Thursday 9-7-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 1

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 $.50 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)


Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 1:15P
(RAIL AT 115 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TOIKIN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. GODS GREATNESS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. IGO FORGREATNESS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. POLICY PORTFOLIO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last st art was within the last ten days. FATHER LOVE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
TOIKIN
5/2

6/1
3
GODS GREATNESS
8/1

6/1
2
IGO FORGREATNESS
2/1

7/1
6
POLICY PORTFOLIO
7/2

7/1
4
FATHER LOVE
20/1

10/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Kentucky Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:52pm - Allowance - 10.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $140,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: 4

#7 AMERICAN COWGIRL (ML=6/1)
#2 IWISHITWOULDRAIN (ML=20/1)
#6 KITTEN'S SLEW (ML=15/1)


AMERICAN COWGIRL - My handicapping 'sense' tells me to be on the alert for this horse in this event IWISHITWOULDRAIN - The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Bradley. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Borel is right back for another contest today after racing atop this animal for the first time on August 1st and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Last out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A pretty good sign she can close well, and should be right there at the wire this time. Based on her last TrackMaster turf number alone, I'm going to play this mount. KITTEN'S SLEW - The rider and trainer combination have a profitable ROI when they team up. Have to make this filly a serious competitor; she comes off a sharp effort on August 12th. This horse could be tough this time, especially since Miranda rode last race out and now should be familiar with this one. PP data show this horse with three improving Equibase speed figures. Miranda should be on a horse ready to win right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 WICKED LICK (ML=9/2), #9 NEVER GROW OLD (ML=5/1), #11 COCO CHANNEL (ML=6/1),

WICKED LICK - This horse showed little last time finishing sixth. Don't expect any betterment today. NEVER GROW OLD - This runner hasn't been close to the winner at the finish lately. Not probable that the rating she registered on Aug 17th will be enough in this clash. COCO CHANNEL - This filly probably won't be really close at the finish line.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 AMERICAN COWGIRL to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,6,7] with [2,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Penn National

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Penn National, Race 4 (Thursday September 7, 2017)

J C'S DIAMOND
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

PEN-4 1m1/16 DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 4,000 3YUP $11,400
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

2 J C'S DIAMOND 8/5 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
1 e-STONESCAPE 2/1 36% 9/5
3 BELLY DANCER 4/1 17% 5/1

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 5:25pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating: 3

#3 GHOST GIANT (ML=7/2)
#1 CAPTAIN MAD JACK (ML=6/1)
#6 SUMMER GEMS (ML=5/1)


GHOST GIANT - Really have to figure this fine animal is going to be very close at the wire. CAPTAIN MAD JACK - Morales is back for another race today after getting on board this animal for the first try on August 9th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Have to make this gelding a serious competitor; he comes off a strong effort on Aug 9th. Ranks uppermost in earnings per start. A strong outing in this race will boost that total. SUMMER GEMS - Trainer Stokes gave this colt a nice long work. That's a really good indicator. This horse could be an overlay today at M/L odds of 5/1. Finished fifth in last race at Presque Isle Downs but was close at the finish. 54-57-76 are last three Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 CHATEAU (ML=4/1), #10 MADEYE (ML=6/1),

CHATEAU - This mount didn't go to the lead and didn't close down the lane last time he ran. MADEYE - Unlikely that the speed rating he recorded on August 28th will hold up in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 GHOST GIANT on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $36300 Class Rating: 98

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 10 PATERNAL PRIDE 7/5

# 12 TENSPEED 8/1

# 8 MAV MASTER 3/1

My pick for this event is PATERNAL PRIDE. Could provide positive gains based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 93. With a very good 101 speed figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this contest. The average class figure of 93 makes this entrant tough to beat.

[New York Knight]

Andrew Jett

TWINS

[New York Knight]

Chris Ruffolo

REDS

[New York Knight]

Randy Chambers

DODGERS

[New York Knight]

Valley Sports

CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑270

[New York Knight]

Ace / Line Beaters

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +8.5

[New York Knight]

Mikey Money

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS/NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS under 48

[New York Knight]

Sports Betting Tips

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS/NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS over 48

[New York Knight]

DUSTIN HAWKINS

Cubs -130

[New York Knight]

JACK BRAYMAN


While the Cleveland Indians are looking for a team-record 15th straight win, they'll trot Corey Kluber to the hill. Bad mix for the Chicago White Sox, as the Tribe are poised for another big win.

Since every MLB wager on a run line or total auto-lists pitchers, I want you to be sure the two pitchers on your ticket, when making this play, are Kluber and Carlos Rodon. If they are not the pitchers of record when making your play, disregard this play.

Kluber is 14-4 and comes into Thursday's start against the White Sox with an American League-leading 2.56 ERA and the league's lowest opponents' batting average (.194). The right-hander has arguably been the best pitcher the past five weeks, as he was named the American League Pitcher of the Month in August after going 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA.

He domination spilled into September, as he allowed one run in eight innings with seven strikeouts in Detroit on Saturday.

Take the Indians, as they win big.

1* INDIANS RUN LINE (Kluber over Rodon)

[New York Knight]

JEFF BENTON


Your Thursday freebie is the Indians on the Run Line over the White Sox.

Very little mystery here, and while the juice is a little "steep", no choice but to play Cy Young candidate Carey Kluber and his sizzling team to control the White Sox.

Kluber stands at 14-4 for the season, and owns a 2.56 ERA to go along with his record. His team is in the midst of a 14-game winning streak - 6 straight wins coming by 2 runs or more - and is also on a 20-6 run on the road their last 25 games, and an overall run of 36-15 their last 51 games played!

Oh, did I mention that Cleveland has also won the last 3 series meetings, and 7 of the last 9 games played between these division-rivals!?!

The Pale Hose have managed just 2 wins in their last 9 games, and starter Carlos Rodon stands at 2-5 for the season.

Like I said, no mystery here....Cleveland by at least 2 runs!

4* CLEVELAND -1 1/2 RUNS