Thursday 9-7-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[New York Knight]

JOEY JUICE


My Thursday free play for you is the Chiefs and the Patriots to go Over the total.

Always bet over when Tom Brady is playing. Even in a snow storm!

There will be no snow storm in New England Thursday night, sorry Al Gore.

There will be a storm however, and that storm is Tom Brady.

NE adds deep threat Brandin Cooks just in the nick of time to make up for Edelman's absence. Gronk is back, Brady is 100%.

This one is going over the total.

2* KANSAS CITY-NEW ENGLAND OVER

[New York Knight]

Winning Colors Picks
TJ Elliot


#451/2 KC Chiefs/NE Patriots Over

[New York Knight]

Billy Irish Picks

Original Pot of Gold Top Play

#913 Cleveland Indians

[New York Knight]

TDS Pucks & Dunks

Sloan Shannon
Home of the Original Dog Pound

#901 Philadelphia Phillies

[New York Knight]

Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux

#913 Cleveland Indians

[New York Knight]

Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith

'Railside' Harry MLB Expert

#901/2 Ph Phillies/Wa.Nationals Over

[New York Knight]

Arthur Ralph Sports

REDS w/Mahle-115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 7


Minnesota @ Kansas City

Game 915-916
September 7, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gibson) 16.058
Kansas City
(Gaviglio) 14.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-115); Under

Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 913-914
September 7, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 19.608
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 15.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-260
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-260); Under

Colorado @ LA Dodgers

Game 911-912
September 7, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Gray) 12.453
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 13.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-300
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-300); Over

St. Louis @ San Diego

Game 909-910
September 7, 2017 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Lynn) 15.994
San Diego
(Richard) 14.350
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-125); Over

Miami @ Atlanta

Game 907-908
September 7, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Straily) 14.493
Atlanta
(Newcomb) 13.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-115); Over

Cincinnati @ NY Mets

Game 905-906
September 7, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Mahle) 15.855
NY Mets
(Harvey) 12.991
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-115); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 903-904
September 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.310
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 15.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 901-902
September 7, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Nola) 15.890
Washington
(Roark) 13.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-175
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+155); Over

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 917-918
September 7, 2017 @ 3:35 am

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Gray) 14.627
Baltimore
(Gausman) 17.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 7

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PHILADELPHIA (53 - 86) at WASHINGTON (85 - 54) - 7:05 PM
AARON NOLA (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-86 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-59 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-67 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-55 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 84-54 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 60-27 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 388-435 (+50.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 432-431 (+46.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 180-160 (-53.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 21-21 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-5 (-0.4 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

AARON NOLA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLA is 1-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 2-6 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.0 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ROARK is 4-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.103.
His team's record is 6-7 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.7 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (76 - 63) at PITTSBURGH (67 - 73) - 7:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-63 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-13 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 55-51 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-36 (-16.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 824-774 (-161.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 414-423 (+40.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TAILLON is 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-24 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 29-8 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 96-39 (+34.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 96-116 (-32.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-54 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 68-87 (-25.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 9-9 (+5.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.2 Units)

JON LESTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LESTER is 4-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.366.
His team's record is 4-7 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.5 units)

JAMESON TAILLON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
TAILLON is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 2-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

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CINCINNATI (61 - 79) at NY METS (60 - 79) - 7:10 PM
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-21 (-13.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 53-53 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 424-398 (+46.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
NY METS are 60-79 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 30-40 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 123-142 (-60.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 52-54 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 48-59 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 24-33 (-15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 17-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HARVEY is 11-20 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

TYLER MAHLE vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT HARVEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HARVEY is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)

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MIAMI (67 - 72) at ATLANTA (61 - 77) - 7:35 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 59-78 (-26.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-50 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 34-28 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 39-35 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-14 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
STRAILY is 34-25 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 18-8 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 20-13 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 42-68 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NEWCOMB is 1-8 (-7.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-4 (+2.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
STRAILY is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. MIAMI since 1997
NEWCOMB is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ST LOUIS (72 - 67) at SAN DIEGO (62 - 78) - 9:10 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 92-120 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 62-78 (+3.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 61-70 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-35 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 46-34 (+21.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 46-50 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 79-93 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-21 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
RICHARD is 6-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 83-69 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 38-26 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-21 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+0.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LYNN is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
RICHARD is 3-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

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COLORADO (74 - 65) at LA DODGERS (92 - 47) - 10:10 PM
JON GRAY (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 669-1026 (-183.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 441-704 (-144.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
KERSHAW is 20-2 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 31-6 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 24-3 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 74-65 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 22-16 (+8.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 68-73 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1-6 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-28 (-13.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 202-151 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-5 (-0.4 Units) against COLORADO this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

JON GRAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GRAY is 2-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.3 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. COLORADO since 1997
KERSHAW is 21-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.113.
His team's record is 27-9 (+15.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 17-19. (-3.3 units)

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CLEVELAND (83 - 56) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 84) - 8:10 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 23-7 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-15 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 52-20 (+28.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-5 (+0.4 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

COREY KLUBER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KLUBER is 8-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 10-7 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-11. (-5.6 units)

CARLOS RODON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
RODON is 4-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 5-4 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.5 units)

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MINNESOTA (72 - 67) at KANSAS CITY (69 - 69) - 8:15 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 69-69 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 82-57 (+24.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 83-66 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 74-61 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 53-49 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 37-32 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 35-30 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 72-67 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-30 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-11 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 48-37 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 51-48 (+5.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 32-30 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GIBSON is 8-3 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 8-1 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 9-3 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 279-395 (-107.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-6 (+2.5 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
10 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.4 Units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GIBSON is 6-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 10-4 (+8.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.9 units)

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GAVIGLIO is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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NY YANKEES (74 - 64) at BALTIMORE (71 - 68) - 1:35 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 8-6 (+2.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
13 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+11.9 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GRAY is 1-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.57 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.7 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GAUSMAN is 5-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 10-5 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-6.0 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 7

National League
Phillies @ Nationals
Nola is 1-3, 8.10 n his last four starts (over 3-1). He is 1-0, 3.27 n two starts vs Washington this season. Phils are 4-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-7

Roark is 2-1, 3.37 in his last three starts; under is 6-1 in their last seven. He is 0-0, 4.08 in three starts vs Philly this year. Washington is 5-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-2

Phillies are 8-7 in their last 15 games; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Philly is 9-15 in road series openers. Washington won four of its last five games; over is 5-1 in their last six home games. Nationals are 14-9 in home series openers.

Cubs @ Pirates
Lester is 1-1, 8.87 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Cubs are 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-10-6. Last time he faced the Pirates, they scored 10 runs in less than an inning against him (July 9).

Taillon is 2-0, 4.18 in his last six starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five home starts. He is 1-1, 3.75 vs Chicago this year. Pirates are 5-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-5

Cubs won seven of last ten games (under 7-3). Pittsburgh won four of their last five games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Reds @ Mets
Mahle is 0-1, 2.45 in two starts this year (under 2-0)- Reds scored 2 runs in those games. Cincy lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-1-1

Harvey is 0-1, 9.56 in his last four starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Mets are 3-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-7

Reds won five of last seven games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Cincy is 4-1 in last five road series openers. Mets lost five of last seven games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. New York is 11-7 in last 18 home series openers.

Marlins @ Braves
Straily is 2-0, 4.76 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. He is 2-1, 2.65 vs Atlanta this season. Miami is 6-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-9-4

Newcomb is 1-1, 4.35 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five starts. Atlanta is 2-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-10

Marlins lost nine of last 10 games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight. Miami is 10-12 in road series openers. Atlanta played a DH yesterday; they’ve lost five of last seven games. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Braves are 10-12 in home series openers.

Cardinals @ Padres
Lynn is 2-0, 3.00 in his last seven starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Cardinals are 6-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-12-2

Richard is 1-1, 3.90 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. San Diego is 6-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-14-2

Cardinals won six of last seven games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games. San Diego lost its last three games; over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Rockies @ Dodgers
Gray is 2-2, 3.04 in his last four starts, last three of which stayed under. Colorado split his eight road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-1

Kershaw is 9-0, 1.68 in his last 10 starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 3-1, 2.42 against the Rockies this season. Dodgers are 10-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-2-3

Colorado lost seven of their last ten games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Rockies are 3-11 in last 14 road series openers. Dodgers lost 11 of their last 12 games; under is 5-1 in their last six home games- they’re 16-7 in home series openers.

——————————–

American League
New York @ Baltimore
Gray is 2-4, 3.89 in six starts for NY (under 5-1). New York is 0-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Gausman is 1-0, 0.00 (13.2 IP) in his last two starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight starts. He is 1-1, 8.84 in four starts vs NY this season. Orioles are 9-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-14-1

New York won four of last six games; over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Baltimore won 10 of last 13 games; three of their last five games stayed under.

Indians @ White Sox
Kluber is 6-1, 1.86 in his last seven starts (under 5-2). He is 2-0, 2.95 in three starts against the White Sox this season. Cleveland is 8-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-2

Rodon is 1-1, 3.00 in his last seven starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. White Sox are 4-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-7-1

Indians won their last 14 games; under is 4-2 in his last six games. White Sox lost seven of last nine games; under is 10-2 in their last 12 home games.

Twins @ Royals
Gibson is 3-0, 1.37 in his last three starts; under is 8-5 in his last 13. He is 2-0, 3.31 in three starts vs KC this season. Twins are 8-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-12-1

Gaviglio is making his first start for the Royals; he was 0-4, 6.65 in his last four starts for Seattle. Under is 5-1-1 in his last seven starts.

Twins lost four of last six games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Minnesota is 13-9 in road series openers. Royals won four of last six games (over 5-1). KC is 11-11 in home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague



______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
Phil-Wsh: Nola 11-12; Roark 15-10
Chi-Pitt: Lester 15-12; Taillon 11-10
Cin-NY: Mahle 0-2; Harvey 5-9
Mia-Atl: Straily 14-14; Newcomb 4-11
StL-SD: Lynn 13-15; Richard 11-17
Colo-LA: Gray 9-6; Kershaw 20-2

American League
NY-Balt: Gray 2-4 (8-8); Gausman 15-14
Clev-Chi: Kluber 16-8; Rodon 5-7
Minn-KC: Gibson 13-11; Gaviglio 0-0 (6-5)

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Phil-Wsh: Nola 6-23; Roark 10-25
Chi-Pitt: Lester 9-27; Taillon 5-21
Cin-NY: Mahle 0-2; Harvey 7-14
Mia-Atl: Straily 6-28; Newcomb 4-15
StL-SD: Lynn 7-28; Richard 9-28
Colo-LA: Gray 4-15; Kershaw 4-22

American League
NY-Balt: Gray 2-4 (8-8); Gausman 15-14
Clev-Chi: Kluber 4-24; Rodon 4-12
Minn-KC: Gibson 8-24; Gaviglio 4-11

_________________________

Umpires
National League
American League
Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 79-55 AL, favorites +$403
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 146-127 AL, favorites +$438

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 67-66-3
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 141-125-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/6/17
Ariz 28-26-19……37-21–11……..65-47
Atl 26-34-9……24-37-7………..50-71
Cubs 31-31-8…….34-22-13………..65-53
Reds 22-38-8……..29-36–7……….51-74
Colo 34-27-6…….37-29-5………..71-56
LA 31-24-13…….41-21-9……….72-45
Miami 28-32-8…….35-26-10………63-58
Milw 33-27-9…….35-27-9……….67-54
Mets 31-34-4……..27-37-6……….58-71
Philly 17-42-15……26-31-8…………43-73
Pitt 30-32-6…….28-30-13………59-62
St. Louis 30-31-9……35-24-9…………65-55
SD 20-39-8……..35-29–9……….55-68
SF 15-47-9……..28-30-12……….43-77
Wash 42-23-7……32-27-8………….74-50

Orioles 27-33-5……..30-36-7………57-69
Boston 30-32-10………31-35-2…….61-67
White Sox 21-37-10………26-40–4…….47-76
Cleveland 43-23-8……..31-24-8……….74-47
Detroit 26-34-9…….28-33-10……..54-67
Astros 34-25-10……..43-24-5……..77-49
KC 26-33-10……..27-28-12…….53-61
Angels 26-36-8………29-27-13……..55-63
Twins 37-21-11………32-32-8…….68-52
NYY 30-36-6……….36-27-4…..…66-63
A’s 25-36-7……..30-31-11……..55-67
Seattle 26-35-9……..36-25-10………62-60
TB 35-26-10……..38-21-9……..73-47
Texas 34-26-11……..35-24-8……..69-50
Toronto 29-37-5……..27-31-10……..56-68

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/6/17)
Ariz 22-71……..25-67………..47
Atl 16-68……….19-70……….35
Cubs 19-70……..25-69………..44
Reds 25-68……..26-72…………51
Colo 17-67……..25-71..……..42
LA 20-68……..25-70..……..45
Miami 29-68……..26-71………55
Milw 23-69……27-72…..……50
Mets 31-69……..24-70……….55
Philly 16-74……..20-66……….36
Pitt 20-68……..22-72……….42
StL 15-71……..21-67………..36
SD 23-67……….23-72……….46
SF 17-72……….20-70……….37
Wash 26-72……..26-67……….52

Orioles 15-66……..24-74……….39
Boston 20-72……..15-68……….35
White Sox 21-68……18-70………..39
Clev 21-75……..21-65……….42
Detroit 16-68…….26-71………42
Astros 20-70……..28-70………48
KC 18-70……..13-69……….31
Angels 25-72……..20-70……….45
Twins 16-67……..18-71……….34
NYY 16-71……..18-67……….34
A’s 16-68……..27-72………43
Seattle 21-70…….24-73……….45
TB 21-70……..24-71……….45
Texas 28-72……..29-67………57
Toronto 24-72……..19-71………43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 7

Trend Report

1:35 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees4-1-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Baltimore
NY Yankees are 7-17-1 SU in their last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4-1 SU in their last 6 games ,when playing NY Yankees
Baltimore17-7-1 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
Washington is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs15-7-1 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 7-15-1 SU in their last 23 games ,when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games

7:35 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Chi White Sox are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games

8:15 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

9:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN DIEGO
St. Louis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Diego
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Opening Line Report: Sharps cause massive movement in Week 1 betting lines

The long national nightmare is almost over. Real, meaningful NFL games start this week, and thankfully we only have to wait until Thursday for the first regular-season contest.

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-7)

New England is coming off a historic Super Bowl comeback, rallying from a 28-3 deficit to beat the Atlanta Falcons 34-28 in overtime and cash as a 3-point favorite. In fact, the Patriots were tops in the league SU and ATS in 2016, going 17-2 SU and an equally superb 16-3 ATS, winning their last 10 SU while covering in nine of those contests.

Kansas City won the AFC West last year on a tiebreaker with the Oakland Raiders, earning a first-round bye. But the Chiefs’ playoff stint was short-lived, as they lost to Pittsburgh 18-16 laying 2.5 points at home to finish 12-5 SU, 9-8 ATS.

Bookmaker.eu first posted NFL Week 1 lines back in April, and bettors have since pushed the defending champs to -8 for the Thursday night season opener.

“Steady action on New England over the last few months has caused this number to tick upward, but I don’t expect it to be north of a touchdown come Thursday,” Cooley said. “The sharps are likely going to wait and see how high the public can push it, and then start picking off the numbers. (Chiefs coach) Andy Reid is great with time to prepare, and I wouldn’t be surprised one bit at an outright upset.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal Sports

Chiefs at Patriots
Play: Under 49

Last season the Patriots were #4 averaging 386 YPG on offense while the Chiefs finished #20 at 343 YPG. However, looking at their scoring New England (also #3) averaged 27.6 points/game while KC was #13 in the league scoring 24.3 points/game. Both teams offenses were aided by the fact that these two teams were the NFL’s #1 and #3 teams in regards to turnover margin as KC was +16 TO’s, with 33 takeaways and 17 giveaway’s while NE was +12 with 23 “only” takeaways and a league low 11 giveaways.

When we look on the defensive side of the ball the Patriots were #8, allowing 326 YPG while the Chiefs were #24 at 368 YPG. What set these two teams apart from the rest of the NFL was their scoring defenses as New England led the league allowing only 15.6 PPG while Kansas City was #7 allowing 19.4 PPG. The Chiefs finished #5 in the league in Red Zone defense while New England was #3 in Goal to Goal defense.

The Over/Under line is certainly inflated with having two top ten scoring defenses. Both teams have ‘bend but don’t brake’ defenses with offenses that that prefer to run the ball and rarely play up-tempo. While the opening Thursday Night means we have last year’s Super Bowl Champ in this case it is also the only AFC game with two of last year’s post=season participants. It will be a low scoring affair tonight!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Buster Sports

Kansas City at New England
Play: Kansas City +7.5

The last time these teams played each other it was in the divisional playoff on January 16th 2016. The Patriots won 27-20 went on to meet Denver and lost to the eventual Super Bowl Champions. Move forward to opening night of the 2017/2018 football season and the New England Patriots are fresh off of their 5th Super Bowl win in the Tom Brady era and their 2nd Championship in 3 years. Kansas City opens the season trying to slay the Number 1 team at Gillette Stadium where the Patriots are almost unbeatable. In fact, in games that Tom Brady has started, the Patriots have lost only one home game to an AFC opponent since 2007. By the way that loss was to Buffalo in 2014 and the game meant nothing to the Patriots.

So why pick the Chiefs. We believe the Chiefs will be one of the top teams in the NFL this season. They have been right there on the cusp and this year could be their year. What better way than to start the season and beat the Patriots in Foxborough. Unlike other Super Bowl winners, HC Belichick will not let the Patriots have a hangover from winning the Super Bowl. The last time the Patriots won the Super Bowl they beat Pittsburgh on opening night by 7. The Chiefs have always played the Patriots tough for the most part and everyone remembers the beatdown that KC gave the Patriots on a Monday night in 2014. HC Andy Reid no matter what people may say/think is an excellent football coach with time to prepare. Everyone is well aware of his Bye week prowess. Although this is not a bye week we like the fact that the Chiefs will be well prepared to face the Patriots. Both these teams play very good defense and this may end up being a very tight game from start to finish. We are more than happy to take the large number with the Chiefs as we write this in May even with the game at Foxborough.

We see this being a close game coming down to a FG. Yes the Patriots are great at home, but if anytime you can get these guys it is going to be early in the year. The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and we will be happy to take the 7 1/2 points here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Cincinnati at New York
Play: New York +109

The 61-79 Reds just swept the Brewers at Cincy in a three-games series and now head to Queens to take on the equally inept Mets (60-79) for a four-game series at Citi Field. The Mets opened a seven-game homestand by taking two of three from the MLB-worst Phillies (53-86) Monday-Wednesday. The Reds took two of three from the Mets at Cncinnati from August 29-31 New York has won six straight vs Cincinnati at Citi Field.

Tyler Mahle (0-1, 2.45 ERA) will get the ball for the Reds. Mahle has pitched 155.1 innings this season in stints with Double-A and Triple-A but this marks just his third major-league start in 2017. He's still looking for his first win (Reds are 0-2) and this marks his first appearance against the Mets. Harvey, like many of New York's starters this year, has been limited by injury. In his first start since spending time on the disabled list with a stress reaction in his right shoulder, Harvey allowed seven runs in a career-low two innings at Houston on Saturday (Mets lost 12-8 ). "I thought his delivery was good," Collins told reporters. "Have to get his command down. Step one, it's just nice to see him back out there."

The Mets are desperate for Harvey to give them some hope he can regain his former status. He is just 8-14 with a 5.35 ERA in 31 starts since the start of last year after opening his career by going 25-18 with a 2.53 ERA in 65 starts from 2012 through 2015. Harvey has had good success against the Reds, going 3-0 with a 2.75 ERA over five career starts (Mets are 4-1), so why not right here?