
                    ROBERT FERRINGO

                    FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTION

                    1-Unit Play. Take #317 Tulsa (+20.5) over Central Florida (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 14)
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 370851

                      #25
                      Phil steele / inside the pressbox

                      ucf -18
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 370851

                        #26
                        BEHIND THE BETS (CFB)

                        Tulsa +18 (2* )
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 370851

                          #27
                          StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

                          CBB | CHICAGO ST at ARIZONA ST
                          Play On – Favorites of 10 or more points (ARIZONA ST) good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season
                          39-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.6% | 23.6 units )

                          CBB | COLL OF CHARLESTON at FURMAN
                          Play On – Any team (COLL OF CHARLESTON) team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses
                          25-10 since 1997. ( 71.4% | 20.4 units )

                          CBB | W CAROLINA at MISSISSIPPI ST
                          Play On – Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (MISSISSIPPI ST) with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season
                          56-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.1% | 28.5 units )
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 370851

                            #28
                            Today's NHL Picks

                            Pittsburgh at Toronto

                            The Penguins head to Toronto tonight to face a Maple Leafs team that is 4-0 in its last 4 home games. Toronto is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130). Here are all of today's NHL picks.
                            FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14
                            Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
                            Game 51-52: New Jersey at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.140; Washington 12.692
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
                            Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-160); 5 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Washington (-160); Over
                            Game 53-54: Columbus at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 9.793; Philadelphia 12.663
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 6 1/2
                            Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                            Dunkel Pick: N/A
                            Game 55-56: Pittsburgh at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.664; Toronto 12.578
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
                            Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-150); 5 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130); Over
                            Game 57-58: Chicago at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.144; Detroit 12.532
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
                            Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5
                            Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Over
                            Game 59-60: NY Islanders at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.854; Florida 11.752
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6
                            Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-140); 5 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over
                            Game 61-62: Arizona at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 10.368; Vancouver 12.678
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 2 1/2; 5
                            Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-200); 5 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-200); Under
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 370851

                              #29
                              EZWINNERS

                              NCAAB

                              1* (774) Quinnipiac Bobcats -1

                              (4:30pm Central Time)
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 370851

                                #30
                                Strike Point Sports CBB:

                                3-Unit Play. #769 Take Boise State (-2.5) over San Diego (6:30 p.m., Friday, November 14)
                                All things considered, I still think this is a modest number to be laying on a superior Boise State team. This game is being played in Los Angeles, so it's a neutral court game against San Diego, and I see the Mountain West Broncos taking care of business before facing a much more 'away friendly' crowd when they match-up against Loyola Marymount. Boise State is a veteran-laden team and have the overall skill to shoot past the Torreros.
                                3-Unit Play. #731 Take Georgia (+2.5) over Georgia Tech (7 p.m., Friday, November 14)
                                Georgia is the better team. They have three quality weapons in starting backcourt Charles Mann and Kenny Gaines as well as senior forward Marcus Thornton. That trio averaged 35 combined points per game, which far outweighs Georgia Tech's lone proven hooper in Marcus Georges-Hunt. The Yellow Jackets now must begin this year minus five of their top six scorers from 2013. We go with the Dawgs here in an early meeting between these two in-state rivals. Georgia has three starters back from a 20-win team last season. Georgia Tech finished the year with a losing record. Give me the Bulldogs over Tech in this one.
                                7-Unit Play. #733 Take Florida Atlantic (+2) over Elon (8 p.m., Friday, November 14)
                                The wrong team is favored here. The fact that this line has essentially been cut in half from where it originally opened is a pretty good indication in favor of the underdog. Florida Atlantic proves it by winning this game outright. The Owls return four starters and are looking for a fresh start toward a new campaign behind former NBA player and new head coach Michael Curry. Along with his main assistant coach Eric Snow, that's a lot of professional pedigree to help create a positive, winning environment, and for that I see FAU doing a lot better than most are expecting from them this season. For Elon, it's a total transition year. The Phoenix not only jumped the SoCon to join the CAA for their opening season in a new league, but Elon also must deal with losing four of the last season's leaders in points, rebounds and minutes. These two schools are going in opposite directions to begin the new season. This is actually the third meeting in the past three years. Elon won the previous two, including last year's version in Boca Raton. Well, this time around the shoe is on the other foot, and by that I mean that FAU is finally in a position to win as the superior team. Florida Atlantic is the better team from the better conference. I simply think this line is wrong. We back the underdog to come through with a win plus the points.
                                3-Unit Play. #784 Take Marshall (-4.5) over Jacksonville State (7 p.m., Friday, November 14)
                                Here is another play backing a team behind new coaching leadership. Marshall welcomes former Lakers assistant Dan D'Antoni to hlpe make strides in Huntington. That should be helped by four key players who made at least 14 starts in 2013. Jacksonville State was one of the country's worst shooting teams from last season. They won just ten games. I think this is a modest number to lay with the home team. Marshall gets in the win column and covers in the first game with D'Antoni at the helm.
                                2-Unit Play. #791 Take Siena (+5) over Massachusetts (7 p.m., Friday, November 14)
                                UMass jumped off the block with a strong start to last season, but we'e going to fade them here to begin this campaign. The Minutmen, despite their up-tempo game, are going to have to figure things out minus their three best players from 2013, notably point guard Chaz Williams. Siena returns its top ten men from their rotation last year, a team that again should be in the thick of things in the MAAC. I think the underdog has some bite in this one, so we roll with the points and Siena.
                                2-Unit Play. #846 Take Mississippi (-11.5) over Charleston Southern (7 p.m., Friday, November 14)
                                Despite losing their best player to graduation in Marshall Henderson, I think Ole Miss won't fall off. Too often the Rebels were overly relient on their top shooting threat, but that also because the team was extremely young. Now with some further experience and a much more balanced roster to count upon as a whole, I see Missisippi being perhaps more dangerous. They push aside Charleston Southern in their season opener, covering the number over the course of the 40 minutes.
                                3-Unit Play. #744 Take Colorado (-14) over Drexel (8 p.m., Friday, November 14)
                                Colorado has four returning starters back from a season ago. The only guy gone is Spencer Dinwiddle, who was the Buffs' best player. However, what's unique is that in his last season in 2013-14, he was out the second half of the year with a knee injury. Colorado learned how to play without him and equally not to rely on their main man. The Buffaloes finished last year winning six of their last ten games, not to mention an additional two victories in the Pac 12 conference tournament and an NCAA Tournament bid. Conversely, Drexel is now without its graduated backcourt of Frank Mssenat and Chris Fouch, and the main difference by comparison to Colorado is they've never been without these two proven talents. Drexel doesn't have the scoring to keep up with Colorado for more than 15-20 minutes. Colorado so open this one up in the secnd half and pull away by 20+. Lay the number with the favorite here
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