Saturday 8/22/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359711

    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ellis Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Turf. Purse: $46200 Class Rating: 80

    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 5 ORENCIA 6/1
    # 2 KONA KAI 8/5
    # 8 LIGHTNING FIRE 12/1
    ORENCIA is my choice. This pick will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. KONA KAI - She has been running very well and the Equibase speed figs are among the most respectable in this field. Looks formidable against this group of horses in this race and will probably be one of the leaders. LIGHTNING FIRE - Clearly will improve with change in blinkers (going on) today. Has longshot possibilities and could prove victorious at a big price.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359711

      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Arlington - Race #1 - Post: 2:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,400 Class Rating: 57

      Rating:

      #8 OZETTE (ML=9/2)
      #6 SENSE OF SELF (ML=7/2)
      #5 LAURA ATTACK (ML=5/1)


      OZETTE - Looking over this mare's PPs I see that the last time she tried this distance she got a speed figure that would be good enough to win today's event. Faced tougher last time around the track at Hawthorne. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders. SENSE OF SELF - This filly has been trying different distances, but from the looks of things, she ran a nice speed rating last try at this trip. I seem to always make money betting Davis horses on the turf. That barn has a solid win percent for this distance/surface. In this race here, this thoroughbred has clearly shown signs that she likes the grass. Her speed figs are the highest in the field for this distance-surface. Ranks number one in earnings per race. A powerful effort in this race will boost that total. The racer with the top average class rating in turf events is usually a solid play. This horse fits the bill. Was in a $30,000 Maiden Claiming race at Fair Grounds last out. That clash had an Equibase class figure of 74 and she is moving down in today's race. A certain solid contender. LAURA ATTACK - I think the shorter distance will help this filly stay the trip. Horse's last race was at Arlington in a race with an Equibase class figure of 68. Dropping drastically in class rating this time puts her in a solid position in this event. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough efforts since the layoff and should be fit.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TRULY'S SPIRIT (ML=5/2), #2 MY SWEET PAYNTER (ML=9/2),

      TRULY'S SPIRIT - I just don't possess a good sensation about this racer in this event. MY SWEET PAYNTER - This horse likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually win. Keep out of the top spot.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #8 OZETTE on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,8]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Box [5,6,8] Total Cost: $6
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359711

        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grand Prairie

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 2 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $3900 Class Rating: 70

        QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 4 SPEEDY RAE 5/2
        # 7 CUIVRE DISCO 6/1
        # 1 BUBBLES KEEPER 2/1
        SPEEDY RAE has a competitive shot to take this race. Has respectable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race. Lately Leech has provided players with a formidable winning percentage with horses moving in short races. Looks very good against this field and ought to be one of the leaders. BUBBLES KEEPER - Has to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last contest. Has run admirably when running a short race.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359711

          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Monmouth Park - Race #13 - Post: 5:59pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 55

          Rating:

          #4 NATURALLY QUICK (ML=9/2)


          NATURALLY QUICK - Last race at Monmouth Park, she broke from the far outside. I don't need an advanced degree like The Brain to tell me her inside draw today should help. Taking a big class drop in class rating points from her Aug 2nd race at Monmouth Park. Based on that valuable data, I will give this animal the advantage.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CHIC BELLA (ML=5/2), #6 HIGHRHYTHMDIXIE (ML=7/2), #1 MINEWELLRECEIVED (ML=4/1),

          CHIC BELLA - Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any sort of closing talent on Jun 19th. Common speed figure last out at Belmont Park at 6 furlongs. Don't think this horse will improve too much in today's race. HIGHRHYTHMDIXIE - That was just not a very good showing in the last race. MINEWELLRECEIVED - Hard to recommend this one out of the one slot. Hasn't run well out of there.

          GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - NATURALLY QUICK - Last clash was on the turf at Monmouth Park. Switching to a dirt race at 1 mile today. I like this play with maidens.





          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 NATURALLY QUICK to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
          EXACTA WAGERS: 4 with 5

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Skip
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359711

            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar



            08/22/20, DMR, Race 4, 3.36 PT
            08/22/20,DMR,4,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 STAKES. Torrey Pines Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES, THREE-YEAR-OLDS. By subscription of $100 each, which shall accompany the nomination, Closed Thursday August 13,2020 with 18 or by supplementary nomination of $1,000 each by closing time of entries, $1,500 additional to start, with $100,000 Guaranteed, of which $60,000 to first, $20,000 to second, $12,000 to third, $6,000 to fourth and $2,000 to fifth. Weight 124 lbs.; Non-winners of $60,000 at one mile or over allowed 2 lbs.; of such a race of $40,000 in 2020, 4 lbs. (Maiden and claiming racing not considered.) High weights preferred. Total non-claiming earnings in 2020 will be used in determining the preferences of horses with equal weights. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX SUNDAY, AUGUST 16 BY THE CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner.
            . . . .
            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
            100.0000 6 Provocation 9/2 Smith M E Baffert Bob WL 38.24 1.42/$1
            098.8352 2 Secret Keeper 7/2 Cedillo A Sise. Jr. Clifford W. TSFE 100.00 7.73/$1
            096.9599 4 Sheza Girly Girl 12-1 Pereira T J Knapp Steve C 34.38 1.38/$1
            096.8286 3 Harvest Moon 2-1 Prat F Callaghan Simon J 38.24 1.42/$1
            095.3218 5 Aurelia Garland 4-1 Rispoli U Brisset Rodolphe 38.24 1.42/$1
            094.9603 1 Paige Anne 12-1 Hernandez J J Callaghan Simon 23.81 1.45/$1
            000.0000 7 Merneith 1/5 No Rider Yet 23.49 0.72/$1
            * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 57.14, ROI 2.24/$1
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359711

              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



              08/22/20, SAR, Race 10, 6.18 ET
              08/22/20,SAR,10,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:01 CLAIMING. Purse $49,000. (UP TO $8,526 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment due at time of claim otherwise claim will be void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, races for Three-Year-Olds and Older will be run at One Mile and One Eighth and Two-Year-Old races will be run at Seven Furlongs on the Main Track).
              . . . .
              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
              100.0000 6 Scotty Brown 15-1 Lezcano J Terranova II John P. L 40.63 2.80/$1
              099.1667 1 Letterman 9/2 Gaffalione T Bond H. James 40.63 2.80/$1
              097.7164 9 Rakeez 8/5 Castellano J Brown Chad C. TS 40.63 2.80/$1
              097.2407 3 Catorat 6-1 Cancel E Donk David G. EC 30.00 1.71/$1
              096.9727 4 Kilronan 15-1 Davis D Kingsley. Jr. Archibal 30.00 1.71/$1
              096.9243 5 Battalion 3-1 Alvarado J Mott William I. F 30.00 1.71/$1
              095.6023 2 Kid Chocolate 15-1 Franco M Sciacca Gary 30.00 1.71/$1
              093.1379 7 Revenio 15-1 Rosario J Zito Nicholas P. J 37.50 3.05/$1
              092.2008 8 Hold My Call 30-1 Cohen D Falcone. Jr. Robert N. W 40.63 2.80/$1
              091.3954 10 Starship Bubba 20-1 Saez L Noda Orlando 30.00 1.71/$1
              * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 27.27, ROI 0.79/$1
              If Race Is Off Turf

              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
              100.0000 6 Scotty Brown 15-1 Lezcano J Terranova II John P. L 24.06 1.25/$1
              099.5756 1 Letterman 9/2 Gaffalione T Bond H. James 32.97 1.40/$1
              098.9622 9 Rakeez 8/5 Castellano J Brown Chad C. SEW 29.95 1.14/$1
              098.0339 3 Catorat 6-1 Cancel E Donk David G. FC 24.06 1.25/$1
              097.7407 5 Battalion 3-1 Alvarado J Mott William I. 32.97 1.40/$1
              095.8059 2 Kid Chocolate 15-1 Franco M Sciacca Gary 32.97 1.40/$1
              095.1373 4 Kilronan 15-1 Davis D Kingsley. Jr. Archibal 32.97 1.40/$1
              092.7452 10 Starship Bubba 20-1 Saez L Noda Orlando T 32.97 1.40/$1
              092.6938 8 Hold My Call 30-1 Cohen D Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 32.97 1.40/$1
              092.5030 7 Revenio 15-1 Rosario J Zito Nicholas P. J 32.97 1.40/$1
              * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.00, ROI 1.74/$1
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359711

                GAMEDAY NETWORK

                FREE MLB WINNER 8/22/20
                Astros @ Padres
                Time: 9:10 PM EST
                Free Pick: OVER 9.5
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359711

                  Doc's Picks

                  NBA Orlando +12.5
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359711

                    Profit On Sports

                    MLB Oakland -145
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359711

                      Elite Sports Picks

                      MLB Phillies -115
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359711

                        The Sports Consensus

                        NBA Lakers under 225
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359711

                          The Spot Player

                          MLB Twins under 9.5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359711

                            Top Rank Sports Picks

                            MLB St. Louis -120
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359711

                              Primetime Sports Picks

                              NBA Portland +7.5
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 359711

                                National Sports Service

                                MLB Boston over 9.5
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