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Scott Spreitzer 3-Unit Play: Take 261 Texas +7 over Utah (7:30 p.m., Tuesday, December 31)
Alamo Bowl
I'm taking the points with Texas on Tuesday night. This one has a chance to be a classic letdown spot. Utah made it to the Pac-12 championship with a chance to capture a playoff appearance or an appearance in the Rose Bowl. But an ugly performance in the loss to Oregon has them settling for the Alamo Bowl. Utah HC Kyle Whittingham has had success in bowl games but Texas HC Tom Herman is 3-0 SU/ATS, winning all 3 outright as an underdog. Tough spot for the overvalued Utes and we'll do just what we did in the Pac-12 championship and play against them. I'm grabbing the points with Texas on Tuesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
9:42 AM
VIRGINIA TECH -2.5
VIRGINIA TECH VS KENTUCKY | 12/31 | 12:00 PM EST
BELK BOWL -- Both teams come into this game playing inspired ball, which explains the close line. I like how the Hokies' defense consistently is in attack mode. Kentucky's offense has gained confidence over the last three contests, but I believe the Wildcats will meet their match in Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster's final game.
109-71-1 IN LAST 181 CFB ATS PICKS | +3156
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
9:39 AM
VIRGINIA TECH -2.5
VIRGINIA TECH VS KENTUCKY | 12/31 | 12:00 PM EST
BELK BOWL -- If there is any question on which side wields a motivational edge, consider that legendary Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster works his final game before retirement. He has been gifted several weeks to plot against Kentucky’s one-dimensional offense operated by WR-turned-QB Lynn Bowden Jr. The Hokies will be primed to impede the Wildcats’ fourth-rated ground attack. Tech coach Justin Fuentes, with help from Foster, is 3-1 ATS in the postseason.
47-37-1 IN LAST 85 CFB ATS PICKS | +611
2-1 IN LAST 3 VATECH ATS PICKS | +89
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 5:53 PM
KENTUCKY +2.5
VIRGINIA TECH VS KENTUCKY | 12/31 | 12:00 PM EST
BELK BOWL -- My model says that the Wildcats cover the spread 68 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them at this point spread. Kentucky is riding a three-game winning streak during which it has outscored its opponents 133-34. The Wildcats haven't allowed more than 17 points in any of their last five contests. That streak may end here, but Kentucky's offense should keep on rolling.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +88
2-1 IN LAST 3 VATECH ATS PICKS | +85
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
SUN 12/29
OVER 46.5
VIRGINIA TECH VS KENTUCKY | 12/31 | 12:00 PM EST
BELK BOWL -- It's clear that the oddsmakers have not paid attention to the Belk Bowl's history. This is a game that gets weird often, and has averaged 64.6 points per game in its eight-year history. The Over has also been profitable with both of these teams in nonconference games. Since 2014 it is 20-7 in Kentucky's and 17-10-1 in Virginia Tech's. Expect points and fun.
26-20-1 IN LAST 47 CFB O/U PICKS | +389
Barrett Sallee
CFB GURU
SUN 12/29
KENTUCKY +2.5
VIRGINIA TECH VS KENTUCKY | 12/31 | 12:00 PM EST
BELK BOWL -- We are in bowl season and people are STILL doubting the Wildcats, coach Mark Stoops and do-everything star Lynn Bowden. Do that at your own peril. Bowden is off to the NFL after this game, but rushed for over 1,200 yards after converting to quarterback from wide receiver in the middle of the season. Every defense knows what is coming, but nobody has been able to stop Bowden. He'll go out in style with a win in Charlotte.
54-30-2 IN LAST 86 CFB PICKS | +2086
2-1-1 IN LAST 4 UK ATS PICKS | +88
UTAH -7
UTAH VS TEXAS | 12/31 | 7:30 PM EST
10:09 AM
ALAMO BOWL -- Point-of-attack play will be big in this matchup between Utah and Texas. Where it could take a turn for the Longhorns is on the defensive side of the ball. Utah does a great job of winning consistently up front, and it has amazing players at QB and RB that could make it a difficult night for Texas.
109-71-1 IN LAST 181 CFB ATS PICKS | +3156
7-4 IN LAST 11 TEXAS ATS PICKS | +259
2-1 IN LAST 3 UTAH ATS PICKS | +90
GEORGIA ST. +7
WYOMING VS GEORGIA ST. | 12/31 | 4:30 PM EST
9:50 AM
ARIZONA BOWL -- Defensively, I like what the Cowboys bring to the table. Offensively, I think they are a bit inconsistent. While Georgia State's defense can be a bit vulnerable against the run, it can compete with Wyoming at the point of attack - enough to make this game much closer than expected.
109-71-1 IN LAST 181 CFB ATS PICKS | +3156
6-2 IN LAST 8 WYO ATS PICKS | +376
KANSAS ST. +3
NAVY VS KANSAS ST. | 12/31 | 3:45 PM EST
9:46 AM
LIBERTY BOWL -- Navy arguably has the most explosive player in this matchup in QB Malcolm Perry. He is going to make a few big plays in this game. However, I like the defensive discipline of Kansas State, which will get a few stops and steal a few possessions in the process.
109-71-1 IN LAST 181 CFB ATS PICKS | +3156
8-1 IN LAST 9 KSTATE ATS PICKS | +689
10-6 IN LAST 16 NAVY ATS PICKS | +340
ARIZONA ST. -4.5
FLORIDA ST. VS ARIZONA ST. | 12/31 | 2:00 PM EST
THU 12/19
SUN BOWL -- The Seminoles were dealt a big blow with star RB Cam Akers declaring for the NFL Draft and announcing he'll sit out the bowl game. A lot of the matchups in this game favor Arizona State. True freshman QB Jayden Daniels is a budding star, and coach Herm Edwards will use this game as a springboard for next season. Lay the points.
109-71-1 IN LAST 181 CFB ATS PICKS | +3156
13-3 IN LAST 16 FSU ATS PICKS | +975
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Tuesday, Dec 31 2019 7:30PM
261 Texas 7.0(-110) Westgate vs 262 Utah single-dime bet
Analysis: How motivated is Utah here after being one win away from either the CFB Playoffs or their first ever Rose Bowl berth? We certainly think it’s a question mark. Yes, head coach Kyle Whittingham is great in bowl games (10-2 SU) but Texas head coach Tom Herman is 3-0 ATS in bowl games winning all 3 outright as an underdog. We think the Horns have a clear match-up edge with their WR’s Devin Duvernay and Collin Johnson vs a Utah defense playing without key DB’s Jaylon Johnson and Julian Blackmon.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Tuesday, Dec 31 2019 2:00PM
255 Florida St. 4.0(-110) William Hill vs 256 Arizona St. single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (255) Florida State +4 over Arizona State. 2:00pm ET. Arguably 3 of the top 4 offensive players will sit this game out in Arizona St RB Eno Benjamin (1,083 yards), Arizona St WR Brandon Aiyuk (1,192 yards) and Florida St RB Cam Akers (1,133 yards, 14 TD’s). FSU interim coach Odell Haggins will be on the staff next year so expect Mike Norvell to have some input whether he admits to it or not. On the other side, Arizona St head coach Herm Edwards will be without both his O.C. who he fired and his D.C. Danny Gonzalez who took the New Mexico head coaching job.
Bowl Leans Today
Lean (255/256) Florida State/Arizona State UNDER 54. 2:00pm ET.
Lean (260) Wyoming -7 over Georgia State. 4:30pm ET.
Lean (292) Virginia Tech -2 over Kentucky. 12:00pm ET.
SAN ANTONIO -11
GOLDEN ST. @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/31 | 7:00 PM EST
10:04 AM
No team in the NBA is less prepared to handle the loss of depth due to injury than the Warriors. They literally are unable to sign replacement players because of the hard cap imposed by the D'Angelo Russell trade. Speaking of Russell, he, along with C Willie Cauley-Stein and F Kevon Looney, are out. G Ky Bowman may join them, but F Eric Paschall could play. Even given how well they've played of late, the Warriors' lack of depth makes them an easy target here.
INDIANA +1.5
PHILADELPHIA @ INDIANA | 12/31 | 3:00 PM EST
9:59 AM
The Pacers are 14-3 at home and have a +6.3 net rating in Indiana. The 76ers are 7-10 on the road and have a -0.9 net rating on the road. The gap between these teams, given the venue for this game, is sizable. The variable leading to this spread is the health of Indiana G Malcolm Brogdon, but he claims he will play. While a player's word is not always a guarantee, it is at least enough to take the points in a game that, statistically speaking, should have a very different line.
KANSAS ST. +2.5
NAVY VS KANSAS ST. | 12/31 | 3:45 PM EST
SUN 12/29
LIBERTY BOWL -- These teams are similar to one another in a lot of ways. Both run the ball a lot, which will limit overall possessions and the amount of points they can score. Still, I don't like the total in this game, and instead I'm inclined to take Kansas State. This feels like a coin flip contest, so getting the points is hard to pass up. Plus, Kansas State is 6-2 ATS as a dog this season.
UTAH -7
UTAH VS TEXAS | 12/31 | 7:30 PM EST
SUN 12/29
ALAMO BOWL -- The Tom Herman as an Underdog Principle is dead. Dead, dead, dead, dead, dead. Texas is 0-5 straight up as a dog this season and only 2-3 ATS. Utah, meanwhile, is 11-2 straight up in bowl games under Kyle Whittingham and 9-4 ATS. They're also a much better team than they looked like against Oregon, and the Ducks are a much better squad than this Texas team. Lay it with the Utes.
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