Service Plays Sunday 1/12/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco/Sports Unlimited NBA
4% Denver

[IronCity]

AAA

Siena

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJP Score:

Houston = 0

Kansas City = 3U

OVER = 2U

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 2-1 KC -8 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 2-0 OV49.5 (DNQ)

LJP Score:

Seattle = 0

Green Bay = 3U

OVER = 2OPEN

UNDER = 0

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 2-0 GB -4 (DNQ)

[swaminator]

Larry Ness' NFL 10* Div Rnd Las Vegas Insider
Green Bay Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Machine
packers -3 1 half 10 units
spurs+ 4 10 units

memphis -3.5 10 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Silverstein

GREEN BAY -4.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
2:17 PM
There is some worry about Green Bay being rusty coming off the bye, especially after it was already struggling to beat teams like Chicago and Washington during the final month of the season, but I think it's going to give the Packers fresh legs against a Seahawks team that had to grind out a win against the Eagles despite Carson Wentz being injured in the first half. Green Bay's defense has been impressive at times this season, and it enters the game with a far better running game. Look for the Packers to hit big with Aaron Rodgers, run the clock with Aaron Jones and avoid giving the ball back to Russell Wilson late. Green Bay by a touchdown.

44-28-2 IN LAST 74 NFL ATS PICKS | +1297
4-0 IN LAST 4 GB ATS PICKS | +400

5-1-1 IN LAST 7 SEA ATS PICKS | +386

KANSAS CITY -10
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
2:12 PM
You will read a lot about Patrick Mahomes vs. Deshaun Watson before this game, but I'm more curious about Watson vs. a Chiefs defense that has held opponents to 11.5 points per game during their six-game win streak (5-0-1 ATS). Watson & Co. will do better than that, particularly with Will Fuller back, but I see 35-37 points for Kansas City at home with Andy Reid coming off a bye. There is such a dramatic coaching advantage in this game for the Chiefs that I'm comfortable laying double digits at this enhanced spread, but try to get 9 or 9.5 if it's out there before kickoff.

44-28-2 IN LAST 74 NFL ATS PICKS | +1297
11-6-2 IN LAST 19 KC ATS PICKS | +422

2-0-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass
Free Plays 73-34 L107 TB Under NHL
NBA 500 Heat 500 Nuggets
NCAABB 400 Minnesota 400 Memphis 400 Manhattan
NFL 500 Chiefs 1000 Packers 400 Packers Over
NHL 400 Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Ma
texans
seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 12 2020 6:40PM
308 GBP -4.0(-110) Southpoint vs 307 SEA double-dime bet

Analysis: 2 STARS PROPS:

Sea WILSON Rushing Yards OVER 27, 2 stars


GB Adams Receiving Yards, OVER 82, 2 stars


… Hou KC -10, 51
KC STRONG LEAN
KC is UNDERRATED
KC IMPROVED Defense: D giving up 11.5 points per game last 6 games
New DC Steve Spagnuolo continues to improve
Last 6 Games (6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS) 17,9,16, 3,3,21)
Although this WAS against a schedule of avg/poor offenses
And KC played many games without a healthy Mahomes
3 games with Matt Moore
And 3 games with a clearly hobbled Mahomes
KC 10-0 in their other games
Ave win by 14 points in those 10 games
4-0 Weeks 1-4 (Ave win 10.25)
6-0 Last 6 games (Ave win 16.33)
Weeks 5-6 Mahomes Ankle Injury
Weeks 7-9 Matt Moore
Week 10 Mahomes 1stgame back with kneecap, @ Ten


Hou: OVERRATED
Now 9-3 in Close game (all decided by 7 or less)
Hou: Not as Good without a healthy WR Will Fuller
No 2 WR Fuller missed last week. Watson is 1.5 yards/pass play worse in his career without him.
That difference is the difference between the No12 passes and the WORST passer in the league…
HC O’Brien says he is a game time Decision……
Fuller has been OUT since Week15 (groin)
Key Question: Can Hou Protect Watson?
Buffalo Sacked him 7x last week!
KC D: 2.8 Sacks per game (12th in league)
KC D: FO Adjusted Sack Rate (10th in league)
Hou: OLINE ISSUES:
Tunsil: Banged up with an ankle injury
Tunsil graded out poorly lw: PFF grade 52 (60-69 graded is a backup!)
Titus Howard: Been OUT since Week 9


******** STRONG LEAN KC OVER 2.5 sacks



… Sea/ GB -4.5 46.5
LIKE GB
Sea: OVERRATED:
11-2 in close games (decided by 1 score)
Sea only outscored opponents by 7 points in regular season
11-2 in close games (decided by 1 score)
THAT is the only reason they are 12-5 SU!
Sea’s: Playoff win was vs. a Philly team without Wentz for 3.5 quarters

And Sea’s RB Issues are HUGE
Going with No4 RB Homer and No 5 RB Lynch (off the couch)
Homer 11/12, Lynch 6/7
BOTH RB averaged only 1 yard/carry Last week!
And they have OLINE Injuries
LT Duane Brown is QUESTIONABLE, and will “try to play”
RG Iupati is QUESTIONABLE
Both missed last week…….

PROP BET ADAMS OVER 82 Reception YARDS


GB: No 1 WR Davante Adams is finally healthy: 12 games 997 yards (12.0)
No other WR got to 500 yards
He missed 4 games in October looked subpar in November
(43, 64, 41 yds)
Last 3 games 7/103, 13/116, 7/93

Gb’s stats are not good :
Gb is 13-3, but they only outscored opponents by 63 points
(That would be a 10-6 type team at most)
GB YPP differential was NEGATIVE at -.3
GB has actually been OUTGAINED for year
345 yards, give up 353 per game
PROP BET: Wilson Rush yards OVER 25
Reg Season: 21/gm
Last 2 games:
Vs. SF: 8/29
Vs. Phi: 9/45
WITH Sea down to their 4thstring RB, AND the season on the line
EXPECT WILSON TO continue to run more……

[Dmoney221]

NFAC anyone? Tia

[Smkncreeper]

NFAC anyone? Tia

Green Bay /Seattle over 45 $900 Big Move