Monday 10-9-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Los Angeles Dodgers (106-58) at Arizona Diamondbacks (94-71)
DATE/TIME: Monday, October 09 - 10:00 PM EST
WHERE: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

Divisional Playoff; LA Dodgers leads 2-0

Preview: Dodgers at Diamondbacks

Gracenote
Oct 8, 2017

The Los Angeles Dodgers have rolled to back-to-back victories over the Arizona Diamondbacks and look to wrap up the best-of-5 National League Division Series when the scene switches to Phoenix on Monday. Los Angeles racked up 17 runs and 24 hits in two easy wins as it resembled the squad that led the majors with 104 regular-season victories.

The Diamondbacks attempt to remain in the series behind ace Zack Greinke, the right-hander who won 51 games in three seasons with the Dodgers before signing with Arizona after the 2015 campaign. "If you've got to pick one guy to stop this situation we're in, I think we've found the right guy in Zack Greinke," Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo said in a press conference. Los Angeles right fielder Yasiel Puig has been one of the hitting stars by going 5-for-9 with four RBIs as the Dodgers appear to have put aside their regular-season struggles (8-11) against Arizona. "We're going to treat it like another game. We've been in Chase Field before," Los Angeles infielder Logan Forsythe told reporters. "I know it's probably going to be a little louder. But we're going up against Greinke, who is their guy, and we're going to do our homework, and go out there and prepare for the game the way we've been playing."

TV: 10:08 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (10-12, 3.86 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (playoffs: 0-0, 9.82)

Darvish finished the season strong by going 2-0 in his last three outings, allowing just one earned run in 19 1/3 innings during the stretch. The 31-year-old from Japan has a 5.40 ERA while losing both his career postseason starts but the Dodgers acquired him from the Texas Rangers to boost up their playoff-caliber pitching. "To have that front-line guy to win a playoff game certainly that's why you acquire a guy like Yu," Los Angeles manager Dave Roberts said in a press conference. "Outside of the first three or four (outings) once he came over, he's been very good and continuing to get better."

Greinke has been ineffective over his last three turns - giving up 14 runs in 11 2/3 innings - and lasted just 3 2/3 frames in the wild-card contest against the Colorado Rockies. The 33-year-old is 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA in 10 career postseason outings with two of the wins coming during his six postseason starts for the Dodgers. "We've built around him. He set the pace for the entire pitching staff all year long," Lovullo told reporters. "I know he loves challenges like this. Nobody prepares better. Nobody is going to work to make sure that on that day when he takes the mound that he's going to be comfortable, confident and ready."

WALK-OFFS

1. The Diamondbacks have launched six homers in the series while the Dodgers have hit just one.

2. Los Angeles rookie 1B Cody Bellinger is only 1-for-10 with six strikeouts in the series.

3. Arizona 1B Paul Goldschmidt is just 1-for-7 in the series - the hit being a two-run blast in Game 2.

PREDICTION: Diamondbacks 5, Dodgers 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - LA Dodgers at Arizona

W/L TRENDS

LA Dodgers

Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 41-10 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 55-15 in their last 70 games following a win. Dodgers are 41-13 in their last 54 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 games following an off day. Dodgers are 71-33 in their last 104 overall. Dodgers are 71-33 in their last 104 games on grass. Dodgers are 4-9 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 5-13 in their last 18 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 5-13 in their last 18 playoff road games. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Dodgers are 4-1 in Darvishs last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Arizona

Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff home games. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Diamondbacks are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series. Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Diamondbacks are 12-3 in their last 15 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Diamondbacks are 17-5 in their last 22 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff home games. Diamondbacks are 9-4 in their last 13 Monday games. Diamondbacks are 21-10 in their last 31 vs. National League West. Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games. Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 playoff games. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Greinkes last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Greinkes last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinkes last 6 starts vs. National League West. Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinkes last 6 Monday starts. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 21-6 in Greinkes last 27 home starts. Diamondbacks are 8-3 in Greinkes last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 20-8 in Greinkes last 28 starts with 4 days of rest. Diamondbacks are 35-16 in Greinkes last 51 starts. Diamondbacks are 35-16 in Greinkes last 51 starts on grass.

OU TRENDS

LA Dodgers

Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 road games. Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 Monday games. Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff games. Over is 7-2-1 in Dodgers last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff road games. Under is 19-7-1 in Dodgers last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 13-5-1 in Dodgers last 19 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 games following a win. Over is 4-1 in Darvishs last 5 starts on grass. Over is 4-1 in Darvishs last 5 starts overall. Over is 4-1 in Darvishs last 5 starts vs. National League West.

Arizona

Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass. Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall. Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. National League West. Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 playoff games. Over is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 6-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games. Over is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 34-16-1 in Diamondbacks last 51 games following an off day. Over is 3-0-1 in Greinkes last 4 home starts. Under is 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Under is 3-1-1 in Greinkes last 5 Monday starts. Under is 6-2-1 in Greinkes last 9 starts vs. National League West. Under is 3-1-2 in Greinkes last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 8-3-1 in Greinkes last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-2-1 in Greinkes last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-3-1 in Greinkes last 11 starts on grass. Under is 7-3-1 in Greinkes last 11 starts overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Dodgers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona. Dodgers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

UMPIRE TRENDS - BLAKE DAVIS

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:46 PM EASTERN POST
The Knickerbocker Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF GRADE II THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE

#10 DELTA PRINCE
#1 HELLO DON JULIO
#7 VULCAN'S FORGE
#12 FORGE

The Knickerbocker derives its name from the fictional character Diedrich Knickerbocker in Washington Irving's "Knickerbocker History of New York," a mock history of the colony of New Netherland. Here in the 57th running of "The Knick," #10 DELTA PRINCE has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his last five outings, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Jose Ortiz and Trainer James Jerkins send him to the post ... they've hit the board with an impressive 83% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #1 HELLO DON JULIO, a 12-1 BOMB, has also produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight hitting the board in four of those efforts, including "POWER RUN WINS" in both his last start, as well as in his 3rd race back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fresno

Fresno - Race 3

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $1 Pick 5 (50-cent min.)(Races 3-4-5-6-7)


Claiming $10,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 2:47P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,000, ALLOWED 1 LB. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, AND STARTER RACES FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. PRESIDENTSKY is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRESIDENTSKY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WILLIAM CROTTY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PERCY FAWCETT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in av erage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4
PRESIDENTSKY
4/1

7/2
3
WILLIAM CROTTY
2/1

9/2
5
PERCY FAWCETT
3/1

10/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #10 - Post: 6:21pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: 4

#7 AREYOUTALKINGTOME (ML=3/1)


AREYOUTALKINGTOME - Last time, was entered in a race at Gulfstream Park in a race with a class figure of 96. Dropping considerably in class rating this time puts him in a solid position right here. Owns the highest speed rating on the turf at this distance. I like the fact that this colt's last speed fig, 85, is tops in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ARPINELLA (ML=7/2), #9 KINGDOM KEPT (ML=9/2), #5 NEW NEL (ML=6/1),

ARPINELLA - Hard to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as frequently as this entrant does. KINGDOM KEPT - This colt most likely won't be right there at the wire. NEW NEL - In this situation, this steed's inability to close in the last clash is a cause for concern.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - AREYOUTALKINGTOME - This colt's turf figure last race is the tops compared to the last turf figures for the rest of these horses.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #7 AREYOUTALKINGTOME to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [4,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 10

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &10 cent SUPERFECTA / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 65 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 5:40P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,750 TO $12,500 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CHANGE IS COMING is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CHANGE IS COMING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. BRAHMS ROMP: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
9
CHANGE IS COMING
8/1

3/1
2X
BRAHMS ROMP
3/1

7/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5400 Class Rating: 77

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. , 121 LBS.; , 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 9, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 PARTY FOR ONE 6/5

# 5 BETTING ON DR BOW 4/1

# 1 YOUSEEHEREYOUSEE 6/1

PARTY FOR ONE looks to be a formidable contender. Has to be considered a contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group as of late. Sound average speed figures in dirt route races make this animal a key contender. BETTING ON DR BOW - Could beat this field given the 64 speed fig garnered in his last outing. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt route races lately. YOUSEEHEREYOUSEE - Camachoflores will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out sharply in this race. Could best this group of animals based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 68 - of his last affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: 4

#6 NSEVENTEEN (ML=6/1)
#3 VENEZUELAN KING (ML=2/1)


NSEVENTEEN - Faced tougher last out at Meadowlands. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of probable winners in this race. Have to forget about that last race on the grass. This gelding should do better hitting the main track today. Lets try to beat the morning-line favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a decent race. VENEZUELAN KING - Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Navarro enters him at a similar level today. I'd expect an improved performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 CHAPIN (ML=3/1), #2 CHILL PHIL (ML=8/1),

CHAPIN - He showed not much at all in the last affair. CHILL PHIL - Recent deteriorating Equibase speed figures of 64/59/49 give a sign that this horse may be going off form. This gelding garnered a speed figure in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 NSEVENTEEN to win if you can get at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
6 with 3 with [2,7,8] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 80

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 10 LA VIE EN ROSE 4/1

# 11 MISS SAVVY 8/1

# 4 THIRTY NINE SEVEN 5/1

LA VIE EN ROSE has a decent shot to take this race. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this racer look solid in this affair. Could beat this field given the 74 speed rating earned in her last outing. Looks to have a solid class edge based on the latest company kept. MISS SAVVY - Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been strong - 64 avg - of late. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 64 - of her last affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Monday, October 9

Monday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Vikings at Bears

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (+3, 40)

The Chicago Bears have made a quarterback change while the Minnesota Vikings hope to follow suit on Monday when the NFC North rivals meet at Soldier Field. Second overall draft pick Mitchell Trubisky will make his NFL debut after offseason acquisition Mike Glennon committed four turnovers in Chicago's 35-14 loss to Green Bay on Sept. 28, while Sam Bradford aims to return after sustaining a knee injury in Minnesota's season opener.

"I feel like I'm ready," the 23-year-old Trubisky said. "I'm excited. I'm just going to take it day by day and prepare as hard as I possibly can for every single look and situation we can get on Monday." Trubisky faces a tall order against an aggressive Vikings' defense, which sacked Matthew Stafford six times in a 14-7 loss to Detroit on Sunday and ranks No. 1 in the league in third-down defense (25.6 percent conversion rate). The Vikings were dealt a brutal blow with the season-ending ACL injury to promising rookie Dalvin Cook in that contest, while Case Keenum completed just 16 of 30 passes for 219 yards. Bradford was limited in his return to practice on Thursday, but coach Mike Zimmer told reporters that "If he's ready to play, he'll play."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

POWER RANKINGS: Minnesota (-1.5) - Chicago (5.5) + home field (-3) = Minnesota -1

LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened as 2-point road chalk and that number has been bet up to 3. The total hit the betting boards at 40.5 and has been bet down to 40.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: “Biggest question up on the air is the status on Vikings’ QB Sam Bradford, who is just 1-2 SU and ATS in his career adjacent the Bears. Meanwhile, backup QB Case Keenum is just 4-8 SU and 3-9 ATS against division foes, including 0-6 ATS as a favorite. The other question is whether Chicago can improve on its 5-12 ATS mark at home of late in Monday night games.” - Marc Lawrence


INJURY REPORT:

Vikings - RB Jerick McKinnon (Probable, Ankle), S Andrew Sendejo (Questionable, Shoulder), DT Shamar Stephen (Questionable, Back), LB Eric Kendricks (Questionable, Illness), G Danny Isidora (Questionable, Knee), QB Sam Bradford (Questionable, Knee), T Rashod Hill (Questionable, Knee), DT Sharrif Floyd (Questionable Week 10, Knee), RB Dalvin Cook (I-R, Knee).

Bears - DE Akiem Hicks (Questionable, Foot), QB Mark Sanchez (Questionable, Neck), C Hroniss Grasu (Questionable, Hand), LB Willie Young (Out For Season, Tricep), LB Danny Trevathan (Eligible Week 6, Possible Suspension), LB Jerrell Freeman (Questionable Week 10, Concussion).

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Signed to a three-year, $15 million deal, Latavius Murray finds himself thrust into the lead-back role after seeing Cook exit following his non-contact injury. Murray, who rushed seven times for 21 yards after the rookie departed, admitted this week that his ankle is not 100 percent following offseason surgery. While Minnesota lost one impact player, it will see the return of another as Michael Floyd has served his four-game suspension for violating the NFL's substance abuse policy. "I'm just going to be aggressive," the 6-foot-3, 220-pound Floyd said. "I'm an aggressive player. I'm going to go out there and make plays. That's just what I do. That's in me, and that's never going to stop."

ABOUT THE BEARS (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Chicago continues to rely heavily on its backfield, with Jordan Howard rolling up four rushing touchdowns while speedy Tarik Cohen ranks fourth among rookies with 331 yards from scrimmage and leads all NFL running backs with 24 receptions. Howard gashed Minnesota's defense in both encounters last season, rolling up 202 yards from scrimmage in a 20-10 win on Oct. 31 and adding 135 yards rushing in the finale. Cohen has 10 more receptions than Kendall Wright, who leads a banged-up wideout corps with 154 yards receiving. Tight end Zach Miller has been limited to just three catches on five targets in the last two games after reeling in 10 receptions in the first two.

TRENDS:

* Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

* Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

* Under is 9-2 in Vikings last 11 games in October.

* Under is 7-1 in Bears last 8 games following a ATS loss.

* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road chalk Vikings at a rate of 60 percent and the Under is picking up 51 percent of the totals action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 9

Washington @ Chicago Cubs

Game 905-906
October 9, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Scherzer) 14.951
Chicago Cubs
(Quntana) 15.911
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-130
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+110); N/A

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 907-908
October 9, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Darvish) 14.771
Arizona
(Greinke) 17.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+105); Over

Houston @ Boston

Game 909-910
October 9, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Morton) 17.515
Boston
(Porcello) 16.304
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-120
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-120); Under

Cleveland @ NY Yankees

Game 911-912
October 9, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bauer) 15.814
NY Yankees
(Severino) 19.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, October 9

Houston @ Boston
Astros are 6-4 vs Boston this season; home team won first three series games.

Morton is 3-0, 1.96 in his last three starts, all of which stayed under. Houston is 5-4 n his road starts this season. He allowed two runs in 5.1 IP in a 3-2 win over Boston 10 days ago.

Porcello is 2-2, 6.26 in his last five starts; over is 7-4 in his last 11 starts. Boston is 8-11 in his home starts this year. He lost 7-1 to the Astros June 17, giving up seven runs in six IP, and pitched a scoreless inning in relief in Game 2 Friday.

Red Sox are in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years; they got swept 3-0 by Cleveland in this round last year. Houston is in playoffs for second time in three years; they’ve never won the World Series, losing 4-0 to the White Sox in 2005.

Cleveland @ New York
New York is 3-7 vs Cleveland this season; home teams won all three games in this series.

Bauer is 2-0, 0.92 in his last three starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven starts. Indians are 8-7 in his road starts. Bauer is pitching on 3 days’ rest; he is 3-0, 0.92 vs New York this season.

Severino got KO’s in first inning of Wild Card game Tuesday; he is 1-0, 6.75 in his last three starts. Over is 3-1 in his last four starts. New York is 12-5 in his home starts; they won his last six starts overall. Severino is 1-1, 3.38 vs Cleveland this season.

New York is in the playoffs for second time in the last five years; they last made the ALCS in 2012- they beat Twins 7-4 in Wild Card game Tuesday, with bullpen getting 26 of the 27 outs. Indians lost Game 7 of the World Series last year; they haven’t won a World Series since 1948. They’re in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years.

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Dodgers won first two games of this season, both of which went over the total. Arizona is 11-10 vs LA this season, 7-3 in Phoenix. Over is 12-9 in Arizona-LA games this season.

Darvish is 2-0, 0.93 in his last three starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight starts. Dodgers are 8-7 in his road starts this season; he allowed two runs in five IP in an 8-6 win at Arizona 8-6, his only start against the Diamondbacks this season.

Greinke is 0-1, 10.80 in his last three starts; over is 4-3 in his last seven outings. Arizona is 15-3 in his home starts this season. Greinke is 1-2, 3.65 in four starts against the Dodgers this year.

Dodgers haven’t been to the World Series since 1988; this is their 5th year in a row in playoffs. Arizona won the Wild Card game 11-8 Wednesday, lost 9-4 last night; this is the first time they’re in the playoffs since 2011.

Washington @ Chicago
Washington is 5-4 against the Cubs this season (over 6-3): Nationals rallied for five runs in bottom of 8th inning Saturday to even this series 1-1.

Scherzer is 2-0, 1.65 in his last three starts (under 3-0), but left his last start with hamstring cramps. Nationals are 11-5 in his road starts. Scherzer beat the Cubs 6-1 on June 27, allowing one run in six IP.

Cubs won Quintana’s last six starts (3-0, 2.82); under is 5-3 in his last eight starts. Cubs are 3-3 in his road starts. He hasn’t pitched against Washington this season.

Cubs won the World Series LY, their first title since 1908; this is their 3rd year in a row in the playoffs. Washington is in the playoffs for 4th time in six years- they lost in this round the previous three times. Nationals have never been in the World Series.

AL Wild Card
NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

NL Wild Card
Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

Divisional series
Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5

Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5

Cubs 3-0 Wash, +$135, U7.5
Wash 6-3 Chi, -$117, O8.5

LA 9-4 Ariz, -$270, O7.5
LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, October 9

Trend Report

1:08 PM
HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

4:08 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHI CUBS
Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 16-5 SU in their last 21 games
Chi Cubs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home

7:08 PM
CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games

10:08 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 9

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WASHINGTON (98 - 66) at CHICAGO CUBS (93 - 71) - 3:05 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 26-29 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-15 (+10.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
WASHINGTON is 50-31 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SCHERZER is 26-6 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 93-71 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 904-820 (-157.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-23 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-36 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-56 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-33 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SCHERZER is 3-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 0.973.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA DODGERS (106 - 58) at ARIZONA (94 - 71) - 10:05 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 18-31 (-14.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 88-80 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 7-10 (-11.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
LA DODGERS are 16-24 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 43-35 (-16.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 143-104 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 95-93 (-35.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
DARVISH is 14-17 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 94-71 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 53-29 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 30-15 (+11.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 46-33 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 66-50 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 69-52 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 36-31 (+7.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GREINKE is 23-10 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 16-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 101-49 (+38.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 74-32 (+24.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 37-13 (+17.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 11-10 (+4.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
12 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

YU DARVISH vs. ARIZONA since 1997
DARVISH is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 0.966.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.6 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GREINKE is 4-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.366.
His team's record is 7-4 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.8 units)

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HOUSTON (103 - 62) at BOSTON (94 - 71) - 1:05 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 76-51 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 103-62 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 26-15 (+9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 53-29 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 37-19 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 80-38 (+24.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 40-20 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 20-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MORTON is 28-11 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 1-12 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-44 (-9.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 58-58 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 227-230 (-65.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PORCELLO is 2-8 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 (+1.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. BOSTON since 1997
MORTON is 2-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.74 and a WHIP of 0.968.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.271.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.7 units)

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CLEVELAND (104 - 61) at NY YANKEES (93 - 73) - 7:05 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-3 (+4.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BAUER is 4-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.374.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SEVERINO is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 0.987.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.1 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Monday, Oct. 9 is:

Maple Leafs and Blackhawks 'under' the total.