Monday 10-9-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, October 9, 2017
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Preview: Vikings at Bears

Gracenote
Oct 5, 2017

The Chicago Bears have made a quarterback change while the Minnesota Vikings hope to follow suit on Monday when the NFC North rivals meet at Soldier Field. Second overall draft pick Mitchell Trubisky will make his NFL debut after offseason acquisition Mike Glennon committed four turnovers in Chicago's 35-14 loss to Green Bay on Sept. 28, while Sam Bradford aims to return after sustaining a knee injury in Minnesota's season opener.

"I feel like I'm ready," the 23-year-old Trubisky said. "I'm excited. I'm just going to take it day by day and prepare as hard as I possibly can for every single look and situation we can get on Monday." Trubisky faces a tall order against an aggressive Vikings' defense, which sacked Matthew Stafford six times in a 14-7 loss to Detroit on Sunday and ranks No. 1 in the league in third-down defense (25.6 percent conversion rate). The Vikings were dealt a brutal blow with the season-ending ACL injury to promising rookie Dalvin Cook in that contest, while Case Keenum completed just 16 of 30 passes for 219 yards. Bradford was limited in his return to practice on Thursday, but coach Mike Zimmer told reporters that "If he's ready to play, he'll play."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Vikings -3. O/U: Off

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-2): Signed to a three-year, $15 million deal, Latavius Murray finds himself thrust into the lead-back role after seeing Cook exit following his non-contact injury. Murray, who rushed seven times for 21 yards after the rookie departed, admitted this week that his ankle is not 100 percent following offseason surgery. While Minnesota lost one impact player, it will see the return of another as Michael Floyd has served his four-game suspension for violating the NFL's substance abuse policy. "I'm just going to be aggressive," the 6-foot-3, 220-pound Floyd said. "I'm an aggressive player. I'm going to go out there and make plays. That's just what I do. That's in me, and that's never going to stop."

ABOUT THE BEARS (1-3): Chicago continues to rely heavily on its backfield, with Jordan Howard rolling up four rushing touchdowns while speedy Tarik Cohen ranks fourth among rookies with 331 yards from scrimmage and leads all NFL running backs with 24 receptions. Howard gashed Minnesota's defense in both encounters last season, rolling up 202 yards from scrimmage in a 20-10 win on Oct. 31 and adding 135 yards rushing in the finale. Cohen has 10 more receptions than Kendall Wright, who leads a banged-up wideout corps with 154 yards receiving. Tight end Zach Miller has been limited to just three catches on five targets in the last two games after reeling in 10 receptions in the first two.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Minnesota's Stefon Diggs leads the NFL with 391 receiving yards while fellow WR Adam Thielen is third with 358.

2. Chicago LB Danny Travathan will serve his one-game suspension on Monday for his hit on Green Bay WR Davante Adams.

3. Vikings TE Kyle Rudolph recorded career highs in receptions (11) and receiving yards (117) in a 38-10 win over the Bears on Jan. 1.

PREDICTION: Vikings 23, Bears 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Minnesota at Chicago

ATS TRENDS

Minnesota

Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Vikings are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 5. Vikings are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Vikings are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss. Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Vikings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in October. Vikings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Vikings are 40-19 ATS in their last 59 games overall. Vikings are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC North. Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Chicago

Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.

OU TRENDS

Minnesota

Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games following a straight up loss. Over is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games following a ATS loss. Under is 9-2 in Vikings last 11 games in October. Over is 13-3 in Vikings last 16 games in Week 5. Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 Monday games. Over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 vs. NFC. Under is 16-5 in Vikings last 21 vs. NFC North. Under is 6-2 in Vikings last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 13-5 in Vikings last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 15-6-1 in Vikings last 22 road games. Under is 9-4-1 in Vikings last 14 games on grass.

Chicago

Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Bears last 8 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games in October. Under is 5-2 in Bears last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 9-4 in Bears last 13 games following a straight up loss.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Home team is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 meetings. Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 5

Monday, October 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 2) at CHICAGO (1 - 3) - 10/9/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 5

Trend Report

Monday, October 9

9:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 5

Monday's game
Vikings (2-2) @ Bears (1-3)— Rookie QB Trubisky makes his NFL debut here; he started for one year at North Carolina- UNC went 8-5 LY. Vikings won four of last five games against the Bears,, but lost 8 of their last 9 visits to Chicago, with lone win 2 years ago. Minnesota scored 9-7 points in their losses this year, 29-34 in their wins; they lost 26-9 at Pittsburgh in only road game this season— backup QB Keenum is 10-17 as an NFL starter. Chicago is 1-3, but both their home games were decided by 6 points- they were outscored 47-7 in first half of their last two losses, which is why the QB change was made. Bears are 6-1-1 vs spread in last eight games as road underdogs. Under is 3-1 in both teams’ games this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 5
Monty Andrews

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (+3, OFF)

Vikings' drive-extending success vs. Bears' third-down D woes

There's plenty of hype surrounding this week's Monday night tilt between the Vikings and the host Bears, with Chicago finally starting No. 2 pick Mitchell Trubisky at quarterback. Yet, while it's difficult to know what fans and bettors alike can expect from the rookie signal caller, it should be a little easier to spot a significant edge the Vikings have coming into this one - and if they can exploit it, that could give them the edge to escape with a pivotal NFC North road victory.

Minnesota could have Sam Bradford back under center this week - and while that's great news for the offense, substitute Case Keenum has performed admirably in Bradford's absence. Together, they have the Vikings ranked fifth in the NFL in third-down conversion rate at 46.2 percent - behind only Carolina, Philadelphia, Green Bay and Denver. It's a considerable improvement from the 38.0-percent third-down success rate Minnesota boasted last season.

The Bears are one of only two teams in the NFC to have allowed more than 100 points so far - and they can "credit" their woeful showing on third downs for part of that. Chicago is allowing opponents to score or extend drives on better than 47 percent of their third-down situations - the third-worst mark in football, and a major drop from last season's 40.5-percent conversion rate. Those extra plays could mean the difference in what is expected to be a closely-contested affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 5


Monday, October 9

Minnesota @ Chicago

Game 475-476
October 9, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
132.779
Chicago
127.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
N/A

[bmd1803]

Vikings at Bears 10/9/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

by Thomas
Latest Odds : MIN -3 Total 41
Two teams from the NFC North will battle it out on Monday Night Football in Week 5 has the Minnesota Vikings take on the Chicago Bears. The Vikings are 2-2 on the season and lost 14-7 at home last week to the Lions. The Vikings have only played one road game which was a loss in Pittsburgh in Week 2.

Case Keenum has stepped into the QB role for the Vikings after Bradford went out with a knee injury. Keenum has three starts and has thrown three touchdowns and no interceptions. The Minnesota Vikings have the best defensive three down percentage in the NFL.


The Chicago Bears have had plenty of time to prepare for this game as they have not played since last Thursday in their 35-14 loss. The Bears are 1-3 on the season and their lone win comes at home against the Steelers in Week 3. The Bears have covered eleven of their last fourteen games when hosting the Vikings.

The Chicago Bears have announced that Mitch Trubisky will make the start at quarterback in this game. Trubisky had some reps in the preseason and should bring some life to this Chicago offense. The home teams has covered the spread in twenty-one of the last twenty-nine games.
Recent Betting Trends:
Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 5.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
Under is 13-4 in Vikings last 17 vs. NFC North.
Under is 7-1 in Bears last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Free Betting Pick: Chicago Bears +3
The Chicago Bears have one impressive home win this season and have a solid chance to win another on on Monday night. The Vikings have some key injuries and the Bears will have more motivation to win at home. Back the home team. Final Score Prediction, Chicago Bears win and cover ATS 17-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Houston Astros (103-62) at Boston Red Sox (94-71)
DATE/TIME: Monday, October 09 - 1:00 PM EST

WHERE: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

Divisional Playoff; Houston leads 2-1

Preview: Astros at Red Sox

Gracenote
Oct 9, 2017

Hanley Ramirez struggled through the final two months of the regular season and was left out of the Boston Red Sox's starting lineup in Game 1 of their American League Division Series. The veteran slugger seems to be back in form after an injury gave him another shot and looks to stay hot as the Red Sox attempt to even the best-of-five series at two wins apiece when they host the Houston Astros on Monday afternoon.

Ramirez, who batted .213 with 45 strikeouts in his final 43 games of 2017, needed an injury to Eduardo Nunez to regain the role of designated hitter and has gone 6-for-10 with three RBIs in the first three games of the series. Houston will try to contain Ramirez while getting its offense going again after being shut out by Boston's bullpen over the last eight innings of a 10-3 loss in Game 3 on Sunday. AL batting champion Jose Altuve continued his torrid hitting by recording three hits for the Astros and is 8-for-11 in the series while Carlos Correa went deep for the second time in two games and has knocked in six runs in three contests. Charlie Morton won a career-high 14 games and will get the start for Houston in Game 4 against Rick Porcello, who went 11-17 with a 4.65 ERA this season after posting a 22-4 record en route to the AL Cy Young Award in 2016.

TV: 1:08 p.m. ET, FS1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Charlie Morton (14-7, 3.62 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (Playoffs: 0-0, 0.00)

Morton won his final three starts of the regular season, including one at Fenway Park, as he allowed just four runs and 13 hits over 18 1/3 innings. The 33-year-old limited Boston to two runs in 5 1/3 frames on Sept. 29 as he improved to 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox. Morton, who has handled Ramirez (1-for-15) and Mookie Betts (0-for-4), went 4-4 with a 4.17 ERA in nine turns on the road in 2017 and 4-1 with a 2.54 mark in September.

Porcello won his last two decisions and went 7-3 in the final two months of the regular season to get the start despite pitching one scoreless inning of relief in Game 1 on Thursday. The 28-year-old New Jersey native was 7-11 with a 5.43 ERA at home this year after going 13-1 with a 2.97 mark at Fenway Park in 2016. Carlos Beltran is 10-for-27 with a homer and Josh Reddick 3-for-10 with a blast versus Porcello, who gave up seven runs over six innings in a loss to Houston on June 17.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Astros have not won a division series since 2005, when they beat Atlanta while in the National League.

2. Boston Cs Sandy Leon and Christian Vazquez have combined to go 6-for-11 with a walk and two RBIs over the first three games.

3. Houston 1B Yuli Gurriel has gone 6-for-12 in the series after recording nine hits in 27 at-bats against the Red Sox in the regular season.

PREDICTION: Astros 7, Red Sox 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Houston at Boston

W/L TRENDS

Houston

Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games. Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 road games. Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League East. Astros are 24-9 in their last 33 overall. Astros are 24-9 in their last 33 games on grass. Astros are 15-6 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 41-18 in their last 59 games following a loss. Astros are 39-18 in their last 57 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 80-38 in their last 118 games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 35-17 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 playoff road games. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff road games. Astros are 6-1 in Mortons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 5-1 in Mortons last 6 starts. Astros are 5-1 in Mortons last 6 starts on grass. Astros are 4-1 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. American League East. Astros are 6-2 in Mortons last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 5-2 in Mortons last 7 road starts. Astros are 7-3 in Mortons last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Boston

Red Sox are 11-4 in their last 15 Divisional Playoff home games. Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff home games. Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 30-14 in their last 44 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League West. Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 overall. Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 playoff games. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games. Red Sox are 8-2 in Porcellos last 10 Monday starts. Red Sox are 8-3 in Porcellos last 11 starts. Red Sox are 3-7 in Porcellos last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

OU TRENDS

Houston

Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 playoff games. Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 Divisional Playoff road games. Over is 9-2 in Astros last 11 on grass. Over is 9-2 in Astros last 11 overall. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games following a loss. Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 17-5 in Astros last 22 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 19-6-1 in Astros last 26 vs. American League East. Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 road games. Under is 15-5-2 in Astros last 22 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 20-7-1 in Astros last 28 Monday games. Under is 8-3 in Astros last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 playoff road games. Over is 6-1 in Mortons last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in Mortons last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Boston

Over is 4-0-2 in Red Sox last 6 Monday games. Under is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 on grass. Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 Divisional Playoff home games. Over is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 overall. Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League West. Over is 9-3-2 in Red Sox last 14 playoff home games. Over is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 home games. Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 14-6 in Red Sox last 20 games following a win. Under is 20-9 in Red Sox last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 28-13-2 in Red Sox last 43 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 10-2 in Porcellos last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-2 in Porcellos last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3 in Porcellos last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Porcellos last 7 home starts.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Boston. Over is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings. Astros are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Astros are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings in Boston.

UMPIRE TRENDS - MARK WEGNER

Home team is 6-0 in Wegners last 6 Monday games behind home plate. Road team is 7-0 in Wegners last 7 games behind home plate. Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games with Wegner behind home plate. Road team is 6-0 in Wegners last 6 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Over is 5-1-1 in Wegners last 7 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Under is 9-4 in Wegners last 13 games behind home plate vs. Boston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Washington Nationals (98-66) at Chicago Cubs (93-71)
DATE/TIME: Monday, October 09 - 4:00 PM EST

WHERE: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

Divisional Playoff; Series Tied 1-1

Preview: Nationals at Cubs

Gracenote
Oct 8, 2017

The Washington Nationals were unsure what to expect from reigning National League Cy Young Award winner Max Scherzer going into the playoffs, but they’ll need their ace to be close to his best when he gets the ball Monday for Game 3 of the NL Division Series against the Chicago Cubs. The series shifts back to Wrigley Field after the teams split the first two games in Washington.


The Cubs’ pitching staff was dominant for the first 16 innings of the series, shutting out the Nationals in the opener and taking a 3-1 lead into the eighth inning of Game 2 before Bryce Harper and Ryan Zimmerman went deep in a five-run frame that lifted Washington to a 6-3 win. "We've got to win two more games," Cubs first baseman Anthony Rizzo told reporters. "Doesn't matter how we do it. Doesn't matter the scenario. It starts Monday. With this group, with this experience, nothing's really going to faze us. We've given up way bigger home runs than that before." Chicago hopes left-hander Jose Quintana can put the Nationals back on their heels as he makes his postseason debut. Scherzer left his last start of the regular season on Sept. 30 with a hamstring injury that left his status for the division series up in the air, but he will aim for his first postseason win since the 2013 AL Division Series.
TV: 4:08 p.m. ET, TBS


PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Max Scherzer (16-6, 2.51 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jose Quintana (11-11, 4.15)
Scherzer is 0-3 in his last five postseason starts, but he posted a 3.75 ERA in two outings in last year’s NLDS against the Dodgers. The 33-year-old was pitching well before his injury, going 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in his last three regular-season starts. Scherzer is 3-1 with a 2.92 ERA in six career starts against the Cubs, including a win this season in which he allowed one run and two hits over six frames.
Quintana has gone 7-3 with a 3.74 ERA in 14 starts since the Cubs acquired him from the cross-town White Sox. The Cubs have won the 28-year-old’s last six starts, and he has posted a 2.82 ERA over that span. Quintana has never faced the Nationals.


WALK-OFFS
1. Cubs 3B Kris Bryant, who is 3-for-8 with a double and an RBI in the series, is 1-for-10 with seven strikeouts versus Scherzer.
2. Zimmerman was 9-for-79 with 23 strikeouts against the Cubs over the past three seasons and had not homered against them since 2013 before his go-ahead blast in Game 2.
3. Quintana has not walked a left-handed batter since July 23, facing 58 lefties during that stretch.


PREDICTION: Cubs 2, Nationals 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Washington at Chi. Cubs

W/L TRENDS

Washington

Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 Monday games. Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games following an off day. Nationals are 36-17 in their last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Nationals are 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 Monday starts. Nationals are 5-1 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. National League Central. Nationals are 5-1 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Nationals are 5-1 in Scherzers last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Nationals are 22-6 in Scherzers last 28 starts during game 3 of a series. Nationals are 6-2 in Scherzers last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Nationals are 5-2 in Scherzers last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Nationals are 5-2 in Scherzers last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Nationals are 36-15 in Scherzers last 51 starts. Nationals are 36-15 in Scherzers last 51 starts on grass. Nationals are 36-16 in Scherzers last 52 road starts.

Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff home games. Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East. Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff games. Cubs are 15-4 in their last 19 games on grass. Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 Divisional Playoff games. Cubs are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 overall. Cubs are 20-7 in their last 27 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games. Cubs are 29-11 in their last 40 games following a loss. Cubs are 43-17 in their last 60 games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 36-15 in their last 51 games following an off day. Cubs are 38-17 in their last 55 Monday games. Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Cubs are 6-0 in Quintanas last 6 home starts. Cubs are 6-0 in Quintanas last 6 starts. Cubs are 6-0 in Quintanas last 6 starts on grass. Cubs are 5-1 in Quintanas last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.

OU TRENDS

Washington

Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 11-1 in Nationals last 12 games following an off day. Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 Monday games. Under is 19-5-2 in Nationals last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2-1 in Nationals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 14-4-4 in Nationals last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 playoff games. Under is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 vs. National League Central. Under is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 during game 3 of a series. Under is 23-8-4 in Nationals last 35 road games. Under is 34-13-4 in Nationals last 51 games following a win. Under is 36-16-2 in Nationals last 54 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 31-14-7 in Nationals last 52 on grass. Under is 31-14-7 in Nationals last 52 overall. Under is 37-17-6 in Nationals last 60 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 3-0-1 in Scherzers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Chi. Cubs

Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games following a loss. Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 3 of a series. Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 games following an off day. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 playoff home games. Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 Divisional Playoff home games. Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 vs. National League East. Over is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 Monday games. Over is 6-2-1 in Cubs last 9 Divisional Playoff games. Under is 9-3 in Cubs last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2-1 in Quintanas last 8 home starts.

HEAD TO HEAD

Nationals are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

UMPIRE TRENDS - NAME UNAVAILABLE

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Cleveland Indians (104-61) at New York Yankees (93-73)
DATE/TIME: Monday, October 09 - 7:00 PM EST
WHERE: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

Divisional Playoff; Cleveland leads 2-1

Preview: Indians at Yankees

Gracenote
Oct 9, 2017

Luis Severino seeks a measure of redemption as he tries to keep the New York Yankees' season alive when he leads them into Game 4 of their American League Division Series against the visiting Cleveland Indians on Monday. The Yankees avoided being swept in the best-of-five matchup by posting a 1-0 victory on Sunday, riding a seven-inning gem from Masahiro Tanaka and a solo homer by Greg Bird to the season-saving win.

Tanaka allowed three hits and recorded seven strikeouts in the best outing - by far - by a New York starter this postseason, a lackluster stretch for the rotation that began with Severino retiring only one batter in the wild-card game against Minnesota on Tuesday. The Indians, who registered four singles and a triple in Sunday's defeat, will counter in Game 4 with Trevor Bauer on three days' rest. Bauer flummoxed the Yankees through 6 2/3 innings of a 4-0 win in the series opener and has won 11 of his last 12 decisions overall, including three victories over New York. Cleveland played Sunday without cleanup hitter Edwin Encarnacion, who remains day-to-day after spraining his ankle in Game 2.

TV: 7:08 p.m. ET, FS1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Trevor Bauer (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (0-0, 81.00)

Bauer has allowed two runs and 11 hits over 19 2/3 innings in a three-start span dating to the regular season. The 26-year-old posted a 4.54 ERA on the road this year but owns a 2.87 mark in three career turns at Yankee Stadium. Bauer struck out New York slugger Aaron Judge each of the three times he faced him in Game 1.

Severino made a pair of starts against Cleveland in August, allowing a total of four earned runs and six hits in 13 1/3 innings while recording 18 strikeouts. The 23-year-old was reached for 15 of the 21 home runs he served up this year at home, including three - two by Jose Ramirez - in a loss to the Indians at Yankee Stadium on Aug. 28. Severino, who has worked just 9 1/3 frames in a span of 23 days, owns a 2.49 ERA in four career starts versus Cleveland.

WALK-OFFS

1. Judge is 0-for-10 with eight strikeouts and four walks in the series.

2. Bauer gave up three runs over four innings while starting on three days' rest in Game 5 of the 2016 World Series.

3. Bird has homered in each of his last two games and has collected four RBIs and three walks in four postseason contests this year.

PREDICTION: Yankees 4, Indians 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Cleveland at NY Yankees

W/L TRENDS

Cleveland

Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games. Indians are 44-9 in their last 53 overall. Indians are 42-10 in their last 52 games on grass. Indians are 21-6 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 10-3 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 Monday games. Indians are 39-13 in their last 52 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 40-14 in their last 54 games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 21-8 in their last 29 vs. American League East. Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 road games. Indians are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 4 of a series. Indians are 35-16 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 40-19 in their last 59 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 4-0 in Bauers last 4 starts during game 4 of a series. Indians are 5-0 in Bauers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 4-0 in Bauers last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 10-1 in Bauers last 11 starts vs. American League East. Indians are 6-1 in Bauers last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 4-1 in Bauers last 5 road starts. Indians are 8-2 in Bauers last 10 starts. Indians are 8-2 in Bauers last 10 starts on grass. Indians are 7-2 in Bauers last 9 Monday starts. Indians are 6-2 in Bauers last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 19-7 in Bauers last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Indians are 5-2 in Bauers last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

NY Yankees

Yankees are 12-4 in their last 16 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central. Yankees are 17-6 in their last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 Monday games. Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 21-8 in their last 29 games on grass. Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 home games. Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Yankees are 19-8 in their last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 Divisional Playoff home games. Yankees are 39-17 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Yankees are 18-8 in their last 26 overall. Yankees are 40-19 in their last 59 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 4 of a series. Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Yankees are 6-0 in Severinos last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 5-0 in Severinos last 5 home starts. Yankees are 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. Yankees are 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 14-2 in Severinos last 16 starts. Yankees are 7-1 in Severinos last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts during game 4 of a series. Yankees are 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts vs. American League Central. Yankees are 13-3 in Severinos last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 8-2 in Severinos last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 20-7 in Severinos last 27 starts on grass.

OU TRENDS

Cleveland

Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-1 in Indians last 8 playoff road games. Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 vs. American League East. Under is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 Divisional Playoff road games. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 road games. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 on grass. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 Divisional Playoff games. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 overall. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 13-4 in Indians last 17 playoff games. Over is 6-2-1 in Indians last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 40-18-7 in Indians last 65 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 11-5 in Indians last 16 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 44-21-5 in Indians last 70 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-0-1 in Bauers last 6 Monday starts. Under is 7-1-2 in Bauers last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 9-2-3 in Bauers last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 17-4-5 in Bauers last 26 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 35-11-6 in Bauers last 52 road starts. Under is 15-5-2 in Bauers last 22 starts on grass. Under is 3-1-2 in Bauers last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-2 in Bauers last 6 starts vs. American League East. Under is 33-12-6 in Bauers last 51 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 39-15-5 in Bauers last 59 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 18-7-3 in Bauers last 28 starts overall. Under is 5-2 in Bauers last 7 starts during game 4 of a series. Under is 20-8-2 in Bauers last 30 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

NY Yankees

Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 4 of a series. Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 Divisional Playoff home games. Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 Divisional Playoff games. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games following a win. Under is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 playoff home games. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games. Over is 18-6-2 in Yankees last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 on grass. Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 overall. Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 playoff games. Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 Monday starts. Over is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 6-0 in Severinos last 6 starts vs. American League Central. Over is 8-1 in Severinos last 9 home starts. Over is 7-1 in Severinos last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 12-2 in Severinos last 14 starts with 5 days of rest. Over is 6-1 in Severinos last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance. Over is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts during game 4 of a series. Over is 19-7 in Severinos last 26 starts on grass. Over is 8-3-1 in Severinos last 12 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 20-8 in Severinos last 28 starts overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts vs. Indians. Under is 3-0-2 in Bauers last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Indians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Indians are 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Indians are 19-39 in the last 58 meetings in New York.

UMPIRE TRENDS - BRIAN O'NORA

Home team is 4-0 in O'Noras last 4 Monday games behind home plate vs. New York. Home team is 6-1 in O'Noras last 7 games behind home plate vs. New York. Home team is 22-7 in O'Noras last 29 Monday games behind home plate. Under is 6-2-1 in O'Noras last 9 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland. Home team is 8-3 in O'Noras last 11 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland. Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 games with O'Nora behind home plate. Home team is 9-4 in O'Noras last 13 games behind home plate. Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 games with O'Nora behind home plate.