Sunday 10-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Hawkeye Sports

Early Sunday's Free Pick: New England Patriots - 9

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Golden Dragon Sports

Free Pick Pittsburgh -3

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Arthur Ralph Sports

FREE play: SUN: Jacksonville -3

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Platinum Plays

Free Pick: NFL the Arizona Cardinals -7 over San Francisco

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The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Sunday: Take SAN FRANCISCO/ARIZONA UNDER the total of 44½

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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Sunday: Jacksonville Jaguars - 3

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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Sunday, October 1, 2017

Play the Boston Red Sox

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Roz Wins

Roz's Saturday, Octber 1, 2017, Free Pick

Play the Boston Red Sox/Houston Under

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Jeff Benton

My Sunday freebie is New England as the home favorite against a suddenly-suspect Carolina offense.

The Patriots defense has been carved up this year, but today they face a Panthers attack that has lost its bite, as that off-season shoulder surgery to Cam Newton may indeed be lingering a little longer than has been reports.

Carolina was held to just a trio of field-goals 2 weeks ago against Buffalo, then last week managed a measly 13 points against a bad New Orleans defense in a 34-13 loss. It's obvious that something is not right in Panther-Land as they head into this week's contest.

The same cannot be said for the Patriots offense, as Tom Brady delivered a last minute win over Houston last week, and his team has scored at a 33-points per game clip in their first 3 games this season. New England is on a 14-5 against the spread run their last 19 at Gillette Stadium, so go ahead and "lay the lumber" as New England pulls away from the anemic Carolina attack here in Week Four.

Pats the play.

3* NEW ENGLAND (on a 1* to 5* basis)

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Joey Juice

A lot of people tuning in to watch the Jets for the first time last weekend probably think they are a playoff bound team, but as my friends from Public Enemy once said, "don't believe the hype". The Dolphins played like they were on ketamine, obviously not showing up to that one, and making the Jets look like an actual football team, but they're not.

This Jacksonville Jaguar team is 2-3 touchdowns better than the Jets. They can score with the best of them, but the key to their 2-1 start this season is definitely their defense.

This Jaguar defense is led by 6' 8" 300lb defensive lineman Calais Campbell, and they held the Ravens to under 200 total yards with just 52 by way of the pass last week.

A look inside the numbers shows a clear advantage here for this Jaguar team, especially on the road. 4-0 ATS last 4 road games. The Jaguars are also always dominant against their AFC foes, 5-1 ATS last 6 vs. AFC.

The Jets on the other hand never play well after a cover. They are 0-4 ATS last 4 after an ATS win.

Jaguars are the free play.

1* JACKSONVILLE

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Tommy Brunson

Your comp play winner for Sunday is the Over in the Bills-Falcons meeting at the new Mercedes Benz Dome.

It may be a new football field for the Falcons, but thus far the results have been the same, as the first game at the Falcons new digs produced a rather high-scoring Sunday night contest against the Packers 2 weeks ago.

Atlanta has played their last pair of games Over the posted price, as the Over for the Falcons now stands at 18-4 their last 22 games played. That streak includes 11 straight Overs at home!

After a pair of Unders, Buffalo did land Over the total last week at home against the Denver Broncos, as the Bills have now played Overs in 13 of their last 19 games dating back to last season.

Until we see some concrete evidence that the Falcons offense can be stopped, or even slowed, the play is to go Over in Atlanta's games.

Bills-Falcons Over.

4* BUFFALO-ATLANTA OVER

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Chris Jordan

Last week I played contrarian and gave you the Buffalo Bills against the Denver Broncos, and I nailed the outright winner. Today my free play is on the Philadelphia Eagles, at the San Diego Chargers. And I want you playing this one on the Moneyline.

Bottom line is, the Los Angeles Chargers are horrendous, and I refuse to lend them any credence whatsoever. There is much more fight and much more potential with the Eagles, than I see in the Bolts.

After knocking off the Washington Redskins in the season-opener, 30-17, and then taking it on the chin against the still-undefeated Kansas City Chiefs, 27-20, the next week, we saw the Green Birds knock off their rival New York Giants last week.

The Eagles are right there in the mix in the NFC East, and have two more road games in these next three weeks to get through, before enjoying three straight at home.

The first is today, in Los Angeles, and the Eagles will soar against the Chargers, who are 0-3.

I love hearing pundits say "they could be 3-0." No - they couldn't, otherwise they would be. The Chargers don't have the killer instinct. They don't know how to execute. There is no chemistry. There is no hope.

Philadelphia is going to win this game.

5* EAGLES MONEYLINE

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sports handicapper king oct 1

Freeloader
Pittsburgh -3

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MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 1

Pittsburgh @ Washington

Game 901-902
October 1, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Brault) 13.492
Washington
(Gnzalez) 16.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-165); Under

NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 903-904
October 1, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Syndrgrd) 12.812
Philadelphia
(Pivetta) 14.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-120); Under

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 905-906
October 1, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Perdomo) 13.579
San Francisco
(Cueto) 11.637
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-140
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+120); Over

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 907-908
October 1, 2017 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Fried) 13.539
Miami
(Urena) 12.584
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+130); Over

LA Dodgers @ Colorado

Game 909-910
October 1, 2017 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 14.368
Colorado
(Andrson) 15.863
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
N/A

Milwaukee @ St. Louis

Game 911-912
October 1, 2017 @ 3:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Wilkrson) 14.466
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 15.538
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
N/A

Cincinnati @ Chicago Cubs

Game 913-914
October 1, 2017 @ 3:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(McGuire) 16.410
Chicago Cubs
(Mntgmry) 15.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-180
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+160); N/A

Houston @ Boston

Game 915-916
October 1, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(McHugh) 17.943
Boston
(Velazquez) 16.875
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

Oakland @ Texas

Game 917-918
October 1, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Mengden) 15.127
Texas
(Hamels) 13.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-140
10
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+120); Under

Toronto @ NY Yankees

Game 919-920
October 1, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Andrson) 17.533
NY Yankees
(Mntgmry) 14.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 921-922
October 1, 2017 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Paxton) 15.999
LA Angels
(Bridwell) 14.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-115); Over

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 923-924
October 1, 2017 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Sanchez) 14.731
Minnesota
(Colon) 16.363
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-150); Over

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay

Game 925-926
October 1, 2017 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Gausman) 14.056
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 16.606
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-120); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland

Game 927-928
October 1, 2017 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Volstad) 15.783
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 17.685
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

Arizona @ Kansas City

Game 929-930
October 1, 2017 @ 3:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Ray) 16.106
Kansas City
(Vargas) 12.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-130); Under

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MLB

Sunday, October 1

National League
Reds @ Cubs
McGuire allowed six runs in three IP (83 PT) in his first ’17 start, a 7-6 loss in Milwaukee. Brewers’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Montgomery is 1-2, 5.54 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Cubs are 3-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-5-1

Reds lost 10 of their last 11 games; under is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Cubs won eight of last ten games (under 7-2-1).

Pirates @ Nationals
Brault is 1-0, 2.81 in three starts this year (under 2-1). Pirates won his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1

Gonzalez is 2-3, 4.71 in his last five starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. Washington is 7-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-9-5

Pirates won five of their last seven games; under is 15-2 in their last 17 road games. Washington is 9-4 in its last 13 games; under is 13-5-2 in their last 20 games.

Mets @ Phillies
Syndergaard is on a 50-pitch limit here; figure 3 innings or so. He is 0-2, 8.68 in his last three starts (under 3-2-1). Mets are 0-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2-3

Pivetta is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Phillies are 5-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-15-2

Mets won four of their last five games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 road games. Phillies are 6-3 in last nine home games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Braves @ Marlins
Fried is 1-1, 4.50 in three starts this year (under 2-1). Braves split his two road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2

Urena is 1-1, 5.09 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-2 in his last six home starts. Miami is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-8-5

Braves lost seven of last eight games; under is 7-3 in their last ten. Marlins won their last six home games; under is 4-3 in its last seven games overall.

Dodgers @ Rockies
Stripling threw three scoreless innings (49 PT) in his only ’17 start— Dodgers’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Anderson is 2-1, 1.45 in his last three starts (over 9-6). Colorado is 4-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-7

Dodgers won five of their last six games; three of their last five went over. Colorado won four of last six games; under is 10-2 in their last 12. Rockies clinched a playoff spot last night.

Brewers @ Cardinals
Davies is 0-1, 6.60 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Milwaukee is 11-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-11-6

Flaherty is 0-1, 6.46 in four starts this year (over 2-2). St Louis lost his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3

Milwaukee won six of last eight road games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. St Louis lost six of last eight games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.

Padres @ Giants
Perdomo is 1-3, 4.43 in his last four starts (under 3-1). San Diego is 3-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-12-4

Cueto is 1-0, 2.84 in his last two starts; his last three starts stayed under. Giants are 5-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-9-4

Padres lost five of their last six games, five of which went over. Giants lost five of last eight games; under is 7-1 in their last eight home games.

——————————–

American League
Blue Jays @ New York
Anderson is 2-2, 6.04 in six starts for Toronto, last three of which went over. Blue Jays are 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2-2

Montgomery is 1-1, 5.00 in his last four starts; his last five starts went over. New York is 6-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-11-3

Toronto lost its last three games; four of their last six road games went over. New York won 13 of last 17 games; under is 4-1 in their last five home games.

Orioles @ Rays
Gausman is 2-2, 3.03 in his last six starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven starts. Orioles are 7-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-16-2

Snell is 1-1, 5.82 in his last four starts; under is 9-4 in his last 13 starts. Rays are 5-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-9-4

Orioles lost six of last seven games; under is 12-4 in their last 16 road games. Tampa Bay won its last three games; under is 21-9-1 in their last 31 home games.

White Sox @ Indians
Volstad allowed six runs in five IP (84 PT) in his first ’17 start, a 9-3 home loss. Chicago’s first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Tomlin is 3-0, 3.52 in his last six starts (over 4-2). Cleveland is 7-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-10-7

White Sox won seven of last ten games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Cleveland is 32-4 in its last 36 games; under is 11-4 in their last 15 home games.

Astros @ Red Sox
McHugh is 5-0, 2.43 in his last six starts; under is 8-2 in his last ten. Astros are 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-3-1

Velasquez is 0-1, 6.97 in two starts this year (over 1-1)- his last start was June 19. Boston’s first 5-inning record with him: 0-1-1

Houston won 13 of its last 16 games; over is 6-1 in their last seven. Boston won 11 of last 16 games; over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.

A’s @ Rangers
Mengden is 2-1, 1.64 in his last three starts (over 3-3). A’s are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-1

Hamels is 2-2, 4.44 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Texas is 7-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-4-2

A’s won 9 of last 13 games; over is 10-7 in their last 17 road games. Texas lost seven of its last nine games but won last two; under is 9-5 in their last 14.

Tigers @ Twins
Sanchez is 0-3, 4.37 in his last four starts, last three of which stayed under. Detroit is 2-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-8-2

Colon is 0-4, 8.71 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Twins are 3-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-6-2

Detroit lost 10 of its last 12 games; over is 9-6-1 in their last 16. Twins won six of last nine games; over is 5-4-1 in their last ten games.

Mariners @ Angels
Paxton is 0-2, 5.94 in his last four starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. Seattle is 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-7-4

Bridwell is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Angels are 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-3

Seattle is 4-9 in its last 13 games; their last four games went over. Angels lost 10 of last 13 games; over is 4-1 in their last five.

__________________________

Interleague

Diamondbacks @ Royals
Ray is 7-0, 2.81 in his last eight starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Arizona is 11-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-8

Vargas is 4-0, 2.02 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Royals are 10-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-12-3

Arizona won five of last nine games (over 5-4). Royals are 7-3 in last ten home games; under is 6-1 in their last seven.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Cin-Chi: McGuire 0-1; Montgomery 6-7
Pitt-Wsh: Brault 3-0; Gonzalez 18-12
NY-Phil: Syndergaard 2-4; Pivetta 10-15
Atl-Mia: Fried 2-1; Urena 17-10
LA-Colo: Stripling 0-1; Anderson 7-8
Mil-StL: Davies 20-13; Flaherty 3-1
SD-SF: Perdomo 12-16; Cueto 13-11

American League
Tor-NY: Anderson 2-4; Montgomery 12-15
Balt-TB: Gausman 16-17; Snell 10-12
Chi-Clev: Volstad 0-1; Tomlin 13-13
Hst-Bos: McHugh 6-5; Velasquez 0-2
A’s-Tex: Mengden 4-2; Hamels 13-10
Det-Min: Sanchez 7-9; Colon 6-8
Sea-LA: Paxton 14-9; Bridwell 16-3

Interleague
Az-KC: Ray 19-8; Vargas 20-11

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Cin-Chi: McGuire 1-1; Montgomery 3-13
Pitt-Wsh: Brault 1-3; Gonzalez 11-30
NY-Phil: Syndergaard 2-6; Pivetta 11-25
Atl-Mia: Fried 1-3; Urena 5-27
LA-Colo: Stripling 0-1; Anderson 2-15
Mil-StL: Davies 9-33; Flaherty 2-2
SD-SF: Perdomo 9-28; Cueto 7-24

American League
Tor-NY: Anderson 3-6; Montgomery 7-27
Balt-TB: Gausman 10-33; Snell 6-22
Chi-Clev: Volstad 0-1; Tomlin 8-26
Hst-Bos: McHugh 2-11; Velasquez 1-2
A’s-Tex: Mengden 0-6; Hamels 10-23
Det-Min: Sanchez 3-16; Colon 2-14
Sea-LA: Paxton 4-23; Bridwell 3-19

Interleague
Az-KC: Ray 9-27; Vargas 7-31

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Cin-Chi: Three of last four Foster games went over.
Pitt-Wsh: Over is 7-4 in last 11 Guccione games.
NY-Phil: Four of last five Barber games stayed under.
Atl-Mia: Under is 10-2 in last twelve Segal games.
LA-Colo: Over is 8-3-1 in last 12 Nelson games.
Mil-StL: Under is 8-4 in last 12 Reyburn games.
SD-SF: Five of last six May games stayed under.

American League
Tor-NY: Under is 7-3 in last ten Danley games.
Balt-TB: Last seven Dreckman games stayed under.
Chi-Clev: Under is 7-3 in last ten LBarrett games.
Hst-Bos: Five of last six Porter games went over.
A’s-Tex: Under is 4-1-1 in last six Estabrook games
Det-Min: Three of last four Timmons games went over.
Sea-LA: Favorites won nine of last ten Diaz games.

Interleague
Az-KC: Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Rackley games

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 86-57 AL, favorites -$534
AL @ NL– 75-72 NL, favorites +$396
Total: 158-131 AL, favorites -$138

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 71-70-4
AL @ NL: Over 75-65-8
Total: Over 146-135-12

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/19/17
Ariz 28-26-20……43-25–12……..71-51
Atl 27-35-10……26-42-8………..53-77
Cubs 33-31-8…….39-25-14………..72-56
Reds 23-43-9……..30-37-9…………53-80
Colo 38-31-7………40-29-5………..78-60
LA 38-24-13…….41-25-9…………79-49
Miami 32-36-10…….36-26-11………68-62
Milw 37-27-10…….38-29-10……….74-56
Mets 33-39-5……..30-37-7………….63-76
Philly 19-43-16……30-36-9………..49-79
Pitt 31-37-9…….28-33-13………..60-70
St. Louis 32-34-9……..39-25-10………..71-59
SD 21-46-8……..38-29–9…………59-75
SF 16-49-9……..30-33-13……….46-81
Wash 43-23-7……34-33-10………….77-56

Orioles 29-39-5……..31-39-8………..60-78
Boston 31-35-11………34-37-3……….65-72
White Sox 25-40-11………29-42–4…….54-82
Cleveland 45-23-8……..39-24-10……..84-47
Detroit 27-38-10…….30-36-11……..57-74
Astros 37-28-11……..47-24-5………84-52
KC 26-35-13……..30-31-13…….56-66
Angels 26-39-8………31-31-14……..57-70
Twins 38-24-13………38-33-8……..76-57
NYY 34-38-7……….40-28-5…..…74-66
A’s 29-39-10……..32-32-12……..61-71
Seattle 29-39-9……..39-25-11………68-64
TB 36-29-11……..40-24-9……..76-53
Texas 35-27-12……..38-28-9……..73-55
Toronto 30-40-5……..30-33-12……..60-73

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/19/17)
Ariz 24-76……..27-74………..51
Atl 17-71……….19-79………36
Cubs 20-72……..26-78………..46
Reds 30-76……..27-76……….57
Colo 20-76……..25-74..……..45
LA 23-76……..26-74..…….49
Miami 32-78……..27-73……….59
Milw 24-74……29-78…..…..53
Mets 34-75……..26-75……….60
Philly 17-78……..24-74……….41
Pitt 22-77……..22-75……….44
StL 16-76……..23-73………..39
SD 23-75……….26-75……….49
SF 17-75……….22-77……….39
Wash 26-73……..30-77……….56

Orioles 17-76……..25-77……….42
Boston 21-77……..18-74……….39
White Sox 24-76……20-75……….44
Clev 22-77……..26-75………48
Detroit 18-74…….27-77………45
Astros 21-77……..29-74………50
KC 18-75……..16-76………..34
Angels 27-75……..22-77……….49
Twins 17-73……..20-77……….37
NYY 19-78……..21-73……….40
A’s 20-76……..27-76………47
Seattle 21-77…….25-77……….46
TB 22-74……..26-77………48
Texas 29-76……..30-74………59
Toronto 26-76……..21-78………47