11-23-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS BETTING PROF
NFL
1 PM
253. Tennessee Titans +11*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat jack
Cincy +1
San Diego -5
San Fran over 44


Monday night


New Orleans under 50

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Football Crusher

Play of the Day
Arizona Cardinals +7 over Seattle Seahawks

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Vikings +8 over Green Bay Packers
Cleveland Browns +3 over Atlanta Falcons
Houston Texans -130 over Cincy Bengals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher

Play of the Day
Chicago Blackhawks -113 over Vancouver Canaucks

Rest of the Plays
Winnipeg Jets +109 over St. Louis Blues
New York Rangers -124 over Montreal Canadians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher

Play of the Day
Akron +5 over South Carolina

Rest of the Plays
Long Beach State +11.5 over UCLA
Gardner-Webb +6.5 over Seaton Hall
Denver Nuggets + Los Angeles Lakers OVER 218.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher

Estudiantes LP + Defensay Justicia OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina

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NFLBetting Picks / Kevin

2 UNIT = Washington Redskins @ San Francisco 49ers – REDSKINS +9 (+100)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

Kyle’s Pick(s)

2 UNIT = Cleveland Browns @ Atlanta Falcons – FALCONS -3 (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

For as bad as the Falcons have been this season, they were actually one less Lions penalty away from being on a three game winning streak at the moment. If you recall, in London the Lions missed a game winning field goal, but were saved by a delay of game penalty which gave Matt Prater another opportunity to win the game. The Falcons responded with wins over the Buccaneers and Panthers. Not the most daunting opponents, but they needed to get back in the win column for some confidence. Owner Arthur Blank called the team out after the Lions game, so I am pretty sure that had something to do with the better efforts as well. It really is inexcusable for a team with Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, and Roddy White on the same field to be 2 games below .500. Throw in Devin Hester and they should have a dymanic offense, but it seems to me there is an effort problem in Atlanta. I think the remarks from Arthur Blank after blowing that Lions game reignited a spark under them a little bit. Note that the Falcons are 2-1 at home, not 2-2, the 2nd loss doesn’t take into account the loss in London. The Falcons have wins over the Saints and Bucs at home, with their lone loss coming to the Bears. This is about the part where I think the Browns fall on their faces. They won three straight, including a win over the Bengals, but the offense was out of sync last week against the Texans, scoring only 7 points. The Browns sent Ben Tate to waivers, later claimed by the Vikings, which left Isaiah Crowell as the starter. Starting quarterback Brian Hoyer had 50 attempts for the Browns last week, 30-50. That is not how the Browns are going to win games. They need some resemblance of a running game to set the offense up. They are now moving forward without a reliable running back, and center Alex Mack is out for the season. The Falcons have a poor pass defense and the Browns should pass plenty more this week. While the Falcons have trouble defending the air attack, they should be able to play well this week against what should be a predictable offense. The Browns did lose earlier in the season to the Jaguars on the road, a game in which I called. The Falcons have been on the road four straight weeks if you can believe that. This isn’t the same unbeatable Matt Ryan at home squad like we once knew, but they still have a great home field advantage in the Georgia Dome. At 4-6 the Falcons still have time to turn the season around. I think they’ll at least be going in the right direction after winning their third in a row against the Browns on Sunday.

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VEGAS RUNNER

All 500$
Detroit Lions +7.5 -120
Minnesota Vikings +10
UNDER 49.5 – Miami/Denver

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LEE STERLING (NFL)

Browns vs Falcons - OVER
Cardinals vs Seahawks - UNDER

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Sixth Sense (NFL)

Seattle -6.5
Dallas -3
Houston -1.5
Minnesota +9

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CFL | MONTREAL at HAMILTON
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (HAMILTON) off a home win over a division rival
50-15 since 1997. ( 76.9% | 33.5 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )

CFL | EDMONTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (EDMONTON) an average offensive team (23-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-32 PPG) after 9+ games, after allowing 14 points or less last game
26-3 since 1997. ( 89.7% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | EDMONTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (EDMONTON) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season
25-4 since 1997. ( 86.2% | 20.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NFL | GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA
Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points off 1 or more straight overs, excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )

NFL | DETROIT at NEW ENGLAND
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) off a road loss, in weeks 10 through 13
54-43 over the last 10 seasons. ( 55.7% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

NFL | ARIZONA at SEATTLE
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (ARIZONA) after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread, after the first month of the season
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trev Rogers

Redskins +9
Lions +7.5
Vikings +9
Bears/ Bucs OVER 46

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (NFL)

6 Unit Play. #268 Seattle -6 ½ over Arizona (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 23 FOX)
(NFC West Game of the Month) Yes I know the Cardinals have the best record in the league but this Sunday they travel to Seattle to play the defending champs. Seattle has not looked like a Super Bowl contending team but I see them playing their best game this Sunday at home against division leader Arizona. Seattle has won 21 out of their last 23 home games but one of those losses were by the Cardinals last year. Payback will be a bitch and I see the Seahawks winning this game by double-digits and I see the Hawks blowing up on offense and finally their defense will play like they did last year. The Cardinals could be without WR Larry Fitzgerald and if he doesn’t play the Hawks defense again will be the biggest difference in this game and again Seattle will get their revenge over Arizona. The home team in this series is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings and the Seahawks are 11-5 ATS following a SU loss.

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ALLEN EASTMAN (NFL)

7-Unit Play. Take #275 Dallas (-3) over N.Y. Giants (8 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)
AND
6-Unit Play. Take First Half #275 Dallas (-2.5) over N.Y. Giants (8 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

These plays are from the NFL 411 System. I love Dallas here. This team is coming out of a bye and they are going to be ready to play. The Cowboys are one of the best teams in football. They have already earned road wins over teams like the Seahawks, Rams and Titans. They dominated the Giants in the first meeting this year winning 31-21 and the Cowboys have won three straight and four of five in this series. This is a bad Giants team. They have lost five straight games and all but one of those defeats has been by at least 10 points. They are just 5-19 ATS in their last 24 games as a home underdog and this team doesn’t have the same fight as other Giants team. New York knows that its coach is done and they are giving up on this season. Dallas is trying to make a playoff push. They have blown division leads in the past few years because of poor late season play. I don’t think that is going to happen this year. Dallas was able to get healthy after an easy win in London and a week off. That should help them get off to a fast start and the Giants are 6-2 ATS in their last eight division games. This one should be all Dallas as I look for the Cowboys to push around the quitting Giants.

4-Unit Play. Take First Half #262 Houston (-0.5) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

Ryan Mallett was very impressive in his debut as a starter. I think that will carry over into this week. Houston is tough at home. And the Bengals are playing their second straight road game. That is a lot to ask that team. Houston has really had the Bengals’ number over the last three years and have beaten them in all three meetings. Houston has actually won five straight meetings in this series and they are 6-2 ATS in franchise history against Cincinnati. Prior to last week’s win the Bengals had been terrible on the road. They lost 27-0 at Indy and lost 43-17 at the Patriots. They were down at the half in each of those games. I think Houston will take advantage of the home crowd and get off to a fast start here.

3-Unit Play. Take #268 Seattle (-6.5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

Seattle is in a rare revenge situation. Arizona beat the Seahawks last December the lst time that they met in this stadium. Seattle is also chasing Arizona in the standings. That gives the home team a lot of motivation. Seattle has one of the best home field advantages in the NFL. They are 34-16 ATS in their last 50 home games and they are 5-1 ATS at home against an above .500 team. Seattle is coming off a tough loss last week at Kansas City. But Seattle always bounces back. They are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after a loss. Arizona has only lost one game this year. But that game was on the road with Drew Stanton at quarterback. I think that the same thing will happen here.