Thursday 9-7-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

5* FREE MLB ML Play

Cincinnati vs. NY Mets, 09/07/2017 19:10 EDT

Money Line: -112 Cincinnati

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Cincinnati -111

This is a fade Matt Harvey play on Thursday.

The Mets season has been a huge let down. Everything that could go wrong has seemingly gone wrong. Through many injuries, poor play, and traded players, the Mets are pretty much ready for this season to be over.

Matt Harvey will take the ball and he returned to an absolute beat down against the Astros last time out. Harvey allowed 7 runs in just 2.0 innings of work as he just hasn't been able to figure anything out this season.

Some trends to note. Mets are 3-9 in Harveys last 12 starts on grass. Mets are 1-4 in Harveys last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

It goes without saying, but even after looking at the trends, Harvey has just been a wreck this season.

Back Cincinnati.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

5* FREE MLB ML Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 nfl free pick

Kansas City vs. New England, 09/07/2017 20:30 EDT

Total: -110/+49 Under

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp: chiefs know if they want to win they have to keep Brady on the sidelines . And the pats will have to get creative with there #1 receiver out for the season . Look for this to be a grind it out game and 50 points to beat us will be a chore making the under my nfl free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter
Free Play

Colorado vs. LA Dodgers, 09/07/2017 22:10 EDT

Point Spread: +1½/+113 Colorado

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Rockies +1.5- Jon Gray has a high upside and this Dodgers lineup is really slumping right now. There's nothing bad to say about Clayton Kershaw, but given the performance of the rest of the team, I believe LA is overpriced here. Plus money on the run line is a good way to look here.

[New York Knight]

[New York Knight]

Since 2003, defending Super Bowl champs are 12-2 SU & 9-4-1 ATS in Week 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee
Sep 07 '17, 9:10 PM
MLB | Cardinals vs Padres
Play on: Cardinals -123 at BMaker

10* FREE MLB PICK (Cardinals -123)

St Louis leap frogged over the Brewers for 2nd in the NL Central, just 4 games back of Chicago. They are also a mere 2 back of Colorado for the final Wild Card spot and the Rockies are up against Clayton Kershaw tonight. This is a golden opportunity for the Cardinals to at worst make up ground in the Wild Card and they have the advantage on the mound in this one with Lance Lynn squaring off against Clayton Richard. Lynn has quietly won 10 games and posted a strong 2.99 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in 28 starts and comes in with a 2.57 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Richard is 6-13 with a 4.94 ERA in 28 starts, owns a 4.93 ERA and 1.533 WHIP at home and a 5.78 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the Cardinals -123.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
Sep 07 '17, 7:10 PM
MLB | CIN vs NYM
Play on: OVER 9 -101

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Reds/Mets OVER 9

Thursday is the start of a series between two of the best OVER teams in baseball. The Mets are a ridiculous 79-49 to the OVER this season, while the Reds are 75-60 to the OVER. I think we see plenty of runs in this Game 1 of this 4-game set.

Matt Harvey gets the ball for the Mets in what has been a disastrous season for him. He has gone 4-4 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.521 WHIP in 14 starts this year. Harvey has spent half the year on the disabled list. He just came back on August 2nd from nearly a three-month absence. He promptly got rocked for 7 earned runs in 2 innings of an 8-12 loss to the Astros.

Tyler Mahle is getting too much respect from oddsmakers for what he's done in a small sample size. He has gone 0-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in two starts this season. But both of those came against the light-hitting Pittsburgh Pirates.

The OVER is 6-0-1 in Harvey's last seven home starts. The OVER is 4-0 in Mets last four games overall. The OVER is 4-1 in Reds last five during game 1 of a series. The OVER is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in this series. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin
Sep 07 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Cubs vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates +120 at betonline

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh Pirates +120

The Pittsburgh Pirates have taken two out of three games from the Chicago Cubs in this series to go 4-1 in their last five games overall. They still play for pride when they play the reigning World Series champs and would love to take Game 4 today to take the series. Jameson Taillon is 7-5 with a 4.50 ERA in 21 starts this year. He has a 0.90 ERA in his last two starts while allowing 1 earned run in 10 innings. Jon Lester has gone the other direction, going 1-1 with a 9.94 ERA and 2.05 WHIP in his last tree starts. He has been rocked for 11 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts. Lester has also allowed 16 runs, 9 earned, in 6 1/3 innings while losing each of his last two starts against the Pirates. Taillon is 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts against Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach
Sep 07 '17, 1:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Yankees vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles -107 at BMaker

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick Thursday MLB Baltimore Orioles Money Line (-) vs New York Yankees @ 1:35 ET - The Orioles Kevin Gausman has been a different pitcher the past two months. He went 4-0 in July with a 3.63 ERA and though he went only 2-2 in August he had a 3.48 ERA for the month. Gausman then began September by going 6 scoreless innings in his first start of the month. The O's have been hotter than the Yankees and have been making a playoff push and while they have done a fair amount of winning in recent months with Gausman on the mound, the same can't be said for the Yankees and Sonny Gray. The right-hander is 0-3 on the road since coming to the Yankees and, keep in mind, Gray also was just 1-3 on the road during his time with Oakland earlier this season. Grab the value here with the home team at a pick'em price. Free Pick on BALTIMORE on the money line in early day game action Thursday. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams
Sep 07 '17, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | CIN vs NYM
Play on: OVER 9 -110

1* on Reds vs Mets over 9 -110

[New York Knight]

Since 2003, favorites of 7 or more points in Week 1-3 ...

63-80 ATS (-16.9 units)


Patriots -8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eric Schroeder

Love this division rivalry at SunTrust Park to soar into double digits, as I see a marathon in the opener of a four-game series between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins.

disclaimer

Let's start with Straily, who in 13 road starts is 5-5 with a 4.62 ERA. And since the All-Star break, the right-hander has struggled with a 2-4 mark and 5.06 ERA. The Marlins are struggling as it is, too, so I think the Braves will get to him early.

Meanwhile, with Newcomb, walks and longevity continue to be a concern for the rookie left-hander. And in facing a team like the Marlins, who need victories while chasing the wild-card race, he could be doomed. The southpaw hasn't recorded an out in the sixth inning in any of his past three starts, while he's walked more than six batters per nine innings.

This one is going high.

5* OVER Marlins-Braves (Straily-Newcomb)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

My Thursday comp release is the Dodgers on the Run Line to finally win a game over the Colorado Rockies.

Los Angeles stands at 1-11 their last 12 games, and they have lost 6 in a row heading into this series with division-rival Colorado. The only win in that stretch comes when Clayton Kershaw was on the hill back on September 1st.

Colorado comes to La-La Land with just 3 wins in their last 9 games, and the Rockies are just 9-24 their last 33 games played away from Coors Field.

Los Angeles has won the past 3 season series meetings, and 6 of the last 8 series meetings against Colorado this year. The Dodgers are also 24-5 the last 29 times Kershaw has started against the Rockies.

As for Mr. Kershaw, he is 16-2 this year, and the Dodgers are 20-2 when he starts.

Hey, L.A. has to win sometime, don't they?

Tonight is that night.

Dodgers on the Run Line the Thursday call.

5* L.A. DODGERS -1 1/2 RUNS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My free winner is on the Los Angeles Dodgers, as they once again turn to their ace, and hope he can stop the bleeding after a dismal series with the streaking Arizona Diamondbacks.

MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager, and I want you to be sure the following pitchers are the starters of record on your ticket when making your play: Clayton Kershaw and Jon Gray. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.

Kershaw makes his first home start since hurting his back on July 23, which then landed him on the disabled list. The southpaw has already put the back to the test, and showed no signs of rest in throwing six scoreless innings versus the San Diego Padres in his first start back off the disabled list.

Kershaw will get the run support he needs, as the Rockies hand the ball to Gray, who needed 100 pitches to navigate his way through five frames on Saturday. The right-hander's only runs came off a three-run homer in the first, but he still struggled with command and tonight he faces an angry lineup.

Dodgers win big.

3* DODGERS RUN LINE (Kershaw over Gray)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

Teaser - Patriots -2.5 & Ravens +9.5

I know there will be ‘distractions’ in this game for the Pats, but this team has been there before (at least their QB and HC have been J) and I think there’s enough of difference in quality here for the Pats to win by FG+.

Ravens at this ‘teased-up’ number look appetizing. This is a divisional matchup so the two teams know each other very well. Plus, Cincy will be without Jones, Burfict, and their 1st round pick Ross in this one. The Ravens had the 3rd best defense last year, and I expect them to be just as good this season on that side of the ball. This one should be a close contest, and I’ll grab the teased-up points in this one.