Saturday 8/8/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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717LA LAKERS -718 INDIANA
LA LAKERS are 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

719PHOENIX -720 MIAMI
MIAMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

721MILWAUKEE -722 DALLAS
MILWAUKEE is 65-45 ATS (15.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the last 3 seasons.

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NBA

Saturday, August 8

Trend Report

LA Clippers @ Portland
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Utah @ Denver
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Utah's last 19 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah

LA Lakers @ Indiana
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers

Phoenix @ Miami
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Miami
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Miami is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Phoenix

Milwaukee @ Dallas
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

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WNBA

Saturday, August 8

Trend Report

Atlanta @ Dallas
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 16 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Dallas's last 16 games when playing Atlanta

Phoenix @ Seattle
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Connecticut
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Chicago's last 18 games on the road
Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Connecticut is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home

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Bob Valentino

I want you to forget the pair of regular season meetings between the Clippers and the Trail Blazers - one in early November and one in early December - that both landed Under the total.

We are living in a new NBA world right now, one that exists inside of a bubble in Orlando, Florida and in this new world, the Over is the way to go when Los Angeles and Portland both play their 5th of 8 games before the postseason gets underway.

The Clippers are a 126 point performance in their Thursday game versus Dallas in a game that easily landed Over the posted price. So, after a pair of Unders in the bubble, Doc Rivers' team has now landed Over in their last 2 and chances they complete the "hat trick" look good a the Blazers have been the story thus far of the bubble.

Portland now looks like the odds-on favorite to lock down the # 8 seed in the Western Conference, as Damian Lilliard and his mates have come out and blazed their way to 3 wins in 4 games and have also landed Over the total in 3 of those 4 games.

Lilliard's offense had been a little "sluggish" in Portland's first three games back, but he was able to light things up for 45 points as the Blazers shot 23 of 39 from behind the arc to set a franchise record.

With Jusef Nuric back in the paint and fresh off a 22 points performance on Thursday, Terry Stotts' team is able to get a few more open looks from the perimeter that they simply are not missing.

I have the feeling this game will feel like a playoff-type contest and the points will be adding up.

Clippers-Blazers Over the total on Saturday afternoon.

2* L.A. CLIPPERS-PORTLAND OVER

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Chris Jordan

My free play for Saturday is the Baltimore Orioles against the Washington Nationals, and if you're able to list pitchers, I want you listing only Thomas Eshelman.

The second-year right-hander is still looking for his first victory of the season, as he's 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA and will now step to the hill for his first start of the season. He's pitching in place of John Means, who is on the bereavement list, and I'm betting Eshelman will be at his best.

He catches a Nationals team that has played just three games this month, after its series with the Miami Marlins was canceled due to coronavirus. Last night it was all Baltimore in an 11-0 win, a game I gave you for free. Washington split two games with the Mets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and I'm going to be real critical of the Nats offense. In their 10 games, they've scored two or less runs in six of those games. They're averaging 3.0 runs per game, not something they're used to.

Baltimore may not be a better team overall, but its faced some stiff competition already, and is averaging 4.61 runs per game after 13 contests.

Let's take a shot with the road dog and list Eshelman only.

2* ORIOLES (With Eshelman)

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Jack Brayman

My free winner for Saturday is the Minnesota Twins on the run line, against the Kansas City Royals. This has to be a bounce back game for the Twins, who couldn't get past Kansas City's feisty bullpen in a 3-2 loss last night.

Jake Odorizzi is on the hill for Minnesota tonight, and though he's expected to be limited to around 70 pitches in his season debut - he's coming off the injured list following his recovery from a right intercostal strain - I'm counting on him to limit Kansas City's offense, while giving his teammates enough time to build a cushion.

Minnesota's bats should come to life against Danny Duffy, who is 0-2 with a 4.11 ERA this season thus far. He didn't look too bad on Monday against the Chicago Cubs, lasting six innings, giving up three hits and just one run. But now he faces an angry lineup that will be looking to snap this mini two-game slide.

Before last night, the Twins had scored at least five runs in four straight games. They've talled a league sixth-best 70 runs in their first 14 games, and have belted a league fourth-highest 22 home runs.

I'll lay the run line, as Minnesota bounces back big.

4* TWINS RUN LINE

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Stephen DeAngelo

That’s four straight complimentary winners after the Rays blanked the Yankees 1-0 on Friday. I’m now on a solid 15-7 roll with these freebies heading into Saturday’s play on the Twins on the run line (-1½ runs) over the Rivals



Despite Kansas City’s 3-2 victory in Friday’s series opener, these two AL Central rivals have been going in totally opposite directions since the season started. Even including last night’s result, Minnesota is still 10-4 (tied for the most wins in MLB) and Kansas City is 5-10 (second most losses in MLB). Not only that, but nine of the Twins’ 10 wins have come by multiple runs, while the Royals have failed to cover the run line in six of their defeats (including four of the last five).



Last year, Minnesota owned this rivalry, taking 14 of 19 meetings (including six of nine in KC). Two of those Twins victories came at the expense of Royals lefty Danny Duffy, who gets the start in this one. Duffy gave up 12 runs (11 earned) in 12 2/3 innings last year against Minnesota, losing 11-3 and 5-3. Throw in a 6-5 loss in August 2018, and Duffy has come up short against the Twins each of the last three times he’s faced them, posting a gruesome 8.20 ERA in the process (17 earned runs allowed in 18 2/3 innings).



Even more unsettling if you’re a Royals fan (or a relative of Danny Duffy): Dating to September 2016, Kansas City is just 2-7 in the nine games Duffy has started against Minnesota.



Duffy has been decent to start the 2020 season, giving up seven runs, nine hits and five walks while striking out 16 in 15 1/3 innings (4.11 ERA). But the Royals have lost all three games. In fact, they’re just 1-5 in his last six starts since mid-September of last season.



Meanwhile, Twins right-hander Jake Odorizzi is making his first start of 2020 after a strong bounce-back season last year when he went 15-7 with a 3.51 ERA. Odorizzi was a model of consistency down the stretch in 2019 as he helped Minnesota rack up a shocking 101 victories and an AL Central title. Including a 5-1 victory over the Yankees in the divisional playoffs, he surrendered three earned runs or fewer in each of his final 12 trips to the mound.


More importantly, after the All-Star break, the Twins last year were money in the bank with Odorizzi on the hill, posting an 11-3 record! They’ll be money in the bank once again today as they resume their dominance of the Royals (and continue their dominance of Duffy) with a blowout win.

4* MINNESOTA Run Line (-1 1/2 runs)

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Mitchell Newman

Saturday night in Arlington how about the Angels and the Rangers to head Over the total?

Friday night saw the Halos offense which had scored 5 runs or more in 9 straight games get held to just 3 runs as the Under was the winning side for totals players.

Prior to that Under, LA had boasted Overs in 6 of their previous 9.

Even with last night's Under, the Rangers are still trending towards the Over column, with 6 of their last 8 Over the total despite last night's rare Under.

Kolby Allard gets the task of slowing down the hot-hitting Halos, and Allard he will get his first start after Corey Kluber was shut down with a tear in his pitching shoulder.

Allard did will in his first stint of 2020 as he worked 4 innings with just 1 run allowed on 2 hits. Let's see if he can work deeper into the game tonight without getting nicked up. My guess is the deeper he goes the more he will allow.

Patrick Sandoval will go for Los Angeles and he is making his second start of the season. Sandoval made 2 appearances against the Rangers last season with mixed results as he allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in his 3-plus innings the first time he faced them, but was able to redeem himself with 5 scoreless frames in his second start against them.

Both teams have been generating offense, so there is no reason to think we are going to see a pitcher's duel tonight.

Angels-Rangers Over the total.

3* L.A. ANGELS-TEXAS OVER

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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Pittsburgh Holland -118

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Arthur Ralph

Dodgers w/ Kershaw

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Cappers Access

MLB (Sat) Indians
MLB (Sat) Brewers
NBA (Sat) Clippers
NHL (Sat) Avalanche
NHL (Sat) Lightning

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Hunter Price

Aug 08 '20, 3:30 PM in 5h
Soccer | Corinthians vs Palmeiras
Play on: Corinthians +321 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Corinthians +321

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Bobby Conn

Aug 08 '20, 4:30 PM in 6h
PGA | Hideki Matsuyama vs Siwoo Kim
Play on: Hideki Matsuyama -145 at jazz

1* Free Play on Hideki Matsuyama -145

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Brandon Lee

Aug 08 '20, 6:05 PM in 8h
MLB | BAL vs WAS
Play on: OVER 9 -118

10* FREE MLB PICK (Orioles/Nationals OVER 9)
I like the value here with the OVER 9 on the total for Saturday's Interleague showdown between the Nationals and Orioles. Baltimore has caught fire offensively the past couple of days. After scoring 7 runs on 11 hits Thursday, the Orioles exploded for 11 runs on 19 hits yesterday. I like Baltimore's chances of staying hot against Nationals starter Austin Voth.
I also think this will be the game that Washington's offense gets going. Orioles will have Tom Eshelman on the mound. Eshelman made one quality relief appearance against a bad Marlins offense. In his 4 starts last year, he gave up 19 runs on 24 hits (7 HRs) in 19 innings of work.
Not only are the matchups solid for both sides, but conditions should be heavily in favor of the hitters with the heat index in the low 90s. Give me the OVER 9!

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Jimmy Boyd

Aug 08 '20, 9:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Padres
Play on: Padres -145 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Padres -145