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Diamond Trends - Saturday
September 9, 2017
By Vince Akins
TOP SU TREND:
-- The Twins are 10-0 since Aug 08, 2017 past the first game of a series after they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent last game.
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TOP OU TREND:
-- The Brewers are 0-11-1 OU (-3.71 ppg) since Jul 09, 2017 as a dog after they had 6 or fewer hits last game.
TOP STARTER TREND:
-- The Cardinals are 0-9 RUN LINE AGAINST since Jul 04, 2015 when Carlos Martinez starts as a 200+ favorite after a quality start in his last outing.
TOP CHOICE TREND:
-- The White Sox are 0-14 since May 16, 2017 past the first game of a series as a dog after they had 6 or fewer hits last game.Comment
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Brandon Lee
Sep 09 '17, 7:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Giants vs White Sox
Play on: Giants -1½ +105 at 5Dimes
10* FREE MLB PICK (Giants -1.5, +105)
Don't quite trust SF to lay the big juice on the money line, but do like the value here with taking the Giants on the run line. Good chance if San Francisco wins this one, they do so by more than two runs. The White Sox are in another one of those funks, as they have lost 5 straight and are just 2-9 in their last 11 overall. The offense has been non-existent, as they have scored a mere 5 runs in their last 3 games, scoring 2 or less in all 3. On Saturday they face the Giants Jeff Samardzija who has been nearly unhittable of late with a 0.82 ERA and 0.682 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Chicago sends outs James Shields, who has a 5.72 ERA in 17 starts overall and 5.88 ERA in 9 outings at home. San Francisco's offense is rolling, as they have 26 runs in their last 3 games, topping 6 in all 3. Give me the Giants -1.5 (+105)!Comment
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MLB Daily Line Drive: Saturday's picks, betting odds and analysis
Double-Play Picks
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-240, 8)
Good thing the Dodgers were on a historic pace earlier this season, because they are in one hell of a slump right now, having lost 13 of their last 14 games. They continue a four-game set against the visiting Rockies Saturday night in Los Angeles having dropped the first two games.
The Dodgers have allowed 5.6 runs per game during this skid and face a Rockies team that ranks second in batting average, fourth in OPS and fifth in runs per game.
Alex Wood gets the start for the Dodgers and while he has been mostly outstanding this season, he has hit a little bump in the road. In his last two starts has a 5.25 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. In his last three starts at home, he has a 5.77 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP.
Even more shocking may be the Dodgers are scoring just 2.1 runs per game in the last 14. Maybe a date with the Rockies’ Chad Bettis is what they need.
Bettis started out great in his return to the Rockies’ rotation, but in the three starts since he is 0-2 with a 7.63 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP.
Pick: Over 8
New York Yankees at Texas Rangers (+145, 9)
It’s a battle of two American League Wild Card contenders when the Rangers host the Yankees for the second game of a three game set in Texas Saturday afternoon.
It was the Rangers who struck first in the series, outslugging the Yankees 11-5 in Game 1 and now trail the Twins by 2.5-games for the second Wild Card spot, while the Yankees currently hold the top spot by that same number.
Game 2 will seek the Yankees’ young right-hander Luis Severino toes the rubber again the Rangers righty Andrew Cashner.
Severino has been great for the Yanks in 2017, going 12-6 with a 3.03 ERA and a WHIP of 1.07 WHIP and he has been even better of late. In his last four starts the Yanks are 3-1 and he has pitched to a 1.40 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP. Heck, throw out that disastrous outing against the Red Sox a few weeks ago and the Yankees are 8-1 in his last nine starts with a 1.22 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP.
Cashner, on the other hand, has quietly had a nice season in his first year with the Rangers. Cashner is 9-9 with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. At home, he is 4-3 with a 2.34 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP.
The Rangers playoff hopes are slimming by the day, so every game is important. With two good pitchers on the mound expect this game to have a postseason atmosphere.
Pick: Under 9
Yesterday's Picks: 0-2
Season To Date: 135-130-14
Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking: Jeff Samardzija, San Francisco Giants (9-12, 4.31 ERA, $-424)
Not a lot of things went well for the San Francisco Giants this season and that might be an understatement. If there is a positive down the stretch it’s been ‘The Shark’, who is putting together a pretty nice run.
Over his last three starts, he has only allowed two earned runs (.82 ERA), 11 total hits over 22 innings of work (.68 WHIP), and an opponents on base percentages of .190.
Samardzija gets the ball today in Chicago against the White Sox and the Giants are available at -160.
Slumping: Daniel Gossett, Oakland Athletics (3-8, 5.32 ERA,$-426 )
Not a lot of positives to take away from Daniel Gossett’s rookie season in the big leagues, but he’s been especially bad over his last three starts. In his last trips to the rubber (all Athletics’ losses) he owns a 5.87 ERA, a 2.09 WHIP, and an opponent’s on base percentage of .432.
Things don’t get any easier today when the Houston Astros and the highest scoring offence in the Majors come to town. Where the Astros have won 10 of the last 11 meetings.
Gossett and the Athletics are +157 home pups today in Game One of a doubleheader.
Saturday's Top Trends
* Yankees are 9-2 in Luis Severino’s last 11 starts. Yankees -164 @ Rangers.
* Astros are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oakland. Astros -171 @ Athletics.
* Tigers are 0-9 in their last 9 games following a win. Tigers +143 @ Blue Jays.
* Reds are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in New York. Reds -107 @ Mets.
* White Sox are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. National League West. White Sox +138 vs Giants.
Weather To Keep An Eye On
Weather is a primary talking point in the sports world with Hurricane Irma making its way to the Florida coast.
As for baseball today it looks to be clear skies across Majors and no rain or delays in the forecast.
There is a pitcher’s wind in the forecast for Progressive Field in Cleveland for this evening’s game between the Indians and Orioles. The wind is expected to be blowing in from right at 12-13 miles per hour and the total is currently set at 9.5.
There is a 12 mile per hour pitchers wind expected to be blowing in from left field at Citi Field in Queens where the Mets are hosting the Reds. The total is currently sitting at 9.
Our regular check at Wrigley Field in Chicago shows a 12 mile per hour wind blowing in from right field for today’s battle between the Cubs and Brewers. The total is at 8.
Ump Of The Day
There hasn’t been much of a home field advantage when Will Little has been behind the plate this season. The home team has only won 10 of his 23 games behind home plate and are currently on a 0-6 streak. He ranks 80th out of 92 on Covers Umpire Homer Chart.
If you bet blindly on the home team in these games you would be sitting on a loss of $696.
The Phillies are +157 road chalk today in Washington.Comment
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Executive Sports
Nebraska at Oregon
Play: Oregon -13
Play On Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (OREGON) - excellent offensive team from last season that scored 35 or more points/game,in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. (24-4, 86% ATS over the last 10 seasons).
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (27-1 over the last 10 seasons.)
The situation's ATS record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons: (8-1 ATS).
Over the last 5 seasons: (16-2 ATS).Comment
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Trojans are 5-0 ATS in last 5 conference games
Cardinal are 1-4 ATS in their 5 games following a ATS win.
USC -6Comment
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CG Technology ...
"Biggest UFC 215 liabilities to the book as of now are Rafael Dos Anjos, K. Vieera, Jeremy Stephens, Valentina Shevchenko"Comment
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MMAOddsBreaker Staff Picks - UFC 215
UFC 215 G. Killian V. Matty J. Lynch B. Taschuk B. Hemminger N. Kalikas J. Primetown B. Wharton R. Doxtator Fight #1 Martins Martins Martins Martins Martins Martins Martins Martins Johnson Fight #2 Bhullar Bhullar Bhullar Bhullar Bhullar Bhullar Bhullar Bhullar Bhullar Fight #3 White White Clarke White White White Clarke White White Fight #4 Tucker Tucker Tucker Tucker Tucker Tucker Tucker Tucker Tucker Fight #5 E-Smith E-Smith E-Smith E-Smith E-Smith E-Smith E-Smith E-Smith E-Smith Fight #6 Vieira McMann McMann McMann McMann McMan McMann McMann McMann Fight #7 Melen. Steph. Steph. Steph. Stephens Steph. Melendez Steph. Melendez Fight #8 Pedro Pedro Latifi Latifi Latifi Latifi Latifi Latifi Latifi Fight #9 Cejudo Cejudo Cejudo Cejudo Cejudo Cejudo Cejudo Cejudo Cejudo Fight #10 RDA Magny Magny RDA RDA Magny RDA RDA RDA Fight #11 Shev. Shev. Shev. Shev. Shevchen. Nunes Shev. Shev. Shev. Last Event 7-5 7-5 11-1 7-5 10-2 8-4 10-2 9-3 10-2 2017 Record 177-106-1 184-99-1 188-95 1 169-114-1 185-98-1 192-91-1 184-99-1 180-103-1 184-99-1 Comment
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Biggest needs at this point for LV SuperBook in late action:
Auburn
USC
BYUComment
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