Saturday 10-21-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Saturday 5* FREE CFB ATS Play

Tennessee vs. Alabama, 10/21/2017 15:30 EDT

Point Spread: -34½/-135 Alabama

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Alabama -34.5

The Crimson Tide are just rolling over opponents right now.

Here, they face a Tennessee team that is just in turmoil. The Volunteers have dropped back to back games and defensively are just atrocious. Tennessee has given up 33.5 points per road game this season and face an offense that just wears you down.

Alabama is outscoring opponents 42.7-10.1 this season. They have found stability with their run game, as RB Damien Harris has rumbled for over 100 yards in 3 of his last 4 games. Alabama has a huge edge here and will really get a huge push up front on Tennessee, as they will really have them on their heels all half.

Some trends to note. Volunteers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

This one could get ugly.

Back Alabama.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

Chase's 15* CFB FREE CASH

Tennessee vs. Alabama, 10/21/2017 15:30 EDT

Point Spread: +36½/-110 Tennessee

Sportsbook:
Bodog

This game features the 3-3 Tennessee at 7-0 Alabama. Tennessee is just 1-5 ATS this season but this is a game I think they will cover easily. Their is a'lot on the line here for the Vols head coach Butch Jones one being his job especially if Alabama blows them out Saturday. The wheels have seemed to come off this team since the hailmary by Florida beat them a few weeks back. I think the books have over padded this line Bama has a huge rival game with LSU next week I see Tennessee giving them a little scare here as I think they keep this game kinda close. Take the points and play on Tennessee here for a 15* winner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 NCAA free pick

UCF vs. Navy, 10/21/2017 15:30 EDT

Total: -107/+65 Over

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Ufc top scoring team in the league putting up 50 per and I expect them to get every bit of that vs navy few points from the midshipmen and we shld cash easy making the over my ncaa free play..

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

FREE PLAY FROM DOC'S SPORTS

BYU vs. East Carolina, 10/21/2017 19:00 EDT

Point Spread: +5½/-106 East Carolina

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #342 Take East Carolina Pirates over BYU Cougars (Saturday 7 pm CBSSN) There is just no way BYU should be favored against any FBS team on the road. These are two bad teams and thus getting over 5 points is too good to pass up. BYU is 1-6 on the season and they have not been competitive in any of those losses. A few of those games the score made it look more competitive than it actually was. The Pirates have played a difficult schedule with four of their six losses coming against ranked teams. BYU is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall. BYU has major issues on offense and I just do not see them winning this game straight-up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chip Chirimbes

Chip's FREE NCAA Winner

Michigan vs. Penn State, 10/21/2017 19:30 EDT

Point Spread: -9½/-105 Penn State

Sportsbook:
TopBet

Michigan at Penn State 8:00 ET
Nittany Lions (-) over Wolverines- I have been getting 'expert' advise on this game from all that I know and I am now more confused then ever...on just what they were saying. My opinion started with Penn State, as I felt that Michigan + was attractive side. The more I heard and read the more I knew I was going to stand firm on the Lions. The two best players on offense in this game both play for Penn State...Take the NITTANY LIONS!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart
cfb

Wyoming vs. Boise State, 10/21/2017 22:15 EDT

Point Spread: +14/-106 Wyoming

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Wyoming after losing 2 of their first three games to begin their season have won three straight games SU/ATS, and are finally starting to perform up to expectations behind stud QB, Joh Allen who is still not in top form , but ready to explode at any time. However, Wyoming is ranked tied for first in Red Zone offense, and should do much better than San Diego State did last week vs Boise State . The Broncos surprised a lot of pundits last week, by beating SD State, but the truth is the Aztecs are starting to become easier to read as the season has gone on, as they just continually hand the ball to Rashad Penney . With that said, and now in a letdown scenario after their upset win, I'm betting the Broncos will have a hard time getting up for this tilt despite of being in revenge mode for a 30-28 loss at Larime last season.

WYOMING is 8-1 ATS L/9 vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last few seasons.BOISE ST is 0-8 ATS L/8 as a home favorite and is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after playing a conference game .

CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points like Wyoming - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 28-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wyoming to cover

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns
BEN'S FREE PLAY

Colorado vs. Washington State, 10/21/2017 22:45 EDT

Point Spread: +10½/-110 Colorado

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

Some of you will recall that I successfully played against the Cougars, at Cal, last week, the start of a 14-4 Fri/Sat/Sun streak. Washington State was "riding high," entering that game. The 6-0 Cougs had a top-ten ranking and were coming off victories over USC and Oregon. They'd close as -16.5 point favorites.

Then, Friday The 13th got them. Something did, anyway. The Cougs didn't show up and the Bears came away with a convincing 37-3 victory. Thats right. They beat the closing line by 50 points.

Off that rude awakening, I'm not sure that the Cougs are ready to be laying double-digits here. Colorado, which beat WSU by 14 points last season, is 9-4 ATS its last 13 true road games. Both this season's road games have been close, each decided by four or fewer points. Take a look at the visitors here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Oct 21 '17, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Arizona State vs Utah
Play on: Arizona State +10 -110 at BMaker

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Arizona State +10)
The value here is with the Sun Devils as a double-digit dog once again. Arizona State is a team that continues to be undervalued, despite just beating the No. 5 team in the country. A big reason for that is they haven’t been a serious threat in the Pac-12 for years and were just 5-7 a season ago.
Utah is getting a lot of love for how they have played to start the year, most notably their near upsets in their last two games against Stanford and USC. What I think the public is overlooking here is that this is a really tough spot for the Utes.
They just laid everything they had on the line against the Trojans. To let a 14-point lead slip away and then miss an opportunity to win the game on a 2-point play is about as gut-wrenching a defeat as you will find. It’s a lot harder to bounce back from a blowout loss than it is a close defeat. Especially when it’s a game you think you should have won.
At the same time, I don’t know that the Utes would deserve to be laying more than a touchdown had they beat USC last week. I believe we are seeing Utah way overvalued simply because of the fact that they haven’t lost a game against the spread (5-0-1 ATS).
This is also a good matchup for Arizona State. While Utah’s defense is strong, they are much better at stopping the run than the pass. The Utes are just 77th against the pass compared to 30th against the run. Arizona State’s offense features the 25th ranked passing attack.
Let’s also not overlook how well Arizona State’s defense played against Washington. The Sun Devils held the Huskies to just 230 total yards and 14 first downs. The overall defensive numbers aren’t great, but that’s understandable given they have played the likes of Texas Tech, Oregon (prior to Justin Herbert getting hurt) and Stanford.
The Sun Devils are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after holding their previous opponent to less than 20 points. I would take the points here, but also don’t hate a little extra on the money line. Give me the Sun Devils +10!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Oct 21 '17, 8:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | West Virginia vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor +9½ -110 at GTBets

I'm taking the points with the Baylor Bears on Saturday night. The Bears return home after back-to-back road games and last time in Waco, they actually gave Oklahoma a run for their money as a 27-point underdog, before the Sooners finished with a 49-41 win. Baylor was no match for Oklahoma State in Stillwater last weekend, but West Virginia, a team that can't stop the run or the pass, is in a tough spot. The Mountaineers are off a tough loss to TCU two weeks ago and a pretty big come from behind win at Texas Tech one week ago. Along with a home game against Oklahoma State up next, focusing solely on Baylor might not be too easy. We expect the Mountaineers to score some points, we just don't believe they can distance themselves due to their weak defensive play. Meanwhile, Baylor will draw confidence from the 8-point loss to OU just a few weeks ago. I'm backing Baylor plus the points on Saturday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Oct 21 '17, 10:15 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Wyoming vs Boise State
Play on: Wyoming +14 -110 at 5Dimes

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Wyoming +14

The Boise State Broncos are getting too much love now after beating San Diego State 31-14 on the road last week as 4-point underdogs. But that was a misleading final as the Broncos were aided by a 53-yard punt return TD and a 34-yard fumble recovery TD to start the game. The numbers show that Boise State simply isn't a very good team. The Broncos have actually been outgained in four of their six games this season. Wyoming has turned the corner after a brutal early schedule with losses to Oregon and Iowa. They have won three straight coming in while covering the spread in all three. Wyoming beat Boise State 30-28 last year. The Broncos will want revenge, but they should not be favored by two touchdowns here. The Broncos are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games, and 0-8 ATS as home favorites over the last two seasons. The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games. Take Wyoming.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

Oct 21 '17, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | BYU vs East Carolina
Play on: OVER 57 -120

East Carolina is an awful defensive team and so is BYU, who is close to as bad. ECU can at least move the ball on offense. In this seemingly odd matchup, we will look to Play Over on teams on teams like the Pirates when the total is between 56.5 and 63, a good offensive team at 390 to 440 YPG, against a team with a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG), after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Since 1992, this situation is a sweet (24-4, 85.7%!
Doug Upstone Big Ten Parlay Pleaser!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Oct 21 '17, 2:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Miami-OH
Play on: UNDER 46 -115

Free Total Annihilator On Buffalo vs Miami-OH under 46 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Ramirez

Oct 21 '17, 10:15 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Wyoming vs Boise State
Play on: OVER 44½ -110

COLLEGE FOOTBALL 75 DIME GAME
BOISE ST/WYOMING 44.5 OVER
There is plenty of talent on both sides of the ball in this game as much as you'll see between any two Group of 5 programs in the country. That said, I expect this one to be decided on the sidelines. The Broncos are coming off of a big win over San Diego State, but there's more to that game as you peel back the layers. Boise State didn't do much offensively and relied on big plays from the defense and special teams to jump ahead. Craig Bohl's Cowboys won't rely on the run like San Diego State did and will be much more careful with the football. On defense, I expect Wyoming to key on Broncos running back Alexander Mattison to take him away from Rypien as often as possible, leading to a sound.
According to my algorithm, I have Wyoming winning 28-24. Lay the money on the over here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Club

Oct 21 '17, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: Eastern Michigan +3 -115 at 5Dimes

Eastern Michigan +3
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Western Michigan Broncos and the Eastern Michigan Eagles face off on Saturday, and with the Eagles playing teams tough I like their value.
The Eagles come into this game with a 2-4 record, but don't let that fool you, they have been playing teams really tough.
They come into this game having covered the spread in five of the six games they have played so far this year.
Coming into the last three games they were a combined 32 point underdogs but only lost those three games by a combined 10 points.
The Broncos also had to play their game on Sunday instead of Saturday last week so they had one less day to prepare.
Some trends to note. Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
5* FREE Cappers Club Power Play
Good Luck, Cappers Club.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

Oct 21 '17, 6:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs UNLV
Play on: Utah State +3½ -115 at Bovada

This line was quickly bet up from +2.5 to +4 earlier this week as the public wanted nothing to do with Utah State after back-to-back SU/ATS home losses. However, this line is starting to come back down and is still too high as my power ratings make this game a Pick'em. This road trip might actually help the Aggies refocus and Utah State was excellent in their most recent road game four weeks ago; an easy 61-10 win at San Jose State. UNLV blew a 27-0 lead at Air Force last week and lost 30-34. A hangover is definitely possible this week, and UNLV is just 1-2 SU/ATS at home this season which includes the biggest upset loss in history when Howard won 43-40 as a 44-point underdog at UNLV in September. The Rebels' defense has struggled this season, allowing 33.5 points per game on 6.1 yards per play.