Saturday 8/8/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 8

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CLEVELAND (8 - 7) at CHI WHITE SOX (8 - 6) - 2:10 PM
ZACH PLESAC (R) vs. MATT FOSTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 192-150 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-62 (-35.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 87-82 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-33 (-26.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 135-106 (-24.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 61-76 (-31.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 80-95 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-30 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-41 (+13.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

ZACH PLESAC vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PLESAC is 0-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

MATT FOSTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (6 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 11) - 4:05 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 53-118 (-38.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-62 (-27.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 345-448 (-107.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 6-29 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 837-851 (-121.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 178-119 (+55.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOLLAND is 66-58 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 22-9 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 32-67 (-23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

DEREK HOLLAND vs. DETROIT since 1997
HOLLAND is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.632.
His team's record is 7-2 (+6.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

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HOUSTON (6 - 7) at OAKLAND (10 - 4) - 4:10 PM
FRAMBER VALDEZ (L) vs. FRANKIE MONTAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 8-11 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 300-322 (-62.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 80-56 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-21 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 106-69 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 109-62 (+33.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 24-9 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 75-48 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-13 (+23.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 106-54 (+30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MONTAS is 14-3 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

FRANKIE MONTAS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MONTAS is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 2-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

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ATLANTA (9 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 4) - 6:05 PM
KYLE WRIGHT (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 108-73 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 97-74 (+27.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 100-58 (+37.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 66-52 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 152-104 (+40.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 115-82 (+25.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 71-84 (-28.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARRIETA is 6-14 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE WRIGHT vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WRIGHT is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.24 and a WHIP of 1.617.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ARRIETA is 5-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.223.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

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BALTIMORE (6 - 7) at WASHINGTON (4 - 6) - 6:05 PM
TOM ESHELMAN (R) vs. AUSTIN VOTH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 107-230 (-70.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 64-156 (-66.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 63-155 (-61.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-87 (-28.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 9-5 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 97-81 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TOM ESHELMAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

AUSTIN VOTH vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
VOTH is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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NY YANKEES (9 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (6 - 7) - 5:10 PM
MICHAEL KING (R) vs. JALEN BEEKS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MICHAEL KING vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

JALEN BEEKS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (10 - 4) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 10) - 7:05 PM
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 111-68 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 58-31 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 407-407 (+55.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 74-42 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 46-22 (+20.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 37-13 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 326-456 (-113.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 49-125 (-38.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ODORIZZI is 3-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 4-6 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.8 units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
DUFFY is 6-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 11-8 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-8. (+1.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (5 - 9) at TEXAS (4 - 8) - 7:05 PM
PATRICK SANDOVAL (L) vs. KOLBY ALLARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 28-24 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 48-39 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-16 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 45-33 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 27-7 (+16.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 237-206 (+41.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

PATRICK SANDOVAL vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANDOVAL is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.441.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

KOLBY ALLARD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
ALLARD is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (6 - 8) at MILWAUKEE (5 - 6) - 7:10 PM
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 15-29 (-13.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 32-46 (-18.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 196-151 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 129-92 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 141-103 (+26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
DESCLAFANI is 3-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.239.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.9 units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.615.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

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MIAMI (7 - 1) at NY METS (5 - 9) - 7:10 PM
JOSH SMITH (R) vs. DAVID PETERSON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JOSH SMITH vs. NY METS since 1997
SMITH is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.5 units)

DAVID PETERSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (4 - 7) at BOSTON (5 - 8) - 7:30 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
ANDERSON is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.85 and a WHIP of 2.141.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ZACK GODLEY vs. TORONTO since 1997
GODLEY is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ARIZONA (5 - 9) at SAN DIEGO (8 - 6) - 9:10 PM
MERRILL KELLY (R) vs. CHRIS PADDACK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 31-24 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 78-98 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 71-97 (-33.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-53 (-23.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 47-74 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 28-40 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-45 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 (+2.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

MERRILL KELLY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KELLY is 3-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.312.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

CHRIS PADDACK vs. ARIZONA since 1997
PADDACK is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 0.79 and a WHIP of 0.883.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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COLORADO (10 - 3) at SEATTLE (5 - 10) - 9:10 PM
RYAN CASTELLANI (R) vs. NICK MARGEVICIUS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 354-469 (-103.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 337-465 (-103.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
COLORADO is 96-76 (+27.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 980-903 (-129.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 7-22 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 142-161 (-60.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 682-640 (-114.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 685-625 (-97.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SEATTLE is 18-61 (-35.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RYAN CASTELLANI vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

NICK MARGEVICIUS vs. COLORADO since 1997
MARGEVICIUS is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 16.55 and a WHIP of 2.807.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 9) at LA DODGERS (10 - 4) - 9:10 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-45 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-22 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-55 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-45 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 995-840 (-90.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 38-35 (-21.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-3 (+2.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CUETO is 7-9 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.148.
His team's record is 9-12 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-10. (+1.0 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KERSHAW is 23-12 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.72 and a WHIP of 0.864.
His team's record is 29-18 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 30-14. (+14.4 units)

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NY YANKEES (9 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (6 - 7) - 2:10 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

GERRIT COLE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
COLE is 2-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 0.895.
His team's record is 4-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GLASNOW is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends for Saturday August 8
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rays are 9-0 SU since Sep 06, 2014 in the second game of a home series after they shut out their opponent last game.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Angels at Texas (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Angels are 0-11 SU since Oct 01, 2015 as a road dog off a loss as a favorite in which they held the lead.


Over-Under Total Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Pittsburgh (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Tigers are 0-11 OU (-2.86 ppg) since Jul 13, 2019 in the second game of a series after they scored first in the opener.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Philadelphia

-- The Phillies are 8-0 SU since Sep 15, 2018 when Vince Velasquez starts when their bullpen gave up runs in each of their last two games.


Twitter Submission of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Oakland (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 4-17 since the start of the 2019 season on the road when they are not more than -120 favorites.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Bubble Bets - Saturday
Tony Mejia

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Time/Venue: 1:05 p.m, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Clippers 46-22/2-2 (37-31, 3-1); Blazers 32-38/3-1 (30-37-3, 3-0-1)
Line: LAC -3.5/233, LAC ML -156, POR +132

Line Analysis: The Blazers have yet to be taken down against the spread but still aren’t getting much respect here since I expected this line to be closer to a pick’em considering the Clippers remain shorthanded and don’t need this game as much as Portland does, essentially being locked into the No. 2 or No. 3 seed with another win since they’re unable to catch the Lakers for No. 1.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: The assumption is that reserve forward Montrezl Harrell will soon join the team upon exiting quarantine since he’s been away from the bubble due to a family crisis, but he won’t play here. Patrick Beverley is also sidelined by a calf injury, so he won’t be available to try and slow down a sizzling Damian Lillard. Kawhi Leonard will be getting the day off today as well, so Portland will have to guard against complacency.

Handicapping Notes: The Clippers have lost both games that came down to the wire, falling when Paul George’s game-winning attempt against the Lakers failed on the opening night of bubble action and losing on Devin Booker’s impressive game-winner earlier this week. Portland lost both regular-season meetings against the Clippers, but the teams last played on Dec. 3. Having Nurkic for the first time against another of the West’s top teams provides a great litmus test for this suddenly deep Portland squad.

Nothin’ But Bet: A slimmer Carmelo Anthony has been really active throughout his time in Orlando, which includes posting a double-double with 11 boards against Houston. That’s given the Blazers’ forward a 6.5-rebound average. However, a prop that he’ll surpass 5.5 boards, available at FanDuel (-142) sounds like a loser to me given the talent L.A. has up front. Ride the under there.

Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets

Time/Venue: 3:35 p.m. ET, ESPN Wide World of Sports Arena
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Jazz 43-26/3-1 (37-28-4, 3-0-1); Nuggets 45-24/2-2 (31-34-4, 2-2)
Line: UTA -1/***, UTA -112 ML, DEN +104

Line Analysis: The Jazz are favored here on the second day of a back-to-back since they rested most of their main rotation in Friday’s loss to San Antonio. Only Joe Ingles and Jordan Clarkson really saw significant action while the others rested. Injury-riddled Denver has been an underdog in all but one of its games in this bubble and have seen the ‘over’ prevail in all of its outings.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: Will Barton (knee) and Gary Harris (hip) haven’t played at all in Orlando and will again watch from the sidelines. Point guard Jamal Murray (hamstring) and shooter Troy Daniels (hip) are considered questionable and have been for the past few games. Murray has been warming up and appears close, but the Nuggets could continue to exercise caution with him since they’ve still got all of next week to get him ready for the playoffs.

Handicapping Notes: Although they’re still playing through Nikola Jokic, this Nuggets squad has a much different look with Michael Porter, Jr. aggressively looking for his shot and thriving with heavier usage. It’s also clear that Jerami Grant has improved his shooting over the hiatus and is setting himself up for a nice payday since Paul Millsap is taking a step back to rest and the absence of Murray, Barton and Harris has freed up considerably more touches. Utah can close within a game of Denver for the Northwest Division lead and move to 3-3 in the bubble following a rough start. These rivals didn’t play one another until Jan. 30 and Feb. 5. Utah won a pair of tight, low-scoring games as a favorite, failing to cover each time.

Nothin’ But Bet: Look for Donovan Mitchell to aggressively drive to the paint and facilitate for teammates, particularly early. Sucking defenders in to set up kickouts remains effective for Utah despite the absence of injured sniper Bojan Bogdanovic. Mitchell averaged 4.5 assists in the two wins over Denver. Not coincidentally, that’s the number FanDuel is using for its prop on him. Expect him to surpass that in this one at a nice return rate of +114.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Indiana Pacers

Time/Venue: 6:05 p.m. ET, HP Field House
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Lakers 51-17/2-3 (36-31-1, 1-4); Pacers 42-27/3-1 (37-29-3, 3-1)
Line: LAL -6/*** LAL -250 ML, IND +205

Line Analysis: The return of LeBron James from a sore right groin was baked into the original line, but he’s still listed as questionable as of Saturday morning. The Lakers went from -8 to -6 and downgraded from -340 to -250 on the money line. Indiana went from +275 to +205. L.A. is going to be the top seed out West, so there isn’t much reason for him to push through an injury that set him back in his first season in Purple and Gold when he tried to return to soon. The Pacers were a one-point home underdog when L.A. came through Indy on Dec. 17 and won 105-102. That game went ‘under’ the posted total of 213.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: In addition to the uncertainty surrounding James, Alex Caruso is also listed as ‘questionable’ with a neck injury and Rajon Rondo still isn’t ready to return from his thumb fracture. Avery Bradley opted not to join the team in the bubble, so L.A. is without its top three point guards from earlier this season. Center JaVale McGee received a DNP-Coaches Decision in the loss to Houston but would play here unless something is up. Anthony Davis scored 42 points against Utah earlier this week but hasn’t looked as decisive without James at the controls. Pacers head coach Nate McMillan hinted that a number of Pacers would have to sit this one out, so it’s not really safe to take the points until you know who will be missing. Domantas Sabonis remains out with plantar fasciitis.

Handicapping Notes: The Pacers have seen Malcolm Brogdon and Victor Oladipo ramp up after injuries and both have performed better than expected. Goga Bitadze also returned and is moving around well, while T.J. Warren has been the MVP of Indiana’s bubble experience, averaging over 36 points and seven rebounds. The Pacers would certainly be a live dog here unless they’re down multiple key players since they’re in a race for the No. 4 seed, just one game back of Miami while even with Philadelphia.

Nothin’ But Bet: Props at FanDuel weren’t available due to roster uncertainty.

Miami Heat vs. Phoenix Suns

Time/Venue: 7:35 p.m. ET, Visa Athletic Center
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Heat 43-26/2-2 (35-32-2, 2-2); Suns 30-39/4-0 (33-35-1, 4-0)
Line: PHX -1/***, PHX ML -120, MIA +102

Line Analysis: The Suns not being favored here initially is a credit to the respect oddsmakers have for Miami’s depth, but injuries have definitely taken away some of the Heat’s bite. Before adjusting things, Miami was a 2.5-point ‘chalk’ with a money line of -142. The Suns were getting +120 before being switched to a 1-point favorite. With the Suns coming in unbeaten in Orlando and plenty to play for as they chase down a berth in the play-in for the West’s No. 8 seed, they look like an extremely live dog.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: The Heat will likely be cautious with injured leaders Jimmy Butler and Goran Dragic, who they should have back for the playoffs provided they’re given ample time to rest. Kendrick Nunn left the bubble on Friday and returned, so although details are just surfacing on that, the reality is he won’t be available as he serves a quarantine period following his departure. Look for Heat rookie Tyler Herro and shooter Duncan Robinson to continue serving in large roles.

Handicapping Notes: The Heat surrendered 130 points to the Bucks, squandering an impressive first-half performance that saw them up double-digits at the break on the East’s top seed. We’ll see what that collapse does to their confidence, particularly in a depleted state. Between Booker’s heroics and the steady, effective play from key young cogs like Deandre Ayton, Mikal Bridges and rookie Cam Johnson, there’s no need to be worried about where the Suns currently are from a morale standpoint. They held a team under 100 points for just the second time since Jan. 26, a span of 24 games, in beating Indiana on Thursday.

Nothin’ But Bet: While many Suns deserve credit for this wonderful run they’re on, the improvement of rookie Cam Johnson is being overshadowed by bigger names. Look for him to surpass the 12.5 points expected from him at FanDuel (+100).

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Dallas Mavericks

Time/Venue: 8:35 p.m. ET, ESPN Wide World of Sports Arena
Records/Bubble Records (SU/ATS): Bucks 55-14/2-2 (38-31, 2-2); Mavs 41-30/1-3 (35-33-3, 0-4)
Line: MIL -5.5/***, MIL ML -250, DAL +205

Line Analysis: The 5.5-point spread is exactly where I had this line opening before multiple books put it out there. As of this writing, there still wasn’t a total, but I set it in the 233-234 range provided everyone that has been playing for both teams suits up.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch: The Mavericks have struggled in the bubble but are working without Seth Curry, who really added a dimension with one of the more unheralded seasons a shooter has put together in 2019-20. Tim Hardaway Jr. has also been fantastic but teams have been able to concentrate on defending him more with Curry unavailable. The Bucks rested starters in the second half of the Nets game and have nothing to play for as the East’s top seed but seem to be playing everyone their normal minutes to get Eric Bledsoe back on track after he reported late following a bout with COVID-19.

Handicapping Notes: The Bucks are a pedestrian 4-6 in their last 10 and have seen the ‘over’ cash in three of their four games in Orlando thus far, topping 116 points each time out. Dallas is surrendering 126.5 points per game and have failed to cover in eight of its last 10 games dating back to early March.

Nothin’ But Bet: Luka Doncic and Dorian Finney-Smith have been far more active on the glass during bubble play. Look for Doncic to flirt with a triple-double against the Bucks by securing more than 8.5 rebounds (-138, FanDuel).

NBA Daily
Free Pick

Although I expect Herro to have a big game as he continues to blossom and Bam Adebayo to make Ayton work hard in the post, the fact the Suns were an underdog up until this morning means there’s still significant value in riding them to move to 5-0 in Orlando. Ride Phoenix on a short money line to avoid laying a point or two.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Saturday August 8
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Denver (3:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS (8.50 ppg) with rest off a 10+ point loss as a dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half.


ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Phoenix at Miami (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 0-11 ATS (-8.50 ppg) with rest after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses last game.


OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Clippers at Portland (1:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 10-0 OU (11.00 ppg) with rest off a 10+ point win as a favorite in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws.


OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Denver (3:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 0-11-1 OU (-11.38 ppg) after Nikola Jokic had fewer than 10 points last game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, August 8

Atlanta @ Dallas

Game 637-638
August 8, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
114.223
Dallas
113.209
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
By 1
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
By 2
166
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+2); Under

Phoenix @ Seattle

Game 639-640
August 8, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
112.857
Seattle
125.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
By 13
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
By 5
169
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-5); Over

Chicago @ Connecticut

Game 641-642
August 8, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
122.071
Connecticut
111.217
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
By 11
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
By 3
166
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-3); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Aug 08 '20, 2:10 PM in 48m
MLB | Yankees vs Rays
Play on: Yankees -155 at YouWager

Free Play on Yankees -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Aug 08 '20, 3:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Jazz vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -1½ -110 at 5Dimes

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Denver Nuggets -1.5
The Denver Nuggets are just 1.5 games back of the Clippers for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. They know they’ll have a more favorable first-round matchup if they can grab one of the top three spots.
The Nuggets have a bunch of guys questionable that could return today. But I like the fact that the Nuggets are one of the deepest teams in the league so they can afford a few injuries and still be competitive, which they’ve shown.
The Utah Jazz have more pressing injuries. Mike Conley, Donovan Mitchell and Royce O’Neale are all questionable to play today, while second-leading scorer Bojan Bogdanovic is out for the season. The Jazz aren’t very deep, and they’ll now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after losing 111-119 to the Spurs yesterday. It’s a very tough situation for them today.
The Jazz are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss. Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last five games when playing on zero rest. Denver is 11-4-2 ATS in its last 17 games following a loss. Bet the Nuggets Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Aug 08 '20, 5:00 PM in 3h
WNBA | Sky vs Sun
Play on: Sky -3 -103 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE WNBA play Saturday 8-8-20
Chicago vs Connecticut (5:00 PM EST)
Play On: Chicago -3 -103
The Chicago Sky take on the Connecticut Sun on Saturday in WNBA action. Chicago is 4-2 SU overall this year while Connecticut comes in with a 1-5 SU overall record on the season. Chicago is 7-1 SU and ATS last 3 years when playing on Saturday. Chicago is 5-1 ATS last 3 years overall vs Connecticut. Chicago is 12-3-1 ATS last 16 games after an ATS loss. Chicago is 15-5-1 ATS last 21 games after a SU loss. Connecticut is 0-4 ATS last 4 games after an ATS win. Chicago has covered 5 in a row in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Chicago today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Aug 08 '20, 7:10 PM in 5h
MLB | CIN vs MIL
Play on: OVER 9 -105

1 Dimer on Reds vs Brewers over 9 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule

Aug 08 '20, 9:10 PM in 7h
MLB | Rockies vs Mariners
Play on: Rockies +1½ -180 at Bovada

This is a Free play on the Rockies +1.5.
The Rockies have won 10 games, while the Mariners have won five. Colorado has won four of their last five at Seattle, and yet the Mariners are favored here in Saturday's game.
Both teams hand the ball to young pitcher's who are filling holes in their respective rotations. The Rockies have lost three games this season, and all three of those losses came by a single run.
Colorado ranks 2nd the majors with a team batting average of .268. The Mariners pitching staff ranks 30th in the majors with a team ERA of 6.14.
Take COL.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Aug 08 '20, 9:10 PM in 7h
MLB | Giants vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -300 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Dodgers -300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Aug 08 '20, 9:10 PM in 7h
MLB | SFO vs LAD
Play on: OVER 8 +100

Free Total Annihilator On Giants vs Dodgers over 8 +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Here's the Travers. I really can't see Tiz the Law losing so here's what I am doing.

Saratoga Race 11
#6 Tiz The Law $20 win/place
$2 exacta box 6-4-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITBULL BARKING

MLB" DIAMONDBACKS (ARZ) +148 PADRES (SD) (9:10 PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Action 365

FREE NHL WINNER 8/8/20:
PLAY Flyers +105 vs Lightning, GAME TIME 8:00 PM EST